(2011) Projet d'assurance catastrophe en Haïti
Resume — Le projet d'assurance catastrophe en Haïti visait à réduire la vulnérabilité financière d'Haïti aux catastrophes naturelles en permettant au pays de rejoindre la Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF). Le projet a fourni une subvention de l'IDA pour financer les frais de participation et les primes d'assurance d'Haïti, permettant ainsi au pays de bénéficier d'une protection financière contre les tremblements de terre et les ouragans catastrophiques.
Constats Cles
- Le projet a réussi à réduire la vulnérabilité financière d'Haïti aux catastrophes naturelles en permettant sa participation à la CCRIF.
- La CCRIF a versé une indemnité de 7,75 millions de dollars US à Haïti à la suite du tremblement de terre de 2010, démontrant ainsi son efficacité.
- Le projet a contribué à la durabilité de la CCRIF, qui a développé une solide capacité de paiement des sinistres.
- Haïti a bénéficié d'une couverture d'assurance partielle contre les risques d'ouragan et de tremblement de terre.
- Le projet a permis de sensibiliser davantage le ministère de l'Économie et des Finances aux impacts économiques et fiscaux des catastrophes naturelles.
Description Complete
Le projet d'assurance catastrophe en Haïti a été conçu pour réduire la vulnérabilité financière d'Haïti aux catastrophes naturelles, en particulier les tremblements de terre et les ouragans. Le projet a atteint cet objectif en fournissant une subvention de l'IDA qui a permis à Haïti de rejoindre la Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF) et d'acheter une protection financière contre ces événements catastrophiques. Compte tenu de la situation économique et financière fragile d'Haïti, il était peu probable que le pays puisse adhérer à cette initiative pilote sans la subvention. Le projet a soutenu la création et la viabilité de la CCRIF, qui nécessitait un nombre minimum de membres participants pour assurer sa durabilité. Le principal bénéficiaire du projet était le gouvernement haïtien, qui a acquis la capacité de répondre plus efficacement aux besoins immédiats de la population touchée par les catastrophes naturelles.
Texte Integral du Document
Texte extrait du document original pour l'indexation.
Document of
The World Bank
Report No: ICR00001865
IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT
(IDA-H2780)
ON A
GRANT
IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 6.0 MILLION
(US$9 MILLION EQUIVALENT)
TO THE
REPUBLIC OF HAITI
FOR A
CATASTROPHE INSURANCE PROJECT
May 13, 2011
Sustainable Development Department
Caribbean Country Management Unit
Latin America and the Caribbean Region
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS
(Exchange Rate Effective February 2011)
Currency Unit = Haitian Gourde (HTG)
US$1.00 = HTG 37.85
GOVERNMENT OF HAITI FISCAL YEAR
October 1 to September 31
ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
AFD Agence Française de Développement
ART Alternative Risk Transfer
CARICOM Caribbean Community and Common Market
CAS Country Assistance Strategy
CCRIF Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility
CDB Caribbean Development Bank
CIDA Canadian International Development Agency
CRO Country Risk Officer
DFA Dynamic Financial Analysis
DFID Department for International Development (United Kingdom)
EC European Commission
ERR Economic Rate of Return
GFDRR Global Facility for Disaster Reduction
GIRF Global Indexed Reinsurance Facility
IBLIP Index-Based Livestock Insurance Project (Mongolia)
IBRD International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
IDA International Development Association
IFC International Finance Corporation
IFI International Financial Institutions
IMF International Monetary Fund
ISDS Integrated Safeguards Data Sheet
ISR Implementation Status and Results Report
JSDF Jamaican Social Development Fund
MDTF Multi-donor Trust Fund
MIGA Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency
OECS Organization of Ea stern Caribbean States
PAD Project Appraisal Document
PCN Project Concept Note
PHRD Policy and Human Resources Development (Japan)
PIC Public Information Center
PID Project Information Document
PML Probable Maximum Loss
SPV Special Purpose Vehicle
TCIP Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool
TORs Terms of reference
TRE-FDP Treasurer’s Central Vice Presidency for Finance and Private Sector
Development
USAID United States Agency for International Development
WB World Bank
XL Excess-of-loss
Vice President: Pamela Cox
Country Director: Alexandre Abrantes
Sector Manager: Guang Zhe Chen
Project Team Leader: Francis Ghesquiere
ICR Team Leader: Olivier Mahul
HAITI
Catastrophe Insurance Project
CONTENTS
Data Sheet
A. Basic Information i
B. Key Dates i
C. Ratings Summary i
D. Sector and Theme Codes ii
E. Bank Staff ii
F. Results Framework Analysis ii
G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs iv
H. Restructuring iv
I. Disbursement Graph iv
