(2016) Une Revue des Finances Publiques en Haïti: Meilleures Dépenses, Meilleurs Services
Resume — Ce rapport de la Banque mondiale analyse le système de gestion des finances publiques et les modèles de dépenses d'Haïti. Il vise à identifier des moyens d'améliorer l'efficacité des dépenses gouvernementales pour offrir de meilleurs services publics.
Constats Cles
- Les systèmes de gestion des finances publiques en Haïti nécessitent un renforcement pour améliorer l'efficacité des dépenses.
- Une meilleure coordination entre les agences gouvernementales est essentielle pour une prestation de services efficace.
- Le renforcement des capacités et la formation sont cruciaux pour des améliorations durables dans la gestion financière.
- La fragmentation des données fiscales pose des défis pour une gestion budgétaire et une surveillance efficaces.
Description Complete
Ce rapport complet de la Banque mondiale examine le système de gestion des finances publiques d'Haïti dans le but d'améliorer l'efficacité des dépenses et la prestation de services. L'analyse couvre plusieurs secteurs, notamment la santé, l'éducation et la protection sociale, évaluant comment les ressources gouvernementales sont allouées et utilisées. Le rapport souligne l'importance de meilleures pratiques de gestion financière pour améliorer la qualité et l'accessibilité des services publics pour les citoyens haïtiens. L'étude a été menée grâce à une collaboration extensive avec les institutions gouvernementales haïtiennes, notamment le Ministère de l'Économie et des Finances, le Ministère de l'Éducation, le Ministère de la Planification et de la Coopération Externe, le Ministère de la Santé Publique et de la Population, et d'autres agences clés. Le rapport intègre également des éléments de renforcement des capacités, avec des ateliers de formation fournis aux homologues haïtiens sur divers outils et techniques analytiques utilisés dans l'analyse des dépenses publiques.
Texte Integral du Document
Texte extrait du document original pour l'indexation.
2016
A Review of Public
Finances in Haiti
Better
Spending,
Better
Services
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
BETTER SPENDING,
BETTER SERVICES 2016
A Review of Public
Finances in Haiti
Better
Spending,
Better
Services
Standard Disclaimer:
This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/ The
World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect
the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank
does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and
other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank
concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.
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Credit: Isabelle Schaefer / World Bank
Photo cover
iiiBETTER SPENDING,
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Acronyms and Abbreviations
AFD Agence Française de Développement (French agency for development)
AIDS Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome
ARI Acute Respiratory Infection
ASC Agent de Santé Communautaire (community health worker)
BM Banque Mondiale
BMPAD Bureau de Monétisation des Programmes d’Aide au Développement (Monetization Office of Development
Assistance Programs)
BRH Banque de la République d’Haïti (Haiti Central Bank)
BSEIPH Bureau du Secrétaire d’Etat à l’Intégration des Personnes Handicapées (Office of the Secretary of State for
Integration of Persons with Disabilities)
CAL Centre de Santé avec Lit (health centre with bed)
CAS Caisse d’Assistance Sociale (Social Assistance Fund)
CDB Caribbean Development Bank
CHE Catastrophic Health Expenditure
CIDA Canadian International Development Agency
CNMP Commission Nationale des Marchés Publics (National Procurement Commission)
CONATEL Conseil National de Télécommunication (National Telecommunication Regulator)
CSAFP Conseil Supérieur de l’Administration et de la Fonction Publique
CSCCA Cour Supérieure des Comptes et du Contentieux Administratif (Supreme Court of Accounts and Contentious
Administrative Proceedings)
CSL Centre de Santé sans Lit (health centre without bed)
DAB Directorate of Administration and Budget
DAO Dossier d’Appel d’Offres (Bidding Document)
DASIP Direction de l’Analyse et du Suivi des Investissements Publics (Public Investment Analysis and Monitoring Unit)
iv
DDP Document Définitif du Projet (Final Project Document)
DEA Data Envelopment Analysis
DEC Direction d’Evaluation et de Contrôle (Evaluation and Control Directorate)
DGB Direction Générale du Budget (Budget Directorate)
DTDCP Direction du Trésor, Dette, et Comptabilité Publique (Treasury Directorate)
DHS Demographic and Health Survey
DIP Direction de l’Investissement Public (Directorate of Public Investment)
DPC Direction de la Pension Civile (Directorate for Public Pensions)
DPES Direction de la Programmation Economique et Sociale (Economic and Social Programming Directorate)
DSE Direction du Suivi et de l’Evaluation (Directorate of Monitoring & Evaluation)
ECVMAS Enquête sur les Conditions de Vie des Ménages après le Séisme (survey on the living conditions of households
after the earthquake – household survey)
EMMUS Haiti Mortality, Morbidity, and Service Utilization Survey (DHS in English)
EPPLS Entreprise Publique de Production de Logement Social (Public Enterprise for the Promotion of Social Housing)
EPSSS Evaluation de la Prestation des Services de Soins de Santé (Service Provision Assessment)
EPT Education Pour Tous (Education For All)
EU European Union
FAES Fonds d’Assistance Economique et Social (Economic and Social Assistance Fund)
FER Fonds d’Entretien Routier (Road Maintenance Fund)
FIOP Fiche d’Identification et d’Opération des Projets (Identification and Project Operation File)
FNE Fonds National de l’Education (National Education Fund)
FY Fiscal Year
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GL General Ledger
GoH Government of Haiti
GPRSP Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper
GSP Groupe Santé Plus (Health group – private company)
HCR Hôpital Communautaire de Référence (Community Referral Hospital)
HIMO Travaux à Haute Intensité de Main d’Oeuvre (Labor-intensive public works)
HIS Health Information System
HIV Human Immunodeficiency Virus
HRMIS Human Resources Management Information System
HTG Haitian Gourdes
IADB Inter-American Development Bank
IBERS Institut du Bien-Etre Social et de Recherches (Institute of Social Welfare and Research)
IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
vBETTER SPENDING,
BETTER SERVICES
IDA International Development Association
IDB Inter-American Development Bank
IGF Inspection Générale des Finances (Inspectorate General of Finances)
IHE Institut Haïtien de l’Enfance (Haitian Institute of Childhood)
IHSI Institut Haïtien de Statistique et d’Informatique (Haitian Statistics Agency)
IMF International Monetary Fund
IMR Infant Mortality Rate
INTOSAI International Organization of Supreme Audit Institutions
KF Kore Fanmi (Family Support – Community Social Worker Initiative)
LdF Loi de Finances
MARNDR Ministère de l’Agriculture, des Ressources Naturelles et du Développement Rural (Ministry of Agriculture, Natural
Resources and Rural Development)
MAST Ministère des Affaires Sociales et du Travail (Ministry of Social Affairs and Labor)
MCFDF Ministère de la Condition Féminine et des Droits des Femmes (Ministry for Women and Women’s Rights)
MDG Millennium Development Goals
MEF Ministère de l’Economie et des Finances (Ministry of Economy and Finance)
MENFP Ministère de l’Education Nationale et de la Formation Professionnelle (Ministry of National Education and
Vocational Training)
