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(2015-03) Scaling-Up Renewable Energy Program (SREP): Investment Plan for Haiti

(2015-03) Scaling-Up Renewable Energy Program (SREP): Investment Plan for Haiti

Climate Investment Funds, Government of Haiti, Ministère des Travaux Publics, Transports et Communications (MTPTC) 2015 81 pages
Summary — Haiti's investment plan under the Climate Investment Funds' Scaling-Up Renewable Energy Program, dated 27 March 2015. The document states on its face that it is provisional, under review by the MTPTC, and would be issued in final form after approval and French translation.
Key Findings
Full Description
SREP is the Climate Investment Funds window for scaling up renewable energy in low-income countries, and a country investment plan is the document that sets out where the money would go. This is Haiti's, dated 27 March 2015, and it carries an unusually candid status note: the text was still under review by the Ministry of Public Works, Transport and Communications and was therefore a provisional version, to be published in final form only after approval and translation into French. Its presence in the CIAT's library rather than only the energy ministry's is itself informative, since energy access is a territorial question in Haiti: where generation is sited and which settlements a mini-grid reaches determines which places can support economic activity. The World Bank project whose resettlement framework appears elsewhere in this collection, Renewable Energy Services for All (P156719), is the operational descendant of this planning work.
Geography
Haiti
Keywords
énergies renouvelables, SREP, plan d'investissement, Climate Investment Funds, électrification, MTPTC, mini-réseaux, CIAT
Entities
Climate Investment Funds, SREP, MTPTC, CIAT
Full Document Text

Extracted text from the original document for search indexing.

Climate Investment Fund SCALING-UP RENEWABLE ENERGY PROGRAM (SREP) SREP - Investment Plan for Haiti March 27, 2015 Ce document est en révision par le Ministère des Travaux Publics, Transport et Communications (MTPTC) et est donc une version provisoire. Il sera publié dans sa version finale après approbation et traduction en langue française. 1   CONTENTS   Contents  ...................................................................................................................................................  2   Acronyms  and  Abbreviations  ...........................................................................................................  4   List  of  Figures  .........................................................................................................................................  6   List  of  Tables  ..........................................................................................................................................  6   List  of  Boxes  ............................................................................................................................................  6   Map  ............................................................................................................................................................  7   1   Country  Context:  Energy  Status  and  Policies  ........................................................................  8   1.1   Haiti’s  Current  Development  Status  ..............................................................................................  8   1.2   Energy  Demand  ...................................................................................................................................  10   1.3   Electricity  Supply  ...............................................................................................................................  11   1.4   Electricity  Pricing  ...............................................................................................................................  13   1.5   Energy  Policy  and  Strategic  Framework  ....................................................................................  14   1.6   The  Rural  Electrification  Challenge  .............................................................................................  15   1.7   Gender,  economic  and  social  dimension  of  Energy  in  Haiti  .................................................  18   1.8   Institutional  Framework  .................................................................................................................  22   1.9   Role  of  the  Private  Sector  ................................................................................................................  23   1.9.1   Independent  Power  Producers  ...............................................................................................................  23   1.9.2  RE  distributed  generation,  including  private  sector,  cooperatives  and  non-­‐governmental   Organizations  (NGOs)  ................................................................................................................................................  24   1.9.3   Financiers  .........................................................................................................................................................  24   2    Renewable  Energy  Sector  Context  .......................................................................................  26   2.1   Renewables  in  Haiti’s  Energy  Sector  ...........................................................................................  26   2.1.1   Hydropower  ....................................................................................................................................................  27   2.1.2   Biomass  .............................................................................................................................................................  29   2.1.3   Wind  ...................................................................................................................................................................  30   2.1.4   Solar  ....................................................................................................................................................................  32   2.2   Barriers  to  Renewable  Energy  Development  and  mitigation  measures  .........................  33   3   Renewable  Energy  National  Planning  and  Economic  Viability  ...................................  38   3.1   Grid-­‐connected  Renewables  ...........................................................................................................  39   3.2   Off-­‐Grid  Renewables  .........................................................................................................................  41   4    Prioritization  of  Strategic  Investment  Areas  ....................................................................  45   4.1   Prioritization  of  potential  investments  ......................................................................................  45   5    Responsiveness  to  SREP  criteria  ..........................................................................................  54   6    SREP  for  Haiti:  Program  Description  ..................................................................................  57   6.1   Program  Objectives  and  Expected  Outcomes  ...........................................................................  57   6.2   Program  Rationale  and  Design  ......................................................................................................  57   6.3   Proposed  SREP  IP  components  ......................................................................................................  60   6.4   Program  Co-­‐Benefits  .........................................................................................................................  64   2 7    Financing  Plan  ............................................................................................................................  66   8    Institutional  Framework  for  Implementation  .................................................................  67   9    Environmental  and  Social  Aspects  .......................................................................................  68   10   Monitoring  and  Evaluation  and  Knowledge  Management  .........................................  70   10.1   Strengthening  Monitoring  and  Evaluation  .............................................................................  70   10.2   SE4ALL  Multi-­‐Tier  Framework  for  Measuring  Energy  Access  ..........................................  70   10.3   Results  Framework  .........................................................................................................................  72   10.4   Strengthening  Knowledge  Management  and  Lessons  Sharing  ........................................  73   11  Risk  Assessment  ...........................................................................................................................  75       3 ACRONYMS  AND  ABBREVIATIONS   BME   BRH   CBA   CDM   CEAC   CFI   CIAT   CIDA   CIF   CMEP   CO2   CTF   CTIPFAN   DID   ECVMAS   EDH   FI   GDP   GoH   HFO   HTG   IAP   ICF   IDB   IEA   IFC   IHSI   INFP   IP   IPP   kW   kWh   LAC   LCOE   LNG   LV   M&E   M2M   MARNDR   MCFDF   MCI   MDE   MEF   MENFP   Bureau  of  Mines  and  Energy   Bank  of  the  Republic  of  Haiti   Cost  Benefit  Analysis   Clean  Development  Mechanism   Cooperative  Electrique  de  l’Arrondisement  des  Coteaux     Centre  de  Facilitation  des  Investissements   Interministerial  Committee  for  Regional  Development   Canadian  International  Development  Agency   Climate  Investment  Fund   Council  for  Modernization  of  Public  Enterprises   Carbon  Dioxide   Clean  Technology  Fund   Climate  Technology  Initiative  Private  Financing  Advisory  Network   Desjardins  International  Development   Enquête  sur  les  Conditions  de  Vie  des  Ménages  Après  le  Séisme   Électricité  d’Haïti   Financing  Institution   Gross  Domestic  Product   Government  of  Haiti   Heavy  Fuel  Oil   Haitian  Gourde   Indoor  Air  Pollution   Interim  Cooperation  Framework   Inter-­‐American  Development  Bank   International  Energy  Agency   International  Finance  Corporation   Haitian  Institute  of  Statistics  and  Informatics   l'Institut  National  de  la  Formation  Professionnelle   Investment  Plan   Independent  Power  Producers     Kilowatt   kilowatthour   Latin  America  and  Caribbean   Levelized  Cost  of  Electricity   Liquefied  Natural  Gas   Low  Voltage   Monitoring  &  Evaluation   Machine-­‐to-­‐Machine     Ministry  of  Agriculture,  Natural  Resources,  and  Rural  Development   Ministère  à  La  Condition  Feminine  Et  aux  Droits  de  la  Femme  (Ministry   of  Womens  Affairs  and  Womens  Rights)   Ministry  of  Commerce  and  Industry   Ministry  of  Environment   Ministry  of  Economy  and  Finance   Ministre  de  l'Éducation  Nationale  et  de  la  Formation  Professionnelle     4 MFI   MG   MJSP   MNFA   MTOE   MTPCT   MV   MW   MWp   NGOs   NRECA   NREL   OIA   OLADE   PADF   PCU   PIDG   PNDSE   PPA   PPCR   PREPSEL   PV   RENET   RESEPAG   SAC   SE4All   SELF   SHS   SME   SPP   SREP   UN   UNDP   UNEP   US  DOE   WB   WBG   WTP   Microfinance  Institution   Micro-­‐Generation   Ministry  of  Justice  and  Public  Security   Government  of  Norway  Ministry  of  Foreign  Affairs   Million  Ton  Oil  Equivalent   Ministry  of  Public  Works,  Transportation  and  Communications   Medium  Voltage   Megawatt   Megawatt-­‐Peak   Non-­‐Governmental  Organizations   National  Rural  Electric  Cooperative  Association   National  Renewable  Energy  Laboratory   Operations  Improvement  Agreement   Latin  American  Energy  Organization     Pan  American  Development  Foundation   Project  Coordination  Unit   Private  Infrastructure  Development  Group   National  Energy  Sector  Development  Plan   Power  Purchase  Agreement   Pilot  Program  for  Climate  Resilience   Projet  de  Réduction  de  Pertes  dans  le  Secteur  Electrique     Photovoltaic   Renewable  Energy  Education  Network     Strengthening  Agriculture  Public  Services  Program   Semi-­‐Autonomous  Centers   Sustainable  Energy  for  All   Solar  Electric  Light  Fund     Solar  Home  System   Small-­‐Medium  Enterprise   Small  Power  Producers   Scaling-­‐up  Renewable  Energy  Program   United  Nations   United  Nations  Development  Program   United  Nations  Environment  Program   United  States  Department  of  Energy   World  Bank   The  World  Bank  Group   Willingness  to  Pay         5 LIST  OF  FIGURES   Figure 1. Geographical Map of Haiti............................................................................................... 7   Figure 2. Haiti’s 10 Administrative Departments ......................................................................... 10   Figure 3. Poverty (blue) and Extreme Poverty (green) by Department........................................... 9   Figure 4. Electricity Expenditure Patterns in Artibonite and Port-au-Prince ................................ 19   Figure 5. A Birds-Eye View of Haiti’s RE Potential .................................................................... 26   Figure 6. Haiti Hydroelectric Power Production by year .............................................................. 27   Figure 7. Seasonal Variability of Hydro Power ............................................................................ 28   Figure 8. Haiti Sugarcase Biomass Potential................................................................................. 29   Figure 9. Map of Wind Potential in Haiti ...................................................................................... 30   Figure 10. Illustration of typical Diurnal Wind Energy Profile .................................................... 31   Figure 11. Solar Energy Resource Map of Haiti ........................................................................... 33   Figure 12. EDH RE Supply Curve ................................................................................................ 42   Figure 13. RE Generation Cost vs. Thermal EDH and Cogen ...................................................... 43   Figure 14. The spatial distribution of survey respondents (digicel 2014) ..................................... 42   Figure 15. SREP Assessment of the Offgrid Village Grid Potential in Haiti ................................ 43   Figure 16. Initial simulations of the average annual fuel savings ................................................. 50   Figure 17. Definition of Energy Access and Multi-Tier Framework ............................................ 71     LIST  OF  TABLES   Table 1. edh GRIDS – CAPACITY AND CUSTOMERS............................................................ 13   Table 2. Penetration of renewable energy technologies in rural and urban areas ......................... 17   Table 3. Average Electricity Expenditure by Department ............................................................ 19   Table 4. Estimates for Remaining “Additional” Pico-to-Small Hydro Power Potential ............... 28   Table 5. Main barriers and constraints to renewable energy development ................................... 34   Table 6. Snapshot of Ongrid RE Business Models Comparative Analysis ................................... 47   Table 7. Snapshot of Potential Ongrid & Offgrd RE Business Models ........................................ 48   Table 8. Off-grid electrification potential...................................................................................... 51   Table 9. Rank for Final Selection of SREP-Haiti Projects ............................................................ 52   Table 10. Five Proposed SREP-Haiti Investment Program Projects ............................................. 53   Table 11. Summary of Projects’ Responsiveness to SREP Criteria .............................................. 54   Table 12. SREP Financing, Co-financing and Private Sector Financing Leverage ...................... 66   Table 13. SREP Results Framework ............................................................................................. 72   Table 14. Main Identified Risks and Mitigation Measures ........................................................... 75     LIST  OF  BOXES   Box 1. Government’s program for reducing EDH losses .............................................................. 16   Box 2. Haiti Safico/MicamaSoley ................................................................................................. 21   Box 3. Building M&E capacity for the key sectorial agencies s ................................................... 70   Box 4. World Bank’s Systematic Country Diagnostic (Feb 2015) ............................................... 73   6 MAP   FIGURE  1.  GEOGRAPHICAL  MAP  OF  HAITI   Source:  http://mapsof.net/uploads/static-­‐maps/un_haiti.png     7 1   COUNTRY  CONTEXT:  ENERGY  STATUS  AND  POLICIES   1.1   HAITI’S  CURRENT  DEVELOPMENT  STATUS   Haiti   accounts   for   one   third   of   the   Hispaniola   Island   in   the   Caribbean,   neighbouring   the   Dominican   Republic   and   covers   a   territory   of   27,750   km2.  The   Haitian   Institute   of   Statistics   and   Informatics   (IHSI),   estimates   the   current   population   at   10.9   million   people,1  which   makes   Haiti   one   of   the   most   densely   populated   countries   in   the   Latin   America   and   Caribbean   (LAC)   Region.1   In   addition,   at   least   2.5   million   Haitians   are   estimated   to   live   abroad.  The  Haitian  diaspora  is  an  important  source  of  remittances,  which  is  estimated  to   amount   to   well   over   US$1.8   billion   annually. 2  This   is   comparable   in   magnitude   to   approximately   one   third   of   Haiti’s   GNP   and   in   fact   exceeded   all   international   assistance   combined  following  the  2010  earthquake.       FIGURE  2.  HAITI’S  10  ADMINISTRATIVE  DEPARTMENTS     Administratively,   the   country   is   organized   into   10   departments   (Figure   2);   more   than   a   third   of   the   Haitian   population     lives   in   the   Western   department   (Ouest),   which   contains   the   capital   (Port-­‐   au-­‐Prince)  metropolitan  area.  Haiti   has   experienced   steady   urbanization  over  the  last  30  years,   with   rural   population   share   declining   from   75.5%   in   1983   to   55.6%   in   2003,   projected   to   fall   to   48.1%  by  2015.3     Haiti’s   GDP   per   capita   stands   at   US$820   in   2013 4 —compared   to   LAC   average   of   US$11,770. 5  According   to   the   latest   ECVMAS   household   survey   in   2012,   6   million   out   of   10.4   million   (almost   60%)   of   the   1  Haiti  Census,  2003   2  FONKOZE,  2012   3  Haiti  Statistical  Institute     4  World  Bank,  2014   5  PPP,  2011   8 population  was  poor,  living  under  the  national  poverty  line  of  US$2  per  day,  and  almost  a   quarter  of  the  population  was  extremely  poor,  living  below  US$1  a  day.  Haiti  ranks  161st  in   the  UN’s  2014  Human  Development  Index  (2014).  Economic  development  has  repeatedly   been   interrupted   by   external   shocks,   including   food   and   fuel   price   fluctuations   and   natural   disasters.   The   most   devastating   impact   was   registered   from   the   magnitude-­‐7.0   earthquake   on   January   12,   2010,   which   killed,   according   to   Government   sources,   around   300,000   people  and  displaced  1.5  million  in  Haiti’s  capital  and  nearby  towns,  making  it  one  of  the   deadliest   natural   disasters   on   record.   It   resulted   in   damages   and   losses   of   around   US$8   billion   (120%   of   GDP).   One   third   of   the   country’s   civil   servants   and   most   of   government   buildings   disappeared   in   the   earthquake.   The   country   is   only   now   beginning   to   recover   from  this  disaster.     There   is   an   increasing   disparity   in   poverty   between   urban   and   rural   areas.   38%   of   the   population  in  rural  areas  is  still  unable  to  satisfy  its  nutritional  needs  and  almost  70%  of   rural  households  are  considered  chronically  poor  –  being  both  below  the  poverty  line  and   lacking   access   to   basic   goods   and   services,   making   it   especially   difficult   for   them   to   emerge   from  poverty.  Eighty  percent  of  those  classified  as  extremely  poor  live  in  rural  areas.   The   poverty   also   varies   geographically.   The   poorest   Departments   are   the   farthest   from   the   capital   and   the   most   isolated—North-­‐West,   North-­‐East   and   South   (Figure   3).   In   addition,   Haiti   is   the   most   unequal   country   in   the   LAC   region.   The   richest   quintile   holds   over   64%   of   the  total  income  of  the  country,  compared  to  the  poorest  quintile  holding  less  than  1%.  As   of  2012,  the  Gini  coefficient  is  0.61,  the  highest  in  the  region.     FIGURE  3.  POVERTY  (BLUE)  AND  EXTREME  POVERTY  (GREEN)  BY  DEPARTMENT   Sources:  ECVMAS  2012;  World  Bank     In   order   to   decrease   rural   and   urban   disparities,   the   Government   has   embarked   in   the   process   of   decentralization   since   1987.   Since   2006,   the   law   on   decentralization   allows   9 municipal  government,  among  others,  to  implement  municipal  production,  distribution  and   commercialization  of  energy,  as  well  as  manage  municipal  energy  infrastructure.6     Although   the   framework   for   decentralization   exists,   in   practice   access   to   public   services   and   public   goods   mainly   occurs   in   the   largest   metropolitan   areas.   The   capital   metropolitan   area   is   rapidly   growing,   and   at   nearly   three   million   people—and   an   infrastructure   dating   back  to  the  late  1970’s—the  urban  center  is  unable  to  function  with  efficacy;  the  negative   externalities   hinder   further   growth.   Therefore,   Government   policies   continue   targeting   investments  and  job  creation  in  secondary  cities.  Access  to  reliable  and  affordable  energy   in   secondary   and   tertiary   cities,   as   well   as   in   rural   areas,   is   a   lynchpin   to   this   decentralization   process.   Government   strongly   believes   that   SREP   can   play   a   supportive   role   to   increase   access   to   decentralized   sources   of   power,   particularly   in   isolated   rural   areas.   1.2   ENERGY  DEMAND   Haiti’s  energy  sector  is  characterized  by  intensive  use  of  biomass  fuel  (mostly  firewood  and   charcoal),   imported   fossil   fuels   and   a   largely   untapped   renewable   energy   potential.   Total   primary  energy  consumption  in  Haiti  is  0.38  tons  of  oil  equivalent  (toe)  per  capita,  one  of   the  lowest  in  the  world,  and  only  a  fraction  of  the  average  consumption  in  LAC  countries.     According   to   the   International   Energy   Agency   (IEA),   Haiti   consumed   a   total   of   4   million   tons  of  oil  equivalent  (MTOE)  in  2012,  of  which  20%  (0.8  MTOE)  consisted  of  net  imports   of   conventional   energy   sources.   Haiti’s   total   petroleum   product   imports   amounted   to   US$755   million   in   2012.7  In   the   same   year,   biomass   (wood   and   charcoal   primarily,   but   also   sugar   cane/bagasse   waste   in   much   less   volume)   represented   75%   of   total   energy   consumption,   petroleum   products   comprised   23%,   and   hydropower   accounted   for   3%   .   The  residential  and  commercial  sectors  account  for  most  of  the  energy  used  in  Haiti.   Charcoal,   made   from   the   rapidly   declining   resource   of   trees   in   Haiti,   is   the   single   largest   source   of   household   energy   in   urban   areas   (91%   of   households   use   charcoal).8  In   rural   areas,   woodfuel   (twig)   dominates   as   the   primary   fuel   for   household   cooking.   Inefficient   cooking   practices,   coupled   with   high   population   density   and   severe   poverty,   place   an   enormous   burden   on   Haiti's   natural   resources.9  Efforts   are   ongoing   to   increase   adoption   of   efficient  cook  stoves  to  reduce  charcoal  consumption  and  combat  deforestation.     Electricity   is   available   to   only   about   a   third   of   Haitian’s   population.   In   rural   areas,   electricity  is  rare  (5%)  and  the  Haitian  households  primarily  rely  on  kerosene  lamps  and   6  Decree  of  February  1st  2006,  articles  114  -­‐  115   7  BRH   8  Berkeley  Study,  2003   9  UNEP,  2013   10 candles.   Following   the   2010   earthquake,   the   dissemination   of   solar   lanterns   by   NGOs   (first   phase)   and   sales   by   private   companies   (second   phase)   have   helped   reduce   the   consumption   of   kerosene   used   for   lighting,   but   most   of   the   unelectrified   population   still   relies  on  kerosene.  According  to  Entrepreneurs  du  Monde,  nearly  7%  of  an  average  Haitian   household   budget   is   devoted   to   lighting;   emerging   results   of   the   ECVMAS   2012   and   Digicel/iiDevelopment  2014  survey10  are  in  line  with  this  estimate.  Poor  households  spend   relatively  more  on  lighting  than  better  off  households.  Improving  access  to  reliable  modern   electricity   services,   particularly   in   rural   areas,   is   therefore   one   of   the   key   Government   priorities.     The   electricity   demand   has   been   rapidly   increasing   in   the   recent   years,   following   Haiti’s   economic   growth.11  But   the   structural   lack   of   power   supply   capacity   has   increased   the   volume   of   unmet   demand,   and   the   development   of   autonomous   generation,   both   for   personal   and   professional   /   community   uses.   