1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design ............................................... 1
2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes .............................................. 5
3. Assessment of Outcomes ............................................................................................ 7
4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome ......................................................... 12
5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance ..................................................... 13
6. Lessons Learned ....................................................................................................... 15
7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners .......... 17
Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .......................................................................... 18
Annex 2. Outputs by Component ................................................................................. 19
Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ................................................................. 20
Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ............ 22
Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ........................................................................... 24
Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results ................................................... 25
Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ..................... 26
Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ....................... 27
Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents ...................................................................... 28
MAP IBRD 33417R
i
A. Basic Information
Country: Haiti Project Name:
Haiti Catastrophe
Insurance
Project ID: P104690 L/C/TF Number(s): IDA-H2780
ICR Date: 05/13/2011 ICR Type: Core ICR
Lending Instrument: SIL Borrower:
GOVERNMENT OF
HAITI
Original Total Commitment:
XDR 6.0M Disbursed Amount: XDR 5.8M
Revised Amount: XDR 6.0M
Environmental Category: C
Implementing Agencies:
Sagicor
Cofinanciers and Other External Partners:
B. Key Dates
Process Date Process Original Date
Revised / Actual
Date(s)
Concept Review: 01/12/2007 Effectiveness: 07/31/2007 07/31/2007
Appraisal: 01/31/2007 Restructuring(s):
Approval: 03/08/2007 Mid-term Review: 07/31/2008 12/01/2008
Closing: 12/31/2010 12/31/2010
C. Ratings Summary
C.1 Performance Rating by ICR
Outcomes: Satisfactory
Risk to Development Outcome: Moderate
Bank Performance: Satisfactory
Borrower Performance: Satisfactory
C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR)
Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings
Quality at Entry: Satisfactory Government: Satisfactory
Quality of Supervision: Highly Satisfactory
Implementing
Agency/Agencies:
Satisfactory
Overall Bank
Performance:
Satisfactory
Overall Borrower
Performance:
Satisfactory
ii
C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators
Implementation
Performance
Indicators
QAG Assessments
(if any)
Rating
Potential Problem Project
at any time (Yes/No):
No
Quality at Entry
(QEA):
None
Problem Project at any
time (Yes/No):
No
Quality of
Supervision (QSA):
None
DO rating before
Closing/Inactive status:
Moderately
Satisfactory
D. Sector and Theme Codes
Original Actual
Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing)
Non-compulsory pensions and insurance 100 100
Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing)
Natural disaster management 100 100
E. Bank Staff
Positions At ICR At Approval
Vice President: Pamela Cox Pamela Cox
Country Director: Alexandre V. Abrantes Caroline D. Anstey
Sector Manager: Guang Zhe Chen John Henry Stein
Project Team Leader: Francis Ghesquiere Francis Ghesquiere
ICR Team Leader: Olivier Mahul
ICR Primary Author: Olivier Mahul
F. Results Framework Analysis
Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document)
The development objective of the project is to reduce the country financial vulnerability
to natural disasters (earthquakes and hurricanes) of Haiti. This will be achieved through
the establishment of the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF) and the
financing of catastrophe insurance coverage from the Facility.
The project aims to allow Haiti to join the CCRIF and benefit from financial protection
against catastrophic earthquake and/or hurricane events. Without this grant, it is unlikely
Haiti would join this pilot initiative that represents the first entity created to protect small
island states from the financial impact of natural disasters.
iii
Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority)
(a) PDO Indicator(s)
Indicator Baseline Value
Original Target
Values (from
approval
documents)
Formally
Revised
Target
Values
Actual Value
Achieved at
Completion or
Target Years
Indicator 1 :
To reduce Haiti's financial vulnerability to natural disasters (earthquakes and
hurricanes).