MICT Ministère de l’Intérieure et des Collectivités Territoriales (Ministry of Interior and Local Government)
MIS Management Information Systems
MMR Maternal Mortality Ratio
MNCH Maternal, Neonatal, and Child Health
MoP Ministry of Planning
MPCE Ministère du Plan et de la Coopération Extérieure (Ministry of Planning and External Cooperation)
MSPP Ministère de la Santé Publique et de la Population (Ministry of Public Health and Population)
MTPTC Ministère des Travaux Publics, Transports et Communications (Ministry of Public Works, Transport, and
Communication)
NGO Non Governmental Organization
NHA National Health Account
OFATMA Office d’Assurance Accidents du Travail, Maladie et Maternité (Office of Insurance for Work Accidents, Illness and
Maternity)
OMRH Office des Ressources Humaines (Office of Human Ressources)
ONA Office National d’Assurance Vieillesse (National Office for Old Age Insurance )
ONART Office National de l’Artisanat (National Handicrafts Office)
ONM Office National de la Migration (National Migration Office)
PAARP Plan d’Action pour l’Accélération de la Réduction de Pauvreté (Plan for Accelerating the Reduction of Extreme
Poverty)
vi
PaP Port-au-Prince
PARDH Plan d’Action pour le Relèvement et le Développement d’Haïti (Action Plan for Haitian National Recovery and
Development)
PDS Plan Directeur de Santé (Health Master Plan)
PEFA Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability
PFM Public Financial Management
PIMS Public Investment Management System
PIP Programme d’Investissement Public (Public Investment Program)
PMS Paquet Minimum de Santé (Minimum Package of Services)
PNCS Programme National de Cantines Scolaires (National School Canteen Program)
PNS Politique Nationale de Santé (National Health Policy)
PSDH Plan Stratégique de Développement d’Haïti (Strategic Plan for the Development of Haiti)
PSUGO Programme de Scolarisation Universelle Gratuite et Obligatoire (Free and Compulsory Universal Schooling
Program)
PTI Plan Triennal d’Investissement (Triennial Investment Plan)
RBF Results-Based Financing
SAI Supreme Audit Institution
SDI Schéma Directeur Informatique (IT Master Plan)
SIGMP Système Informatisé de Gestion des Marchés Publics (IT System for Procurement Management)
SP Social Protection
SSN Social Safety Net
SYSCOMPTESystème de gestion des Comptes Courants (Accounting System for Specific Budget Items)
SYSDEP Système Informatisé de gestion des Dépenses Publiques (Public Expenditure Management System)
SYSPIP Système Informatisé de gestion du Programme d’Investissement Public (Public Investment Management
System)
TB Tuberculosis
THE Total Health Expenditure
U5MR Under-five Mortality Rate
UAS Unité d’Arrondissement de Santé (District Health Unit)
UCE Unité de Contrôle d’Exécution
UEP Unité d’Etude et de Programmation (Programming and Analysis Unit)
ULCC Unité de Lutte Contre la Corruption (Anti-Corruption Unit)
UN United Nations
UNCITRALUnited Nations Commission on International Trade Law
UNDP United Nations Development Program
UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund
UPM Unité de Passation de Marché (Procurement Unit)
viiBETTER SPENDING,
BETTER SERVICES
USAID United States Agency for International Development
WB World Bank
WFP World Food Program
WHO World Health Organization
WHS World Health Survey
viii
ixBETTER SPENDING,
BETTER SERVICES
W
e would like to thank the members of the Haiti
Country Team, as well as all the partners and
stakeholders in Haiti who have contributed to the
preparation of this document in a strong collaborative
process. We are very grateful for the generosity
exhibited in providing us with substantive inputs,
knowledge and advice. The Team was led by Raju Jan
Singh (Program Leader, LCC8C) and the table below
identifies the full list of team members who have
contributed their time, effort and expertise, and their
affiliations.
We wish to thank for their helpful suggestions
and insights our peer reviewers: Margaret Grosh
(Practice Manager, GSPDR), Sebastian James
(Senior Investment Policy Officer, GTCDR), Roland
Kpodar (Senior Economist, IMF), David Cal
McWilliam (Senior Economist, GMFDR), Patrick
Ramanantoanina (Senior Operations Officer,
GEDDR), and Anand Rajaram (Practice Leader,
GGODR). Mary Barton-Dock (Special Envoy for
Haiti, LCC8C) and Miria Pigato (Practice Manager,
GMFDR) advised the Team throughout the stages of
the process.
The Team is also extremely grateful for the
cooperation of the Haitian authorities and for the
invaluable contributions of senior officials and
governmental agencies. We acknowledge in particular
the following institutions: the Ministry of Economy
and Finance, the Ministry of Education, the Ministry
of Planning and External Cooperation, the Ministry
of Public Health and Population, the Ministry of
Social Affairs, and the Prime Minister’s Office, as
well as the Central Bank of Haiti (BRH). The Team
wishes to thank all the participants of the numerous
workshops where preliminary results have been
presented and discussed, in particular Mme Laleau,
Head of the Economic Studies (Ministry of Economy
and Finance) and Berny Duvalsaint, Secretary of
the PER Steering Committee. The Team gratefully
acknowledges also the support from donors present
in Haiti: AFD, Brazil, Canada, European Union,
IADB, IMF, Mexico, USAID, UNDP, and UNICEF.
A strong emphasis has been put throughout the
preparation of this report on training and capacity
building. Special attention has been put on ensuring
as much as possible that the various analytical tools
and technics used in this document be transferred
to our Haitian counterparts, and many of the
quantitative work was carried out jointly with Haitian
teams. In this regard, the Team would like to thank
particularly all the Haitian participants who attended
our various workshops on the Tariff Reform Impact
Simulation Tool (TRIST), the subsidy simulation
toolkit (SUBSIM), and BOOST, as well as Ibrahim El
ghandour (GGODR), Olivier Jammes (Consultant,
Acknowledgement
x
GEDDR), and Paulo Verme (Senior Economist,
GPVDR) for running these trainings.
The Team is also grateful to a number of colleagues
who provided insights, comments and support in
the course of the report preparation. They include
Lucy Basset (Social Protection Specialist, GSPDR),
Malaika Becoulet (Consultant, GTIDR), Ludmilla
Buteau (Consultant, GHNDR), Pierre Bonneau
(Program Leader, LCC8C), Daniel Boyce (Practice
Manager, GGODR), Michelle Keane (Lead County
Officer, LCC8C), Donald Mphande (Lead Financial
Management Specialist, GCFDR), Deo Ndikumana
(Senior Country Officer, LCC8C), Prosper Nindorera
(Senior Procurement Specialist, GGODR), Maki
Noda (Consultant, GSPDR), Elizabeth Ruppert
Bulmer (Lead Economist, GCJDR), Paolo Verme
(Senior Economist, GPVDR), and Kanae Watanabe
(Country Officer, LCC8C).
Data in Haiti is particularly challenging. This study
built on the recently-completed Poverty Assessment,
carried out jointly by the World Bank and the
ONPES. The expansion in donor assistance and the
availability of concessional financing over the past
decade has compounded, however, the fragmentation
of fiscal data. In this regard, the Team would like to
thank the Gates Foundation financing the BOOST
Initiative in Haiti, as well as Massimo Mastruzzi
(Senior Economist, GGODR) and Leif Jensen (Senior
Public Sector Specialist, GGODR) for assisting the
Team in this process. Our work on fuel price subsidies
would not have been possible without the financial
support of the Energy Sector Management Assistance
Program (ESMAP), and the help of Sameer Shukla
(Senior Energy Specialist, GEEES) and Rohit Khanna
(Practice Manager, GEEES).