The   current   peak   demand   is   estimated   at   over  500  MW  and  is  estimated  to  surpass  TBD  MW  by  2020.  It  is  therefore  essential  that   Haiti’s   generation,   transmission   and   distribution   capacity   increases   correspondingly,   so   that  economic  growth  is  not  constrained  by  electricity  shortages.  Renewable  energy  plays  a   prominent  role  in  Government’s  plan  to  expand  generation  capacity,  and  the  Government   considers  SREP  the  key  tool  for  bringing  in  the  required  transformative  change  to  attract   renewable  energy  investments.     1.3   ELECTRICITY  SUPPLY   The   main   provider   of   electricity   services   in   Haiti   is   the   national,   Government-­‐owned   utility   Electricité  d’Haiti  (EDH).   Generation  and  transmission     EDH  generates  approximately  15%  of  energy  produced  in  Haiti,  with  the  rest  coming  from   independent   power   producers   and   the   Tripartite   Cooperation   (Haiti-­‐Venezuela-­‐Cuba)12   Current   electricity   infrastructure   is   aging   and   has   been   poorly   maintained.   Installed   generation   capacity   is   about   320   MW   (Table   1),   of   which   only   176   MW   is   available13— 10  In  the  context  of  the  Third  Rural  Energy  Forum  in  November  2014,  consultations  with  potential  1,400   urban  and  rural  household  beneficiaries  were  held  through  a  telephone  survey  carried  out  in  partnership   with  Digicel  (Haiti  cell  phone  operator).  iiDevelopment  then  analyzed  the  data  to  inform  the  SREP-­‐Haiti  IP.   11  More  precise  demand  growth  projections  are  currently  being  developed  under  the  new  Electricity  Master   Plan.     12  Since  2007,  the  Bolivar  -­‐  Pétion  -­‐  Martí  Convention  (Venezuela  -­‐  Haiti  -­‐  Cuba)  confirmed  the  participation   of  the  Venezuelan  International  Brigade  in  what  is  defined  as  ‘integral  development’:  cooperation  for  the   transformation  of  the  structural  problems  of  Haiti.  That  same  year,  the  Tripartite  Intergovernmental   Cooperation  Office  Haiti  -­‐  Cuba  –  Venezuela  was  installed  in  Port-­‐au-­‐Prince.  Specific  plans  include   cooperation  in  the  areas  of  health  and  education,  agriculture  and  fair  trade,  as  well  as  three  ‘grannacional’   projects  related  to  energy  resources.   13  EDH,  March  2015   11 insufficient   to   meet   estimated   peak   load   demand   of   more   than   500   MW,   resulting   in   frequent  load-­‐shedding  and  service  interruptions.14  Most  of  the  power  is  supplied  through   oil-­‐based   thermal   generation   (81%   of   diesel   and   fuel   oil),   with   hydropower   contributing   19%.  Other  than  hydropower,  there  is  no  other  grid-­‐connected  renewable  energy  capacity.     The   largest   hydro   plant   is   Péligre   (54   MW),   currently   under   rehabilitation   together   with   the   associated   transmission   line   connecting   the   plant   to   the   metropolitan   area,   resulting   in   a   temporarily   reduced   power   output   from   the   plant.   Once   completed,   increased   hydropower   and   transmission   line   capacity   will   facilitate   integration   of   intermittent   renewable  energy  into  the  grid.      EDH   owns   eight   other   hydro   plants   of   smaller   sizes,   of   which,   however,   only   one   is   fully   operational.         Distribution     EDH  operates  one  main  interconnected  grid  covering  the  metropolitan  area  and  11  isolated   grids,,   serving   about   260,000   “active”   customers   (Annex   VI).15  Most   of   these   customers   are   on   the   main   grid   covering   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince   and   the   surrounding   areas,   where   also   most   industrial   and   business   customers   are.   In   2014,   EDH’s   1,308   industrial   customers   represented   about   40%   of   the   power   demand.   The   isolated   grids   serve   the   rest   of   the   country,  with  power  mostly  supplied  intermittently  by  diesel  units  and  some  hydropower,   both  with  O&M  problem   EDH  faces  considerable  technical,  managerial  and  financial  challenges.  Technical  and  non-­‐ technical   losses   are   at   65%,   large   part   of   which   can   be   accounted   for   by   the   illegal   grid   connections.  In  addition,  collection  rate  is  only  at  two  thirds—meaning  that  EDH  recovers   only  22%  of  the  value  of  electricity  it  generates.  The  losses  contribute  to  an  annual  financial   deficit   of   US$200   million—equivalent   to   4%   of   the   national   budget..   Consequently,   EDH   faces  difficulties  to  pay  for  fuels,  basic  maintenance  services  and  other  operating  costs,  and   is  relying  on  Government  subsidies  to  bridge  the  gap.   14  EDH,  PPCR  –  CIAT   15  “Active”  describes  customers  that  are  connected  legally  and  regularly  pay  bills  according  to  EDH.  The  total   number  of  people  with  electricity  access  (including  “irregular”  users)  is  larger,  estimated  at  350,000+.     12 TABLE  1.  EDH  GRIDS  –  CAPACITY  AND  CUSTOMERS   Grid   Metropolitan     Installed  capacity   Available  capacity   (kW)   (kW)   248,000   98,800   Number  of  active   customers   160,487   Centre  (Onde-­‐Verte)   650   500   788   Nord   14,400   10,500   17,435   Nord-­‐ouest   2,500   2,200   3,557   Nord-­‐est   5,750   4,500   4,540   Sud(Cayes)   11,600   7,600   21,246   Sud-­‐est(Jacmel)   5,150   4,450   11,413   Sud-­‐est(Bainet)   310   200   included  in  Jacmel   Artibonite   24,650   19,200   20,645   Grand-­‐Anse  (Jeremie)   2,450   2,200   3,327   Ouest(Arcahaie)   2,000   0   2,611   Ouest  (La  Gonave)   425   350   625   Source:  EDH,  2015   The   average   daily   electricity   service   of   only   16   hours   compels   most   industries   to   self-­‐ generate,   reducing   their   competitiveness.   It   is   estimated   that   the   cumulative   capacity   of   individual   diesel   gen-­‐sets   in   the   country   is   more   than   200   MW   (more   than   the   available   power   of   150   MW   supplied   through   EDH).   More   recently,   solar   PV   power   has   started   to   emerge   as   an   alternative   for   self-­‐supply   in   both   urban   and   rural   areas,   but   the   solar   PV   industry  in  Haiti  is  still  very  small  and  in  the  naascent  stage.     1.4   ELECTRICITY  PRICING   Current   electricity   tariffs   were   established   in   2009,   however,   as   part   of   an   ongoing   Electricity   Master   Plan   study,   EDH   is   conducting   an   investment   plan   and   tariff   reform   analysis.     Tariffs   are   distinguished   by   user   (residential,   commercial,   and   industrial   and   organizations),   by   location   (within   or   outside   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince)   and   by   kWh   usage.   Users   are   charged   a   monthly   fee,   plus   an   additional   tariff   based   on   usage.   Residential   tariffs   (US$0.21/kWh)  are  below  the  average  of  the  Caribbean  region,  but  tariffs  for  the  industrial   and   commercial   customers   are   on   the   higher   end   of   the   regional   range   (US$0.30/kWh).   Connection   fees   are   also   differentiated   by   the   type   of   the   user,   and   are   about   $65   for   residential  customers.  Higher  rates  are  charged  for  commercial  and  industrial  customers.   13 1.5   ENERGY  POLICY  AND  STRATEGIC  FRAMEWORK   The   Government   vision   for   the   energy   sector   is   based   on   the   Strategic   Plan   for   the   Development  of  Haiti  (SPDH),  which  sets  a  path  for  Haiti  to  become  an  emerging  economy   by  2030.     The  SPDH  plan  envisages,  inter  alia,  to  strengthen  the  private  sector  and  the  provision  of   basic   services   to   the   population   including   electricity.   The   Martelly16  administration   has   identified   energy   as   one   of   its   five   priorities—the   five   ‘E’s   (alongside   education,   employment,  environment  and  rule  of  law  –  ‘état  de  droit’).  The  January  2012  Draft  Energy   Policy   Report   (Avant-­‐Projet   de   Politique   Energétique   d’Haïti)   defined   the   Government’s   five   key   objectives   of   its   energy   policy   as   follows:   (i)   Ensure   sufficient   supply   to   meet   demand   and   support   economic   growth;   (ii)   Promote   energy   savings   and   efficiency;   (iii)   Promote  development  of  indigenous  renewable  sources  of  energy;  (iv)  Pursue  exploration   of   fossil   fuel   sources   in   Haiti;   and   (v)   Create   a   regulatory   framework   to   encourage   the   development  of  supply  while  protecting  the  environment.     The   present   National   Energy   Sector   Development   Plan   for   the   period   2007-­‐2017   recommends  specific  improvement  and  development  measures  for  the  energy  sector  but  is   now  rather  outdated,  as  it  was  completed  before  the  2010  earthquake  which  dramatically   altered   the   energy   sector   development   needs.   EDH   is   in   the   process   of   developing   a   new   Electricity  Master  Plan,  which  should  be  available  in  late  2015.     The  January  2010  earthquake  exacerbated  the  challenges  faced  by  the  sector  by  worsening   EDH’s   financial   situation   and   undermining   institutional   and   managerial   capacities.   The   earthquake  also  damaged  or  destroyed  a  wide  range  of  electricity  infrastructure,  increasing   the  emphasis  on  the  physical  inventory  and  the  need  to  rehabilitate  assets.   In  the  post-­‐earthquake  years,  the  Government  therefore  focused  on  rebuilding  the  essential   energy   infrastructure   and   making   sure   that   critical   loads   were   supplied   in   short-­‐   and   medium-­‐  term.  This  reconstruction  of  energy  infrastructure  now  being  mostly  completed,   the  Government  is  moving  to  longer-­‐term  priorities  embodied  in  the  SPDH  plan.     Reaching   the   SPDH   goal   of   becoming   emerging   country   by   2030   will   require   dual   electrification  efforts:  (i)  supporting  off-­‐grid  electrification  efforts  for  rural  areas  that  will   not   be   served   by   EDH;   and   (ii)   improving   EDH   performance   and   supporting   on-­‐grid   generation  capacity  to  enable  EDH  to  provide  reliable  and  affordable  electricity  services  in   urban  areas  and  surroundings.     16  Presidential  and  legislative  elections  launched  in  November  2010,  were  concluded  in  May  2011,  with  the   swearing  in  of  President  Michel  Joseph  MARTELLY.  He  was  the  first  opposition  candidate  in  Haiti's  history  to   accede  to  the  post  by  democratic  transition.   14 In   this   context,   power   sector   reform   and   measures   to   improve   financial   performance   of   EDH   are   of   critical   importance.   The   Government’s   approach   to   address   EDH   precarious   financial  situation  consists  of  three  parallel  tracks:     1. Reduce   EDH   losses   by   targeted   investments   in   rehabilitation   of   existing   transmission   and  distribution  lines  and  a  comprehensive  plan  to  reduce  commercial  losses,  starting   with  improving  collections  through  the  installation  of  new  meters.  The  Government  has   developed   a   specific   loss   reduction   program,   which   is   now   also   being   adopted   as   one   of   the  key  elements  of  the  IMF  program  for  Haiti  World  Bank’s  Rebuilding  Infrastructure   and  Access  Project  is  providing  technical  support  and  financing  for  its  implementation.   The  key  elements  of  the  program  are  included  in  Box  1.     2. Increase   availability   and   reduce   costs   of   power   supply,   decreasing   EDH   dependency   on   the   expensive   fossil-­‐fuel   generators   provided   by   IPPs.   The   diversification   options   include  rehabilitation  of  existing  hydro  plants,  LNG  imports  for  power  generation,  and   an   increased   share   of   renewable   energy   in   the   generation   mix.   The   Government   sees   the  SREP  program  as  a  catalyst  to  implement  this  ambition.     3. Prepare  the  ground  for  a  broader  legal,  institutional  and  regulatory  reform,  which  would   clarify   the   legal   framework,   open   the   electricity   sector   to   competition,   incentivize   private   sector   investments   and   establish   a   regulatory   agency.   The   lack   of   a   clear   regulatory  environment  is  considered  as  one  of  the  main  bottlenecks  to  developing  the   energy   sector   in   general   and   scaling-­‐up   renewable   energy   activities   in   particular.   The   legal   framework,   based   on   1989  Organic  Law  of  Electricity  is   by   now   very   outdated,   and   discourages   private   sector   investments.   The   resulting   lack   of   competition   is   hurting   consumers   and   constraining   further   development   of   this   critical   sector.   The   Government   is   currently   carrying   out   various   studies   to   help   it   structure   these   broader   sector  reforms.     1.6   THE  RURAL  ELECTRIFICATION  CHALLENGE   Rural  Electrification  Status  and  Expenditure  Patterns   The   latest   available   official   electrification   rate   according   to   EDH   is   30%,   but   estimates   vary   due  to  unreliable  statistics.17  The  electricity  consumption  per  capita  is  more  than  80  times   lower  than  the  average  for  the  LAC  region  at  about  30  kWh  per  year,  reflecting  the  severe   supply  constraints  discussed  above,  the  low  electricity  access,  and  low-­‐income  levels.  The   distribution  of  electricity  access  is  also  highly  unequal:  while  electricity  access  in  Port-­‐au-­‐ 17  The  recent  ECVMAS  2012  and  Digicel/iiDevelopment  2014  surveys  suggest  a  significantly  higher  rate  of   access  for  2014  (approaching  50%),  especially  if  illegal  connections  and  solar  home  systems  are  fully   accounted  for.  ECVMAS  2012  estimates  an  electrification  of  35%  in  2012,  and  Digicel/iiDevelopment  Survey   2014  found  evidence  for  an  even  higher  electrification  rate  (depending  on  definition)  by  December  2014   (around  45%  after  accounting  for  the  inherent  phone  survey  bias).  However,  it  should  be  noted  that  both  of   these  were  not  primarily  geared  towards  measuring  grid  access  rates,  so  they  only  provide  rough  indications   of  national  access  growth;  the  SREP  baseline  surveys  will  therefore  establish  a  more  exact  baseline.   15 Prince   is   relatively   high   if   irregular   connections   are   accounted   for,   access   in   rural   areas   remains  extremely  low.   On  average,  households  in  Haiti  currently  spend  about  US$30  per  month  on  electricity  or   electricity-­‐substitutable   expenditures.   However,   the   Departmental   and   rural/urban   averages   vary   strongly,   and   spendings   are   distributed   such   that   the   poorest   half   spend   much  less  than  this  average,  as  Table  2  in  the  next  section  show.18     BOX  1.  GOVERNMENT’S  PROGRAM  FOR  REDUCING  EDH  LOSSES   EDH   Management   has   recently   developed   an   ambitious   performance   improvement   and   loss   reduction   program,   which   is   now   being   finalized   with   direct   involvement   of   MTPTEC   and   MEF,   and   support   from   MDBs   and   the   IMF.19  World   Bank’s   Rebuilding   Infrastructure   and   Access   Project   is   providing   technical   support   and   financing   for   the   implementation   of   all   activities   related   to   this   plan,   as   needed.   Short   term   objectives   of   this   plan   are   to   achieve   overall  yearly  savings  amounting  over  US$  70  million  to  the  utility  (around  40%  of  the  annual   budget  transfers  to  EDH),  through  (a)  an  optimization  of  fuel  and  electricity  purchase  (where   the   savings   potential   on   EDH   costs   is   the   most   important),   and   (b)   significant   improvement   of   all   parts   of   the   commercial   value   chain   (new   meters   installation,   automatic   billing   and   bill   recovery)  with  the  objective  of  improving  the  commercial  losses  by  6%  in  one  year.         Renewable  Energy  solutions  to  electricity  needs   With  EDH  absent  in  most  of  the  rural  areas,  local  governments  and  users  have  been  largely   left  on  their  own  to  find  solutions  to  their  electricity  needs.  Up  to  very  recently,  individual   diesel  systems  (for  AC  power),  kerosene  and  candles  (for  lighting)  were  the  only  available   options   for   most   people   and   diesel   gen-­‐sets   for   businesses   in   rural   areas.   As   most   households   own   cell   phones,   they   also   spend   considerable   amounts   for   their   charging   at   commercial   charging   stations.   While   more   than   36   smaller   towns   have   diesel-­‐powered   mini-­‐grids   built   by   the   municipal   governments   only   a   few   of   those   are   still   in   (regular)   operation—and   where   they   are,   service   is   typically   available   for   only   a   few   hours   in   the   evening.     More   recently,   renewable   energy   technologies,   especially   solar   PV,   have   started   to   penetrate  rural  areas,  reflecting  the  global  trend  of  falling  costs  of  solar  PV,  availability  of   low-­‐cost,  high-­‐performance  LED-­‐lights,  and  the  emergence  of  new  business  models  aiming   at  serving  rural  customers.     According  to  a  SREP/IDA-­‐funded  Digicel/iiDevelopment  phone  survey  of  1,400  urban  and   rural   households   in   November   2014,   the   penetration   of   solar   lanterns   and   small   kits   in   rural   areas   is   high   in   international   comparison.   However,   it   varies   considerably   18  ECVMAS  2012  and  Digicel/iiDevelopment  2014  Survey  data   19  IMF  intends  to  include  this  EDH  recovery  plan  as  a  structural  measure  of  its  2015-­‐2018  program  in  Haiti,  to   support  the  rapid  reduction  of  budget  transfers  to  the  state  power  utility   16 geographically:  The  share  of  households  with  a  solar  lantern  or  small  system  ranges  from   9%   in   the   Central   Department   to   almost   40%   in   South-­‐East,   with   national   penetration   at   about  16-­‐17%  (See  Appendix  for  details).   TABLE  2.  PENETRATION  OF  RENEWABLE  ENERGY  TECHNOLOGIES  IN  RURAL  AND  URBAN  AREAS   Share  of  HH  owning  shs  or   pico Column  Labels Row  Labels ARTIBONITE CENTRE GRAND  ANSE NIPPES NORTH NORTH  EAST NORTH  WEST PORT  AU  PRINCE SOUTH SOUTH  EAST Rural 10% 10% 19% 31% 18% 12% 24% 6% 39% 44% Number  of   HH  with   HH  without   Hoseholds: solar solar           402,126               40,213             361,913 Grand  Total   Urban (blank) unweighted          163,133                15,207          147,926 10% 10%                98,725                25,445                73,280                81,236                28,256                52,980 9% 9%          213,773                33,533          180,240 37% 26%                81,183                12,490                68,693 44% 35%          146,283                36,834          109,449 12% 16%          890,601                88,470          802,131 17% 15%          162,019                55,655          106,364 26% 25%          141,996                53,113                88,883 16% 10%    2,381,075          389,216    1,991,859 thus  weighted  average  Haiti: 27% 34% 26% 37% 100% 16% 84% Source:  Digicel/iiDevelopment  Survey  (2014)   Paradoxically,  the  earthquake  served  as  the  catalyst  for  the  initial  speed  of  diffusion  of  off-­‐ grid   renewables   in   Haiti.   With   much   of   the   electricity   infrastructure   destroyed,   solar   lanterns   have   been   brought   into   the   country   as     part   of   the   post-­‐earthquake   assistance.   These   lanterns,   originally   used   by   displaced   people   in   the   camps,   have   eventually   found   their   way   to   rural   areas   and   triggered   demand   for   similar   products.   The   quality   of   some   products,   however,   is   an   issue.   It   is   estimated   that   there   are   at   least   about   300,000   solar   lanterns/kits   in   use   in   Haiti,20  but   only   about   half   of   them   are   quality-­‐certified   products,   distributed  mostly  by  local  SMEs  and  NGOs.  The  four  leading  lantern  distributors  in  Haiti   have   cumulatively   sold   well   over   150,000   Lighting   Global   quality-­‐certified   lanterns, 21   providing  basic  electricity  services  to  more  than  half  a  million  people.     The   post-­‐earthquake   assistance   has   also   triggered   investments   in   street   lighting.   Originally   started   as   a   reconstruction   effort,   the   program   has   eventually   been   expanded   to   rural   areas,   and   has   actively   been   supported   by   the   Government,   mainly   through   the   “Ban   m   limye,   Ban   m   lavi”   (“Give   me   light,   give   me   life”)   program.   There   are   about   13,500   solar   streetlights  installed  in  140  municipalities  of  Haiti’s  10  Departments.     The   increased   involvement   of   diaspora,   NGOs   and   the   private   sector   has   led   to   the   emergence   of   several   new,   highly   innovative   approaches   to   support   provision   of   20  Digicel/iiDevelopment  phone  survey     21  Sales  reported  by  the  solar  lantern  distributors     17 sustainable   energy   services   in   off-­‐grid   areas.   Annex   IV   provide   examples   of   these   Haiti-­‐ grown   innovative   business   models,   ranging   from   micro-­‐finance   for   solar   lanterns,   to   leveraging   mobile   payments   platforms   for   providing   off-­‐grid   energy   services,   and   to   deployment  of  smart  village  micro-­‐grids.  Many  of  these  initiatives  have  key  attributes  for   replicability  and  scalability  under  SREP.     1.7   GENDER,  ECONOMIC  AND  SOCIAL  DIMENSION  OF  ENERGY  IN  HAITI   Development  and  Energy   The  2015  Haiti  Poverty  Assessment  by  the  World  Bank  states  that,  despite  a  decline  in  both   monetary   and   multidimensional   poverty   rates   since   2000,   poverty   still   remains   high   per   regional  standards.  Access  to  basic  services  is  generally  low  and  is  characterized  by  glaring   inequalities.   The   Poverty   Assessment   highlights   that   special   attention   should   be   given   to   vulnerable  groups  such  as  women  and  children  and  to  rural  areas,  where  extreme  poverty   persists  and  where  income  inequality  is  increasing.   Households  pay  significant  amounts  for  electricity  and  its  substitutes.  Surveys  carried  out   in  preparation  of  the  IP  found  that  more  than  50%  of  households  pay  more  than  $20  per   month.   However,   expenditure   patterns   vary   geographically   (Table   3)   and   between   urban   and   rural   areas.   For   example,   in   Artibonite,   about   80%   of   the   population   spend   less   than   UD$8  per  month  on  electricity  (and  its  substitutes),  while  in  Port-­‐au-­‐Prince,  only  10%  pay   less  than  that.  (Figure  4  shows  these  different  willingness  to  pay  distributions  patterns.)   18 FIGURE  4.  ELECTRICITY  EXPENDITURE  PATTERNS  IN  ARTIBONITE  AND  PORT-­‐AU-­‐PRINCE   Source:  Digicel/iiDevelopment  Survey  2014   TABLE  3.  AVERAGE  ELECTRICITY  EXPENDITURE  BY  DEPARTMENT   Average  current   substitutable  energy   expenses  [$/m] Rural Urban ARTIBONITE $                                13.04 $                                23.65 CENTRE $                                22.84 $                                29.43 GRAND  ANSE $                                20.78 $                                34.86 NIPPES $                                10.66 $                                26.72 NORTH $                                14.68 $                                36.66 NORTH  EAST $                                17.95 $                                24.74 NORTH  WEST $                                22.32 $                                37.14 PORT  AU  PRINCE $                                42.80 $                                44.76 SOUTH $                                11.37 $                                31.17 SOUTH  EAST $                                13.22 $                                23.47 (blank) thus,  aprox.  weighted  national  average unweighted   average $                                16.85 $                                25.06 $                                27.51 $                                14.99 $                                24.16 $                                22.37 $                                29.57 $                                43.67 $                                18.47 $                                16.72 $                                29.55   Source:  Digicel/iiDevelopment  Survey  2014   Recognizing  that  access  to  modern  energy  and  development  are  intrinsically  linked  drives   the  Government’s  efforts  to  increase  access  to  modern  energy  services  for  its  people.  The   Poverty   Assessment   highlights   the   importance   of   electricity   as   one   of   the   key   inputs   to   elevate   productivity   and   create   jobs   for   both   employers   and   the   self-­‐employed   by   undertaking   complementary   investments   in   basic   infrastructure   and   removing   the   constraints   on   access   to   inputs.   