Value
quantitative or
Qualitative)
Date achieved
Comments
(incl. %
achievement)
(b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s)
Indicator Baseline Value
Original Target
Values (from
approval
documents)
Formally
Revised
Target Values
Actual Value
Achieved at
Completion or
Target Years
Indicator 1 : The total claim paying capacity of the CCRIF.
Value
(quantitative
or Qualitative)
0 $111.1 million
Date achieved 02/06/2007 12/31/2010
Comments
(incl. %
achievement)
Indicator 2 : The total sum insured for Haiti.
Value
(quantitative
or Qualitative)
0 $51.8 million
Date achieved 02/06/2007 12/31/2010
Comments
(incl. %
achievement)
iv
G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs
No.
Date ISR
Archived
DO IP
Actual
Disbursements
(USD millions)
1 04/20/2007 Satisfactory Satisfactory 0.00
2 10/26/2007 Satisfactory Satisfactory 5.14
3 04/07/2008 Satisfactory Satisfactory 5.14
4 06/12/2008 Satisfactory Satisfactory 7.71
5 11/05/2008 Satisfactory Satisfactory 7.71
6 03/31/2009 Satisfactory Satisfactory 7.71
7 10/12/2009 Satisfactory Satisfactory 9.00
8 05/21/2010 Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory 9.00
9 02/13/2011 Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory 9.00
H. Restructuring (if any)
Not Applicable
I. Disbursement Profile
1
1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design
1.1 Context at Appraisal
1. Haiti is highly exposed to adverse natural events (including hurricanes,
earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, and tidal waves), which can result in disasters affecting
the country’s entire economic, human, and physical environment. On average, at least
one major hurricane and numerous tropical storms cross the Caribbean each year, often
impacting Haiti. A major hurricane strikes Haiti every seven years on average.
2. Larger countries can generally absorb the impact of these adverse natural events
by subsidizing an affected region with revenues from unaffected regions. This type of
geographic diversification of risk is limited in Haiti. Similarly, Haiti has limited
borrowing capacity preventing it from spreading its risk over time by accessing credit.
Finally, Haiti has very limited access to international insurance markets. High transaction
costs and the relatively small business brought to the market keep insurance penetration
in the country to a minimum. Constrained by its size, limited borrowing capacity and
poor access to insurance, Haiti is less able to cope with losses from adverse natural events
and lacks resilience to the onset of disasters.
3. A critical need of the governments of small states (including Haiti) in the
aftermath of a disaster is for short-term liquidity to maintain essential government
services until additional resources become available. With low level of financial reserves,
and limited access to credit and insurance, mobilizing resources after a major disaster will
often take months and absorb energy that would be better used elsewhere. This translates
into delayed response, financial stress and additional hardship for the affected population.
4. Following the devastation caused by hurricanes in the Caribbean in 2004, the
CARICOM Heads of State requested World Bank assistance to gain access to affordable
and effective disaster risk financing instruments. In January 2006, with grant funding
from the Government of Japan and support from the Jamaican Social Development Fund
(JSDF), the World Bank initiated the preparatory studies for the establishment of the
CCRIF. The Facility was established in May 2007 and started operations one month later,
providing coverage to 16 Caribbean countries, including Dominica, Grenada, St. Lucia,
St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Belize, the Bahamas,
Barbados, Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Haiti, Jamaica, St. Kitts and Nevis, Trinidad
and Tobago and Turks and Caicos Islands. The CCRIF receives support from a Multi-
donor Trust Fund (MDTF) established with contributions from Bermuda, Canada, France,
Ireland, the United Kingdom, the Caribbean Development Bank, the European Union and
IBRD.
5. The Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF) provides
participating countries with catastrophe insurance coverage against major earthquakes
and/or hurricanes (see Box 1). The Facility enables governments to purchase liquidity
coverage that helps protect their budget against the shock of natural disasters. The
2
CCRIF provides cash payout within weeks of an insured event (to date within two to
three weeks) to help the affected country address immediate financial needs. The 16
countries that joined CCRIF at inception are still members of the Facility today.