HAITI PER TEAM
Global Practice/Cross-cutting
Area
Team Members
Communication Christelle Chapoy, Berdine Edmond
Education Melissa Adelman, Juan Baron, Eva Junyen, Axelle Latortue
Energy & ExtractivesFrederic Verdol
Governance Emeline Bredy, Mamadou Deme, Ibrahim El ghandour, Eduardo Estrada,
Rubens Lacerd, Andy MacDonald, Fabienne Mroczka, Renas Sidahmed,
Gerard Verger
Haiti CMU Gabrielle Dujour, Nellie Sew Kwan Kan, David Lighton, Raju Jan Singh, Paula
White
Health, Nutrition & PopulationEleonora Cavagnero; Marion Cros; Sunil Rajkumar
Macro Economics & Fiscal
Management
Kassia Antoine, Calvin Djiofack, Evans Jadotte, Naoko Kojo, Jan Loeprick,
Julie Lohi, Sandra Milord, Erik von Uexkull, Konstantin Wacker
Poverty Facundo Cuevas, Federica Marzo, Aude-Sophie Rodella, Thiago Scot
Social Protection Carine Clert, Victoria Strokova, Frieda Vandeninden
Social, Urban, Rural and
Resilience
Michel Matera, Rafael Van der Borght
xiBETTER SPENDING,
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xii
Emmanuel Wilkinton fait ses devoirs de sciences à Delmas
32 , Haïti. Emmanuel est l’un des bénéficiaires ayant accès
à l’électricité jusqu’à 23 heures et peut maintenant étudier
facilement chaque soir.
Photo : Dominic Chavez / Banque Mondiale
xiiiBETTER SPENDING,
BETTER SERVICES
Acronyms and Abbreviations..........................................................................iii
Acknowledgement. .............................................................................................ix
Executive Summary.............................................................................................xxv
CHAPTER 1 Country Profile...........................................................................1
A. Haiti Has Opportunities ….........................................................................................1
B. … Hampered by Political Instability and Natural Disasters................................... 2
C. … As Well as Weak Structural Policies and Institutions......................................... 2
CHAPTER 2 Living With Tighter Budget Constraints.......................... 9
A. Macroeconomic Stability Has Been Maintained …................................................. 9
B. … With Greater Revenue Mobilization and a Surge in Aid.................................... 10
C. … Allowing Higher Public Spending.........................................................................12
D. … Despite Widening Deficits, Debt is Expected to Remain Sustainable …......... 13
E. … But Financing Constraints Are Becoming Tighter............................................. 17
F. … While Natural Disasters Would Call for Larger Fiscal Buffers.......................... 17
CHAPTER 3 Protecting Priority Spending................................................. 19
A. Haiti Has a Vision Calling for Higher Human and Physical Capital …................ 19
B. … Reflected in the Rise in Public Investment …..................................................... 24
C. … And Greater Priority Given to Social Sectors …................................................. 26
Contents
xiv
D. … But Haiti’s Inclusiveness Remains Limited........................................................... 29
CHAPTER 4 TOWARDS GREATER AND MORE
EQUITABLE REVENUE MOBILIZATION......................................................... 31
A. Despite Some Increase, Revenue Mobilization Remains Low and Regressive…. 31
B. … With Exemptions and Ill-Designed Tax Brackets Eroding Direct Taxes…..... 34
C. … And Indirect Taxes Hampered by Weak Revenue Administration
and Unclear Exemptions..............................................................................................40
D. … But Could Be Bolstered By a Simple VAT............................................................42
E. … And Taxes on International Trade Could Be Streamlined................................. 44
CHAPTER 5 GETTING A GREATER GROWTH DIVIDEND
FROM PUBLIC INVESTMENT............................................................................51
A. High Public Investment Doesn’t Translate into Faster Growth in Haiti…............ 51
B. … Because of an Overly Elaborate and Rarely Respected
Regulatory Framework.................................................................................................56
C. … Little Strategic Guidance to Select Projects.......................................................... 57
D. … A Budgeting Process That is Not Followed.......................................................... 60
E. … Weak Procurement…..............................................................................................63
F. … Fragmented Project Execution and Administration…....................................... 65
G. … Limited Physical and Financial Monitoring….................................................... 69
H. … And a Lack of Ex-post Evaluation (Project Auditing and Evaluation)............. 72
CHAPTER 6 Increasing Sustainability and Improving
Further Health Outcomes...............................................................................75
A. Although Low, Health Indicators Have Improved ….............................................. 75
B. … But Disparities Remain …......................................................................................79
C. … With Relatively High Health Spending Financed by Donors............................ 81
D. … Access to Health Is Limited Especially For the Poor …..................................... 83
E. … And Public Spending Is Not Geared to Better Services...................................... 85
CHAPTER 7 KEEPING CHILDREN IN SCHOOL
AND IMPROVING EDUCATION OUTCOMES............................................... 99
A. Despite Progress, Education Outcomes are Low …................................................. 99
B. … Driven by a Greater Education Supply from the Non-Public Sector ….......... 103
xvBETTER SPENDING,
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C. … While Public Spending Has Been Recently Rising …........................................ 104
D. … Its Composition Is Not Conducive to Better Services …................................... 107
E. … With Cost Remaining a Main Obstacle to Access…........................................... 109
F. … And Disparities across Regions and Poor Services............................................. 110
CHAPTER 8 TOWARDS A MORE EFFECTIVE
AND BETTER TARGETED SOCIAL PROTECTION SYSTEM....................... 113
A. Growing Investments in Social Safety Nets...............................................................113
B. … Needed By A Vulnerable Population …...............................................................117
C. … But Too Fragmented …..........................................................................................120
D. … Too Small ….............................................................................................................122
E. … Not Well Targeted …...............................................................................................127
F. … And of Limited Impact...........................................................................................131
CHAPTER 9 PREVENTING A RETURN OF FUEL SUBSIDIES.................... 135
A. Fuel Price Subsidies Implied a Heavy Burden on the Budget…............................. 135
B. … Are Regressive…......................................................................................................138
C. … And Could Return...................................................................................................146
Concluding Observations. ................................................................................149
References.............................................................................................................153
xvi
List of Annexes
Annex 1 : PIM Process Flowcharts.................................................................................166
Annex 2 : Correlates with Enrollment............................................................................171
Annex 3 : Correlates with Overage Status......................................................................172
Annex 4 : EDE PEP Programs: A Glossary....................................................................173
Annex 5 : Price Structure for Petroleum Products (2010/2011)................................. 175
List of Boxes
Box 2.1 : Electricité d’Haiti...............................................................................................15
Box 2.2 : Petrocaribe and Haiti........................................................................................16
Box 3.1 : Benchmarking the Drivers of Shared Prosperity:
An Application to Haiti. ...................................................................................22
Box 3.2 : Fiscal Data Challenges......................................................................................27
Box 4.1 : International Experience with Tax Incentives............................................... 35
Box 4.2 : Removing Nuisance Taxes................................................................................37
Box 4.3 : The CATT Methodology for Benchmarking Customs Performance......... 42
Box 4.4 : The World Bank’s Tariff Reform Impact Simulation Tool (TRIST)............ 48