This   includes   augmenting   both   credit   and   skills;   with   a   special  attention  to  women,  who  are  particularly  disadvantaged  in  labour  markets.       19 Gender  and  Energy   Regarding   women   and   children,   the   Poverty   Assessment   has   gathered   the   following   findings,  which  can  help  inform  the  design  of  gender-­‐sensitive  SREP  interventions:   Economic  Empowerment.   Women   and   girls   are   particularly   vulnerable   because   they   often   face   obstacles   to   the   accumulation   and   use   of   their   assets,   particularly   their   human   capital.   Despite  sizable  progress  in  education,  adult  women  are  still  less  well  educated  than  adult   men.  Women  in  the  Haitian  labour  market  are  significantly  less  likely  to  be  employed  and   earn  significantly  less  than  men.  Creating  economic  opportunities  for  women  is  one  of  the   important  measures  to  address  the  immediate  and  long-­‐term  needs  of  women  and  girls.   Voice,  Participation  and  Agency.   Low   participation   in   the   public   sphere   are   widespread   in   Haiti.   As   an   example,   in   the   49th   Lesgilature   from   2010   to   2014,   only   4%   of   all   parliamentary   seats   were   occupied   by   women,   placing   Haiti   136th   of   142   countries,   and   well   below   the   regional   average   of   26%.   At   the   national   level,   as   of   April   2014,   8   of   23   ministers   (a   ratio   higher   than   30%),   and   3   of   20   secretaries   of   state   were   women.   At   the   local  level,  women  account  for  only  12%  of  all  mayors.     Gender  related  activities  in  Haiti   The  Government  has  taken  steps  to  expand  women’s  representation.  One  important  step  is   the  creation  of  the  Gender  Equality  Office  in  Parliament  and  amendment  of  the  Constitution   to  stipulate  a  quota  of  at  least  30%  women  in  all  public  offices.  But  there  is  no  enforcement   mechanism  yet,  and  as  such  implementation  remains  low  at  all  levels  of  formal  political  life.     In   order   to   support   the   Government’s   efforts   towards   strengthening   women   in   society,   various   governmental   and   non-­‐governmental   stakeholders   have   launched   gender   initiatives.   In   the   energy   sector,   the   Gender   and   Energy   Interagency   Commission   was   created   in   August   2014.   The   Commission   was   established   by   the   Bureau   of   the   Minister   Delegate   to   the   Prime   Minister   in   charge   of   Energy   Security,   the   Bureau   of   Mines   and   Energy   and   Electricity   of   Haiti   with   support   of   Latin   American   Energy   Organization   (OLADE).   This   commission,   now   operating   under   leadership   of   the   Bureau   of   Mines   and   Energy,   aims   at   promoting   gender   equality   in   the   field   of   energy   for   sustainable   development.   It   intends   to   build   alliances   across   the   country's   institutions   to   coordinate   efforts   and   ensure   the   implementation   of   the   desired   changes   in   the   context   of   gender   equality   in   all   of   them.   It   also   regroups   representatives   of   the   Ministry   of   Economy   and   Finance,   the   Ministry   of   Women's   Affairs   and   Women’s   rights   (MCFDF),   and   the   State   University   of   Haiti.   OLADE   is   currently   supporting   capacity   building   to   provide   the   members   of   the   commission   with   proper   training   and   expertise.   The   Commission   plans   a   Workshop  on  Gender  and  Energy  on  April  21  and  22,  2015,  enabling  Haitian  women  to  gain   a   better   understanding   of   renewable   energy   and   the   importance   of   community   work   in   rural  secluded  areas.   20 On  the  ground  level,  several  initiatives  demonstrate  that  integrating  women  in  the  supply   chain   can   not   only   enhance   women’s   livelihood   but   can   also   improve   the   off-­‐grid   energy   business  and  its  sustainability.  For  example,  MicamaSoley  works  closely  with  Haiti’s  largest   micro-­‐finance   institution   FONKOZE   to   distribute   its   solar   products   through   women   groups   (Box  2).   BOX  2.  HAITI  SAFICO/MICAMASOLEY   SAFICO   is   a   Haitian   manufacturing   and   trading   company   that   has   existed   for   more   than   60   years.   In   2009,   SAFICO   created   a   "social"   division,   MicamaSoley,   offering   products   that   improve  the  lives  of  Haitians  in  rural  Haiti,  such  as  solar-­‐powered  lights,  cell  phone  chargers   and   water   filters.   In   its   approach,   MicamaSoley   leverages   existing   distribution   networks   through   a   Partnership   with   Fonkoze,   Haiti’s   largest   microfinance   institution,   and   the   NGO   CARE.  SAFICO/MicamaSoley  has  sold  successfully  more  than  54,000  solar  lamps  and  systems   mainly  through  women  and  women  groups.   Fonkoze   serves   approximately   60,000   poor   and   ultra-­‐poor   women   in   rural   Haiti,   with   46   branches  located  throughout  the  country.22  These  female  credit  customers  who  are  principally   market  women  are  organized  in  about  2,000  Credit  Centers.  Each  Credit  Center  elects  a  female   Chief  to  act  as  liaison  with  Fonkoze  and  to  oversee  the  customers  who  in  turn  oversee  a  group   of  10ish  women  which  are  all  receiving  micro  loans.  The  hierarchical  structure  helps  to  keep   on   track   with   repayments,   offer   peer   support,   etc.   In   order   to   receive   a   loan,   every   woman   goes   through   an   extensive   training   and   education   program.   MicamaSoley’s   distribution   model   through   Fonkoze   targets   these   Chiefs   who   are   introduced   to   different   products   and   who   receive  one  solar  lamp  to  take  home  and  try  out  with  no  obligation.  Few  weeks  later,  Chiefs   can   either   purchase   the   lamps   or   give   them   back.   Those   who   purchase   can   then   go   on   to   purchase   more   lamps   at   wholesale   to   sell   at   retail   price   to   members   of   their   Credit   Centers   or   to  the  general  public.  MicamaSoley  returns  to  each  of  the  branches  every  5–6  weeks  to  keep   the   women   supplied.   Since   2009   and   through   this   channel,   MicamaSoley   has   recruited   and   trained  over  1,200  Fonkoze  Credit  Center  Chiefs  and  has  sold  over  50,000  solar  lamps.   MicamSoley’s   second   distribution   network   was   developed   with   the   NGO   CARE,   through   a   program,   directed   at   helping   women,   called   the   Village   Savings   and   Loan   Associations   (VSLAs).   VSLAs   are   based   on   traditional   savings   methods   existing   around   the   world   under   various  names;  sol  (in  Haiti),  susu,  tandas,  hui,  etc.  With  support  from  CARE,  VSLAs  (20  to  30   women)   meet   weekly   and   save   small   amounts   of   money   each   week   which   are   then   made   available   to   members   as   loans   on   an   as-­‐needed   basis   plus   interest.   Once   a   year   all   of   the   savings   and   accumulated   interest   are   distributed   amongst   the   members   of   the   VSLA.   When   CARE  identifies  a  natural  leader  in  a  VSLA,  they  offer  training  to  become  a  Village  Agent  (VA)   to   help   form   other   VSLAs.   About   90%   of   the   Vas   are   women.   The   collaboration   with   MicamaSoley  has  helped  the  VAs  to  become  financially  independent  of  CARE  –  by  training  and   supplying   them   to   be   resellers   of   solar   lamps.   The   idea   is   primarily   to   sell   the   lamps   to   the   approximately   500   VSLAs   that   have   been   formed   so   far   but   also   the   general   public   in   order   to   help   them   earn   additional   income   to   continue   in   their   role   as   VA.   In   total,   MicamaSoley   has   trained  over  100  VAs  and  sold  over  4,000  solar  lamps  through  this  channel.   22  Fonkoze  was  founded  in  1994/1995.  Its  name  is  an  acronym  for  the  Haitian  Creole  phrase  “Fondasyon  Kole   Zepòl”  meaning  “Shoulder-­‐to-­‐Shoulder  Foundation.”  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tq8uSiP6_lQ.   21 SREP   will   benefit   from   these   lessons   learned   and   will   work   closely   with   the   Gender   and   Energy  Interagency  Commission  to  mainstream  gender  considerations  in  individual  project   interventions.  The  renewable  energy  capacity  building  platform  developed  under  SREP  can   become   an   important   tool   for   closing   the   opportunity   gap   between   men   and   women   in   Haiti.     1.8   INSTITUTIONAL  FRAMEWORK   The   Ministry   of   Public   Works,   Transport   and   Communications   (MTPTC)   is   the   lead   Government   agency   for   the   energy   sector   in   Haiti.   Official   oversight   of   energy   access   activities  is  being  handled  by  the  offices  of  the  MTPTC  through  the  Energy  Cell,  created  in   late  2012.         The   Bureau   of   Mines   in   Energy,   established   in   1986,   operates   under   the   supervision   of   MTPTC.   Its   mission   is   to   promote   research   and   efficient   exploitation   and   use   of   the   country’s  mineral  and  energy  resources.       Electricity   of   Haiti   (EDH),   the   State   owned   corporation,   is   the   country’s   utility   company   primarily   responsible   for   the   electric   power   generation,   transmission,   and   retail   distribution.     There   is   no   regulatory   agency.   EDH   is   being   overseen   by   MTPTC   and   the   Ministry   of   Economy  and  Finance  (MEF),  which  provides  subsidies  to  cover  EDH  losses.     Other  Government  ministries  and  agencies  involved  in  the  energy  sector  include:   • The   Ministry   of   Environment   (MDE),   mainly   responsible   for   environmental   protection.   As   a   transversal   institution,   it   also   can   play   a   key   role   in   promoting   sustainable   energy   through,   inter   alia,   the   reduction   of   charcoal   consumption,   an   increase   in   household   energy   with   improved   cook   stoves,   the   diversification   of   energy  resources  towards  renewable  energy  and  an  increase  in  rural  energy  access.     • The  Ministry  of  Commerce  and  Industry  (MCI),    responsible  for  developing  businesses   within   the   country   in   order   to   improve   job   opportunities.   This   ministry   is   also   aware  of  energy  needs  and  has  been  involved  in  creation  of  energy-­‐related  laws,  as   for  example  the  LPG  law  that  will  help  improve  household  energy  for  cooking.  This   ministry  is  also  involved  in  the  franchising  zone,  in  which  electricity  is  required  for   most  of  those  industries.   • The   Ministry   of   Economy   and   Finance   (MEF),   responsible   for   budget   support.   This   Ministry   oversees   budgets   of   the   other   government   ministries,   agencies   and   EDH   and   has   the   responsibility   to   supervise   the   other   ministries   on   the   agreements   signed  between  Haiti  and  the  development  partners.     22 • Interministerial  Committee  for  Regional  Development  (CIAT),  which  is  the  committee   for   territorial   development   and   is   chaired   by   the   Prime   Minister.   The   committee’s   mission   is   to   define   government   policy   on   land   use,   protection   and   watershed   management,  water  management,  sanitation,  planning  and  equipment.     • Center  for  Facilitation  of  Investments  (Centre  de  Facilitation  d’Investissement,  CFI)   created   in   2007   in   order   to   streamline   the   investment   process   by   simplifying   bureaucratic   procedures   and   providing   a   range   of   economic   and   commercial   information  to  potential  investors,     Government   is   currently   devising   a   plan   for   a   new   institutional   structure   for   the   electricity   sector,  in  line  with  a  broader  reform  agenda  described  in  Section  1.5.     1.9   ROLE  OF  THE  PRIVATE  SECTOR   The   private   sector   has   become   a   key   contributor   to   economic   growth   in   numerous   sectors.   Haiti’s  private  sector  consists  mainly  of  small  and  medium  enterprises.  There  are  around   900,000   micro,   small   and   medium-­‐sized   enterprises,   60,000   of   which   are   SMEs—small   firms   (with   between   10   and   49   employees),   and   mid-­‐size   companies   (with   50-­‐250   staff).   The   private   sector   is   dominated   by   the   manufacturing   sector   (particularly   the   textile   and   garment  industries)  and  the  agricultural  sector.     The   energy   sector   has   traditionally   been   demonitated   by   the   state-­‐owned   EDH.   As   of   recently,   however,   there   has   been   an   increasing   activity   of   the   private   sector   –   both   as   operators  and  financiers.  As  part  of  SREP  preparation,  IDB  is  currently  carrying  out  an  in-­‐ depth  supply  chain  assessment,  which  has  identified  about  30  local  firms  active  in  the  solar   supply  chain,  and  about  10  genset  suppliers.     1.9.1   INDEPENDENT  POWER  PRODUCERS   Although   EDH   has   its   own   generation   park   and   technically   holds   a   monopoly   over   the   country’s   electricity   system,   most   power   is   currently   produced   by   independent   power   producers   (IPPs),   including   Sogener,   E-­‐Power,   and   HaytracIn   total,   IPP   provide   130   MW   operating   capacity   of   which   about   100MW   for   the   metropolitan   area.   All   IPPs   produce   power   from   thermal   sources   (diesel   and   heavy   fuel),   with   a   Power   Purchase   Agreement   (PPA)   with   EDH.   The   private   sector   has   also   been   exploring   opportunities   for   grid-­‐ connected  renewable  energy  (mostly  solar  and  wind),  with  several  developers  discussing   potential  projects  with  the  Government,  but  so  far  no  PPA  for  renewable  energy  has  been   signed  as  potential  RE  IPPs  are  constrained  by  the  PPA  payment  capacity  of  EDH  (and  the   Government   in   case   of   an   attached   sovereign   guarantee),   which   is   a   result   of   EDH’s   high   technical  and  commercial  losses  and  low  payment-­‐collection  efficiency  (See  Section  2.2  on   the  key  barriers).     23 1.9.2   RE   DISTRIBUTED   GENERATION,   INCLUDING   PRIVATE   SECTOR,   COOPERATIVES   AND   NON-­‐ GOVERNMENTAL  ORGANIZATIONS  (NGOS)   Considering  the  current  limitations  of  the  grid-­‐connected  renewable  energy  opportunities,   most   of   the   renewable   energy   activities   have   concentrated   on   off-­‐grid   market.   In   principle,   off-­‐grid  market  consists  of  two  types  of  customers:  (i)  business  and  industrial  customers  –   particularly   in   urban   areas   –   that   intentionally   decided   to   isolate   themselves   from   the   EDH   grid   (due   to   reliability   issues)   and   self-­‐generate;   and   (ii)   households,   businesses   and   institutions  in  unelectrified  areas  –  mostly  in  rural  towns  and  villages.   Consequently,   an   industry   has   developed   for   both   streams:   There   are   several   companies   that   offer   solar   PV   alternatives   to   businesses   to   displace   or   complement   their   diesel   generation,   but   the   installed   PV   rooftop   capacity   is   still   very   small   (estimated   below   4Wp).   In   addition,   a   number   of   private   companies,   NGOs   and   the   first   rural   energy   cooperative   (established   by   NRECA   in   2014)   provide   off-­‐grid   electricity   services   in   rural   areas   –   through  village  grids  or  individual  systems.  See  Annex  4  for  the  description  of  innovative   Haiti-­‐grown   business   models   to   serve   the   base   of   the   pyramid   consumers.   Furthermore,   Several  local  companies  also  specialize  on  supplying  and  in  one  case  manufacturing  street   lights.   In   total,   27   companies   involved   in   Haiti   solar   business   approaches,   and   10   companies   active  ingenset  supply  have  been  identified  and  analyzed  as  part  of  a  supply  chain  analysis.   Several  private  sector  players  have  recently  initiated  the  creation  of  Haiti’s  first  Renewable   Energy  Association,  which  would  allow  the  private  renewable  energy  sector  to  speak  with   one  voice.  Private  sector  interests  and  current  initiatives  in  renewable  energy  sector  will  be   reinforced  with  the  support  of  SREP  and  will  be  fundamental  in  meeting  SREP  results.   1.9.3   FINANCIERS     Haiti’s financial system includes a banking sector with eight commercial banks,23 more than 220 credit cooperatives, and 21 Microfinance Institutions (MFIs). Branches from the commercial banks are highly concentrated in the greater Port-au-Prince region; more than two thirds of all commercial bank branches are located in Port-au-Prince metropolitan area and, of the eight commercial banks, only five have operations outside the city. Rural areas are mostly served by credit cooperatives. About 90% of  the  existing  credit  cooperatives  operate  in  rural  areas.   Microfinance   fills   the   gap   left   by   credit   cooperatives   and   commercial   banks.   However,   as   of   March   2008,   there   were   approximately   150,000   borrowers   from   MFIs,   three   times   the   number   of   borrowers   in   the   commercial   banking   sector.   The   average   loan   size   outstanding   23  Banque  Nationale  de  Crédit,  Banque  Populaire  Haitienne,  Banque  de  l’Union  Haitienne  S.A.,  Capital  Bank   S.A.,  Citibank  N.A.  Haiti,  The  Bank  of  Nove  Scotia,  Société  Générale  Haitienne  de  Banque  S.A.  and  Unibank  S.A.   24 for   the   entire   micro-­‐finance   sector   was   US$540   and   less   (source:   case   study   on   Haitian   Microfinance  Industry,  2008).   Commercial   funding   for   renewable   energy   is   still   rare   in   Haiti.   A   Clean   Technology   Fund   (CTF)  funded  project  is  currently  under  preparation  for  Haiti,  which  intends  to  establish  a   ‘Renewable  Energy  Financing  Facility’  to  be  managed  by  a  competitively  selected  financial   intermediary  (FI).  The  CTF  project  design  envisages  a  credit  line  to  private  sector  providers   of   renewable   energy   services   and   products   (including   NGOs,   cooperatives,   rural   retailers   and   MFIs)   for   the   investment   in   off-­‐grid   renewable   energy   projects.   The   CTF   project   is   expected   to   build   a   robust   energy   project   pipeline   and   further   increase   interest   and   capacity  of  Haitian’s  financing  institutions  (see  Annex  5  for  further  CTF  project  details).   25 2     RENEWABLE  ENERGY  SECTOR  CONTEXT   2.1   RENEWABLES  IN  HAITI’S  ENERGY  SECTOR   Haiti   will   need   about   TBD   MW   of   new   generation   capacity   by   the   year   2020.   This   means   expanding   their   existing   available   capacity   five-­‐fold.   A   recent   World   Bank   report24  shows   that   in   order   to   expand   electricity   supply,   Haiti   needs   to   diversify   its   power   sources,   and   moving  away  from  the  expensive  use  of  diesel  and  fuel  oil.  EDH  is  currently  developing  a   new   Electricity   Master   Plan,   and   it   is   expected   that   renewable   energy   will   feature   prominently   in   the   least-­‐cost   expansion   path.   Needless   to   say,   greater   use   of   renewable   energy  would  also  help  Haiti  to  set  energy  sector  on  a  lower-­‐carbon  path.     Haiti   has   excellent   renewable   energy   potential,   including   hydro,   wind,   solar   and   biomass,   which   is   largely   untapped,   as   confirmed   by   a   variety   of   recent   and   ongoing   studies.   The   following  sections  summarize  this  situation  for  each  of  the  main  RE  resources.     FIGURE  5.  A  BIRDS-­‐EYE  VIEW  OF  HAITI’S  RE  POTENTIAL   Source:  SREP  Task  Force       Despite   the   ubundance   of   reneable   energy   resources,   the   progress   on   harnessing   them   has   been  slow.  Large  hydropower  (if  considered  RE)  makes  up  the  greatest  share  of  RE  power   production   currently   in   Haiti,   whereas   micro-­‐   and   mini-­‐hydropower   remains   largely   unexplored.   Some   biomass-­‐powered   projects   are   being   developed   but   are   not   yet   completed.    Wind  energy  has  not  been  exploited  yet  (except  a  1978  pilot  project  in  Port-­‐de-­‐ Paix,  which  is,  however,  no  longer  operational  –  Project  Brief  2),  and  solar  energy  has  been   exploited   only   on   small   scale,   by   way   of   solar   lanterns   and   as   a   self-­‐supply   option   for   businesses  to  displace  diesel  and  for  rural  off-­‐grid  electrification.     24  EDH,  1976  and  Soleo,  2012   26 2.1.1   HYDROPOWER   The  overall  hydropower  potential  for  Haiti  is  estimated  at  over  200MW  (across  all  hydro   segments)  The  currently  installed  hydropower  capacity  is  slightly  over  60  MW.  There  are   seven   operational   hydropower   sites;   the   largest   hydropower   site   is   Péligre   with   an   installed   capacity   of   54   MW   (currently   undergoing   rehabilitation).   In   addition,   EDH   currently   owns   six   mini   &   small   hydro   plants   (under   2.5MW   each),   amounting   to   a   total   capacity  of  7.5  MW,  but  only  five  of  them  are  operational  and  with  constrained  ouput  due   to  a  need  for  urgent  repairs  and  rehabilitation.  Figure  6  shows  Haiti’s  hydroelectric  power   production   by   year   from   1980   to   2006;   Figure   7   (next   page)   illustrates   the   strong   seasonal   variability.   FIGURE  6.  HAITI  HYDROELECTRIC  POWER  PRODUCTION  BY  YEAR     Source:  http://www.eia.gov  via   http://www.indexmundi.com/energy.aspx?country=ht&product=hydro&graph=production   It   is   estimated   that   the   potential   for   medium-­‐sized   hydropower   is   about   130   MW   (three   sites).  This  includes  a  32  MW  Hydro  Electric  Dam  upstream  of  the  existing  Péligre  dam  in   the   Artibonite   Department,   which   is   under   discussion   for   development   with   Sinohydro   (China)  per  signed  agreement  of  February  2015.     Furthermore,  the  potential  for  small-­‐hydro,  which  remains  largely  untapped,  is  estimated   at   more   than   100   MW.25  This   estimate   is   in   line   with   Worldwatch   Institute’s   2014   analysis,   shown  in  Table  4.  In  parallel,  EDH  has  compiled  a  list  of  potential  mini  hydro  sites  of  sizes   25  EDH,  1976  and  Soleo,  2012   27 from  0.1  to  2.6  MW,  with  falls  going  from  50  to  400  meters,  amounting  to  a  total  capacity  of   23  MW.     TABLE  4.  ESTIMATES  FOR  REMAINING  “ADDITIONAL”  PICO-­‐TO-­‐SMALL  HYDRO  POWER  POTENTIAL  IN  HAITI  BY   REGION     Source:  Worldwatch  (2014)  based  on  Soleo  (2011/2012)     FIGURE  7.  SEASONAL  VARIABILITY  OF  HYDRO  POWER   Source:  Worldwatch  (2014)       28 2.1.2   BIOMASS   Charcoal   and   firewood   are   the   main   source   of   thermal   energy   in   the   country   and   constitutes  more  than  70%  of  the  total  energy  supply  in  Haiti;  however  not  all  of  this  can  be   considered  renewable  as  it  contributes  to  ongoing  deforestation.    Biomass,  if  used  direct  for   electricity  production  could  generate  up  to  300  MW  of  power.  This  assumes  that  100%  of   the  currently  available  feedstock  is  converted  to  power.  The  majority  of  this  power  (81%)   is  from  wood  products,  while  the  remainder  is  from  sugarcane  (13%)  (Figure  8),  rice  (4%),   and  coconut  and  coffee  (less  than  1%  each).26   FIGURE  8.  HAITI  SUGARCASE  BIOMASS  POTENTIAL   Biomass   projects   in   Haiti  have  been  looking   into   using   feedstock   like   jatropha,   sugar   cane,  eucalyptus  and  oil   palm,   for   conversion   to   biofuels.   Based   on   the   current   level   of   production   for   the   biofuel  crops,  Haiti  may   be   able   to   generate   up   to   154   million   liters   of   ethanol.   This   assumes   that   100%   of   the   currently   available   feedstock   is   converted   to  ethanol.  The  majority   of  this  ethanol  is  from  sugar  (56%)  and  corn  (44%),  while  a  small  amount  (less  than  1%)   comes  from  sorghum.26  In  addition  to  ethanol,  Haiti  may  also  be  able  to  generate  up  to  30   million   liters   of   bio-­‐   diesel.   This   estimate   assumes   that   100%   of   the   currently   available   feedstock   is   converted   to   bio-­‐diesel.   Almost   all   of   this   bio-­‐diesel   is   from   coconut   (70%),   with  the  remainder  from  sesame  (27%)  and  cottonseed  (3%).26  Jatropha  is  also  receiving   much  attention  in  terms  of  a  potential  biofuel  for  Haiti;  however,  more  studies  are  needed   to  validate  the  potential  investment  returns.27     26  UNEP,  2006.  Report:  Background  Data  Collection  on  Bio-­‐energy  in  the  Caribbean  and  Central  America   27  Winrock  International,  2008.  Presentation:  Diversifying  the  Energy  Matrix:  The  Role  &  Opportunities  for   Biofuels   29 2.1.3   WIND     Currently,  there  is  no  grid-­‐connected  wind  generator  operational  in  Haiti;  however,  wind  is   considered  among  the  country’s  promising  renewable  resources,  with  a  potential  estimated   capacity   of   at   least   70-­‐80   MW.28  Apart   from   publicly   available   wind   potential   maps   (e.g.   