1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators
6. The project development objective was to reduce Haiti’s financial vulnerability to
natural disasters (earthquakes and hurricanes). This was achieved by providing an IDA
grant to allow Haiti to join the CCRIF and purchase financial protection against
catastrophic earthquake and/or hurricane perils. Given Haiti’s fragile economic and fiscal
situation it was unlikely that it would have joined this pilot initiative without this grant.
As such, the project supported the establishment and viability of the CCRIF, which was
believed to require at least eight members to become viable
7. The key intermediate indicators for the project were: (i) The total claim paying
capacity of the CCRIF and (ii) the total sum insured for Haiti.
1.3 Revised PDO and Key Indicators, and reasons/justification
8. N/A
1.4 Main Beneficiaries
9. The main beneficiary was the government (Ministry of Economy and Finance) of
Haiti, allowing this government to respond more effectively to the initial needs of the
affected population resulting from adverse natural events. In this regard, CCRIF was an
efficient cost-effective alternative to trying to obtain insurance directly in the market or
retaining the financial risk by building its own reserves.
3
Box 1. The Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility
The Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF) allows CARICOM
governments to purchase insurance coverage to finance immediate post-disaster
liquidity needs. The Facility allows participating countries to pool their country-
specific risks into one, better-diversified portfolio. This diversification results in a
reduction in premium cost of approximately 50 percent relative to similar products in
the commercial markets.
Claims payments depend on parametric triggers. Index-based (or parametric)
insurance instruments pay claims based on the occurrence of a pre-defined event
rather than an assessment of actual losses on the ground. This measurement, made
remotely by an independent agency, allows for transparent, low settlement costs and
quick-disbursing contracts.
The Facility retains the first risk layer through its own reserves. Initial funding was
needed to allow the Facility to retain some of the risks and access the reinsurance
markets where it is most efficient. Bermuda, Canada, France, Ireland, the United
Kingdom, the Caribbean Development Bank, the European Union and IBRD
contributed US$67 million to the MDTF.
The Facility transfers the risks it cannot retain to the international financial
markets. This is done through reinsurance. For the 2009-10 season, the CCRIF
retained US$20 million and placed US$132.5 million in the reinsurance market and in
a catastrophe swap intermediated by the World Bank Treasury.
The Facility is one of the most resilient catastrophe insurance pools worldwide. The
CCRIF has developed a financial strategy and maintains sufficient risk financing
capacity to survive a 1-in-1000 year event without drawing on more than $20 million
of its own assets to pay claims. Should the total insured losses exceed its claims-
paying capacity; payouts will be prorated based on the total amount of expected
claims compared to the remaining available funds.
The CCRIF was established as an independent legal entity controlled by a Board of
Director representing donors and member countries. The Facility was created as an
Insurance Captive owned by a trust. Both entities are registered in the Cayman
Islands. The CCRIF is managed by an Insurance Manager with the financial and
technical advice of a specialized Facility Supervisor. The CCRIF Board of Directors
is composed of representatives from the donors and participating countries.
The World Bank acts as fiduciary agent for funding provided by donors. The Bank
is not a Board member of the CCRIF, but has participated in most of the meetings as
an observer. It retains certain control in the initial phase on the use of donor funds as
the trustee of the IDA-administrated MDTF. The Grant Agreement with CCRIF sets
forth the terms and conditions under which grant funds are provided and how those
funds can be used.
Insured countries pay an annual premium commensurate with their own specific
risk exposure. Parametric insurance products are priced for each country based on
the individual country risk profile. Annual premiums vary from US$200,000 to US$4
million, for coverage ranging from US$5 million to US$60 million per peril.
4
1.5 Original Components
10. The proposed project provided the Borrower with insurance coverage against
natural disasters (earthquakes and hurricanes). The project financed the participation fee
and the annual country-specific insurance premiums (100 percent of the premium for the
first two years and 50 percent of the premium for the third year) necessary to join and
obtain annual coverage from the CCRIF.