Box 5.1 : Common Features of PIM in Donor-Dependent Countries....................... 54
Box 5.2 : Haiti Legislative Framework............................................................................56
Box 5.3 : The Share of Recurrent Expenditures in Investment Projects..................... 61
Box 5.4 : INTOSAI Conditions Supporting Corruption.............................................. 65
Box 5.5 : Project Completion...........................................................................................74
Box 6.1 : Health Care Provision in Haiti........................................................................86
Box 6.2 : Definitions of Operating Budget Terms......................................................... 88
Box 6.3 : Definition of Technical Efficiency...................................................................94
Box 6.4 : More Health for Every Dollar: Results-Based Financing............................. 96
Box 6.5 : The Right Incentives Lead to Measurable Results in Rwanda..................... 97
Box 7.1 : Education Provision in Haiti...........................................................................105
Box 8.1 : Methodology Note on Social Protection Spending...................................... 125
Box 9.1 : The Transport Sector in Haiti..........................................................................143
xviiBETTER SPENDING,
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List of Figures
Figure 1.1 : Annual GDP Growth vs. Change in Government,
1971-2013 (percent)..................................................................................3
Figure 1.2 : Annual GDP Growth vs. Occurrence of Natural Disaster,
1971-2013 (percent)..................................................................................3
Figure 1.3 : Obstacles to Growth...................................................................................4
Figure 1.4 : Change in Governance Indicators, 2004-13........................................... 6
Figure 1.5 : Logistic Performance Index, 2014............................................................ 7
Figure 1.6 : Port Tariffs Estimated Cost Per TEU*, 2009 (in US Dollar)................. 7
Figure 1.7 : Electric Power Consumption, 2011......................................................... 8
Figure 2.1 : Inflation, 2004-14.......................................................................................10
Figure 2.2 : Gross International Reserves, 2004-14 (Millions of US Dollars)......... 10
Figure 2.3 : Fiscal Revenues, 2004-13 (In Percentage of GDP)................................ 12
Figure 2.4 : General Government – Total Revenues, 2000-12
(In Percentage of GDP).............................................................................12
Figure 2.5 : Public Expenditures by Source of Financing, 2001-13
(In Percentage of GDP).............................................................................13
Figure 2.6 : General Government Expenditure - International
Comparison 2004-13.................................................................................13
Figure 2.7 : Central Government Fiscal Balance,....................................................... 14
Figure 2.8 : Current Account Balance, 2004-14 (Percentage of GDP)..................... 14
Figure 2.9 : Haiti – Stock of Debt from Petrocaribe, 2009-14
(In Percentage of GDP).............................................................................14
Figure 2.10: External Debt (PV), 2014-35
(Percentage of Exports G&S + Remittances)......................................... 14
Figure 2.11: International Aid, 2008-25 (In Percentage of GDP).............................. 17
Figure 2.12: Government Deposits, 2009-14 (In Percentage of GDP).....................17
Figure 2.13: Petrocaribe Financing, 2008-17 (Millions of US Dollars).................... 18
Figure 3.1 : Extreme Poverty Simulations....................................................................20
Figure 3.2 : Economic Magnitude of Estimated Parameters..................................... 21
Figure 3.3 : Life Expectancy at Birth, 2010 (Years)..................................................... 23
Figure 3.4 : Cabinet Changes, 2003 (10 Years Average)............................................. 23
Figure 3.5 : Income Effects of Closing the Gap (In Percentage of the Gap)............ 23
xviii
Figure 3.6 : Current Expenditure, 2005-14 (In Percentage of GDP)........................ 26
Figure 3.7 : Operating and Capital Expenses, 2005-14 (In Percentage of GDP).... 26
Figure 3.8 : Changes in Sectoral Composition –........................................................28
Figure 3.9 : Project Activities Financed by Petrocaribe Funds, 2008-13,
(USD Millions)...........................................................................................28
Figure 3.10: Project Activities Financed by Petrocaribe Fund, 2008-13,
(Percentage of Total).................................................................................29
Figure 3.11: Donors Financing, 2010-12 (Percentage of Total)................................. 29
Figure 3.12: International Comparison - Social Spending, 2013 or latest
(In Percentage of GDP).............................................................................30
Figure 4.1 : Fiscal Revenue, 2009-13 (In Percent of GDP)........................................ 32
Figure 4.2 : Tax-to-GDP Ratio......................................................................................33
Figure 4.3 : Ratio Direct To Indirect Taxation, 2009 or 2011.................................... 34
Figure 4.4 : Corporate (left) and Personal (right) Income Tax Rates
in Regional Comparison (Percent)..........................................................35
Figure 4.5 : Income Tax Rate Thresholds In Regional Comparison
(Per Capita GDP).......................................................................................38
Figure 4.6 : Hypothetical Income Tax Revenue Collection Based on 2012
Household Survey Results........................................................................39
Figure 4.7 : Hypothetical Effect of Changes in Income Tax Brackets
on Revenue Collection..............................................................................40
Figure 4.8 : Results of Haiti Customs Assessment: Distance from........................... 41
Figure 4.9 : Tax Revenue Collection around the Introduction of VAT.................... 43
Figure 4.10: Applied Protection from Tariffs and Inspection Fees
for Four Reform Scenarios.......................................................................48
Figure 5.1 : Capital Investment (a) and (b)..................................................................52
Figure 5.2 : Public Management Efficiency Index...................................................... 53
Figure 5.3 : Public Investment Management Index – PIM
(0=Lowest, 4=Highest).............................................................................53
Figure 5.4 : Four Stages of the Project Life Cycle........................................................ 55
Figure 5.5 : Required Process for Adding New Projects to the PIP......................... 59
Figure 5.6 : Illustrates the Budget Formulation Process for
the Preparation of the Investment Budget............................................. 62
Figure 5.7 : Contracting Methods, 2012-13.................................................................63
xixBETTER SPENDING,
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Figure 5.8 : Complexity in Procurement Processes.................................................... 66
Figure 5.9 : PIP Project Execution Processes..............................................................67
Figure 5.10: Treasury funded Public Investment........................................................ 70
Figure 5.11: Cash Flows National Treasury Funded Projects 2012-13..................... 71
Figure 5.12: Monitoring and Evaluation on Projects, in PIP, 2011-13
(in Number of Projects)............................................................................73
Figure 6.1 : Maternal Mortality, 2013 (Per 100,000 live birth).................................. 76
Figure 6.2 : Under-5 Child Mortality, 2013 (Per 1,000 live births)........................... 76
Figure 6.3 : Health Service Utilization (In Percent of Population)........................... 77
Figure 6.4 : Changes in Under-5 Child Mortality Rates, 1990-2013
(per 1,000 live births)................................................................................78
Figure 6.5 : Maternal Mortality Ratio, 1990-2013 (Per 100,000 live births)...........78
Figure 6.6 : Changes in Life Expectancy at Birth,....................................................... 78
Figure 6.7 : Health Service Utilization, 1994-2012 (In Percent of Population)..... 78
Figure 6.8 : Change in Infant Mortality, 2006-12 (Percentage Points)..................... 79
Figure 6.9 : Change in Under-5 Child Mortality, 2006-12 (Percentage Points)...... 79
Figure 6.10: Change in Stunting Rate, 2006-12 (Percentage Points)......................... 79
Figure 6.11: Change in Diarrhea Prevalence Rate, 2006-12 (Percentage Points).... 79
Figure 6.12: Child Health Outcome Indicators, 2012 (Per 1,000 Live Births)......... 81
