A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis for Haiti

This document presents a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model designed for medium- to long-run development strategy analysis in Haiti. The analysis considers various scenarios related to changes in policies and exogenous conditions to assess vulnerabilities and opportunities. The analytical work included analysis of Haiti’s economic and social trajectories since the 1960s, growth diagnostics methods, and techniques for discovering development gaps and key drivers of productivity. The CGE model results are passed on to a microsimulation model that relies on household survey data to assess effects on poverty and inequality. The simulations cover the period FY 2013-2030 and address counterfactual scenarios related to government and institutional capacity, production and productive sectors, human development, and macroeconomic shocks.