IRENA   –   Figure   below),   site   specific   speed   measurements   and   feasibility   studies   for   projects   of   significant   sizes   (10   MW   and   above)   are   under   way   by   individual   project   promoters  and  investors.  The  final  results  of  these  studies  will  be  known  towards  the  end   of   2015.   The   involvement   of   multiple   local   and   international   investors   in   specific   wind   projects   as   such   gives   an   indication   of   the   market   readiness   on   supply   side.   The   Government,  with  support  of  the  EU,  has  also  conducted  a  study  at  three  sites;  the  results   are  publicly  available  at  BME  and  MTPTC  websites.  29     FIGURE  9.  MAP  OF  WIND  POTENTIAL  IN  HAITI     Source:  IRENA  Global  Atlas.  3Tier  wind  layer.  Public  at  http://irena.masdar.ac.ae/     As  illustrated  by  the  publicly  available  wind  speed  map  above,  particularly  promising  areas   for  wind  sites  in  Haiti  include,  amongst  others  (see  Worldwatch  2014  for  other  potentially   interesting  sites):     • The  central  wind  corridor  crossing  the  Lac  Azueï  in  the  Western  Department  north-­‐ east   of   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince   –   in   Plaine   du   Cul   de   Sac   between   two   big   mountain   chains   28  This  is  the  installed  potential  according  to  the  study  developed  by  the  Belgium  Company  3E  in  2010.   Potential  were  estimated  for  three  sites  of  Haiti:  Cap  Haïtien,  Jacmel  and  Lac  Azuei.     29  www.bme.gouv.ht     30 named   La   Selle   and   Chaine   des   Matheux   (wind   speed   estimates   vary   considerably   for  this  area,  so  actual  measurements  at  appropriate  heights  are  needed).     • The   northern   wind   corridor   in   the   North-­‐West   Department,   near   the   island   of   La   Tortue,   which   is   part   of   the   larger   “canal   du   vent”   between   Haiti   and   Cuba   (estimated  at  6-­‐9  m/s).30     As  wind  energy  is  highly  volatile,  detailed  measurement  at  appropriate  heights  (ideally  80-­‐ 100m)  is  needed  not  only  for  actual  project  siting  and  design  –  but  also  to  gauge  the  diurnal   patterns  (available  estimates  vary)  as  this  will  have  a  direct  impact  on  the  actual  benefits   (in  terms  of  fuel  savings)  and  dispatchability  of  the  injected  wind  power.   FIGURE  10.  ILLUSTRATION  OF  TYPICAL  DIURNAL  WIND  ENERGY  PROFILE  WITH  X=HOUR  OF  DAY  AND  Y=  AVERAGE   WIND  ENERGY  (MORE  PRONOUNCED  THAN  WIND  SPEED  VARIABILITY,  DUE  TO  CUBIC  RELATION     Source:  Meteonorm/iiDevelopment  (2015)   30  In  1978,  a  wind  farm  of  150  kW  was  installed  by  EDH  in  Port-­‐de-­‐Paix,  with  support  of  the  German   development  cooperation.  The  plant  is  no  longer  in  operation  since  1991  due  to  a  lack  of  technological  skill   and  capacity  for  maintenance.   31 2.1.4   SOLAR   Haiti  has  an  excellent  solar  energy  resource  (Figure  11),  with  high-­‐level  irradiation  across   all  Departments  and  months  of  the  year.  This  potential  as  of  yet  remains  largely  untapped,   regarding   both   solar   PV   (for   electricity)   and   solar   thermal   uses   (for   water   heating   and   small   productive   applications).   Currently,   there   is   no   relevant   grid-­‐connected   solar   PV   generation  in  Haiti.  However,  the  country  has  gained  significant  experience  recently  related   to  the  deployment  of  off-­‐grid  solar  PV  in  two  distinct,  nascent  market  segments:   (i)   PV   companies   start   serving   the   urban   business   market   (that   is,   commercial   and   industrial   users   who   are   currently   (partially   or   fully)   self-­‐supplying   in   light   of   the   grid   unreliability,   and   now   wish   to   complement   current   expensive   diesel   generation   with   PV   as   a  co-­‐generation  “fuel  saver”)  via  an  emerging  leasing  model  (PV  companies  providing  long-­‐ term  lease  of  the  PV  equipment,  for  which  users  pay  a  fee),  with  typical  PV  capacity  per  site   ranging  from  tens  of  kWp  up  to  MWp  scale  (e.g.  1  MWp  of  solar  power  for  Mariott);  and   (ii)  PV  companies  serving  off-­‐grid  markets  (see  Chapter  1.6  Rural  Electrification  Challenge)   via  PicoPV  systems,  solar  PV  for  schools,  and  solar  streetlights  (combined  installed  capacity   of   about   0.7   MW,   albeit   of   mixed   quality).   There   are   also   PV   systems   for   schools   and   clinics   –  the  largest  is  Mirebalais  Hospital,  which  operates  a  400  kW  system.  Many  of  these  off-­‐grid   solar   PV   companies   have   stated   an   interest   in   the   on-­‐grid   PV   market   if   enabling   conditions   are  generated,  especially  for  the  distributed  SME-­‐level  “fuel  saver”  market  segment  above.   One  of  the  local  companies  is  designing  and  manufacturing  its  own  solar  PV  systems.   Due   to   the   spatial   stability   of   PV   irradiation,   the   relative   abundance   of   possible   PV   installation  sites  compared  to  total  national  demand,  and  the  scalability  from  Wp  to  MWp,   the  technical  PV  potential  is  virtually  unlimited.  The  economically  viable  PV  potential  keeps   increasing   due   to   rapidly   falling   Capex   (see   chapters   on   economic   analysis),   so   that   the   benefits  of  deferting  investment  need  to  be  weighed  against  forgone  savings.  However,  PV   is  already  least  cost  in  2015  for  most  offgrid  users  on  econmic  terms  (but  not  necessarily   on   financial   terms,   as   high   risk   premiums   result   in   extreme   discount   rates),   and   below   Port-­‐au-­‐Prience   benchmark   thermal   LCOE   (again,   only   on   economic   terms).   The   practical   PV   potential   has   been   previously   estimated   at   around   200   MWp   in   urban   areas   and   over   1,600  MWp  throughout  the  country.31     31http://www.caricom.org/jsp/community_organs/energy_programme/electricity_gifs_strategy_final_report _summary.pdf   32 FIGURE  11.  SOLAR  ENERGY  RESOURCE  MAP  OF  HAITI   Source:  GOH/3Tier     2.2   BARRIERS  TO  RENEWABLE  ENERGY  DEVELOPMENT  AND  MITIGATION  MEASURES   Transforming   Haiti’s   energy   sector   through   the   large-­‐scale   deployment   of   renewable   energy   faces   numerous   institutional,   regulatory,   and   legal   challenges,   as   well   as   information,  knowledge  and  capacity  constraints  and  economic  and  financial  uncertainties.   The   key   barriers   and   mitigation   measures   cited   below   were   identified   through   consultations   with   relevant   stakeholders   (see   Annex   3).   SREP   will   help   unlock   individual   barriers  through  “learning  by  doing”  and  related  demonstration  effects.  Instead  of  putting   all  resources  into  one  large  project,  SREP  will  finance  several  smaller  projects  that  will  help   test  possible  regulatory  and  risk  mitigation  approaches  and  build  confidence  and  capacities   of   both   private   sector   and   government   for   a   scale   up   in   the   future.   We   consider   this   the   optimal  approach  (in  terms  of  total  SREP  effect)  in  a  country  where  many  potentially  viable   RE  market  segments  are  at  a  very  early  stage  due  to  market  inefficiencies.   33 TABLE  5.  MAIN  BARRIERS  AND  CONSTRAINTS  TO  RENEWABLE  ENERGY  DEVELOPMENT   Main  barrier  and  Constraint   Weak   financial   situation   of   EDH.   EDH   currently   recovers   only   about   22%   of   the   value   of   power   it   supplies   due   to   high   technical   and   commercial   losses.   The   current   EDH   financial   situation  poses  significant  risks  for  private  investors,  even  if  the   PPAs  can  be  backed  by  Government  guarantees.     Mitigation  Measure   To  improve  the  financial  situation  of  EDH,  the  Government  will   focus   on   reducing   EDH   losses   and   reduce   costs   of   power   supply.     The   reduction   of   EDH   losses   will   be   achieved   by   targeting   investments   in   rehabilitation   of   existing   transmission   and   distribution   lines   under   the   supervision   of   the   World   Bank,   and   a   set   of   measures   to   improve   commercial   performance,   starting   with   an   improved   collection   system   and   improved   metering.   Section  1.6  describes  in  more  detail  the  Government   loss  reduction  plan  (back  by  IMF).     The  diversification  of  EDH  power  supply  options  will  lower  its   dependency   on   expensive   fossil-­‐fuel   generation   provided   by   IPPs.   Diversification   options   include   the   installation   of   additional   power   generation   capacity   based   on   renewable   energy   sources,   rehabilitation   of   existing   hydro   plants   (e.g.,   Péligre   already   in   process,   additional   plants   included   in   the   present   IP),   and   possibly   power   generation   from   imported   LNG.     In  addition,  the  SREP  project  will  develop  approaches  suitable   for   this   EDH   transitional   period.     Grid   connected   renewables   will   be   developed   as   public-­‐private   partnerships,   with   SREP   mitigating   the   risk   of   the   private   sector   –   both   through   direct   investments   and/or   as   guarantees/risk   mitigation   instruments.   The   resulting   renewable   energy   generation   will   be  provided  at  much  lower  costs  than  the  current  costs  of  EDH   generation   (including   IPPs),   and   will   therefore   be   a   part   of   a   loss  reduction  strategy.      However,  demonstrated  progress  on   addressing   the   EDH   financial   situation   will   be   one   of   the   requirements  for  the  PPP  investments  to  proceed.         34 Concerns  about  integration  of  intermittent  generation  capacity.   There   are   concerns   from   the   Government/EDH   on   the   integration  of  large  intermittent  generation  into  an  already  very   unreliable  grid  without  causing  additional  reliability  and  quality   issues.   Transmission   line   capacities   are   constrained   and   it   is   unclear   yet   what   spare   capacity   will   be   available   once   the   full   Péligre  capacity  will  be  on  line.  Dispatch  is  far  from  optimal  in   light  of  the  severe  generation  shortage.   A  study  is  currently  ongoing  to  evaluate  the  capacity  of  EDH’s   grid  and  dispatch  strategies  for  the  integration  of  intermittent   renewable   energy.   The   study   will   provide   information   on   the   maximum   capacity   of   wind   and   solar   PV   that   the   grid   can   safely   absorb,   on   site   restrictions   and   on   additional   network   upgrades   that   may   be   needed.   To   mitigate   this   risk,   all   SREP   investments  in  grid-­‐connected  renewables  will  remain  well  on   the   “safe”,   conservative   side,   starting   with   smaller   investments   in   wind,   biomass   and/or   solar   power,   while   exploring   the   impacts   on   the   grid   and   adjusting   approaches/identifying   complementary   investments   to   prepare   a   larger   injection   of   renewable   energy   to   the   grid   in   the   future.   This   will   not   only   address  the  perceived  risk,  but  in  addition  allows  to  maximize   total  net  benefits  from  RE  growth.   Lack   of   clarity   on   legal   and   regulatory   framework.   There   is   no   legal/regulatory   framework   for   grid-­‐connected   renewables,   such  as  feed-­‐in  tariffs  (and  rights)  or  similar  certainty  on  tariff   level;   no   standard   PPA;   no   regulatory   agency   to   provide   regulatory  protection  to  investors  etc.     SREP   will   help   Government   develop   appropriate   regulatory   instruments   to   support   both   grid-­‐connected   and   off-­‐grid   renewables.   This   will   be   done   through   the   “Building   enabling   framework,   capacity   and   skills   for   RE   scale-­‐up   project”   (Project  Brief  5),  as  well  as  through  the  application,  testing  and   fine-­‐tuning   the   regulatory   instruments   in   individual   SREP-­‐ supported  investment  projects  (Project  Brief  1-­‐4).   For   off-­‐grid   renewables,   the   legal   and   regulatory   framework   is   not   transparent   either,   which   discourages   private   investments.   The  relationships  and  hierarchy  among  different  legislations  is   unclear   and   affects   in   particular   potential   mini-­‐grid   investors   who  are  reluctant  to  invest  in  stranded  RE  assets  that  could  be   expropriated   or   lose   value.   There   is   no   clarity   on   whether   mini-­‐ grid   operators   are   free   to   set   tariffs   or   whether   they   will   be   subject  to  any  Government  tariff  or  quality  of  service  regulation.   Finally,   there   are   no   provisions   of   what   would   happen   with   assets  in  case  EDH  grid  arrives  to  the  village.   The   banking   community   also   highlighted   the   inability   to   take   roof   top   solar   PV   as   a   collateral   as   it   is   considered   as   a   fixing   and  becomes  part  of  the  building  and  collateral  of  the  building   financier   automatically   under   the   current   legislation.   This   35 makes  debt  financing  of  solar  PV  extremely  difficult   Lack   of   access   to   capital.   Access   to   capital   for   renewable   projects   remains   an   issue,   particularly   for   smaller   companies   engaging  in  off-­‐grid  electrification.  Consequently,  projects  have   been   relying   mainly   on   donor   and   NGO   grants,   which   are   not   sufficient   for   scaling   up.   The   private   sector   requested   the   Government   and   the   donor   community   to   (1)   facilitate   soft   loans   for   developing   flagship   projects   on   rural   energy   in   Haiti,   (2)   provide   improved   access   to   commercial   loans,   and   (3)   encourage   less   risk-­‐averse   capital   to   invest   in   rural   energy   projects.   SREP,   together   with   a   parallel   project   co-­‐financed   by   the   Clean   Technology   Fund   (CTF),   will   address   the   financing   issues   by   mobilizing   a   mix   of   commercial   financing   and   subsidies,   progressively   targeting   involvement   of   local   financial   institutions  in  renewable  energy  lending.   Inadequate   fiscal   policy   for   renewables.   The   current   fiscal   policy  disadvantages  both  grid  and  off-­‐grid  renewables  against   their   fossil   fuel   alternatives.   Renewable   energy   equipment   is   subject  to  both  import  duties  and  VAT  tax,  which  can  amount  to   over   30%   of   the   product   value.   The   negative   impact   on   the   relative   competitiveness   of   renewables   vis-­‐à-­‐vis   fossil   fuels   presents  an  additional  burden  on  the  poor.     SREP,  through  its  “Building  enabling  framework,  capacity  and   skills  for  RE  scale-­‐up  project”  (Project  Brief  5)  will  work  with   the   Government   on   options   for   leveling   the   playing   field   between  renewables  and  fossil  fuels.     Information   and   capacity   constraints.   A   lack   of   in-­‐depth   information   on   the   detailed   performance,   risk   determinants,   and   good   practice   of   technical   and   financial   engineering   is   one   of   the   main   drivers   for   the   extremely   high-­‐risk   premiums   typical   for   nascent   RE   markets   (GIZ   2014b).   Participants   in   all   Haiti  SREP  consultations  agreed  that  information  gaps  exist  on   ongoing  projects,  markets,  resources,  administrative  processes,   potential  partners  and  financiers,  and  should  be  made  publicly   available.   As   for   the   capacity,   enhancing   renewable   energy   curricula  and  improving  hands-­‐on  experience  in  the  field  of  RE   of   university   graduates,   as   well   as   the   creation   of   a   pool   of   skilled   technicians   would   be   an   important   step   strengthening   the   sustainability   of   rural   energy   projects,   and   to   allow   faster   scale-­‐up  in  the  future  (the  limited  number  and  growth   of  skilled   Given  the  prominence  of  information  and  capacity  constraints   and   asymmetries   cutting   across   all   renewable   energy   segments,   SREP   will   include   a   specific   project   to   address   key   cross-­‐cutting   capacities   and   skills,   as   well   as   enabling   environment   for   scaling-­‐up   renewable   energy   in   Haiti.   See   Project  Brief  5.     For   off-­‐grid   electrification,   targeted,   market-­‐friendly,   results-­‐ based  subsidies  will  be  considered  to  increase  affordability  of   the  off-­‐grid  services  for  the  poor.     36 electricians   has   been   identified   as   a   major   bottleneck   to   the   market   growth   of   distributed   RE   generation   in   several   countries).   The   National   Electrification   Strategy,   which   also   ranked  high  in  consultations,  would  form  a  bridge  between  the   “information   gap   reduction   aspect”   of   this   section,   and   the   policy  /  enabling  framework  bullet  listed  above.   37 3   RENEWABLE  ENERGY  NATIONAL  PLANNING  AND  ECONOMIC  VIABILITY   As   discussed   in   section   1.5,   Haiti’s   main   planning   tool   is   the   National   Energy   Sector   Development  Plan  (PNDSE)  for  the  period  2007-­‐2017.  However,  the  PNDSE  is  outdated  and   EDH  is  currently  developing  a  new  Electricity  Master  Plan,  which  should  be  available  by  late   2015.  The  PNDSE  recommends  an  additional  capacity  of  about  400MW,  including  10%  of   renewable  energy  capacity.  This  low  proportion  of  renewable  energy  integration  is  in  part   due  to  the  unavailability  of  appropriate  data  on  RE  at  that  time.  The  new  Electricity  Master   Plan,   informed   by   the   ongoing   study   on   integrating   intermittent   renewables   to   the   EDH   grid,  will  provide  new  recommendations  for  an  optimal  mix  of  renewable  energy  over  time,   which  is  expected  to  target  a  higher  share  of  RE.     At  a  higher  level,  Haiti’s  power  sector  planning  is  driven  by  the  general  development  needs   and  objectives  set  in  the  Strategic   Plan   for   the   Development   of   Haiti   (SPDH),  which  sets  the   path  for  Haiti  to  become  an  emerging  economy  by  2030,  and  will  be  a  key  reference  for  the   Electricity   Master   Plan.   Reaching   the   SPDH   goal   of   becoming   emerging   country   by   2030   will  require  dual  efforts:     (i) improving   EDH   performance   and   supporting   on-­‐grid   generation   capacity   to   enable  EDH  to  provide  reliable  and  affordable  electricity  services  in  urban  areas   and  surroundings;  and     (ii) supporting   off-­‐grid   electrification   efforts   for   households,   businesses   and   institutions  that  are  not  served  by  EDH.   The   Government   considers   SREP   an   important   strategic   tool   to   help   it   achieve   these   objectives.     Grid   connected   renewables   provide   an   important   alternative   to   Haiti’s   expensive   and   volatile   oil-­‐based   generation.   They   provide   an   opportunity   to   address   EDH’s   financial   situation  both  directly  and  indirectly.  Directly,  because  on-­‐grid  renewables  are  a  lower  cost   generation   option,   allowing   gradual   displacement   of   the   more   expensive   fossil   fuel   generation   (Haiti’s   thermal   generation   costs   are   very   high   by   international   standards,   as   Haiti’s   RE   Supply   Curve   in   the   next   section   illustrates).   Indirectly,   because   the   overall   increase  in  generation  capacity  by  way  of  added  renewables  (if  planned  and  implemented   correctly)   will   help   improve   service   quality   for   the   existing   customers   -­‐   and   potentially   allow   the   connection   of   new   customers.   This   is   an   important   complement   to   the   reforms   being   carried   out   on   the   EDH   commercial   side   (aimed   at   increased   collections   and   reduced   theft),   which   will   be   easier   to   implement   if   customers   perceive   parallel   improvements   in   service   availability,   reliability   and   quality.   SREP—through   a   combination   of   targeted   investments   and   advisory   activities—can   help   Haiti   build   RE   experience,   adjust   and   introduce  regulatory  and  planning  instruments,  and  build  the  necessary  skills  needed  on  all   levels  (from  technicians  to  dispatch)  for  the  necessary  renewable  energy  scale  up.   38 The   Government   is   aware   that   even   if   power   sector   reform   and   EDH   loss   reduction   programs  are  successfully  implemented,  EDH  will  need  to  focus  first  on  improving  supply   in   urban   areas   and   (legally)   connect   those   households   which   are   in   the   vicinity   of   the   existing   grids.   Therefore,   it   will   take   years   before   EDH   will   be   able   to   start   expanding   deeper   into   rural   areas.   In   order   to   achieve   the   2030   universal   access   target,   it   is   thus   necessary   to   invest   in   parallel   off-­‐grid   electrification   options.   Such   investments   are   also   strongly   encouraged   from   an   equity   perspective:   While   nationwide,   Haiti   made   progress   in   reducing   poverty   and   extreme   poverty,   progress   in   rural   areas   has   been   stagnant.   The   continued   influx   of   people   to   the   metropolitan   areas   is   not   sustainable.   Therefore,   Government   policies   continue   targeting   investments   and   job   creation   in   secondary   cities   and   tertiary   cities,   as   well   as   in   rural   areas,   underpinning   the   ongoing   decentralization   process.  Government  strongly  believes  that  SREP  can  play  a  supportive  role  in  increasing   access  to  decentralized  sources  of  renewable  energy,  particularly  in  isolated  rural  areas.   For  the  above  reasons,  the  Government  is  requesting  SREP  funds  for  a  balanced  program   that   will   help   it   reconcile   the   need   to   simultaneously   focus   on   (i)   strengthening   power   sector  capacity  to  support  economic  growth  and  (ii)  expanding  access  to  provide  economic   opportunities  and  improved  living  conditions  in  secondary/tertiary  towns  and  rural  areas.     3.1 GRID-­‐CONNECTED  RENEWABLES   The   RE   Supply   curve   for   Haiti   is   shown   in   Figures   12   and   13   on   the   next   page.   It   should   be   noted  that  (i)  LCOE  are  for  the  low-­‐case  WACC  typically  applied  for  SREP  IPs  (as  opposed   to   the   (much   higher)   actual   risk-­‐adjusted   returns   early   stage   equity   and   debt   providers   would  require  when  investing  in  Haiti  RE  today  in  absence  of  the  SREP  IP  measures),  and   (ii)   the   capacity   credits   don’t   fully   reflect   all   of   the   specific   dispatch   challenges   EDH   will   face  when  integrating  wind  and/or  solar  >10  MWp  on  the  short  term.   Planning   the   scale-­‐up   of   private   sector-­‐led   on-­‐grid   renewables   in   any   given   country   is   a   challenge,   because   appropriate   methods   and   instruments   have   started   to   emerge   only   recently.32  As   a   result,   renewables   are   sometimes   regionally   clustered   in   network   “hot   spots”   (where   they   are   needed   less   than   in   other   nodes   of   the   national   grid),   or   unfavourable  PPAs  lead  to  inefficiencies.     In   addition,   existing   tools   and   approaches   cannot   be   simply   transferred   from   pioneer   markets   (such   as   the   EC   or   US)   to   sunbelt   countries,   because   of   several   fundamental   differences   in   power   sector   boundary   conditions,33  most   of   which   apply   to   the   case   of   Haiti   and  matter  for  SREP  planning.  They  include  (i)  challenges  (such  as  weaker  grids  and  less   actual  spinning  reserve),  as  well  as  (ii)  advantages  (better  RE  resources  and  the  availability   of   hydro   storage   to   significantly   increase   the   direct   benefits   derived   from   thermal   fuel   32  GIZ  2013  &  2014a,  IEA  2014,  RMI  2014   33  WEC  2014   39 saved  by  wind/solar  injection).  Some  of  the  differences  (iii)  can  go  both  ways  -­‐  for  instance,   fragile  grids  can  actually  be  stabilized  by  distributed  RE  injection  (if  it  is  planned  well);  and   power  sector  growth  not  only  poses  challenges  for  RE  dispatch,  but  at  the  same  time,  this   growth   can   reduce   the   opposition   by   incumbent   IPPs   and   utilities   to   RE   (once   they   understand  the  potential  of  RE  to  increase  their  revenues).  34   F   IGURE  12.  EDH  RE  SUPPLY  CURVE     Source:  iiDevelopment  (2015)     34  Due  to  the  typical  lead  time  it  takes  till  quantitative  RE  optimization  software  services  have  been  procured   and  implemented  with  solid  data  on  network  and  generation,  it  is  usually  best  to  start  with  a  pragmatic  mix  of   methods  and  planning  tools  (such  as  the  RE  Supply  Curve  and  score  cards  used  by  SREP),  and  add  more   advanced  planning  tools  on  the  way,  in  a  sequential  approach  (GIZ/ESMAP  2014).     