Figure 6.13: Health Expenditure Per Capita, 2012 (Current US$)............................ 82
Figure 6.14: Health Expenditure Per Capita PPP, 1995-2012
(Constant 2005 US$).................................................................................82
Figure 6.15: Public Health Expenditure, 2012 (Percent of GDP).............................. 82
Figure 6.16: Public Health Spending, 2000-12
(Percent of Government Expenditure)...................................................82
Figure 6.17: Health Expenditure, 2005-10, (Percentage of Total)............................. 82
Figure 6.18: Health Expenditure, 2011-12 (Percentage of Total).............................. 82
Figure 6.19: Health Expenditure by Source, 2004-2013............................................. 83
Figure 6.20: Barriers to Health Care Access for Women Aged 15-49,
2012 or 2013 (Percentage of Total)..........................................................84
Figure 6.21: Enrollment of Populations in Risk-Pooling............................................ 84
Figure 6.22: Incidence of Catastrophic Health Expenditures at................................ 85
Figure 6.23: Salaries, Excl. Domestic Investment Budget........................................... 89
xx
Figure 6.24: Investment Budget from Public Funds, 2012-13
(Percentage of Total).................................................................................89
Figure 6.25: Utilization of the Different Types of Structures by Area, 2013............ 89
Figure 6.26: Density of Medical Personnel, 2013 (Per 10,000 Inhabitants)............ 91
Figure 6.27: Density of Inpatient Beds, 2013................................................................91
Figure 6.28: Density of Medical Personnel by Department – Private for-Profit
Sector Excluded.........................................................................................91
Figure 6.29: Number of Beds, exc. Private For-Profit (Per 10,000 Inhabitants)...... 91
Figure 6.30: Density of (a) Medical (b) Paramedical Personnel, and (c)
Community Agents by Location,............................................................91
Figure 6.31: Technical Efficiency Score, 45 First-Level............................................... 93
Figure 6.32: Consultations Per Doctor and Nurse, exc. Private For-Profit
Sector, 2013 (Daily Numbers)..................................................................94
Figure 6.33: Consultations per Medical Staff...............................................................94
Figure 6.34: International Comparisons-Share of Administrative Personnel
In Total Number of Primary Health Facilities (Percentage Total)...... 95
Figure 7.1 : Share of 3-25 Year Olds Currently............................................................ 100
Figure 7.2 : Haiti’s Literacy Rate Is Between LIC and LAC Averages....................... 100
Figure 7.3 : Figures (a) and (b) - Gross and Net Enrollment Ratios, 2001-12........ 101
Figure 7.4 : Youth Enrolled in School by Age and...................................................... 104
Figure 7.5 : Number of Primary Schools, 1930-2011 (Number of Schools)........... 105
Figure 7.6 : Donor Financing for Education Sector, 2010-13................................... 105
Figure 7.7 : MENFP Annual Budget Funded by Domestic Resources,
2005-13.......................................................................................................106
Figure 7.8 : Student Beneficiaries by Department, 2013............................................ 107
Figure 7.9 : Public Expenditures on Education........................................................... 108
Figure 7.10: Education Budget, 2014 (domestic resources only,
percentage of total)....................................................................................108
Figure 7.11: Education Expenditures by Type, 2012................................................... 109
Figure 8.1 : EDE-PEP SSN Financing, By Source, 2013 (Percentage of Total)....... 116
Figure 8.2 : Programs Under EDE PEP........................................................................116
Figure 8.3 : Chronic Poverty, Multidimensional Deprivation and Transient
Poverty, 2012 (Percent of Total)...............................................................118
Figure 8.4 : Poverty Headcount by Age Group, 2012 (In Percent)........................... 120
xxiBETTER SPENDING,
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Figure 8.5 : Key Risks, the Life Cycle, and Social Protection in Haiti...................... 121
Figure 8.6 : Public Expenditure on Social Protection, 2013
(Percentage of GDP).................................................................................124
Figure 8.7 : Social Safety Net Spending – International Comparison,
2013 or latest (Percent of GDP)...............................................................126
Figure 8.8 : Distribution of Social Protection Benefits
(Benefit Incidence), 2012..........................................................................128
Figure 8.9 : Access to Social Security by Income Group, 2012
(Percentage of Total).................................................................................129
Figure 8.10: Coverage of Social Assistance Programs and Distribution
of Beneficiaries...........................................................................................130
Figure 8.11: Coverage of Social Assistance Programs by Age Group, 2012,............ 131
Figure 8.12: EDE PEP Coverage (FAES-Executed) by Region
and Program Type, 2013...........................................................................132
Figure 8.13: Numbers of Meals Distributed, Kantin Mobile, 2013
(Percentage of Total Population).............................................................132
Figure 8.14: Benefit Amounts and Contribution to Consumption
of Beneficiaries...........................................................................................132
Figure 9.1 : Evolution of Domestic Price and International Prices
of Oil Products, 2004-14...........................................................................136
Figure 9.2 : Oil Subsidies Costs, 2010-13.....................................................................137
Figure 9.3 : Total Post-Tax Costs of Petroleum Subsidies, 2011
(Percentage of GDP).................................................................................137
Figure 9.4 : Total Post-Tax Costs of Petroleum Subsidies, 2011
(In percent of General Revenues)............................................................137
Figure 9.5 : Oil Subsidies and Public Spending Allocation, 2010-12....................... 138
Figure 9.6 : Expenditure on Petroleum Products Per Decile, 2012
(Percentage of Budget)..............................................................................139
Figure 9.7 : Fuel Subsidies Received By Group, 2012 (Percentage of Total)........... 140
Figure 9.8 : Composition of Expenditure by Groups, by Decile, 2012.................... 140
Figure 9.9 : Expenditures by Groups, 2012..................................................................140
Figure 9.10: Welfare Loss by Direct Effect (Percentage)............................................. 141
Figure 9.11: Intensity In Oil Products By Sector......................................................... 142
Figure 9.12: Effect of Prices from the IO Table............................................................ 142
Figure 9.13: Contribution to Inflation...........................................................................142
xxii
Figure 9.14: Welfare Loss by Decile (Percent).............................................................145
Figure 9.15: Main Source of Lighting, 2012 (percent Households).........................145
Figure 9.16: Households Using Kerosene As Main Source of Lighting,
2012 (Percent)............................................................................................145
Figure 9.17: Total Loss of Welfare by Decile.................................................................146
Figure 9.18: Welfare Losses by Urban/Rural Areas..................................................... 146
List of Tables
Table 1.1 : Frequency and Impact of Natural Disasters, 1971-2014.......................... 3
Table 2.1 : Macroeconomic Indicators...........................................................................11
Table 2.2 : Fiscal Revenues - International Comparison
(In Percentage of GDP)................................................................................12
Table 3.1 : Fiscal Indicators (In Percent of GDP)........................................................ 25
Table 4.1 : Customs Duties and Inspection Fees (2013).............................................. 45
Table 4.2 : TRIST Simulations on Four Scenarios of Tariff Reform.......................... 47
Table 5.1 : Set of Projects Reviewed by Ministerial Affiliations................................. 55
Table 5.2 : Procurement Thresholds for State institutions
(in millions of Haitian Gourdes) ................................................................64
Table 5.3 : Summary of Applications Relating to the Expenditures
and Investment Chain..................................................................................71
Table 6.1 : Maternal and Children Health Coverage by Income Group,