11. The IDA financing was provided in four installments issued to CCRIF at the
request of Haiti’s Ministry of Economy and Finance. The financing was withdrawn by
the Borrower from its grant account for direct payment into the Facility. The project
included the following two components: (a) payment of participation fee and (b)
contribution to annual insurance premium for the first three years.
Component 1: Payment of the participation fee to the CCRIF
12. This component financed Haiti’s participation fee, which needed to be at least
equal to its annual premium. The IDA contribution to the participation fees is
summarized in Table 1.
Table 1: IDA Contribution to Estimated Participation Fees (US$m)
Participation Fee
Estimated (in the PAD) Actual
Haiti 2.57 2.57
TOTAL 2.57 2.57
Component 2: Payment of annual insurance premium
13. This component financed 100 percent of Haiti’s annual insurance premium for the
first two years (2007-08 and 2008-09) and half for the third year (2009-10). Insurance
premiums paid are detailed in Table 2.
Table 2: IDA Contribution to Annual Insurance Premium (US$m)
2007 2008 2009 TOTAL
Est. Actual Est. Actual Est. Actual Est. Actual
Haiti 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.57 1.285 1.285 6.425 6.425
TOTAL 2.57 2.57 2.57 2.57 1.285 1.285 6.425 6.425
5
1.6 Original Components
14. Components were not revised during the project execution.
1.7 Other significant changes
15. None
2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes
2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry
16. Lessons from earlier operations, including the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool
and previous attempts at designing catastrophe pools for the Caribbean region and
developing parametric insurance solutions were taken into account in the preparation of
this operation.
Need for initial reserves: Previous experience in setting up insurance pools
shows that there is a need for a minimum level of reserves in the pool to make it
financially sustainable over the long run. Insufficient reserves in the CCRIF
would have lead to over-dependence on costly risk transfer instruments, reducing
the capacity of the Facility to increase its reserves overtime. Initial donor
contributions of US$67.4 million helped put the CCRIF on sound financial track
from the beginning by reimbursing the CCRIF for certain administrative,
operational, R & D, and communications costs and for claims paid within its own
risk retention. The expectation was for the CCRIF to build up its reserves to
US$100 million within five years.
Need for state-of-the-art catastrophe risk modeling: With financing from the
Government of Japan, support from JSDF, and specialized consultants the team
built a sophisticated catastrophe risk mode for Haiti and for the region as a whole.
This was essential to ensure the sound design and pricing of the parametric
(earthquake and hurricane) insurance products that the CCRIF was to offer.
Need for transparency: The CCRIF’s country-specific catastrophe risk
models allow for the transparent pricing of catastrophe insurance products. The
pricing formula take into account the specific risk profile of each country.
The need for early involvement of donor and extensive consultation with
member countries: The task team engaged early-on in a gradual process of
consultation and workshops with donors, officials and experts from the region to
ensure that the CCRIF initiative would be tailored to the needs of the client
countries and well understood.
Critical business volume: A minimum number of countries, estimated at
eight, was required to ensure that the Facility would have the diversification in its
portfolio necessary to offer competitive and affordable pricing on the coverage
provided. The IDA-financing under this project ensured that the poorest countries
in the region could join the Facility at its inception.
6
2.2 Implementation
17. The grant proceeds were transferred annually from the Bank to the CCRIF
account at the request of the Haitian Ministry of Economy and Finance. To effect the
transfer, the Ministry of Economy and Finance submitted a withdrawal application for the
value of the participation fee and/or premium. The value dates of the direct payments to
the CCRIF of the grant proceeds for the IDA-contribution to the beneficiary country’s
participation fee and annual insurance premiums are presented in Table 3.
Table 3: Value Date of Direct Payment of IDA Contribution to Participation fee and
Annual Insurance Premiums
2007 2008 2009
Haiti August 17 June 11 June 3
18. The CCRIF insurance policy period, that is the period during which Haiti is
insured, is from June 1 to May 31 of the following year. Standard insurance contracts are
effective once the premium is paid.