40 FIGURE  13.  RE  GENERATION  COST  VS.  THERMAL  EDH  AND  COGEN Source:  iiDevelopment  (2015)   SREP  will  support  the  Government’s  and  key  sector  players’  path  along  the  learning  curve   of  RE  planning  and  dispatch  by  applying  lessons  from  other  countries  as  they  emerge  and   optimizing   the   volume   of   on-­‐grid   RE   interventions   over   time   and   space.   A   main   effect   of   SREP  on  the  local  RE  market  segments  will  be  to  improve  the  post-­‐SREP  financial  costs  of   RE,  by  way  of  reducing  the  risk-­‐reflecting  weighted  average  capital  costs  of  equity  and  debt   providers,  as  illustrated  in  GIZ  2014b  for  the  case  of  PV  in  Germany,  Brasil  and  Italy.   Annex   IV   provides   more   details   on   (i)   the   specific   Ongrid   RE   Cases   that   have   been   selected   for  Haiti  SREP  (SREP  Cases  #9-­‐12  in  Chapter  4)  and  (ii)  the  issues  and  methods  that  have   been  considered  in  the  comparison  of  the  costs  and  benefits  of  RE  capacity  additions  over   time.     3.2  OFF-­‐GRID  RENEWABLES   For   SREP   offgrid   RE   planning,   current   energy   supply   and   demand   in   areas   far   from   the   existing   main   grid   have   been   analyzed,35  and   possible   alternatives   for   different   offgrid   market   segments   have   been   defined.   Then,   the   most   promising   business   models   of   each   segment   have   been   analyzed   regarding   their   scalability   and   transformational   potential,   based   on   all   relevant   existing   offgrid   business   activities   in   Haiti   (including   NGOs   and   Coops),  comparing  them  to  international  success  stories  and  failures,  and  selecting  a  short   35  The  results  of  this  study  are  available  in  a  separate  background  document  on  Digicel/iiDevelopment  2014   energy  survey  analysis  with  1400  respondents)  and  in  an  additional  background  documents  on  the  detailed   analysis  of  the  costs  (by  way  of  cash-­‐flow  analysis)  and  benefits  (by  way  of  consumer  surplus).     41 list  of  the  best  suited  “SREP  Cases”  for  in-­‐depth  financial  and  economic  analysis  (a  short  list   of  eight  market  segments,  including  both  hybrid  village  grid  cases  and  stand-­‐alone  users).     To   do   so,   the   economic   and   financial   analysis   looked   at   end   user   prices   at   which   existing   energy   demand   would   match   different   RE   offgrid   supply   options,   based   on   WTP   and   welfare   gains.   This   is   illustrated   in   the   map   and   graphs   below,   and   details   are   given   in   Appendix  1.   Figure   14   (below)   shows   the   results   of   the   SREP   WTP   surveys,   by   mapping   (i)   current   household   access   (to   grid   power   and   offgrid   solar)   to   (ii)   these   households’   present   monthly  expenditures  for  lighting,  phone  charging  etc.     FIGURE  14.  THE  SPATIAL  DISTRIBUTION  OF  SURVEY  RESPONDENTS  (DIGICEL  2014)36     Source:  digicel  &  iiDevelopment  2015   Figure   15   (next   page)   identifies   population   clusters   that   currently   are   more   than   2   km   away  from  the  grid,  and  could  represent  a  potential  for  village-­‐based  supply  options,  such   as  mini-­‐  and  micro-­‐grids.     The  colored  ranges  (red  to  yellow  according  to  population  sizes)  in  this  SREP  preparation   map  by  (Navigant  et  al  2015)  correspond  to  the  number  of  “urban”  or  “village”  households   36  The  map  shows  survey  results  of  the  Dicicel/iiDevelopment  market  survey  for  (i)  grid  access  (heat  map:   red  =  grid  access);  (ii)  off-­‐grid  solar  kits  or  lanterns  (yellow  spikes)  and  (iii)  their  current  substitutable   expenditures  (on  light,  phone  charging,  radio  dry  cells,  TV,  etc.  –  blue  spikes,  with  height  of  spike  =  monthly   expenditures).   42 in  urban  sections37  that  are  not  within  2  km  of  an  existing  electrical  asset  (generators,  LV   transmission,   substations).   38  The   goal   of   this   exercise   and   map   development   was   to   estimate  the  potential  of  greenfield  village  grid  systems  (as  opposed  to  village  grid  retrofits   and  stand-­‐alone  systems)  that  would  make  sense  for  SREP  under  different  scenarios.   FIGURE  15.  SREP  ASSESSMENT  OF  THE  OFFGRID  VILLAGE  GRID  POTENTIAL  IN  HAITI     Source:  SREP  Task  Team  –  Navigant/IDB  (2015)   Taking   the   integral   of   the   unserved   urban   households   from   the   map   above   leads   to   an   estimate  of  about  65,000  “urban  village”  households  that  are  distant  from  known  electric   infrastructure.   Some   of   these   will   be   preferentially   served   by   stand-­‐alone   systems   (SHS,   kits,  lanterns)  because  they  aren't  in  an  area  of  sufficient  density,  and/or  they  would  only   37  A  section  is  “urban”  if  it  has  any  urban  population  according  to  the  Haiti  Statistics  Bureau,  IHSI   38 38 This  is  only  a  rough  cut  due  to  the  early  planning  stage:    the  results  are  far  from  definitive  at  this  stage   and   will   be   refined   during   further   SREP   preparation.   In   addition,   private   sector   firms   will   eventually   be   enabled  to  build  their  own  estimates  for  market  potential  by  technology  and  area,  thanks  to  the  “Living  GIS”   and  webpage  the  SREP  IP  shall  provide  from  the  outset.   43 be   willing   to   pay   for   very   basic   electricity   services   for   which   such   stand-­‐alone   systems   would  be  the  most  economic  solution  (possibly  combined  with  a  larger  solar-­‐diesel  hybrid,   but  no  LV  grid,  for  any  anchor  client  in  the  same  small  village  who  need  AC  power  and/or   larger  peak  capacity).39     In  a  next  step,    the  effect  of  SREP  support  on  lifting  some  or  (i)  all  of  the  different  village   grid   market   segments   (SREP   cases   #   6-­‐8)   and   stand-­‐alone   segments   (SREP   cases   #   1-­‐5)   up   to   a   higher   level   of   quality,   sales   and   sustainability   by   way   of   suitable   public   private   support   instruments;   and     of   (ii)   the   users   to   different   Tier   levels   was   assessed   as   per   Global  Tracking  Framework  2015.     Typical  cash-­‐flows  and  pricing  strategies  of  different  Haiti  RE  off-­‐grid  provider  models  for   the   relevant   segments   and   technologies   (pico   PV   and   small   solar   stand-­‐alone   to   village   power  and  large  social  and  productive  users)  have  been  prepared  and  analyzed  regarding   their   potential   for   (i)   effect   and   subsidy   needs   till   2020,   and   (ii)   probable   market   development   post   2020   (after   SREP   exit)   to   gauge   the   transformative   effect   of   possible   SREP  interventions.     The  resulting  SREP  Offgrid  Cases  1-­‐8  are  described  in  the  Annex.     39  As  an  example  for  using  this  map,  if  one  assume  that,  say,  10%  of  them  are  in  an  area  with  sufficient  density   to  be  served  by  a  small  MG,  that's  30,000  people  (6500  households)  served  by  MGs,  which  could  be  served  by   65  small  MGs,  assuming  100  connections  per  Case  6:  Small  MG.  It  should  be  noted  that  the  potential  for  larger   minigrids  (cases  7-­‐8),  which  are  more  probable  cases  for  SREP,  was  easier  to  establish  as  information  on   clients,  existing  infrastructure,  etc.  was  easier  to  derive  (for  each  site)  from  EDH  data  and  other  sources.   44 4     PRIORITIZATION  OF  STRATEGIC  INVESTMENT  AREAS   4.1   PRIORITIZATION  OF  POTENTIAL  INVESTMENTS     Considering   the   very   diverse   technologies   and   business   models   that   could   be   used   to   achieve   the   two   Government   SREP   goals   identified   in   the   previous   chapters,   a   comprehensive  sector-­‐wide  analysis  of  all  possible  renewable  energy  investments  has  been   carried  out  to  define  the  SREP  Investment  Plan  for  Haiti.  This  comprehensive  approach  was   used  in  order  to  avoid  crowding  out  of  emerging  success  cases  by  way  of  supporting  others.     The  prioritization  process  was  carried  out  under  the  leadership  of  the  Government  through   the  SREP  Task  Force  led  by  the  Energy  Cell  of  the  Ministry  of  Public  Works,  Transports  and   Communications,  with  strong  support  of  the  MDBs.  The  process  consisted  of  the  following   steps:     Step   1:  The  SREP  Team  (MDBs  and  Task  Force)  used  the  Comprehensive  Framework  for   National  RE  Program  Planning40for  a  systematic  overview  of  (i)  local  examples  for  private   sector   business   models   and   (ii)   international   examples   for   public   interventions   which   might   be   relevant   for   SREP-­‐   Haiti   (“RE   Intervention   Universe”).   In   consultation   with   key   stakeholders,  this  framework  was  adapted  to  local  conditions,  and  a  large  number  of  locally   existing   firms,   business   cases,   public   and   NGO   projects   and   investments   in   the   pipeline   have   been   assembled   and   analyzed   (“Long   List”)   –   See   Appendix   1   for   the   Long   List   of   Business  Cases.    Step  2:  This  Long  List  of  business  cases  has  then  been  analyzed  in  order  to  determine  their   suitability   for   Haitian   conditions,   fit   with   Government   priorities,   readiness   for   implementation   and   scale-­‐up   potential.   This   screening   resulted   in   the   identification   of   specific   potential   Haiti   business   models   (and   generalized   business   cases   based   on   these)   for  all  RE  market  segments  that  were  identified  as  promising  for  SREP  Haiti.  As  a  result,  a   menu   (or   “Short   List”)   of   the   most   promising   renewable   energy   investments   by   market   segment  (the  “12  SREP  business  cases”)  has  been  compiled  (see  Appendix  1  and  Table  7  for   a  list  of  these  12  segments/cases).     Step   3:   Each   business   model   was   then   analyzed   regarding   Economic   and   Financial   feasibility   and   relative   cost-­‐effectiveness   (for   varying   market   share   targets)   to   inform   decision-­‐making   (see   the   previous   chapter   and   Appendix   1).   On   this   bases,   potential   business  models  were  then  ranked  in  several  ways,  with  a  variety  of  score  card  tools  that   allowed   transparent   discussions   of   trade-­‐offs,   risks   and   SREP   potential.   Table   6   and   7   below  show  some  of  the  main  results  of  this  ranking  process.     40  based  on  Reiche,  Rysankova,  Fraatz  2014   45 Table  6  is  a  simple  way  to  illustrate  some  of  the  key  issues  and  trade-­‐offs  that  have  been   considered   in   the   analysis   of   possible   market   segment   volumes,   costs   and   benefits   of   the   SREP   Ongrid   cases   (9-­‐12).   The   details   on   these   trade-­‐offs   and   additional   parameters   that   have   been   analyzed   are   explained   in   more   detail   in   Appendix   1.     For   each   SREP   Ongrid   Case,   Table   6   contrasts   typical   values   for:   (i)   unleveraged   project   internal   rates   of   return   (for   example,   preliminary   wind   speed   estimates   that   a   10   MWp   wind   generator   at   Lac   Azuei   or   a   biomass   cogeneration   IPP   in   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince   would   have   lower   higher   returns   than   a   10   MWp   PV   plant);   (ii)   typical   minimum   returns   a   private   investor   would   require   in   light   of   the   current   sub-­‐sector   context   (for   example,   an   investor   of   a   solar   fuel-­‐saver   scheme  would  price  in  less  offtaker  risk  than  a  solar  IPP);  (iii)  the  saldo  of  these  two  (as  a   quick   practitioner   indicator   of   cases   which   might   require   de-­‐risking   for   private   sector   to   move   in);   (iv)   the   way   CAPEX   (capital   expenditures,   with   output   held   constant,   for   comparability)   change   typically   with   growing   cumulative   share   of   each   market   segment   (for   instance,   once   the   best   wind   or   hydro   sites   have   been   comissioned,   costs   per   MWh   for   additional   capacity   will   rise   –   while   Capex   per   MWh   stay   stable   for   PV   for   a   practically   unlimited   cumulative   capacity);   (v)   the   way   BENEFITS   change   with   increased   cumulative   capacity  in  Haiti  (for  example,  average  fuel  savings  per  MWh  injected  variable  renewables   from  wind  and  PV  usually  increase  from  0%  Capacity  Share  to  a  certain  plateau  (GIZ2013  &   2014)   and   then   start   falling   beyond   a   country-­‐specific   tipping   point);   and   (vi)   the   way   CAPEX  change  over  time  (all  else  held  constant;  for  example,  wind  capex  remained  largely   stable  over  the  last  years,  while  solar  Capex  keep  falling  fast).   Table  7  summarizes  another  set  of  illustrative  scores  that  have  been  developed  by  one  of   the   independent   consultant   teams   working   on   preparation   (Navigant   et   al   2015)   for   an   interium   version   of   the   srep   "short   list",   based   on   (i)   their   discussions   with   key   stakeholders   and   (ii)   their   analysis   of   the   typical   costs,   firm-­‐level   rates   of   return   and   maximum  volume  for  the  12  segments  (see  Appendix  for  details).  For  example,  under  this   partial   ranking   by   this   particular   expert   group   that   have   been   asked   to   prepare   independent  scores,  which  were  then  all  considered  in  the  subsequent  steps  described  on   the   folloing   pages   (because   score   cards   necessarily   have   a   subjective   element   due   to   the   (implicit  or  explicit)  need  to  weight  each  subsidy  performance  indicator  for  a  total  score  –   as  demonstrated  in  Teplitz  et  al.  (2009)  for  different  cases  and  priorities  of  energy  access   ODA),   the   cases   “small   public   remote   grid”   and   “large   government-­‐owned   hydro”   ranked   lowest  of  the  options  scored  in  this  specific  case  and  point  in  time.       46 TABLE  6.  SNAPSHOT  OF  ONGRID  RE  BUSINESS  MODELS  COMPARATIVE  ANALYSIS   Summary of Ongrid RE Comparative Analysis with Tool C ONGRID BIZ MODELS 15% hydro 14% 10% 16% # # # Public Sector has no offtaker risk. Private IPP would need derisking # # # Public Sector has no offtaker risk. Private IPP would need derisking Lower # offtaker risk, because part # of generation is used for # self supply 5% 11% 23% 15% biomass standalone/grid mix kW equipment Customer or Lease/PPA business/NGO solar 4% Self supply PV without feed-in Behind-meter: biomass fuel saver + feed-in Self supply biomass without feed-in 12b standalone/grid mix MW equipment Customer or Lease/PPA business/NGO 12a standalone/grid mix MW equipment Customer or Lease/PPA business/NGO 11b 0% wind Utility hydro <10MW wind IPP or utility 15% 15% Behind-Meter: PV fuel saver + feed-in 11a main grid MW electricity Seller business/NGO 10 standalone/grid mix kW equipment Customer or Lease/PPA business/NGO 9 main grid MW electricity Government govt -6% 8% 23% 12% 11% comments on risk hurdle rate if PRIVATE OWNER IRR minus hurdle rate 9% Owner Risk if Private (except case 9 = only public) IRR (%) RE Resource Label SREP CASE # Customer segment Scale Product Owner RE Seller (SPV Owner) I. Financial Feasibility: IRR Vs wacc # # # Zero offtaker risk, because RE capacity capped at solar noon demand in this biz case (simple no battery case) # # # Has both (i) biomass supply risk (strong if local unrest) and (ii) offtaker/ regulatory risk II. Scale: Optimizing RE Net Benefits over Time 1. CAPEX 2. BENEFIT 3. CAPEX change over TIME (share held change with change with increasing significantly constant, but plant ENERGY increasing comissioned later, at t1 SHARE @ ENERGY instead of t0) same vintage SHARE @ (t held same vintage constant) (t held constant) 10.0 % 10.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 5.0 % 0.0% # 10.0 % slight Capex reduction: (i) wind capex fall less than solar, (ii) BOS (t) and transaction costs (t) less of an issue for IPP than for behindmeter cases # 2.0% fast Capex Reduction: international CIF and BOS fall fast, only local transaction costs depend more on share (market stage) than time # 0.0% fast Capex Reduction: international CIF and BOS fall fast, local transaction costs depend more on share (market stage) than time, post 2020 battery becomes attractive # 5.0% can go both ways: capex may fall slightly for specialized hardware/suppliers, OpEx may increase or fall (BM supply) # 5.0% can go both ways: capex may fall slightly for specialized hardware/suppliers, OpEx may increase or fall (BM supply) Has (i) biomass # supply risk, but (ii) zero # offtaker risk, because BM for # usedself100% supply 5.0 % no singificant Capex drop if built at t1 > t0. However: (i) the more hydro in system, the more wind&pv becomes viable; (ii) Investor loses savings between t0 and t1. #   47 TOTAL SCORE (higher=better) Transformative Scalability Example Cases Energy Access Environmental Benefit Seller (SPV Business Owner) business/NGO business/NGO business/NGO Household or Owner RE Lease/PPA Enterprise or Lease/PPA Cooperative Enersa solar solar 2 TOTAL Micama Drip Irrigation (LAC) 3 Rural Stores Refrigeration (in LAC) muni/coop business/NGO Rural Community Tourism Enterprises business/NGO Government SUPPLY PRODUCTIVE PV (PPV) SYSTEMS Seller Scale W kW kW kW kW stand alone stand alone GENERIC RE BUSINESS Resou MODEL rce Drip Irrigation Agriculture Coops (Rotary International/Haiti) SUPPLY COOPERATIVE PRODUCTIVE PV SYSTEMS solar SUPPLY COMMUNITY SOCIAL PV SYSTEMS solar SMALL SCALE PUBLIC REMOTE GRID SMALL SCALE ANCHOR TENANT GRID Zanmi Agrikol Lashto Fish Farm (Croixdes-Bouquets) 3 Micro-Enterprise Center (MEC no microgrid) SELF other countries L'Hôpital de Port-à-Piment School in Port-a-Piment (Electronic Learning Board) solar Companies starting in Africa: PowerHive, TTA, etc.. solar Earthspark Int'l Les Anglais (DIGICEL TOWER) solar SELF Feyo Bien (With MEC) 2 1 3 muni/coop business/NGO business/NGO business/NGO business/NGO Seller Government Seller Customer or Lease/PPA Customer or Lease/PPA TBD MW MW MW # MW # kW # MW MEDIUM SCALE COOPERATIVE REMOTE GRID LARGE SCALE [PRIVATE/PRIVA TIZE/EdH] REGIONALGRID hydro Nepal community-run grid wind solar Alaska wind--diesel grids NRECA Port-à-Piment, Côteaux, Roche-à-Bateau hydro Pichon/Belle Anse? wind Port de Paix? solar Proposed Caracol. Other countiries (Australia?). 2 2 Saut Mathurine (rehab) govt 8 remote grid 7 remote grid biomass Limye Pa w Camp-Perrin (Anchor?) 9 ONGRID RE Filtering Discussion Tool B SUPPLY RESIDENTIAL SOLAR PRODUCTS Seller 6 kW 5 main grid OFFGRID village minigrd 4 stand alone 3 remote grid stand alone 2 remote grid 1 stand alone/main grid stand alone/main main grid hybrid grid hybrid OFFGRID single user SREP CASE #: market segment TABLE  7.  SNAPSHOT  OF  POTENTIAL  ONGRID  &  OFFGRD  RE  BUSINESS  MODELS   LARGE SCALE GOV'T DG LARGE SCALE PRIVATE IPP BEHIND-THEMETER SOLAR: fuel saver or mix with feed-in hydro 1 Guayamouc (new) wind Lac Azuei/Étang Sautmâtre solar may be part of virtual utility pv + wind 2 Hôpital Universitaire de Mirebalais solar L'Hôpital Bernard Mevs (Port au Prince) 2 Darbonne Sugar Mill (Léogâne) BEHIND-THEMETER BIOMASS: biomass Unikode Distllery a. fuel saver or b. Barbancourt Distillery (La Plaine du mix with feed-in Cul-de-Sac) 2 COLOR  CODE. High Medium Low   48 Resulting  recommendations  for  grid  connected  renewables:     Based  on  a  comparative  assessments  of  economic  and  financial  viability,    associated  risks   and  transformative  potential,  the  SREP  IP  recommends  the  following  plan  of  action  for  on-­‐ grid  renewables:     At  this  early  stage  of  on-­‐grid  RE  development,  all  analyzed  SREP  on-­‐grid  key  Cases(Cases  9-­‐ 12)  have  significant  potential  for  scale-­‐up  in  Haiti  conditions,  once  the  necessary  enabling   conditions,  including  regulatory  framework,  adequate  feed-­‐in  tariff  etc.  will  have  been  put   in  place.  The  effort  it  takes  to  reach  that  stage  depends  on  the  market  segment.    Both   the   economics   and   the   desired   “transformative”   effect   of   each   RE  Case   depend   on   the   targeted  market  share,  so  that  an  optimal  SREP  target  volume  must  be  estimated  for  each   case,  and  also  for  the  total  sum  of  implemented  cases  (for  instance,  the  total  of  ongrid  RE   volume,   in   parallel   to   the   optimal   range   for   each   individual   ongrid   RE   segment;   See   Appendix  1  for  detailed  approach  and  analysis).41     Based   on   the   initial   analysis   of   intermittent   on-­‐grid   renewables   for   the   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince   metropolitan  grid,  it  appears  that  an  SREP  investment  in  about  10-­‐20  MWp  capacity  before   2020   would   allow   an   optimal   combination   of   (a)   net   benefits   from   capacity   added   with   SREP   funding   and   (b)   net   benefits   from   post-­‐SREP   long-­‐term   scale-­‐up   (“transformational   effect”).   This  is  due  to  multiple  trade-­‐offs,  including  (i)  the  current  stage  of  the  underdeveloped  grid   and  dispatch  capability;  (ii)  the  interdependencies  of  wind  and  PV  with  seasonal  hydro  and   demand,   and   their   effect   on   fuel   savings   and   line   losses;   (iii)   the   differences   in   the   speed   of   capex  reduction  between  wind  and  PV  (Table  6  above  and  the  Appendix);  (iv)  the  current   lack   of   information   on   the   exact   net   benefits   of   the   best   wind   site   close   by   (which   might   result  in  unnecessary  wellfare  losses  in  case  of  premature  peak  capacity  commissioning);   as   well   as   (v)   the   hefty   risk   premium   private   sector   players   would   currently   add   in   light   of   the  (pre  SREP)  sector  boundary  conditions  (which  will  have  been  improved  at  SREP  exit).     41  Economic  and  Financial  Analysis  indicate  maximum  (on-­‐grid  and  off-­‐grid)  SREP  funding  volume  ranges  for   each  RE  market  segment  beyond  which  (i)  the  EIRR  falls  below  hurdle  rates  (that  is,  (a)  the  country  hurdle   rate  (then  that  project  segment  becomes  economically  unviable  beyond  the  maximum  volume)  and/or  (b)  the   EIRR  of  other  project  alternatives  (then  they  would  be  ranked  higher  for  SREP  selection))  and/or  (ii)  the   financial  closure  is  not  likely  to  be  reached  within  acceptable  and  efficient  subsidy  limits  (say,  because  user   segments  would  be  targeted  who’s  budget  doesn’t  allow  a  very  high  service  level).  Typical  examples  for  such   falling  EIRRs  are  the  grid  connected  renewable  cases  discussed  here,  as  costs  (Capex,  LCOE  and  net   integration  costs)  and  benefits  (fuel  saved  and  line  savings  or  losses)  depend  strongly  on  market  share   (funding  volumes).  Therefore,  SREP  selection  scores  refer  not  only  to  a  RE  market  segment  as  such,  but   implicitly  also  to  a  corresponding  range  of  SREP  funding  (and  related  output  indicators)  targeted  ton  that   market  segment  which  we  consider  (i)  “optimal”  and  (ii)  “safe”  volumes  in  a  broad,  non-­‐mathematical  sense.     .     49 FIGURE  16.  INITIAL  SIMULATIONS  OF  THE  AVERAGE  ANNUAL  FUEL  SAVINGS  (Y  AXIS,  IN  US$  M)  OF  INJECTING   GROWING  AMOUNTS  OF  VARIABLE  RE  (X  AXIS,  2%  ENERGY  SHARE  =  5-­‐10  MWP  (DEPENDING  ON  WIND  SHARE   AND  CAPACITY  FACTOR)  INTO  EDH’S  MAIN  GRID.     Source:  iiDevelopment  (2015)   Given   that   the   country   still   needs   to   develop   the   regulatory   and   “market   enabler”   instruments   for   an   efficient   RE   scale   up,   the   recommendation   is   to   start   with   moderate   additions  of  up  to  20  MWp  of  combined  variable  renewable  energy  capacity  under  SREP,  to   jump-­‐start   the   development   of   Haiti’s   experience   with   diverse   grid-­‐connected   REs.   All   analyzed   resource   options   are   feasible   in   principle   for   the   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince   metropolitan   area,   with   wind   and   solar   PV   being   primary   candidates   due   to   the   wind’s   good   LCOE   expected   for   Lac   Azuei   on   the   one   hand,   and   solar   PV’s   modular   character   and   site   flexibility   on   the   other   hand   (which   allows   to   develop   smaller   “line   loss   reduction”   distributed  projects  right  at  those  parts  of  EDH’s  grid  that  can  best  accommodate  it).     It  is  recommended  that  the  actual  business  model(s)  (that  is,  IPP,  PPP,  utility-­‐owned  with   or  without  an  O&M  contract)  is  considered  based  on  the  feasiblity  at  the  time  of  the  actual   project   development,   namely   the   degree   of   Government   and   EDH   success   in   improving   EDH  financial  viability  to  the  level  of  making  private  sector  investments  possible.  However,   as  of  today,  a  PPP  option  appears  to  be  most  attractive  at  least  for  the  first  10  MWp  or  so,  as   it   (i)   augments   the   impact   of   limited   financial   resources   by   leveraging   public   funding   (resulting  in  a  larger  generation  capacity  installed  than  a  pure  public  sector  option);  while   (ii)   reducing   the   risks   for   private   sector   (reduced   exposure   and   risk   mitigating   instruments)   and   for   the   government   (lower   tariff   payment   obligations)   than   in   a   purely   private-­‐sector  IPP  approach.   