2005-6 and 2012 (In Percent of Population).............................................. 80
Table 6.2. Participation Incidence by Income Groups, 2013
(in Percent of Beneficiaries).........................................................................85
Table 6.3 : Technical Efficiency In Haiti And Other Low-Income Countries........... 93
Table 7.1 : Late Starts, Repetition, and Drop out Contribute
to Low System Efficiency..............................................................................102
Table 7.2 : National Exam Passing Rates, 2012-13 (In Percent)................................. 103
Table 7.3 : Characteristics of Primary Schools by Department,
2010-11 (In Percent).....................................................................................110
Table 8.1 : Social Insurance: Institutions and Programs in Haiti,
December 2014..............................................................................................122
xxiiiBETTER SPENDING,
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Table 8.2 : EDE PEP Fragmentation: Institutions and Programs
by October 2014............................................................................................123
Table 8.3 : EDE PEP Executed Spending (Actual) in 2013......................................... 126
Table 8.4 : Key Donors’ Contributions (Estimates) - Social Protection.................... 127
Table 8.5 : Alignment of EDE PEP Programs with Risks and Vulnerabilities
Across the Life Cycle.....................................................................................133
Table 9.1 : Distribution of Oil Subsidies by Fuel Product, 2009-13
(Billion Gourdes)...........................................................................................137
Table 9.2 : Average Yearly Expenditure on Fuels (HTG)............................................ 139
Table 9.3 : Fuel Subsidies Received By Income Decile (Percentage of Total)........... 140
Table 9.4 : Subsidies (Million Gourdes) Given Different Scenarios
for Oil Prices..................................................................................................147
xxiv
xxvBETTER SPENDING,
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Executive Summary
Objectives
1. Haiti has a vision to become an emerging
economy by 2030. Haiti has comparative
advantages, including its proximity and access
to major markets; a young labor force and a
dynamic diaspora; and substantial geographic,
historical, and cultural assets. Areas of economic
opportunity for Haiti include agribusiness, light
manufacturing and tourism. Recognizing these
opportunities, the Government of Haiti issued in
May 2012 a Strategic Development Plan (PSDH),
aiming at building a new modern, diversified,
resilient, competitive and inclusive economy,
respectful of its environment and in which
people’s basic needs are met. Achieving this
objective would require ambitious double digit
growth rates, a significant break from the past,
possibly based on an expansion of agriculture,
construction, manufacturing, and tourism.
2. Haiti’s growth performance in the last four
decades has been overall disappointing,
however, and poverty remains endemic. A
history of vested interests, political instability,
and natural disasters, as well as poor governance,
inadequate infrastructure and limited skills,
have prevented the country to realize up to now
its aspirations, trapping it in a low equilibrium.
GDP per capita fell by 0.7 percent per year on
average between 1971 and 2013. As a result, Haiti
is the poorest country in the Latin America and
Caribbean (LAC) region and among the poorest
in the world. The overall poverty headcount
amounts to about 59 percent and extreme
poverty to 24 percent in 2012, indicating that
almost 6.3 million Haitians cannot meet their
basic needs and 2.5 million cannot even cover
their food needs. Furthermore, with a Gini
coefficient at 0.6, Haiti has the highest income
inequality in the region and one of the highest
in the world.
3. Haiti experienced a return of donor assistance
and greater access to concessional financing
over the past decade. Haiti has long been
characterized by its very low fiscal revenue
mobilization, seriously constraining its ability
to carry out needed developmental spending
(infrastructure, health, education). A lot of
basic services are provided in Haiti by non-State
actors. Following greater political stability and
particularly the 2010 earthquake, the budget has
benefitted from exceptional donor assistance
with external grants increasing from 2 percent
of GDP in 2004 to 8.1 percent in 2013, peaking
at 12.1 percent of GDP in 2010. Meanwhile, in
addition to benefiting from the HIPC and the
xxvi
MDRI initiatives, Haiti received additional debt
cancellation in the aftermath of the earthquake,
reducing its total external debt to 8.9 percent of
GDP in 2011 and providing borrowing space
that the country used for concessional financing
from Venezuela.
4. These resources allowed Haiti to finance a strong
expansion in capital spending. Greater donor
assistance and the availability of concessional
financing have allowed an expansion in capital
spending, a substantial shift in the country’s
priorities as reflected by the growing share of
public investment: it represented in 2014 more
than half of total public spending compared to
a third in 2005. In line with higher own fiscal
revenue, current expenditure has also been on
the rise, increasing from just below 10 percent of
GDP in 2005 to about 13 percent GDP in 2014,
driven by a higher wage bill: wages in relation to
GDP rose significantly from 2005 to 2014 (from
3.5 to about 6 percent of GDP).
5. Priority spending in Haiti has also increased.
The fragmented fiscal data available would
suggest that these additional resources have
been channeled to the reconstruction and social
sectors, consistent with the decline in poverty
and improvements in human development
indicators (such as in education) observed over
the same period. Overall, the share of resources
allocated to social sectors seems to have
expanded from an average of about 16 percent
of total public spending for the period 2007 to
2010 to about 28 percent of total public spending
after the earthquake, for the period 2010 to 2012.
In addition, 22 percent of donor assistance on
average is estimated to have gone towards social
sectors over the period of 2010 to 2012.
6. The composition of public spending may,
however, not be conducive to better services.
Part of the growing wage bill reflects, however,
increases in support, administrative or security
staff, and not in staff directly delivering social
services. Furthermore, operating costs more
specifically (e.g. equipment, utilities) have not
kept up with rising public investment, remaining
broadly unchanged over the past decade. Without
the needed resources to operate the newly built
investments and equipment, it is questionable
whether the new facilities could be maintained
or deliver the expected growth dividends.
7. Furthermore, despite the recent increase
in social public spending, Haiti’s economic
inclusiveness is still limited. Social spending
remains limited and the delivery of basic services
highly inequitable. Public spending in health,
education, and social protection amounts to 5
percent of GDP, below comparator countries,
limiting the government’s ability to offer
equal opportunities to its citizens. At the same
time, many large spending items such as fuel
subsidies clearly favor the rich. In the absence
of government, basic services such as health
and education are mainly provided by non-
government actors. Seventy to eighty percent
of primary school students attend non-public
schools, placing a substantial financial burden on
households and delivering achievements closely
linked with household income. Outcomes are
equally unfavorable to the poor in the health
sector and only a small share of the poor can
benefit from basic safety nets.
8. Haiti needs now to adjust to tighter budget
constraints. An expansion of aid and
concessional borrowing has allowed Haiti to
increase public spending and catch up with
regional comparators. It has, however, also
increased its reliance on foreign assistance
as source of financing. Donor assistance and
concessional financing represent about 70
percent of the financing for public capital
spending. Social sectors including health,
education and social protection rely on donor
assistance for 45 percent of their financing
in 2012. This heavy reliance on donor and
concessional financing makes these spending
items particularly vulnerable to the decline in
xxviiBETTER SPENDING,
BETTER SERVICES
aid and in international oil prices (which affect
the availability of concessional resources from
Venezuela). These tighter constraints could
put into question some of the recent progress
achieved in human development, making the
country’s balancing act between developmental
needs and fiscal sustainability even more
challenging. In this regard, this report examines
more particularly how to:
i. mobilize greater fiscal revenue;
ii. enhance the growth dividend of public
investment;
iii. improve the efficiency of spending in critical
sectors such as health, education, and social
protection; and
iv. protect the budget from a return of fuel price
subsidies.
