Mid-Term Report on the 2014-2016 Triennial Public Investment Programme

MPCE's mid-term report, dated May 2015, on implementation of the Triennial Public Investment Program (PTI) 2014-2016 and its framework. The PTI is the first operational tranche of the Strategic Development Plan for Haiti (PSDH), the reference framework built around the goal of Haiti as an emerging country by 2030, and the report is presented as an accountability obligation of the government. It covers execution during fiscal year 2013-2014 and the first half of 2014-2015, so the reporting window sits slightly ahead of the program's own title years.

Part I sets the national development framework and the objectives of the four refoundations, territorial, economic, social and institutional. Part II presents the PTI itself with its macroeconomic orientations and a section on poverty and inequality read three ways: against the first Millennium Development Goal, through basic social services, and through social protection. Part III reports achievements program by program, with programmed amounts, disbursements and financing rates for each of the four refoundations. Part IV covers the machinery, the PTI monitoring mechanism, the external aid coordination mechanism and the development information system. Part V concludes with recommendations, followed by annexes that break financing down by donor.

The financing picture is the report's core. Across the first two tranches the PTI programmed 202.91 billion gourdes while the corresponding public investment programs carried 121.60 billion, which the report puts at 60 percent of the two-year PTI and 39 percent of the three-year total. Territorial refoundation takes the largest share of PTI programming at 99.73 billion gourdes, or 49 percent, followed by social at 39.92 billion, economic at 32.70 billion and institutional at 30.57 billion. The PIP allocation is differently weighted, with social refoundation at 28 percent of PIP against 20 percent of PTI programming.

The gap between plan and appropriation determines what the last year would require. Adding the third year's forecast spending of 106.60 billion gourdes to the shortfall carried forward brings the final year's financing need to 187.91 billion gourdes if the program's objectives and expected results are to hold.

The macroeconomic setting moved against the plan during the period. The growth rate set at 4.6 percent when the initial 2014-2015 budget was drawn up had to be revised to 2.5 percent in the amending budget; total resources in the amended budget came to 109.737 billion gourdes, of which 60.860 billion in current revenue, and investment spending for programs and projects to 53.448 billion, about 20 percent below the initial budget. Debt service rose from 2013-2014, chiefly for Petrocaribe debt, which the report puts at more than 80 percent of the debt stock.

On outcomes the report is cautiously positive, noting that most poverty and inequality indicators moved in a favorable direction. Net primary enrollment reached 88 percent in 2013 against 77.2 percent in 2012, and EMMUS V puts net school attendance at 54.3 percent in 2000, 77.2 percent in 2012 and above 88 percent at the time of writing. Unemployment among the poor is reported at 46 percent in urban areas against 24 percent in rural areas. The PSDH income objective is stated plainly: raising average per capita income from about 780 US dollars to 2,310 US dollars a year.

Note for users of the tables: the pillar-level disbursement figures do not survive text extraction cleanly, and the annex tables by donor are legible only in the PDF.