Projections of Total, Urban, Rural and Economically Active Population

This IHSI-CELADE-UNFPA publication presents Haiti's projections for total, urban, rural and economically active population. It was prepared in the context of support to Haiti's fourth General Census of Population and Housing and uses the 2003 census, earlier censuses, demographic surveys, household surveys and international migration data. The methodology follows CELADE demographic projection practice. For total population, the document applies the component method, jointly projecting population by sex and age using fertility, mortality and international migration over 1950-2050.

It explains the census conciliation process used to evaluate sex-age composition and update omission rates for the 1950, 1971, 1982 and 2003 censuses. The document estimates fertility and mortality levels and structures for 1950-2005, projects them for 2005-2050, and estimates net migration balances by quinquennium before assuming gradual future reductions. Because comparable base data are weaker over long periods, urban and rural projections are limited to 1970-2050 and economically active population projections to 1980-2050.

The tables cover total population by age and sex, urban and rural population, urbanization rates, economically active population by residence, demographic growth, age-sex structure, mortality tables and activity rates. The glossary defines demographic concepts and life-table functions used in the projection tables.