(2025-05) Comparative Table of Forecast vs. Actual Customs Revenue, FY2024-2025 (October-February) vs. FY2023-2024

AGD - Administration Générale des Douanes • 2025

Summary — This document presents a comparative analysis of financial forecasts and actuals for the 2024-2025 fiscal year, covering the period from October to February. It details the variations between actual performance, initial forecasts for the current year, and actual performance from the previous fiscal year (2023-2024). The report highlights overall financial trends and monthly discrepancies.

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Key Findings

Total actuals for Oct-Feb 2024-2025 reached 53,106,754,326.02, slightly exceeding forecasts by 308,791,896.53 (0.005% variation).
Actuals for Oct-Feb 2024-2025 significantly surpassed those of Oct-Feb 2023-2024 by 5,510,675,805.17 (0.58% variation).
Monthly performance against forecasts varied, with October showing a -16% shortfall and December an 8% surplus.
Monthly performance against the previous year's actuals also varied, ranging from a -6% decrease in October to a 32% increase in February.
The fiscal period shows a general trend of growth in actual realizations compared to the previous year.

Full Description

This statistical report provides a detailed comparative analysis of financial forecasts versus actual realizations for the 2024-2025 fiscal year, specifically for the months of October through February. It meticulously breaks down the figures, showing the actual amounts realized, the initial forecasts for the 2024-2025 period, and the actual amounts realized during the corresponding months of the 2023-2024 fiscal year. The document calculates both percentage variations and absolute differences (écarts) between the 2024-2025 actuals and its forecasts, as well as between the 2024-2025 actuals and the 2023-2024 actuals. This allows for a clear understanding of financial performance relative to expectations and historical data, indicating periods of over-performance or under-performance against targets and growth compared to the previous year.

Topics

Geography

Time Coverage

2024-10-01 — 2025-02-28

Keywords

fiscal year, forecasts, actuals, budget, financial performance, government finance, statistics, economic data, Haiti, revenue, expenditure, comparison, monthly report

Entities

Direction de Recherches et Statistiques, AGD

Notes

Series: 'Perceptions douanières' comparatif (forecast vs. actual vs. prior-year actual, monthly, Direction de Recherches et Statistiques/AGD). Covers only 5 months (Oct 2024-Feb 2025) of FY2024-2025, i.e. a partial-year snapshot as of upload (2025-05-20), not a completed fiscal year. Only this one comparatif vintage found online.