Due   to   EDH’s   lack   of   financial   sustainability,   net   metering   for   distributed   generation   is   currently   not   considered   an   option.   In   the   medium   term,   however,   it   is   recommended   to   continue   building   on   the   existing   growing   self-­‐supply   market,   in   particularly   the   promising   leasing   model,   in   which   RE   companies   lease   PV   equipment   to   urban   business   and   residential   customers   to   displace   their   current   diesel   generation.   Development   of   this   50 market  will  create  a  more  thriving  solar  PV  industry,  which  can  benefit  both  the  scale-­‐up  of   grid-­‐connected   and   off-­‐grid   renewables.   Once   conditions   are   in   place,   net   metering   arrangements   could   be   put   in   place   to   maximize   benefits   of   this   installed   infrastructure   for   both  the  businesses  and  EDH.     Resulting  recommendations  for  off-­‐grid  renewables:     The   initial   geo-­‐spatial   and   load   analysis   of   the   unelectrified   households   suggests   that   there   is    scope  for  several  off-­‐grid  technologies  and  business  models  to  co-­‐exist.  In  addition,  there   is  a  similar  argument  as  for  on-­‐grid  regarding  the  case  for  minimum  and  maximum  ranges   of   optimal   SREP   support   per   market   segment   (Annex   1   and   background   document   to   it).   Therefore,   the   fastest   scale-­‐up   (both   through   SREP   and   post   SREP   exit)   is   likely   to   be   achieved   by   creating   a   largely   “technology   neutral   and   business   case   neutral”   enabling   framework  for  offgrid  RE  (including  access  to  finance/equity  facility  and/or  results-­‐based   financing)   with   the   objective   to   benefit   (“boost”)   a   full   range   of   different   RE   supply   options   –   from   individual   systems   to   village   grids   of   various   sizes.   Initial   market   assessment   has   identified   the   following   potential   (preliminary   data,   more   detailed   analysis   required   as   a   part  of  the  actual  project  preparation):     TABLE  8.  OFF-­‐GRID  ELECTRIFICATION  POTENTIAL   Off-­‐grid  RE  type   Theoretical   Max   Recommended   SREP   Potential   of   Segment   Target  (population)   (population)   RE   retrofitting,   upgrading   and   expansion   of   the   larger   rural   remote   grids   (mostly   EDH   remote   grids,   such   as  Port-­‐de-­‐Paix):     Small   and   medium-­‐sized   village   grids   (retrofit  +  greenfield):   Individual   system   clients   (HH,   Social   Users  and  SME):     1,500,000   45-­‐150K  (3-­‐10%)   300,000   30k  (10%)   >5,000,000     500k-­‐1M  (10-­‐20%)   Source:  Navigant  and  iiDevelopment  for  SREP  IP     For   the   village   grid   segment   (cases   6-­‐8),   the   most   cost-­‐effective   intervention   and   the   largest   market   potential   in   terms   of   clients   reached   is   for   RE   retrofitting   of   the   larger   remote   grids   (case   7+8).   However,   given   that   EDH   operates   the   majority   of   these,   the   feasibility   of   the   approach   is   constrained   by   EDH’s   financial   situation.   Therefore,   the   recommendation  is  to  pilot  one  or  two  such  interventions  in  one  or  two  of  the  EDH  grids,   and   develop   parallel   interventions   to   scale   up   village   grids   for   smaller   rural   towns   (retrofitting   of   existing   municipal   grids,   plus   possibly   green-­‐field)   in   parrellel   to   acceleration  of  market  development  for  individual  systems  (cases  1-­‐5).  Private  operators  of   case  6-­‐8  may  well  also  become  active  in  market  segments  1-­‐5.   51 Step   4:   The   top   scored   SREP   Cases   have   then   been   compiled   into   a   range   of   possible   “public-­‐private”   SREP   Projects   (or   SREP   interventions   supporting   the   scale-­‐up   of   these   business  cases  /  the  development  of  these  market  segments)  in  order  to  assess  (and  rank)   in  detail:  (i)  feasibility  at  project  level  (implementable  at  high  probability  and  manageable   transaction   costs);   (ii)   synergies   and   economies   of   scale   (e.g.   various   potential   off-­‐grid   electrification  business  models  would  be  included  in  one  “umbrella”  off-­‐grid  electrification   project);   (iii)   overall   effect   of   different   “bundles”   of   market   segment   interventions   on   the   overall   energy   market   in   Haiti   (with   the   goal   to   optimize   the   total   effect,   efficiency,   SREP   scale-­‐up   potential   and   transformational   impact   (expected   development   of   RE   market   segments   and   overall   market   post   SREP   exit)   –   for   instance   of   all   ongrid   target   market   shares   in   their   cumulative   effect,   during   and   post   SREP   as   described   in   Teplitz   et   al.   (2009));   as   well   as,   (iv)   the   specific   process   rules,   safeguards   and   priorities   of   SREP,   Government   and   MDBs.   The   resulting   projects   /   SREP   components   were   again   jointly   ranked  to  establish  a  final  order  of  priority.  Table  9  shows  the  results  of  this  prioritization   by   the   SREP   Task   Force,   taking   into   account   the   feedback   received   from   stakeholders   (scored  from  0  to  4,  4  being  the  best  score):   Development     impact     Economic  &     Financial  Viability   Implementation   capacity  (GoH)   Viability  for  MDB   Financing   1.  Integrating  RE  in  the  main  grid   4   4   3   2   3   3   2   21   2.  RE-­‐based  expansion  of  Port  de   Paix  remote  grid   2   3   2   2   3   3   2   17   3.  Off-­‐grid  electricity  services  for   productive,  social  and  household   uses   4.  Rehabilitation  of  small  hydro   plants   4   4   3   4   3   4   3   25   2   3   2   2   1   3   2   15   Sum   Transformative     impact   Final  Selection     of  SREP  Projects   Leveraging   additional   resources   Leveraging  private   sector  resources   TABLE  9.  RANK  FOR  FINAL  SELECTION  OF  SREP-­‐HAITI  PROJECTS   Step   5:  The  public-­‐private  projects  were  consulted  and  prioritized  with  key  stakeholders,   who   requested   the   addition   of   a   cross-­‐cutting   component   for   building   capacity   and   improving   the   enabling   environment   for   scaling-­‐up   renewable   energy   in   Haiti.   Thus,   the   final    proposed  SREP  investment  program  consists  of  five  “SREP  Projects”  (Table  10):         52 TABLE  10.  FIVE  PROPOSED  SREP-­‐HAITI  INVESTMENT  PROGRAM  PROJECTS   SREP  Project     Priority  level     1.  Integrating  RE  in  the   main  grid   High  priority  –  important  transformational  potential  in  terms  of   experience  and  capacities  for  integrating  renewables  in  EDH  grid,   which  will  inject  much  needed  RE  generation  capacity  to  the  EDH  grid   and  help  unlock  future  investments  in  RE.  Need  to  ensure  adequate   maintenance  if  owned  by  EDH.   2.  RE-­‐based  expansion   of  Port-­‐de-­‐Paix  grid   Medium/high  priority  –  less  replication  potential  due  to  limited  size   of  isolated  grids,  but  can  be  replicated  in  other  five  isolated  grids;   provides  a  good  learning  potential  (cooperation  with  academia  etc.)   and  has  a  strong  justification  from  a  development  impact  perspective   (implemented  in  the  poorest  and  most  isolated  department,  which,   however,  has  significant  development  potential  for  which  lack  of   electricity  is  a  constraining  factor).   3.  Off-­‐grid  electricity   services  for  productive,   social  and  household   uses   High  priority  –  transformation  of  rural  areas  where  electrification   rates  have  been  stagnant  in  the  past  30  years;  potential  to  support   agriculture  productivity  improvements  and  other  productive  uses;   complements  a  parallel  engagement  under  IDA  and  CTF   4.  Rehabilitation  of   small  hydro  plants   Medium/high    priority  –cost-­‐effective  intervention  but  limited   replication/scale  up  impact.  Need  to  ensure  adequate  maintenance  if   owned  by  EDH   5.  Enabling   environment,   capacities,  skills   High  priority-­‐  Cross-­‐cutting  –  essential  complement  of  projects  1,  2,   and  3  and  for  the  scaling-­‐up  beyond  the  SREP  projects   Stakeholder   consultations   were   carried   throughout   the   whole   prioritization   process.   The   consultation  process  and  results  are  captured  in  Annex  III.           53 5     RESPONSIVENESS  TO  SREP  CRITERIA     The   SREP   Investment   Plan   developed   for   Haiti   is   responsive   to   all   of   the   SREP   criteria.   Table  11  summarizes  how  the  off-­‐  and  on-­‐grid  renewable  energy  projects  responds  to  each   specific  criteria.   TABLE  11.  SUMMARY  OF  PROJECTS’  RESPONSIVENESS  TO  SREP  CRITERIA     Criteria   OFF-­‐GRID  Renewable  Energy     ON-­‐GRID  Renewable  Energy   for  Grid-­‐Connected   Infrastructure   It  will  result  directly  in  investments  of  net   present  value  >$100  million  in  about  10   MWp  (possible  range:  10-­‐18MWp)  of   increased  decentralized  renewable  energy   capacity  and  solar  stand-­‐alone  systems.  It   will  build  the  capacity  and  project  pipeline   that  will  lead  to  achieving  the  national  off-­‐ grid  electrification  goal.   It  will  result  directly  in  in  10-­‐20   MWp  of  grid-­‐connected  renewable   energy  capacity  (depends  strongly   on  wind  share  and  absorption   capacity,  as  well  as  the  final  deal   structure)  of  installed  generation   capacity  of  grid-­‐connected   renewables.  It  will  build  enabling   framework  and  the  capacity  for   further  RE  scale-­‐up   Increased   access  to  energy   through   renewable   energy  sources.   It will provide electricity access to at least 1 million residents (expected range of beneficiaries = 1-1.5 M including Port-de-Paix It  will  provide  improved   electricity  access  (higher  tiers   per  SE4ALL  multi-­‐tier   framework  to  about  1M  EdH-­‐ using  citizens   Low  emissions   development.   Renewable-­‐energy  mini  grids  and   small  stand-­‐alone  solar  systems  and   products  emit  no  CO2;  mini  grids  that   use  backup  diesel  for  some  of   generation  emit  relatively  small   amounts  compared  to  baseline.   Renewable-­‐energy  (solar,   wind,  hydro)  designed  into  the   existing  grid-­‐connected   infrastructure  emit  no  CO2.  By   starting  building  experience   with  grid-­‐connected   renewables  and  building   supportive  enabling   framework,  SREP  will  help   Haiti  to  set  the  path  toward   the  low  carbon  development   future.     Affordability   and   competitiveness   of  renewable   sources.   The  economic  cost  of  supply  for  mini-­‐ grids  is  significantly  less  than  for   diesel  generation;  and  the  economic   avoided  cost  of  lighting  is  significantly   less  for  picoPV  than  for  kerosene.  But   given  rural  consumers’  limited  ability   to  pay  and  that  lower-­‐income   consumers  must  be  reached  to  deepen   access  to  the  rural  population,   Renewable  Energy  is  shown  to   be  cost  competitive  to  existing   PaP  generation  in  this   document,  by  way  of  RE   Supply  Curve  and  advanced   modeling  of  operational   benefits  from  saved  fuel.   Increased   installed   capacity  from   renewable   energy  sources.     54 targeted  incentives  will  be  needed.   Productive  use   of  energy.   Mini  grids  directly  support  electricity   supply  to  industry  and  commercial   enterprises.  Stand-­‐alone  systems   support  productive  energy  use,   directly  by  enabling  cottage  industries   and  small  retail  ventures  to  increase   their  productivity  and  indirectly  from   the  benefits  that  accrue  from   children’s  improved  education  due  to   better  lighting  and  access  to   communication,  improved  health,  and   enhanced  security.  The  SREP  project   will  further  support  productive  uses  in   agriculture  by  cooperating  with  the   Ministry  of  Agriculture  project  for   supporting  agricultural  productivity   and  agri-­‐businesses.   On-­‐grid  renewables  will   increase  the  quantity  and   quality  of  PaP  electricity   supply  in  light  of  the  difficult   baseline,  and  thus  help  to  meet   some  of  the  suppressed   demand,  which  is  currently   limiting  productivity,  as   explained  in  this  document   Economic,   social,  and   environmental   development   impact.   Displacement  of  diesel  and  kerosene   reduces  local  pollution  and  risk  of  fire   from  open-­‐wick  lamps.  Greater   economic  opportunity  results  from   electricity  access.  Local  communities   can  retain  money  in  the  community   that  previously  would  have  been  used   to  purchase  fuel.     In  addition  to  the  obvious   positive  economic  impacts   (above  and  Annex),  local  and   global  in  environmental   impacts  of  on-­‐grid  RE  feed-­‐are   expected  to  be  positive  due  to   the  displaced  thermal  fuel  and   the  relatively  small  size  of  the   installed  wind,  PV  and  hydro   plants  in  the  uncritical  PaP  Lac   Azuei  areas.   Economic  and   financial   viability.   Economic  and  Financial  Viability  of   the  off-­‐grid  component  has  been   confirmed  by  applying  consumer   surplus  calculation  based  on  an   estimated,  income-­‐corrected  demand   curve  using  data  of  Digicel  2014  and   ECVMAS  2012.  Renewable  energy   sources  are  least  cost  compared  to   fossil-­‐fuel  alternatives,  and  projects   have  positive  and  robust  economic   rates  of  return.  Financial  rates  of   return  are  satisfactory,  though  some   grant  support  for  initial  investment  is   needed  due  to  rural  residents’  lower   ability  to  pay,  especially  since  50   percent  access  must  be  reached.   Economic  and  Financial   Viability  has  been  confirmed   by  applying  standard   Economic  and  Financial   Analysis  for  on-­‐grid  RE   benefits  and  costs  (see  Annex).   Leveraging  of   Infrastructure  is  needed  to  rapidly   A  leverage  of  about  1:3  -­‐  1:4   55 additional   resources.   scale  up  investments  to  achieve  the   national  electrification  goal.  SREP   resources  also  leverage  investment   financing  from  other  sources  (private   sector,  other  MDB,  households,   leveraged  at  about  1:4  –  1:5  –  see   financing  plan).   (SREP  to  private+MDBs)  is   expected  for  the  on-­‐grid   component,  but  will  depend   strongly  on  the  final  deal   structures  possible,  as   explained  in  main  IP  text.   Gender  equity.   Women  and  children  are  direct  and   significant  beneficiaries  as  they  will   gain  access  to  cleaner  energy  services   in  homes  that  offer  far  superior   services,  improved  access  to  essential   health  and  educational  services,   greater  economic  opportunities,  and   lower  costs  of  accessing  better  energy   services.     Improved  power  availability   will  benefit  both  men  and   women.     Where  feasible,  women  will  be   involved  in  supply  chains  –  e.g.   building  on  the  successful  example  of   micro-­‐finance  for  women  group   (Fonkoze/MicamaSoley)   Development  of  a  new   renewable  energy  industry   will  create  new  opportunities   for  women  employment  and   businesses.     SREP  capacity  building  project   will  specifically  target  women   to  help  them  take  advantage  of   the  new  opportunities   .     Co-­‐benefits  of   renewable   energy  scale-­‐up.   Scaled-­‐up  renewable  energy  reduces   local  air  pollution  and  avoids  risk  of   fire  from  fuel  spillage.     Local  diesel  fuel  use  will  be   reduced,  so  that  handling   issues  will  be  reduced,  too.     Electricity  is  an  important  input  in   poverty  alleviation  efforts  and  rural   development.     Greater  reliance  eon  locally   available  renewable  energy   will  also  support  energy   security.     56 6     SREP  FOR  HAITI:  PROGRAM  DESCRIPTION   6.1   PROGRAM  OBJECTIVES  AND  EXPECTED  OUTCOMES   The   SREP   Investment   Plan   for   Haiti   provides   a   balanced   allocation   of   resources   between   two   competing   sectoral   priorities   –   (i)   urgent   need   to   reduce  costs  and  improve  quality,   reliability  and  sustainability  of  service  (particularly  in  urban  areas),  and  (ii)  the  urgent   need   to   increase   electricity   access   (particularly   in   rural   areas).   In   both   cases,   the   (i)   improved   and   (ii)   increased   electricity   access   by   way   of   RE   scale-­‐up   will   lead   to   productivity  improvements  and  fuel  economic  and  social  development.     Consequently,   the   proposed   SREP   program   in   Haiti   is   expected   to   expand   and   improve   access  to  electricity  services  by  way  of  renewable  energy  scale-­‐up.  SREP  will  lead  to  both   new  electricity  connections  (Projects  2  and  3)  and  improvements  in  availability,  reliability   and   quality   of   service   for   existing   customers   (Projects   1,   2   and   4).   While   these   are   not   new   connections,  many  of  the  existing  customers  currently  receive  less  than  4  hours  of  power   supply  a  day  (corresponding  to  Tier0  of  the  SE4ALL  multi-­‐tier  framework)  –  the  impact  of   the  improved  service  may  therefore  be  as  striking  as  for  the  customers  who  have  received   electricity   for   the   first   time.   The   impact   of   these   investments   will   be   tracked   using   the   SE4ALL   multi-­‐tier   framework,   which   will   track   both   new   connections   and   improvements   across   tiers,   including   through   household   surveys,   with   a   baseline   planned   for   2015   (see   Chapter   10for   the   details).   In   addition,   particular   attention   will   be   paid   to   tracking   the   impact  on  productive  uses.  The  household  surveys  will  also  allow  for  gender-­‐disaggregated   data  and  track  specific  impacts  on  women.     Additional   key   result   indicators   will   include   (i)   increase   in   renewable   energy   capacity   (MW)   and   generation   (MWh),   (ii)   GHG   emission   reductions   and   avoidance,   (iii)   enabling   regulatory   framework   enacted,   (iv)   expanded   skill   base   for   further   renewable   energy   scale   up,  (v)  increase  in  number  of  renewable  energy  enterprises,  of  which  female  headed,  and   (vi)   renewable   energy   jobs   created;   (vii)   knowledge   transfer/increased   capacity   of   the   Haitian  technicians  .   6.2   PROGRAM  RATIONALE  AND  DESIGN   The   SREP   Investment   Plan   for   Haiti   is   conceived   as   a   comprehensive   program,   with   the   explicit   objective   to   initiate   transformation   from   (A)   Haiti’s   current   underdeveloped,   unreliable   and   expensive   fossil   fuel-­‐centered   electricity   generation   mix   to   (B)   a   modern   and  sustainable  energy  system  which  will  rely  on  diverse  sources  of  power,  able  to  provide   reliable  and  affordable  electricity  services  to  an  increasing  share  of  the  population.     The   underdeveloped   state   of   the   energy   sector   is   both   a   challenge   and   an   opportunity.   It   is   a   challenge   because   the   electricity   sector   has   still   a   long   way   to   go   until   it   will   be   able   to   57 power   the   Government’s   ambition   of   becoming   an   emerging   economy   with   a   universal   access  to  electricity  by  2030.  This  transformation  will  not  happen  through  one  program  but   will   require   a   long-­‐term   consistent   support.   Diversifying   fossil   fuel-­‐base   energy   with   renewable   energy   will   be   a   very   important,   but   not   the   only   element   in   this   journey.   The   ultimate   success   is   closely   linked   to   the   progress   in   the   implementation   of   structural   changes   in   the   organization   and   management   of   the   electricity   sector   –   starting   with   the   recent  Government  plan  (agreed  with  the  IMF  and  supported  by  the  WB  PRELEN  project)   as  outlined  in  Chapter  1.   On   the   other   hand,   the   underdeveloped   state   of   the   sector   is   also   an   opportunity   to   influence   and   guide   its   development   towards   a   cleaner   and   more   sustainable   path   right   from   the   start—and   thus   to   leapfrog   development   by   adopting   state   of   the   art   knowhow   and  technologies.  The  relatively  late  move  of  Government  towards  integrating  RE  actively   into  its  national  energy  mix  (both  on-­‐grid  and  off-­‐grid)  will  also  allow  to  leapfrog  some  of   the   less   developed   (i)   public   sector   RE   planning   methods   and   (ii)   private   sector   RE   business   models   that   have   been   tested   in   other   emerging   markets   over   the   last   decade,   which   allows   to   reap   “second   mover   advantages”   by   transferring   the   lessons   learned   in   these   international   early   stage   efforts.   One   emerging   lesson42  is   that   past   national   RE   efforts  have  often  forgotten  to  optimize  national  level  benefits  of  diverse  RE  options  due  to   a   somewhat   single-­‐minded   focus   on   the   SPV-­‐level   cost   of   individual   RE   projects:   a   more   balanced  look  at  both  costs  and  benefits  –  as  described  in  Chapter  3—will  allow  for  a  much   higher  net  benefits  of  national  RE  pathways.     The  SREP  program  is  designed  specifically  to  address  these  challenges  and  opportunities,   intending  to:     • Identify   immediate,   cost-­‐effective,   readily   implementable   opportunities   for   renewable   energy   investments   with   the   best   success   probability,   replication   and   scale  up  potential.   • Demonstrate   how   renewable   energy   can   fill   the   gaps   in   the   development   of   all   electricity  systems  levels,  by  explicitly  working  on  all  these  levels  in  parallel:  from   (i)   the   EDH   main   grid,   to   (ii)   EDH   isolated   grids,   (iii)   existing   (mostly   non-­‐ operational)  rural  municipal  grids,  (iv)  smaller  green-­‐field  off-­‐grid  investments  for   productive,  social  and  household  uses  or  smaller  villages  without  anchor  clients,  to   (v)  the  smallest  “PicoPV  systems”  sold  via  innovative  business  models.  This  allows   to   reduce   transaction   costs   and   showcase   a   synergetic,   integrated,   national   renewable   energy   development.   To   minimize   the   risks   involved   with   projects   that   work  on  all  fronts  at  the  same  time,  SREP  is  bundling  several  smaller  interventions   to   larger   projects,   focusing   primarily   on   creating   a   framework   that   can   support   diverse  technologies  and  business  models,  while  leaving  the  decisions  on  the  most   42  GIZ  2013,  IEA  2014,  Reiche  et  al  2015   58 appropriate   technologies   and   business   models   to   the   market   –   thereby   reducing   transaction  costs.   • Start  small,  but  think  big  by  reducing  barriers  to  renewable  energy  investments.  The   barriers   to   the   development   of   renewable   energy,   as   identified   in   Chapter   2   are   daunting.   Successful   transformation   from   fossil   fuels   to   renewables   will   require   a   steep  learning  curve  both  for  the  Government  and  for  the  private  sector,  and  a  great   degree  of  experimentation  and  fine-­‐tuning  of  what  works.  To  allow  this  learning  and   adjustments,  the  IP  recommends  starting  with  multiple  smaller  investments  which   will  allow  learning  by  doing  and  pave  the  way  for  successful  larger  investments  in   the   future   (as   opposed   to   placing   all   resources   into   one   large   project,   which   may   result  in  greater  immediate  renewable  energy  capacity  but  would  have  more  limited   learning   potential,   greater   risks   for   both   Government   and   the   private   sector   and   more  uncertainties  about  its  replication).   • Complement   SREP   investment   with   other   energy   sector   interventions.   The   WB   is   currently   assisting   the   Government   through   MTPTC   and   EDH   in   overall   sector   development   and   reforms,   capacity   building,   rehabilitation   of   existing   generation,   transmission   and   distribution   assets   and   actions   to   improve   EDH   commercial   performance   and   reduce   losses.   See   Annex   3   for   details   of   the   additional   interventions.   SREP   is   an   integral   part   of   this   broader   energy   sector   support   program.   • Complement   investments   with   a   strong   TA   and   capacity   building   program   going   beyond  the  needs  of  individual  projects  in  order  to  build  a  nation-­‐wide  frameworks,   capacities   and   skills   to   support   more   ambitious   and   sustainable   renewable   energy   scale   up   (during   and   after   the   SREP   time   frame).   This   vision   is   embedded   in   the   inclusion   of   a   self-­‐standing   project   focusing   on   improving   policy   and   regulatory   frameworks   and   building   a   strong   skill   base   for   renewable   energy   encompassing   both  academic  and  technical/vocational  training.     • Build  on  and  coordinate  closely  with  other  donors.  SREP  will  coordinate  closely  with   all  stakeholders  interested  in  supporting  renewable  energy,  such  as  UNEP,  Norway,   USAID,  and  Pan-­‐American  Development  Foundation.  See  Annex  III  for  details.  SREP   will   focus   on   filling   the   gaps   that   these   organizations   are   not   covering.   For   example,   many   of   these   organizations   provide   grant   funding   for   innovative   off-­‐grid   energy   start-­‐ups.   The   companies   that   started   with   these   funds,   however,   often   find   difficulties  to  expand  further  –  a  gap  that  SREP  aims  to  fill.         59 6.3   PROPOSED  SREP  IP  COMPONENTS   The  SREP  Investment  Plan  for  Haiti  will  include  the  following  five  components:     1.  Renewable  energy  for  the  Port-­‐au-­‐Prince  metropolitan  area   The   project   will   deliver   10-­‐20   MW   of   renewable   energy   (depends   on   technhology   (mix),   final   deal   strustures   and   result   of   ongoing   wind   studies)into   the   EDH   main   grid   serving   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince   and   surrounding   areas.   The   current   installed   capacity   in   the   main   grid   is   240   MW,   of   which,   however,   only   about   100   MW   is   available   (15%   hydro   and   85%   thermal)   against   an   estimated   peak   demand   of   over   500   MW.   The   grid   serves   about   160,000   (legal)   customers   (and   many   more   “irregular”   customers),  who  all  however  receive  only  intermittent  service.  The  average  supply  time  is   16   hours,   but   this   average   hides   differences   across   geographic   areas   and   types   of   clients.   Many  household  receive  less  than  2  hour  service  a  day.     The   objective   of   the   proposed   SREP   project   will   be   to   build   Government   and   private   sector   experience   with   developing   and   implementing   grid-­‐connected   renewable   energy   projects   through  supporting  investments  in  the  grid-­‐connected  renewable  energy  generation.   This would be done through supporting the country’s first grid-connected variable renewable energy project(s) (that is, one large project, or several parallel or consecutive RE projects) in order to test and fine-tune the approaches proposed by GOH and facilitate learning. The experience would be used to develop a suitable policy and regulatory framework to encourage larger investments (scale-up!). The proposed approach will be preferably a public-private partnership (PPP), encouraging private sector investments (including operations and maintenance), with SREP financing focused on reducing the total investment costs and the risk exposure for the private sector. The projects will be selected following competitive procedures. The PPP option will be conditioned on the demonstrated commitment to improve EDH finances. If a PPP option is not viable at the time when the project is developed, a public sector alternative could be considered. However, in that case, it will involve at minimum a private sector contract for operation and maintenance, following the established international examples of such O&M contracts for wind. The  project  implementation  is  linked  with  the  rehabilitation  of  the  transmission  line  from   Peligre   to   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince.   As   a   part   of   project   co-­‐financing,   the   transmission   line   will   be   upgraded   to   allow   for   additional   renewable   energy   capacity,   therefore   accommodating   additional   power   output   from   a   wind   farm   and/or   solar   power.   Incrased   hydropower   generation   from   the   rehabilitation   Peligre   dam   will   also   facilitate   the   integration   of   the   intermittent  renewable  energy  (as  described  in  GIZ  2013),  but  the  proposed  total  capacity   60 of   intermittant   RE   remains   well   below   the   safe   limit.   Various   renewable   energy   technologies  will  be  considered,  with  wind  and  solar  PV  being  primary  candidates  due  to   wind’s   high   economic   attractiveness   at   the   best   sites   and   due   to   the   solar   PV   modular   character  and  site  flexibility,  which  makes  it  easier  to  develop  smaller  projects.   2.  Renewable  energy-­‐based  expansion  of  Port-­‐de-­‐Paix  remote  grid     Apart   from   the   main   grid   serving   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince,   EDH   also   operates   11   isolated   grids,   ranging   from   300   kW   to   25   MW,   with   power   mostly   supplied   intermittently   by   diesel   units   and   some   hydro   power,   both   with   O&M   problems,   constraining   a   possibility   to   extend   access   to   more   households,   even   though   it   is   estimated   that   over   300,000   households   could   be   reached   by   rehabilitating   and   Photo credit: UNEP expanding   these   grids.   The   Port-­‐de-­‐Paix   grid   is   located   in   the   North-­‐West   region,   the   most   isolated   region   with   highest   proportion   of   poor   and  extremely  poor  in  Haiti.  It  has  an  operational  capacity  of  2.2  MW,  serving  some  3,600   customers.   Service   is   in   general   available   only   5-­‐12   hours   a   day,   partly   dependent   on   availability   of   the   diesel   fuel,   a   transport   of   which   is   a   challenge   particularly   in   the   rainy   season  due  to  the  region’s  isolation  and  lack  of  adequate  transport  infrastructue.   The  region  has  proven  wind  and  solar  resources.   The  purpose  of  the  project  would  be  to   expand   capacity   of   the   Port-­‐de-­‐Paix   grid   with   renewable   energy   (most   likely   solar/wind   based  on  a  detailed  project  design)  to  improve  quality  of  service  for  existing  customers  and   to   facilitate   expansion   of   the   isolated   system   to   additional   customers.   This   project   will   serve  as  a  pilot  case  for  potential  replication  of  a  similar  arrangement  in  other  EDH  isolated   grids.  Learning  from  a  previous  wind  project  which  was  installed  in  Port-­‐de-­‐Paix  by  EDH  in   1978  with  assistance  of  the  German  cooperation—and  is  no  longer  operational  due  to  the   lack   of   operations   skills   and   maintenance   by   EDH   local   staff—the   proposed   SREP   project   will   be   implemented   as   a   public-­‐private   partnership,   with   private   sector   responsible   for   installation,   operations   and   maintenance,   and   for   covering   at   least   a   part   of   the   investment   costs.     The   objective   of   the   project   would   be   to   demonstrate   improvements   and   expansion   in   energy   access   in   Port-­‐de-­‐Paix’s   isolated   grid   through   its   hybridization   with   renewable   energy.   This   project   would   serve   as   a   demonstration   project   for   other   isolated   grids   that   due   to   their   remoteness   cannot   be   connected   with   the   main   grid.     The   project   will   be   developed  with  participation  of  the  private  sector.    At  minimum,  the  private  sector  will  be   contracted   for   EPC   delivery   and   operation   and   maintenance.   The     feasibility   of   a   PPP   approach   (with   private   sector   investing   directly   in   the   project),   will   be   explored   during   final  project  design  .     61 3.  Off-­‐grid  electricity  for  productive,  social  and  household  uses     Photo credit: UNEP Investments   in   rural   electrification   in   Haiti   have   remained   scarce   overall   in   the   last   30   years,   resulting   in   a   rural   electrification   rate   kept   extremely   low,   as   shown   in   chapters   1-­‐3.   at   around   5%.   With   EDH   absent   throughout   most  of  the  rural  areas,  local  governments  and   users   have   been   left   on   their   own   to   find   solutions   to   their   electricity   needs.   Up   until   recently,   individual   diesel   systems   and   kerosene   were   the   only   available   lighting/power  solutions  for  most  people,  businesses  and  institutions  in  rural  areas.  More   recently,   renewable   energy   technologies,   especially   solar   PV,   have   taken   off   as   a   new   alternative   for   off-­‐grid   energy   access.   Solar   PV   is   emerging   as   an   alternative   to   diesel   or   kerosene  in  both  urban  and  rural  areas.  In  urban  areas,  mainly  as  an  alternative  to  diesel   self-­‐supply   that   many   EDH   customers   (mainly   businesses)   need   to   recurr   to   due   to   unreliability   of   EDH   service   and   resulting   damages   to   their   productive   and   economic   activities.   In   rural   areas,   households   now   have   an   option   to   replace   their   kerosene   consumption   with   solar   PV   products,   and   renewable   energy   solutions   can   also   be   developed  for  productive  and  social  uses.     The  proposed  project  will  build  on  the  existing  promising  experiences  and  business  models   and  establish  enabling  and  financing  frameworks  to  facilitate  their  replication  and  scale-­‐up   –   from   solar   lanterns,   through   village   grids   to   renewable   energy   to   improve   productivity.   The  project  will  also  link  with  Government  agri-­‐business  and  competitiveness  programs  –   to  support  productivity  improvements  through  displacing  expensive  diesel  generators  with   renewables.     The   project   will   be   co-­‐financed   with   the   existing   IDA   Rehabilitating   Infrasructure   and   Access  project  and  a  parallel  CTF-­‐funded  Modern  Energy  Services  for  All  Project,  which  is   being   developed   in   parallel.   See   Annex   V   for   the   CTF   concept   and   its   complementarity   to   SREP.     62 4.  Rehabilitation  of  existing  small  hydro  plants     EDH   owns   and   operates   six   small   and   mini   hydro   plants  (with  a  capacity  below  2.5  MW  each).  Only   one   of   them,   however,   is   fully     operational;   all   others  do  not  produce  at  their  potential  capacity   due   to   an   urgent   need   for   repairs   and   rehabilitation.     Rehabilitation   of   the   small/mini   hydro   plants   is   a   Photo credit: UNEP cost-­‐effective   way   of   expanding   renewable   energy   capacity,   allowing   EDH   to   reduce   expensive   fossil   fuel   generation.   In   addition,   increasing  the  share  of  hydro  resources  in  the  overall  generation  mix  will  facilitate  further   investments  in  intermittent  renewables  such  as  wind  and  solar.  EDH  has  commissioned  a   study   evaluating   the   potential   for   the   rehabilitation   of   the   small   hydro   plants,   which   has   identified  the  investment  plan  for  rehabilitating  the  six  small  hydro  plants  which  could  add   up   to   20   GWh/a   of   renewable   generation   at   a   total   costs   of   around   US$10   million.   The   project  can  be  developed  in  phases.    EDH  has  identified  three  priority  investments:    Drouet:   (2.5  MW),  Gaillard  (0.5  MW)  and  Caracol  (0.8  MW)  at  an  estimated  costs  of  about  $6  million     Given   EDH’s   maintenance   deficiencies   in   the   past,   the   project   will   pay   specific   focus   on   ensuring  that  credible  arrangements  are  being  put  in  place  to  ensure  future  maintenance  of   the   rehabilitated   facilities,   such   as   through   setting   up   a   maintenance   fund   with   an   obligatory  EDH  contributions,    outsourcing  operation  and  maintenance  to  private  sector  or   concessioning  the  hydroplants  to  the  private  sector.     In   addition   to   the   existing   small   hydro,   various   studies   are   underway   to   assess   in   more   detail  the  potential  for  new  mini-­‐  and  micro-­‐hydro  plants.    The  proposed  project  will  also   consider  a  PPP  arrangement  for  these  new  plants.     .           63 5.  Building  enabling  environments,  capacities  and  skills  for  renewable  energy  scale  up.     All  renewable  energy  investments  currently  suffer   from   the   lack   of   transparent   and   consistent   regulatory   framework,   fiscal   policies   favoring   fossil   fuels,   and   capacity   and   skill   constraints   at   both   professional   and   technical   levels   throughout   the   supply   chain.   Renewable   energy   scale-­‐up   therefore  requires  comprehensive,  systematic  and   consistent  efforts  to  eliminate  these  barriers  at  the   Photo credit: UNEP national   level   for   all   types   of   renewable   energy   investments.  For  that  reason  the  SREP  Investment  Plan  includes  a  specific  project  for  these   cross-­‐cutting   issues,   as   opposed   to   including   a   TA/capacity   building   component   in   each   project,  which  would  be  the  more  usual  approach,  but  which  could  lead  to  fragmentation  of   efforts   and   potential   inconsistencies.   The   project   will   cover   a   broad   range   of   enabling   activities,   but   the   key   focus   will   be   on   two   areas,   which   the   stakeholder   consultations   revealed  as  the  main  bottlenecks,  (i)  lack  of  enabling  regulatory  and  fiscal  frameworks,  and   (ii)  lack  of  local  capacities  and  skills  for  the  implementation  of  renewable  energy  projects.   The   implementation   will   be   closely   linked   to   the   execution   of   the   four   investment   components   described   above,   which   will   provide   a   real-­‐life   “RE   market   development”   laboratory   for   testing   and   fine-­‐tuning   of   the   regulatory   instruments   and   for   learning   (e.g.   involving  universities  in  the  implementation  of  some  renewable  energy  investments).  The   capacity   building   activities   will   include   a   gender   dimension.   It   is   expected   that   the   effect   of   this   project   in   terms   of   removing   information   asymmetries   and   other   market   inefficiencies   will   help   to   “lift”   several   RE   market   segments   to   a   new,   more   efficient   level,   which   will   significantly  bring  down  the  risk-­‐adjusted  financing  costs  of  new  RE  projects,  as  described   in  GIZ  2014b  for  PV  markets  in  three  countries.   6.4   PROGRAM  CO-­‐BENEFITS   The  direct  impact  of  the  SREP  Investment  Plan  for  Haiti  will  be  to  engage  the  country  in  a   broad   development   of   renewable   energy   in   order   to   increase   energy   access,   as   well   as   reduce   costs   and   improve   quality,   reliavbility,   and   sustainability   of   energy   services,   particulary   in   urban   areas.   The   SREP   will   have   a   direct,   positive   impact   on   the   living   conditions   of   the   population   and   the   productivity   of   its   economic   activities,   as   well   as   ensuring  avoidance  of  GHG  emissions.     In   a   development   paradigm   in   which   social   and   environmental   benefits   are   inextricably   linked,  the  SREP  program  is  expected  to  yield  the  following  co-­‐benefits:   • Reduced  dependence  on  fossil  fuels,  leading  to     o avoiding  the  growth  of  GHG  emissions  due  to  increased  use  of  fossil  fuels;   64 • • • • • o supporting progress towards country’s energy autonomy and security; o in the long term, lowering energy bills, by reducing the cost of energy generation; Reducing  local  pollution;   Creation   of   new   economic   activities   and   jobs   related   to   new   technologies   with   private-­‐sector  participation;   Greater   private-­‐sector   participation.   SREP   will   strengthen   the   participation   of   private-­‐sector   operators   in   renewable   energy   production   through   (i)   initiatives   to   build  their  technical  and  organizational  capacity  in  the  energy  sector  and  (ii)  better   legal   and   regulatory   arrangements   that   engage   the   private   sector   in   a   meaningful   way;  and   Reduced   levels   of   poverty   and   improved   quality   of   life   of   rural   population.   In   recent   years,  the  fight  against  poverty  has  been  an  important  part  of  Government  action.  In   the   quest   to   improve   Haiti’s   living   conditions,   the   Government   recognizes   improved   access  to  and  greater  use  of  electricity  as  a  key  enabling  condition;     Improved   socioeconomic   status   of   women.   SREP   initiatives   will   contribute   to   enhancing   women’s   quality   of   life   by   reducing   the   time   they   allocate   to   household   chores,   improving   their   access   to   modern   energy   for   income-­‐generating   activities,   and   increasing   their   access   to   modern   forms   of   communication.   In   rural   communities,  the  availability  of  electric  lighting  and  other  energy  services  can  lead   to  better  education,  health,  and  public  security,  especially  for  women  and  children.   Once   a   community   has   electricity,   a   wide   range   of   income-­‐generating   activities   opens   up   for   women   (e.g.,   ice-­‐making   and   food-­‐processing   businesses,   small   retail   shops,  and  restaurants).   65 7     FINANCING  PLAN   TABLE  12.  SREP  FINANCING,  CO-­‐FINANCING  AND  PRIVATE  SECTOR  FINANCING  LEVERAGE    SREP  IP  Projects  1-­‐5:   1. On-­‐Grid   RE   for   the   Port-­‐au-­‐Prince   metropolitan  area   2. RE  for  Port  de  Paix  remote  grid*   3. Offgrid   electricity   for   productive,   social  and  household  uses   4. Rehabilitation  small  hydro*   5. Building   enabling   framework,   capacities  and  skills  for  RE  scale-­‐up     Total     SREP  financing     Total  Public  co-­‐financing   Private  sector  financing   leveraged   10   Tbd**   Tbd**   0-­‐4   0-­‐7   Tbd   15   36.5   >45   0-­‐4   0-­‐12   0   1   2.5   0   30   Tbd   Tbd    *  SREP  Project  2  and  4  (Port-­‐de-­‐Paix  and  hydro  rehabilitation)  will  be  determined  during  final  preparation  which  of  these  two  will  be  funded  to  which   extent.   **  Leverage  for  on-­‐grid  RE  in  which  private  sector  project  sponsors  would  feed  into  EDH  grid  will  depend  on  the  specific  SREP  Case  (#9-­‐ 12)  and  may  reach  from  about  1:1  (typical  wind  on-­‐grid  PPP  with  moderate  risk  appetite  investors)  to  1:5  (fuel  saver  cases)  in  Haiti  pre   2020.  Project  sponsor  wacc  in  case  of  international  bidders  will  depend  strongly  on  the  debt  terms  they  can  secure  on  the  global  market.     66 8     INSTITUTIONAL  FRAMEWORK  FOR  IMPLEMENTATION   The  implementaiton  of  the  proposed  SREP-­‐funded  projects  will  be  overseen  and  coordinated  by   the  Ministry  of  Public  Works,  Transport,  Energy  and  Communications  (MTPTC)  through  its  Energy   Cell,   with   support   from   the   SREP   Task   Force   –   it   is   expected   that   the   same   Task   Force   established   for  the  preparation  of  the  Investment  Plan  will  retain  an  advisory  role  during  its  implementation.   Haiti   SREP   task   force   consists   of   Ministry   of   Environment,   Ministry   of   Economy   and   Finance,   Ministry   of   Agriculture,   Natural   Resources   and   Rural   Development,     Ministry   of   Planning   and   External   Cooperation,   EDH,   CIAT,   Bureau   of   Mines   and   Energy.   MTPTC   has   ample   experience   with   implementation  of  donor  programs,  and  is  currently  also  managing  the  World  Bank’s  Rebuilding   Infrastructure  and  Access  Program.  Individual  SREP  projects  will  have  individual  implementation   arrangements  attuned  to  each  project’s  characteristics  and  needs:     1.  Renewable  Energy  for  the  Metropolitan  Area     The  project  will  be  managed  by  MTPTC  through  its  Energy  Cell  and  EDH  (exact  arrangements  to   be   defined),   which   will   be   in   charge   of   implementing   the   project   preparation   studies   and   carrying   out  the  competitive  processe(s)  for  selecting  the  private  sector  firm(s)  for  the  PPP  contract.     2.  Renewable  energy  for  remote  grids  –  Port-­‐de-­‐Paix  demonstration  project     The   project   will   be   managed   by   MTPTC   through   its   Energy   Cell   in   cooperation   with   EDH,   which   will  be  in  charge  of  implementing  the  project  preparation  studies  and  carrying  out  the  competitive   process   for   selection   of   the   private   sector   operator,   and   channelling   of   subsidies   to   the   project.   EDH  wll  implement  r  the  upgrading  and  expansion  of  the  Port-­‐de-­‐Paix  isolated  grid  (Component   3).     3.  Off-­‐grid  electrification  for  productive,  social  and  household  uses   The  project  will  be  managed  by  MTPTC  through  its  Energy  Cell  with  the  support  of  the  Bureau  of   Mines   and   Energy,   except   the   CTF-­‐funded   access   to   finance   facility,   which   will   be   implemented   through   a   competitively   selected   financial   intermediary,   and   the   private   sector   support   facility,   which  will  be  directly  managed  by  IFC.     4.  Small  hydro  rehabilitation     The  project  will  be  managed  by  EDH,  the  owner  of  small  hydropower  assets.     5.  Building  enabling  environment,  capacities  and  skills  for  renewable  energy  scale-­‐up     The   project   will   be   managed   by   MTPTC   through   its  Energy   Cell,   which   will   cooperate   closely   with   the  universities  with  renewable  energy  programs,  such  as  the  State  University  of  Haiti  (UEH)  and   Quisqueya  University  (UniQ),  and  the  Gender  and  Energy  Interagency  Commission.     9     ENVIRONMENTAL  AND  SOCIAL  ASPECTS   The   lead   national   SREP   coordinating   entity,   MTPTC   (Energy   Cell),   has   undertaken   lending   and   technical   assistance   projects   with   the   World   Bank   and   IDB.   As   such,   they   have   policies   and   procedures   in   place   to   ensure   compliance   with   the   Government,   the   World   Bank   and   IDB   social   and   environmental   safeguards.   In   addition,   IFC   Performance   Standards   and   its   policies   on   social   and   environmental   sustainability   will   be   appropriately   applied.   Specific   arrangements   are   as   follows:   Environmental  and  Social  Management  Framework  (ESMF).  Since  specific  locations  of  investments   will  be  determined  during  project  design,  an  Environmental  and  Social  Management  Framework   will   be   prepared   that   defines   the   environmental   and   social   (E&S)   planning,   review,   and   clearing   processes   that   follow   national   and   MDB   guidelines.   The   Ministry   of   Environment   will   play   a   fundamental  role  in  designing  this  framework.   Resettlement  Policy  Framework  (RPF).  This  framework  will  establish  the  modalities  for  conducting   resettlement   action   plans   (RAPs)   and   outline   components   that   must   be   integrated,   such   as   legal   frameworks,  eligibility  criteria,  methodology  for  asset  valuations,  and  mechanisms  for  stakeholder   consultations.   Strenghtening  the  Safeguards  Compliance  Capacity  under  SREP  will  be  of  utmost  importance  and   will  require  continued  joint  effort  between  Government,  World  Bank,  IFC,  and  IDB.   Environmental   and   Social   Assessments.   Each   SREP   project   will   be   subject   to   comprehensive   E&S   assessments,  which  will  include  detailed  studies  aimed  at  uncovering  the  particular  E&S  impacts   of   a   project   or   its   subprojects.   The   studies   include   an   Environmental   and   Social   Impact   Assessment   (ESIA),   an   Environmental   and   Social   Management   Plan   (ESMP),   and   a   full   or   abbreviated   RAP.43  Adequate   and   relevant   stakeholder   consultations   must   be   undertaken   and   guide  the  development  of  the  E&S  studies.  Additional  specialized  E&S  management  plans  and/or   initiatives   may   be   required   to   better   address   the   impacts   associated   with   a   given   projects   or   subproject.   Preparation   of   detailed   E&S   studies   must   adhere   to   Haitian   laws   and   regulations,   as   well  as  the  E&S  policies,  guidelines,  and  standards  of  the  MDBs.   Responsibilities.   Project   implementing   agencies   and   where   applicable   sub-­‐project   implementers   (e.g.  SREP  supported  RE  IPPs  or  mini-­‐grid  operators)  are  responsible  for  compliance  with  national   law   and   regulations   and   the   E&S   policies,   guidelines,   and   standards   of   the   MDBs.   These   operators   are  also  responsible  for  preparing  the  required  detailed  E&S  studies  (e.g.,  ESIA,  ESMP,  and  RAP),   obtaining   clearances,   implementing   all   required   mitigation   and   monitoring   measures,   providing   adequate   budgets   to   sustain   these   activities,   and   complying   with   any   directives   issued   by   the   relevant  parties.   43  The  type  of  RAP  will  depend  on  the  number  of  persons  affected  by  resettlement  effects  experienced  as  a  result  of  the   project.   68 The   detailed   E&S   studies   prepared   by   sub-­‐project   implementers   must   be   submitted   to   both   the   Ministry   of   Environment   and   the   MDBs   for   review   and   approval.   The   Ministry’s   approval   is   based   on  Haitian  laws  and  regulations,  while  that  of  the  MDBs  is  based  on  their  respective  E&S  policies,   guidelines,  and  standards.  The  Ministry  will  be  responsible  for  the  review  and  clearance  of  ESIAs   and   ESMPs   for   subprojects.   