9. Against this backdrop, this study aims at
contributing to an evidence base to inform
decision-making. This report builds on newly
available data, including the 2012 household
survey, the 2012 Demographic and Health
Survey (DHS), and the 2011/12 School Census,
to provide a better understanding of the equity
and sustainability issues in the delivery of some
basic services such as health and education, and
engage policy makers and other actors on gaps
and priorities. The surge in donor assistance and
the availability of concessional financing have
exacerbated the fragmentation of fiscal data in
Haiti. As part of the study, a special effort has
been made to partially consolidate fiscal data and
gather a more comprehensive picture of the use
of public resources (BOOST Initiative). Finally,
the document builds on the recently completed
Public Investment Management Diagnostic and
Assessment (PIMDA) that has led to an action
plan to improve the management of public
investment in Haiti. Findings
Greater and More Equitable Revenue
Mobilization
10. While own fiscal revenue has increased over
the past decade, Haiti has still one of the lowest
revenue mobilization rates in the region.
Haiti’s own fiscal revenues have improved going
from less than 10 percent of GDP in 2004 to
12.6 percent of GDP in 2014. Despite this rise
in revenue, Haiti has still one of the lowest
rates of revenue mobilization in the region.
Furthermore, Haiti’s tax system tends to be
regressive, relying heavily on indirect taxes. The
ratio of direct to indirect taxes stood at about 30
percent in 2011, a level inferior to that of most
countries in LAC and to the average of Low-
Income Countries, and is largely explained by
the fact that a sizable share of Haiti’s revenues
comes from international trade. Tax systems
relying relatively more on direct taxes tend to
be more progressive because in such systems the
burden of taxes weighs differently on economic
agents of varying income levels. Moreover, while
direct taxes tend to be harder to administer, they
are frequently seen as an important indicator
and tool of successful state-building as they tend
to create a more direct citizen-state interaction
and voice.
11. With income tax rates largely comparable to
the regional average, a large share of revenue
is, however, lost because of exemptions.
Corporate and personal income tax rates are
largely comparable to the regional average
and cannot explain Haiti’s low tax burden. For
instance, Haiti’s corporate income tax rate of 30
percent is slightly above the regional average.
Exemptions, however, are estimated to have
amounted in 2011 to the equivalent of more than
half of all income tax collected. Most exemptions
derive from the 2002 investment code that grants
15-year-tax exemptions for companies in free
xxviii
zones as well as 5-10 year exemptions for specific
investment projects that are considered desirable
from a development perspective. International
experience tends to show, however, that lower
taxation does not compensate for an unfavorable
investment climate and foster little additional
investment. Anecdotal evidence suggests a
number of taxes that generate little revenue but
impose high compliance costs on businesses
(“nuisance” taxes) and reducing them would be
a better alternative to attract investors.
12. The top personal income tax rate seems to
apply only to very few taxpayers. While top
income tax rates are also in line with other
countries in the region (30 percent), income
brackets are defined in such a way that the top
rates only apply to a small share of taxpayers.
There are currently four tax bands for personal
income tax: 10 percent on incomes above HTG
20,000 and below 100,000; 15 percent up to
HTG 250,000; 25 percent up to HTG 750,000;
and 30 percent for everything above that. The
maximum rate is thus levied at incomes above
more than twenty times the national average per
capita GDP, more than twice the ratio for the
next highest comparator country (Guatemala at
about eight times).
13. Substantial fiscal revenue shortfalls also occur
at the borders. The largest share of fiscal revenue
in Haiti (60 percent) is collected at the border
through customs duties, inspection fees, and
sales and excise taxes on imported goods. While
no complete data is available on TCA and excise
tax exemptions, detailed transaction level data
on taxes collected at the border makes it possible
to calculate the value of exemptions on imported
products. Estimating the foregone revenue by
comparing the actual revenue collected to the
amount an importer should have normally paid
had the official rate been applied suggests that
Haiti gave up in 2013 the equivalent of 14 percent
of total sales tax revenue collected at the border,
plus another 19 percent in ad valorem excise
taxes. For tariffs, the revenue shortfall rises to 50
percent and the classification of exemptions in
customs data is insufficient to thoroughly track
their justification.
14. Finally, while Haiti is one of the most open
economies, inspection fees increase the
country’s effective protection. While Haiti is
one of the most open economies with very low
tariffs, it imposes various fees that add up to the
cost of importing goods. A 5 percent inspection
fee is applied to almost all imported products,
increasing tariff revenues by about 75 percent in
2013. Inspection fees in the magnitude applied
in Haiti mask the true level of protection in the
country. Being applied across the board with an
identical rate for almost all products, they are
unlikely to be in line with the country’s strategic
trade objectives that would normally suggest
placing a higher tariff on consumer goods, and
lower tariffs on key inputs and capital goods.
Meanwhile, Haiti is a member of CARICOM, but
applies lower tariffs. Alignment of Haiti’s tariffs
to the current CARICOM Common External
Tariff could generate significant additional
revenue, but also substantially raise protection
and costs for firms and consumers. One way
forward could be to replace the inspection fees
with a combination of higher regular tariffs and
a removal of exemptions with no loss in total
revenue and no increase in protection.
Getting a Greater Growth Dividend from
Public Investment
15. Despite rising public investment, economic
growth has not accelerated so far in Haiti. Haiti
still performs poorly for selected infrastructure
indicators, such as access to electricity, roads or
ports. In this context, high public investment
should be expected to contribute in reducing
bottlenecks to faster growth. This paradox
is, however, nothing new in Haiti. Several
reasons have been put forward, ranging from
[... middle sections omitted for long document ...]
169BETTER SPENDING,
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D. Investment Projects Processing at Line Ministry: From Request for Funds to Check Issue
170
E. Investment Projects Processing at Line Ministry: From Check Issue to Payment to Beneficiary
171BETTER SPENDING,
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Annex 2 : Correlates with Enrollment
School Participation is Unequal-Poverty, Location, Disability, and Other Characteristics
Strongly Correlate with Enrollment
Dependent Variable:
Currently In School
Variable Marginal effect Standard error
Age 0.034*** (0.011)
Gender (1 = male) -0.004 (0.008)
Child of household head 0.026* (0.014)
Disabled -0.499*** (0.109)
Total number of children in household (age 0-18) 0.000 (0.004)
Annual hhld consumption per capita (per 1000 gourdes)0.002*** (0.001)
Household head attended but did not complete primary -0.011 (0.013)
Household head completed primary 0.038*** (0.013)
Household head completed lower secondary or above 0.050*** (0.010)
Urban area of residence 0.020* (0.012)
Artibonite 0.047*** (0.012)
Centre 0.009 (0.018)
Grand’Anse 0.025* (0.014)
Nippes 0.059*** (0.007)
Nord 0.022 (0.014)
Nord-Ouest 0.015 (0.021)
Ouest 0.031** (0.015)
Sud 0.020 (0.016)
Sud-Est 0.047*** (0.012)
Mean value of dependent variable 0.9065
Observations 4,939
Notes: The regression is estimated for children ages 6-14. Marginal effects evaluated at sample means. Omitted household head education level
= no schooling. Omitted department = Nord-Est. Robust standard errors clustered at the household level. *Significant at 10percent. **Significant
at 5percent. ***Significant at 1percent.