19. In close collaboration with the Facility Supervisor, the Bank liaised with Haiti’s
Ministry of Economy and Finance and the CCRIF to ensure that the premium payments
were made on time and the insurance policy issued by the start of the season.
20. Haiti availed itself of financing from CIDA (via the CDB) to cover the 50 percent
portion of its 2008-2009 premium not paid by IDA. This was consistent with the
expectation in the PAD that Haiti would, given its severe and ongoing fiscal constraints,
need to continue to rely on donor support for payment of its premiums. The IDA
contribution that year could only be processed once Haiti had paid the other half of the
premium. Largely because of this, the direct payment of the IDA-contribution to the
CCRIF for Haiti occurred after the date of June 1. To avoid lapse in coverage, CCRIF
established a premium payment warranty in place until the premium was collected, so
that the insurance coverage started on June 1.
2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization
21. Following the results monitoring framework approved in the Project Appraisal
Document (PAD), the Bank conducted in depth reviews of the CCRIF’s first, second and
third years of operations, including interview with CCRIF members, donors, other
stakeholders and CCRIF Directors and service providers.. The Bank regularly reviewed
the CCRIF’S annual reports including its unaudited and audited financial statements. In
addition, the Bank attended nearly all CCRIF Board meetings as an observer.
2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance
22. The project was classified under category C.
7
23. Due to the specifics of the project components and implementation arrangements,
most standard fiduciary requirements and procedures did not apply to the project.
Because the IDA disbursements went directly to CCRIF’s account, Haiti’s participation
in project financial management was limited to the annual submission of a withdrawal
application requesting direct payment from the World Bank to the CCRIF. The Ministry
of Economy and Finance had sufficient capacity to do so. The Bank closely monitored
the project implementation process to ensure that payments were requested and processed
on time. A financial supervision mission to the CCRIF Insurance Manager’s office in the
Cayman Islands verified his capacity to ensure that the IDA disbursements were used for
their intended purposes. The project components did not finance works or consulting
services and the only contracts were the participation and annual insurance contracts
between the CCRIF and Haiti. Thus, there was no need for a procurement plan.
2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase
24. The Bank will continue to supervise the CCRIF until the IDA-administered
MDTF is fully disbursed. As of the end of January 2011, $4.1 million remained available
to CCRIF under its Grant Agreement. An additional $1 million remained in the MDTF
which has not yet been transferred to the Grant Agreement.
3. Assessment of Outcomes
3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation
25. The Bank has been working with the GoH over the past years on the
implementation of an Emergency Recovery and Disaster Management Project, aimed at
reducing the country’s physical vulnerability and strengthening their emergency
management capacity. This project complemented ongoing activities in disaster risk
management in Haiti at the time.
26. In the higher-level strategic context, the project contributed to the objective
spelled out in Section IV of the Millennium Development Goals, underscoring the need
“to intensify our collective effort to reduce the number and effects of natural and man-
made disasters.”
27. Haiti was affected by a January 12, 2010, earthquake of sufficient magnitude to
trigger a payout under its CCRIF policy. In this case, the payout from CCRIF, which was
made only two weeks after the disaster, achieved its objective of helping the country to
address the immediate financial impact of the disaster.
8
3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives
28. The project development objective was to reduce Haiti’s financial vulnerability to
natural disasters (earthquakes and hurricanes). This objective was to be achieved by
providing financing to allow Haiti to join the CCRIF and purchase financial protection
against catastrophic earthquake and/or hurricane events.
29. The IDA grant allowed Haiti to join the CCRIF from its onset, thus contributing
to the Facility’s viability. More specifically, the IDA grant financed Haiti’s participation
fee and 100 percent of its premiums for hurricane and earthquake insurance for 2007-
2008 and 2008-2009, and 50 percent of this premium for 2009-2010. This achieved the
PDO because, by joining the CCRIF and purchasing insurance, Haiti reduced its financial
vulnerability to hurricanes and earthquakes.
30. CCRIF’s payout to Haiti (US$7,753,579) on January 26, 2010, two weeks
following the January 12, 2010, earthquake, has shown the effectiveness of CCRIF
insurance in terms of reducing Haiti’s financial vulnerability to natural disasters.