It   provides   a   one-­‐stop   clearance   process   by   involving   all   other   key   governmental  agencies  in  the  approval  process.   The   MTPTC   with   its   Energy   Cell   have   overall   responsibility   for   implementing   the   ESMPs,   RPFs,   and   any   specialized   E&S   management   plans   and/or   initiatives   developed   for   the   subprojects.   MTPTC  will  not  issue  licenses/permits  to  sub-­‐project  implementers  (if  such  licenses/permits  are   required)until  the  environmental  entity  or  other  relevant  authorities  issue  E&S  clearances.   Stakeholder  Consultations.   The   ESMF   contains   detailed   checklists   and   generic   mitigation   measures   to  ensure  that  potential  impacts  are  addressed  in  E&S  assessments  and  subproject  management   plans.  In  preparing  the  required  detailed  E&S  studies  (e.g.,  ESIA,  ESMP,  and  RAP),  the  subproject   implementers   must   adhere   to   the   requirements   for   ensuring   that   participatory   stakeholder   consultations   have   taken   place,   as   captured   in   the   E&S   policies,   guidelines,   and   standards   of   the   MDBs.   Project-­‐affected   people   and   other   critical   stakeholders   must   be   informed   and   consulted   about   the   nature,   timing,   and   scope   of   the   relevant   project   impacts   and   mitigation   measures.   Participatory   approaches   must   be   utilized   in   organizing   and   conducting   the   consultations.   Gender   considerations  must  also  be  factored  in.   Capacity   Building.   The   Government   in   collaboration   with   its   MDB   partners   has   carried   out   numerous   workshops   and   other   capacity-­‐building   activities   for   key   stakeholders   through   the   PRELEN   Project,   through   IDB   projects   and   in   the   framework   of   the   preparation   of   the   SREP   Investment  Plan.  Capacity  building  activities  under  PRELEN  include  the  hiring  of  a  consultant  to   support   the   MTPTC   and   EDH   in   the   implementation   of   safeguards   policies   (during   Project   preparation),   and   technical   assistance.   The   SREP   Interventions   will   build   on   that   and   other   MDBs’   capacity-­‐targeted  activities.  It  is  thus  expected  that  these  improved  capacities  will  then  facilitate   the  implementation  of  safeguards  instruments  under  the  SREP.     Environment,   Health,   and   Safety   Management   System.   Project   and   subproject   implementers   will   design,   construct,   and   operate   the   projects   and   implement   an   environment,   health,   and   safety   (EHS)  management  system.   Public   Disclosure.   Project   and   subproject   implementation   will   require   communication   and   consultation  with  both  the  Haitian  stakeholders  impacted  directly  and  indirectly  by  the  subproject   and  other  stakeholders  within  and  beyond  the  project  zone  of  influence.  Disclosure  of  the  detailed   E&S   studies   (i.e.,   ESIA,   ESMP,   and   RAP)   must   be   done   in   compliance   with   the   public-­‐disclosure   requirements   of   the   IDB   and   the   World   Bank   Group.   Relevant   documentation   will   be   made   available  on  the  websites  of  the  Government  and  the  MDBs  and  through  additional  means.   69 10   MONITORING  AND  EVALUATION  AND  KNOWLEDGE  MANAGEMENT   This  chapter  describes  the  areas  in  which  the  key  tools  of  monitoring  and  evaluation  (M&E)  and   knowledge  management  will  be  strengthened  as  part  of  implementing  the  SREP  Investment  Plan   for  Haiti.  The  chapter  also  introduces  the  SREP  M&E  framework,  which  will  be  coordinated  by  the   MTPTC  Energy  Cell.     10.1   STRENGTHENING  MONITORING  AND  EVALUATION   The   Energy   Cell   within   the   Ministry   of   Public   Works,   Transportation   and   Communications   (MTPTC)   will   define   and   implement   the   SREP   M&E   system   aimed   at   collecting,   analysing,   processing,  and  reporting  on  key  information  related  to  program  activities,  as  well  as  progress  in   reaching  SREP  impacts  and  outcomes  and  lessons  learned.  The  SREP  program  will  contribute  to   ongoing   efforts   to   establish   an   energy   sector-­‐wide   M&E   system   (see   Box   3)   to   ensure   that   the   sector-­‐wide   M&E   framework   in   Haiti   (i)   includes   SREP   indicators   to   facilitate   reporting,   (ii)   improves  indicators  related  to  renewable  energy,  and  (iii)  puts  a  data  collection  system  in  place  to   obtain  baseline  information.     BOX  3.  BUILDING  M&E  CAPACITY  FOR  THE  KEY  SECTORIAL  AGENCIES  S   World  Bank,  through  the  PRELEN  project,  is  currently  providing  technical  assistance  to  the  sector-­‐wide   M&E  system  that  lacks  human  and  technical  resources.  This  support  is  targeting  both  MTPTC  and  EDH,   main  elements  of  this  M&E  system.  Technical  assistance  is  being  provided  to  MTPTC  and  EDH  on  how   to  develop  an  effective  M&E  Framework.  Under  PRELEN,  MTPTC  has  overall  responsibility  for  the  M&E   of  project  activities.  In  this  context,  it  prepares  the  project’s  M&E  reports  which  include:  (i)  quarterly   reports   on   the   performance   of   the   Project,   based   on   the   M&E   framework   established   during   Project   preparation;   (ii)   quarterly   Interim   Financial   Reports   (IFRs);   and   (iii)   annual   independent   financial   audits   of   the   Project   and   of   EDH.   Technical   Assistance   further   helps   the   MTPTC   set   up   its   own   monitoring   framework.   EDH   also,   in   the   framework   of   its   corporate   responsibilities,   reports   on   its   performance   on   a   regular   basis   and   provides   the   Project   Coordination   Unit   (PCU)   with   the   relevant   information   10.2   SE4ALL  MULTI-­‐TIER  FRAMEWORK  FOR  MEASURING  ENERGY  ACCESS   In   addition   to   the   general   SREP   M&E   approach,   the   Haiti   SREP   Program   will   apply   the   Sustainable   Energy   for   All   (SE4ALL)   Multi-­‐Tier   Framework   (MTF)   introduced   in   the   Global   Tracking   Framework   of   2013   and   updated   in   2015   (Figure   17).   MTF   replaces   the   traditional   binary   measure   of   energy   access   (with   or   without   access)   with   a   five-­‐tier   measurement   methodology,   which  also  assesses  other  attributes  of  the  energy  service,  such  as  quantity,  quality,  affordability,   and   duration   of   supply.   The   MTF   therefore   allows   then   assessingthe   assessment   of   not   only   whether   households/enterprises/   institutions   have   electricity   connections,   but   also   whether   the   electricity   service   is   adequate   to   meet   their   demand.   The   framework   therefore   can   thus   differentiate  between  a  minimum  level  of  service  (such  as  provided  by  a  small  solar  kit  –  Tier  1)   and   final   aspiration,   which   is   24h   unlimited   reliable   and   affordable   power   supply   (Tier   5),   70 acknowledging  also  that  a  grid  connection  does  not  guarantee  the  highest  tier  (e.g.  intermittency   and   unreliability   of   supply   would   downgrade   Tier   5   connection   to   lower   tiers).   The   multi-­‐tier   approach  thereby  allows  tracking  of  new  access,  but  as  well  as  also  improvements  in  access  levels   across  tiers.     FIGURE  17.  DEFINITION  OF  ENERGY  ACCESS  AND  MULTI-­‐TIER  FRAMEWORK     71 10.3  RESULTS  FRAMEWORK   The  Table  below  summarizes  the  SREP  M&E  results  framework  for  Haiti.     TABLE  13.  SREP  RESULTS  FRAMEWORK   Result Support for low-carbon development pathways by reducing energy poverty and/or increasing energy security Indicators Baseline Minimum Targets by 2020 Minimum Targets by 2030 Means of Verification National measure of energy poverty. MEPI = tbd tbd tbd MEPI = This will be calculated based on the M&E component Electricity output from ongrid and offgrid renewables in GWh per year (excluding baseline hydro) 2 42 150 MWp installed and feeding into grids + offgrid sales reports; dispatch of vRE in PaP Increased annual public and private investments (US$) in total targeted subsector(s) per country ca. 1 M 20 M 60 M , Annual reports Government, EdH, RE IPPs and offgrid sales companies as per supply-chain analysis Increased supply of renewable energy Increased annual electricity output (GWh) as a direct result of SREP offgrid and ongrid interventions n.a. 20 tbd see 2 rows above Increased access to modern energy services Increased number of women, men, businesses and community services benefiting from improved access to electricity due to SREP interventions n.a. 1M M&E, sales reports of companies New and additional resources for renewable energy projects Leverage factor: share of financing from other sources compared with SREP funding (notation: SREP:Others) n.a. 1:3 – 1:4 Donor reports; private sector financial statements; sales reports;PPAs signed…   72 10.4   STRENGTHENING  KNOWLEDGE  MANAGEMENT  AND  LESSONS  SHARING   The   outcome   of   consultations   with   stakeholders   from   academia   (August   2014,   November   2014,   February  2015);  as  well  as  civil  society  and  end-­‐user  beneficiaries  (February  2015),  revealed  the   need   for   focusing   SREP   attention   on   building   capacity   and   awareness   of   renewable   energy   technologies,  including  the  creation  of  a  pool  of  skilled  technicians.     The   lack   of   appropriately   skilled   labor   is   constantly   identified   as   a   major   barrier   for   scaling   up   renewable  energy.  44  Government  agencies,  private  enterprises,  multilateral  institutions,  and  NGOs   widely  recognize  the  shortage  of  skilled  technicians  for  installation,  operation  and  maintenance  of   renewable  and  decentralized  energy  systems  as  one  of  the  major  barriers.  For  the  particular  case   of   Haiti,   the   recent   World   Bank   Systematic   Country   Diagnostic   (February   2015)   outlines   the   correlation   between   high   level   of   education   and   skills   and   higher   labor   income.   It   further   explains   that   skills   and   experiences,   together   with   access   to   services   such   as   electricity,   contribute   to   a   higher  productivity  in  the  country.  In  the  absence  of  adequate  skills,  the  private  sector  will  most   likely  be  unable  to  increase  its  productivity  (see  Box  4  below).     BOX  4.  WORLD  BANK’S  SYSTEMATIC  COUNTRY  DIAGNOSTIC  (FEB  2015)   Surveys  also  point  to  the  lack  of  qualified  manpower.  One  major  constraint  faced  by  enterprises  in   Haiti  is  the  difficulty  to  find  technicians  that  are  well  qualified,  particularly  in  new  technologies.  This   forces   the   country   to   position   itself   as   a   low   cost   producer   for   goods   and   services   requiring   little   skills.   An   opaque   labor   market   may   be   at   fault,   with   no   institutional   mechanism   to   enable   the   exchange   of   information  between  labor  demand  and  supply.     A   more   rigorous   analysis   confirms   that   more   experience   and   skills,   as   well   as   access   to   inputs,   are   associated   with   better   performance.   An   analysis   of   correlates   of   successful   self-­‐employed   performance   was  carried  out,  using  three  measures:  revenues  per  worker  (in  log),  revenues  per  worker  in  the  top   30   of   the   distribution,   profits   per   worker   in   the   top   30   of   the   distribution.   With   the   caveat   that   this   exercise   indicates   a   conditional   correlation   rather   than   a   causal   relation,   the   analysis   helps   nevertheless   identify   the   characteristics   and   inputs   that   could   be   significantly   more   relevant   to   improve   understanding   of   what   will   it   take   to   elevate   productivity   and   generate   jobs   in   the   self-­‐ employed   and   small   business   sector.   The   results   suggest   that   experience,   skills,   and   access   to   inputs,   such  as  electricity  and  water,  are  associated  with  higher  returns.     Policies   to   boost   households’   income   –   wherever   they   work   –   are   essential   to   sustaining   and   accelerating   welfare   gains.   In  urban  areas,  achieving  this  objective  will  have  to  involve  the  creation   of   economic   opportunities   and   better   jobs.   A   higher   level   of   education   and   skills,   for   example,   is   correlated  with  higher  labor  income.  In  rural  areas,  the  stagnation  of  both  extreme  poverty  and  income   inequality   observed   between   2000   and   2012   reflects   the   increasing   reliance   on   the   low-­‐productivity   agricultural  sector.  Because  80  percent  of  the  extreme  poor  live  in  rural  areas,  it  will  be  necessary  to   develop   this   sector   by   means   of   policies   that   support   income   diversification.   Such   a   diversification   could   contribute   at   spreading   risk,   strengthening   food   security,   and   preserving   biodiversity.   44  From  Gap  to  Opportunity:  Business  Models  for  Scaling  Up  Energy  Access,  IFC,  2012  /  Developing  Effective  Networks   for  Energy  Access,  USAID,  2013  /  Stimulating  quality  investment  in  SE4ALL,  IIED,  2013  /  Public-­‐Private  Roundtables   at  the  Fourth  Clean  Energy  Ministerial,  CEM,  2013  /  IFC-­‐WB  London  Investor’s  Conference  on  Private  Sector  Led  Off-­‐ Grid  Electrification:  Executive  Summary,  The  World  Bank  Group,  2013   73 Furthermore,  both  in  urban  and  rural  areas,  it  is  necessary  to  promote  expanded  access  to  inputs  (e.g.   seeds,   electricity,   finance,   water)   and   to   product   markets   (e.g.   transport),   as   well   as   improve   the   business   environment   in   order   to   increase   the   profitability   of   employment.   Greater   economic   opportunities   and   better   jobs,   especially   in   urban   areas,   would   contribute   in   reducing   crime   and   violence,  further  improving  the  business  climate.   Another  important  barrier  is  the  lack  of  awareness  of  renewable  energy  technology.  A  World  Bank   mission   visited   numerous   departments   in   Haiti   in   February   2015   with   the   purpose   to   gather   an   understanding   about   end-­‐user   beneficiary   needs   and   perspectives.   The   mission   identified   widespread   lack   of   awareness   of   and   co-­‐benefits   resulting   from   deploying   renewable   energy   technologies  in  Haiti.     The  SREP-­‐funded  Building  Enabling  Environment,  Capacities  and  Skills  for  Renewable  Energy  Scale-­‐ up   Project   will   focus   on   building   capacities   and   skills,   working   closely   with   academia.   Where   feasible,   the   remaining   SREP-­‐funded   projects   will   integrate   learning   and   capacity   building   activities,  and  where  relevant  and  feasible  involve  universities  in  implementation.     74 11  RISK  ASSESSMENT   The   overall   implementation   risk   of   the   SREP-­‐Haiti   Investment   Plan   (IP)   is   assessed   as   Moderate   to   High   –   mostly   due   to   overall   country   political   and   governance   risks.   Table   14   presents   the   main   identified   risks   and   mitigation   measures   used   to   ensure   successful   implementation   of   the   program.   Appropriate   corrective   and   supportive   measures   will   be   put   in   place   during  the  formulation  and  implementation  of  the  IP  in  light  of  the  lessons  that  will  have  been  drawn  from  the  activities.   Guidance  from  members  of  the  SREP  Steering  Committee  will  be  actively  and  regularly  sought  to  ensure  that  good  practices   are  always  adopted.     TABLE  14.  MAIN  IDENTIFIED  RISKS  AND  MITIGATION  MEASURES  USED  TO  ENSURE  SUCCESSFUL  IMPLEMENTATION  OF  SREP-­‐HAITI     Risk  type     Description     Mitigation  measure     Residual  risk     Technical Solar PV and other renewable-energy, mini-grid technologies and gridconnected RE technologies (solar, wind, hydro) may not work as intended. Grid-connected solar, wind and hydro technologies are mature, with Low decades of experience worldwide. Grid-connected intermittent renewables cannot be connected to the grid due to grid’s low capacity and reliability. WB is supporting a study that analyzes optimal ways of integrating Low renewable energy into EDH grid. Findings of the study will inform both how much intermittent renewables the grid can absorb, which sites are most suitable for injecting the power to the grid, and what kind of grid improvements are needed to ensure grid reliability. Detailed feasibility studies and mini-grid and off-grid projects currently under way will provide additional site-specific information and valuable lessons learned for fine-tuning designs. For off-grid renewables, comprehensive TA and capacity building to project developers will be offered. The SREP program will be developed through learning by doing approach. It is envisaged that SREP investments will be used for several smaller, sequential renewable energy investments in order to minimize the risks of grid absorption of larger scale intermittent renewables and to promote learning by both the Government and the private sector. Maintenance and operation failures. EDH has had challenges with the maintenance of assets. Therefore, High the proposed SREP investments will establish specific mechanisms for supporting maintenance and overall sustainability of investments. These include: Reliance on private sector for both investing and operating SREP renewable energy projects (both grid and off-grid), with PPPs structured to provide both incentives and contractual obligations to private sector to sustainably operate and maintain the assets. Trained managers and operators will be required at all facilities. In off-grid projects, long-term maintenance contracts will be required. For individual systems, provision of after sale services will be a condition for support. Training of technicians will be expanded. River/stream flow data quality Resource availability will be confirmed during feasibility studies, Moderate and adequacy are uncertain. including sensitivity analysis for hydrology changes Hydrology affected by climate change. Risk of price rise in biomass fuel will be mitigated by project developers having long-term supply contracts for a portion of their fuel needs, as well as directly controlling access to a portion of Biomass fuel availability can requirements through their own fuelwood plantations. become limited and prices rise after investments are made. Wind resource data quality and adequacy are uncertain. Financial Mini-grid and solar off-grid customers have limited ability to pay or will not pay. Willingness-to-pay and market studies have been carried out in the Moderate framework of the preparation of the IP. The surveys confirmed a fairly high willingness to pay for electricity (about US$30 per month on average, but with significant differences across regions and types of customers). To accommodate different willingness to pay, SREP will 76 support a wide range of technologies and business models, which will cater to different market segments with varying willingness to pay – from solar lanterns, through pay as you go solar kits/home systems up to village mini/micro-grids. The initial experience of off-grid energy companies in Haiti is positive, showing that rural customers are willing to pay for reliable electricity, particularly if they can control their expenses, such as through pre-paid meters. EDH payment default risk or payment delays The Government, along with the MDBs and development partners, is High keenly aware of this temporary difficulty and is working closely with EDH to overcome its problems through improving its financial position, see Chapter 1 for more detail of the IMF-supported loss reduction program in Haiti. SREP will develop risk mitigation instruments to support private sector investment, mitigating the EDH off-taker risk Associated CTF credit line will not disburse due to lenders lack of interest/knowledge in off-grid businesses CTF access to finance facility is being designed in close consultations Moderate with the Haiti banking sector. There is an interest of several financial intermediaries (FIs) to support off-grid SMEs but successful implementation of the access to finance facility will require a greater degree of de-risking for the FIs. It is therefore anticipated that for the first round of lending, most of the risk will be carried by the Government. SREP risk mitigation facility will be developed to progressively seek greater participation of FIs in off-grid electrification lending Training to FIs on pipeline development and due diligence for appraising renewable energy projects will be provided. Project developers have limited financial management capability. Transaction advisory services and capacity building are provided to Moderate overcome these risks. 77 Institutional The Haitian Gourde will depreciate. Investors already take into account some degree of currency Moderate depreciation risk. The SREP-Haiti will consider offering guarantees to cover such risks Government failed to secure anticipated funding for the proposed projects. Co-financing from the MDBs is about to be secured, and other Moderate partners and the private sector have already shown interest in cofinancing. If the necessary co-financing resources are not secured during the project preparation phase, the projects could be phased, with the first phase benefitting from the secured funding and the second one for scaling up once additional funding is secured. Poor governance; one of the lowest transparency indices in the world. SREP-Haiti program will be designed to promote transparency—e.g. High   development of a transparent regulatory framework, sub-projects will be competitively selected – including the grid-connected renewables, the CTF access to finance facility will be managed by a competitively selected financial intermediary and loans will be awarded according to transparent rules published in the Operating Guidelines. In addition, all projects will need to adhere to MDB procurement and financial management rules. Regulatory and contractual mechanisms are not adhered to or are delayed. Currently, the regulatory framework for both grid-connected and off- High     grid renewables is weak and inconsistent. There is no regulatory agency. The value added of SREP will be in developing, testing and fine-tuning regulatory instruments and building capacities for their implementation. Limited human capacity for project development and implementation. Energy cell is staffed with competent professionals, including Moderate  to   renewable energy and rural energy specialists. Further recruitment is High     in process. SREP program will include a specific project focusing on building local capacities of Government, private sector, academia and technicians to facilitate renewable energy scale-up Clearance and approval are Energy Cell will work with the project developers to avoid bottlenecks Moderate  to   78 High   delayed. Environmental Power-planning capacity gives inadequate consideration to renewable energy development. The SREP will support EDH in improving planning processes to Moderate   incorporate generation from renewable energy, both intermittent and dispatchable technologies. New expansion planning tools will be introduced and capacities of power planners will be strengthened. Projects have unacceptable environmental impacts. All projects must comply with environmental assessments as part of Moderate   MDE oversight and clearance procedures. MDE and MTPTC (via Energy Cell) will monitor according to Haiti’s legislation and MDB requirements. Political Instability surrounding the 2016 Presidential election. Social unrest in localities having electricity supply issues. Social Projects have unacceptable social impacts. The extensive “consensus building” process as part of SREP Moderate  to   preparation and implementation will build a broad-based support for High     the project, and will rely on the dialogue and network developed under the off-grid activities of the IDA project. Intensive stakeholder consultations were carried out during SREP Low   preparation and will continue when projects are implemented. Specific project-level, social-safeguards assessment will be undertaken according to the BME and the newly established Gender and Energy Interagency Commission, and compensation or other mitigation actions will be taken in accordance with the framework and Government of Haiti and MDB guidelines. By providing affordable electricity to more people, the program will promote greater economic growth and equity, including targeted investment activities in rural areas. A focus on productive energy uses and employment creation is incorporated into the program design and will target vulnerable groups (women and youth). Design of financial mechanisms under the SREP will take affordability and willingness to pay into account, supported by information, education, and 79 communication campaigns. Project Design CTF – access to finance facility funds could remain unused due to a lack of interest and knowledge of private sector providers (including NGOs and cooperatives) and financial intermediary / MFIs. The existence of a pipeline of scalable projects. Low  to   Moderate   The interest in FIs in accessing the funds. The ongoing consultations with key stakeholders about on-lending terms and risk-sharing. Arrangements to ensure terms respond to their needs. Provision of technical assistance to stakeholders – including private sector and FIs. 80