172
Annex 3 : Correlates with Overage Status
Poverty, Location, Gender, and Other Characteristics Strongly Correlate With Overage Status
Dependent Variable: At Least 2 Years Over Age For
Current Grade
Variable Marginal Effect Standard Error
Age 0.191 (0.195)
Gender (1 = male) 0.079*** (0.028)
Child of household head -0.206*** (0.045)
Disabled 0.231 (0.167)
Total number of children in household (age 0-18) 0.052*** (0.013)
Annual hhld consumption per capita (per 1000 gourdes) -0.0030*** (0.001)
Household head attended but did not complete primary -0.084** (0.039)
Household head completed primary -0.234*** (0.042)
Household head completed lower secondary or above -0.285*** (0.045)
Urban area of residence -0.192*** (0.036)
Artibonite -0.175** (0.074)
Centre -0.057 (0.078)
Grand’Anse 0.034 (0.077)
Nippes -0.105 (0.078)
Nord -0.084 (0.074)
Nord-Ouest -0.254*** (0.070)
Ouest -0.115* (0.066)
Sud -0.164** (0.081)
Sud-Est -0.040 (0.082)
Mean value of dependent variable 0.5165
Observations 2,380
Notes: The regression is estimated for children ages 10-14. Marginal effects evaluated at sample means. Omitted household head education level
= no schooling. Omitted department = Nord-Est. Robust standard errors clustered at the household level. *Significant at 10percent. **Significant
at 5percent. ***Significant at 1percent.
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Annex 4 : EDE PEP Programs: A Glossary
EDE PEP has been Haiti’s Government umbrella for
social assistance programs since 2013. Its objective
is to allow beneficiaries to escape extreme poverty
and invest in developing human capital and economic
inclusion. Under EDE PEP, 19 social assistance
programs are in operation through the MAST, FAES,
OFATMA, MSPP, MENFP, PNCS, UCLBP and the
MARNDR.
• Bon Solidarité (or Bon Dijan) is a one-time
cash transfer granted to extreme poor who need
immediate intervention. This is an emergency
program that targets [assuming it’s still going
on] households affected by natural disasters.
101
Implementation: FAES.
• Carte Rose (or Kat Solidarite) is a contributory
health insurance program that provides access
to a basic health care package. Implementation:
OFATMA.
• Community health centers. This program aims
to implement community pharmacies providing
basic health care (implementation starts in 2014-
2015). Implementation: MSPP.
• Community restaurant is an in-kind transfer in
the form of free meals, provided by 300 restaurants,
to people in disadvantaged neighborhoods
in the metropolitan area of Port-au-Prince.
Implementation: FAES (resto PEP) and MAST.
• Family planning aims to facilitate the
establishment of family planning health care
101 Bon Dijans and Panye Solidarite started in a period of
emergency after Hurricane Sandy. However, the GoH
kept them as non-emergency programs for the most
vulnerable, hence the change of name from Bon Dijan
to Bon Solidarite.
centers (implementation starts in 2014-2015).
Implementation: MSPP.
• Fight against cholera aims to facilitate the
implementation of cholera vaccination health care
centers (implementation starts in 2014-2015).
Implementation: MSPP.
• HIMO is a program to develop infrastructures
in rural areas (to be determined in 2014-2015).
Implementation: MARNDR.
• Kantin Mobil is an in-kind transfer that provides
warm meals to extreme poor living in urban areas.
Distribution is prioritized for areas that require
urgent intervention. Implementation: FAES.
• Kore Etidyan is a cash transfer targeted to
vulnerable families, with a household member
less than 30 years old attending university.
Implementation: FAES.
• Kore Moun Andikape is a monthly cash transfer
program for individuals between the ages of 18
and 65 living in extreme poverty who have at least
one disability that prevents them from working,
and who receive no subsidy. They must live in
households, not in disability assistance centers.
Implementation: FAES and CAS.
• Kore Peyizan aims to support vulnerable
households involved in agricultural production by
providing a set of agricultural inputs, fertilizers,
etc. Implementation: FAES and MARNDR.
• Kore Ti Gran Moun is a cash transfer program
that targets households in extreme poverty with
an individual over 65 who is not receiving any
174
pension. Implementation: FAES and MAST
(through the CAS).
102
• Literacy [teaching] program (“alphabétisation”)
targets individuals from 18 to 65 who are illiterate.
Implementation: SEA/MENFP.
• Panye Solidarité is an in-kind transfer program
that provides a locally produced food kit to
households living in extreme poverty, in rural
areas. This is an emergency program that
targets households affected by natural disasters.
Implementation: FAES.
• PSUGO is the program for universal school
enrollment. It provides a per-child subsidy to
public and private schools. Implementation:
MENFP.
102 FAES provides a non-contributory transfer of 400
HTG and MAST provides a pension of 1000 HTG
after 20 years of contributions (may be voluntary for
informal workers). Harmonization of the program is
planned.
• Ranje Kay Kartier/ Banm Lumie-Banm
Lavi programs consist of improving urban
infrastructures (according to the needs by area).
Implementation: UCLBP.
• School Meals [or Canteens] is an in-kind transfer
that offers school meals to children during school
days. Implementation: PNCS.
• Ti Kredi offers micro-credits to female-headed
households engaged in a commercial/productive
activity in urban and rural areas. Implementation:
FAES.
• Ti Manman Cheri is a conditional cash transfer
for a mother living in disadvantaged urban areas,
granted on the condition that her children are
enrolled in school. Implementation: FAES
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Annex 5 : Price Structure for Petroleum Products (2010/2011)
2010-2011 91 95 Diesel Kero
PrIx CIF 3.02 3.05 3.01 3.06
Taux annuel moyen 40.66315 40.66315 40.60315 40.66315
Frais financiers 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
Total valeur en douane 3.1559 3.187226 3.145475 3.197724
Frais de vérification 5.0.0% 5.o.o.P,6 5.0001i 5.00%
Droits de douane 57.80% 57.8oP,6 0.00% 0.00%
Frais portuaires 0..32% 0.31% 0.30% 0.29%
Droits d’accise 5.40% 5.40% 4.00% 4.00%
Accise variable 5.30% 5.25% 3.13% 0.34%
Total DTR 73.81% 73.76% 12.43% 9.63%
Prix Ex-douane 223.0541 225.198 143.8016 142..S473
Marge compagnie 6.79% 0.082329 0.053ID 0.054132
Marge distributeur 9.02% 10.44% 8.60% 7.61%
Transport en province 1.21% 1.20% 1.22% 1.20%
MCDT% 17.03% 18.67% 14.97% 13.02%
MCDT 21.84831 24.19457 19.15234 16.93213 .
DTR + MODT 90.84% 92.43% 21.40% 22.65%
Valeur accise Variabfe ($) 0.167228 0.161228 0.098369 0.010821
Pc en $ 6.02 6.13 4.01 3.91
Pc en gdes 244.90 249.39 162.95 159.48
Redevance carburant, gdes 1 1 1 1
Prix final 245.90 250.39 163.95 160.48
Prix à la pompe (Pp) 195 200 162 161
Sources: Direction de l’inspection fiscal, calcul de l’étude
Source: IMF
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