31. The Project also achieved its intermediate outcomes.
First, CCRIF has become a sustainable facility. The indicator for this in the
PAD was its claims paying capacity. As of end-November 2010, CCRIF’s
unaudited financial statements indicated that it had shareholder equity of
$82.6 million and total assets of $111.1 million. In contrast, the PAD seems
not to have anticipated that CCRIF’s reserves would exceed $80.0 million
(e.g., see Figure A.11.4 page 37). For 2010-2011 (beginning June 1, 2010),
CCRIF obtained $111 million in reinsurance on top of the $20 million in risk
that it retained. With this $131 million in claims paying capacity, the CCRIF
is estimated to be able to withstand a series of events having a modeled
probability of occurring only 1 in 1,000 years. Given its additional resources
(over and above the first $20 million), the Facility is estimated to have the
capacity to pay claims above the top of its reinsurance associated with a
series of events having a modeled probability of occurring only 1 in 10,000
years, although it would need a recapitalization thereafter to continue
operations. In contrast, the PAD did not anticipate that the Facility’s claims
paying capacity would go beyond a 1 in 250 year event over the first five
years of its operation (see pg. 39). The CCRIF’s claims paying capacity
significantly exceeds that of the California Earthquake Authority – 1 in 800
years – which is considered among the safest insurance facilities in the world.
Thus, the CCRIF should be able to continue to provide liquidity coverage to
interested countries for the foreseeable future.
Second, Haiti is benefiting from partial coverage against hurricane and
earthquake risks. The indicator for this in the PAD was the insured sum for
Haiti (up to 20 percent of total losses). For 2010-2011, Haiti’s aggregate
coverage stood at $51.8 million ($35.6 million for hurricane and 16.3 million
9
for earthquakes). This surpasses the expectation of $45 million in aggregate
coverage by project end.
3.3 Efficiency
32. The Bank and the Facility Supervisor worked closely with Haiti to design the
most cost-effective coverage of the insured hazards through the selection of the terms and
conditions of the insurance policies (e.g., attachment points, exhaustion points and
coverage).
33. The cost of insurance (that is, the annual insurance premium) is driven by three
main factors: the annual expected loss, the operating cost and the cost of capital. The
annual expected loss reflects the insured risk exposure of the country.
The CCRIF’s annual expected loss rises in line with its exposure and/or the
modeled frequency of its claims payments.
The Operations Manual of the CCRIF establishes a guideline that the annual
operating costs (excluding the reinsurance costs, research and development,
and technical assistance and broad stakeholder outreach activities) should not
exceed 5 percent of the annual premium volume and the operating costs have
remained within this guideline. In comparison, it should be noted that
standard operating costs in the non-life insurance market are usually close to
30 percent.
Securing capital to cover excess losses is another cost and the CCRIF has
also been efficient in this regard. Through CCRIF, its 16 members have
derived the benefits of regional risk diversification. It is estimated that, for
CCRIF’s 2008-2009 portfolio, its aggregate probable maximum loss (PML)
from a 1 in 1,500 year event was 74 percent lower than the sum of the
countries’ individual policy limits. This means that the amount of capital
which was needed to sustain such a remote event was 74 percent lower when
countries pooled their risks through the CCRIF than if they had gone to the
insurance market individually to cover such an event. The CCRIF is also
efficient compared with the costs its members would incur if they retained
the catastrophe risk themselves, i.e., built their own reserves to sustain the
event – approximately 70 percent less expensive for hurricane risk and 50
percent less expensive for earthquake risk. In addition, due its transparent,
well structured, and diversified portfolio, the CCRIF has been able to access
the reinsurance market on very good terms. The reinsurance multiples
(reinsurance premiums/annual expected reinsurance loss) were lower than
two for the CCRIF’s first three seasons and, although the cost rose somewhat
for the CCRIF’s fourth season, due to its introduction of a new hazard loss
estimation model, it remained advantageous. As reinsurers are gaining
familiarity with the new model, it is likely that costs will again decline.
34. In addition, the CCRIF has been able to reduce its premium rates for its members
by 30 percent since its establishment, because of its growing financial strength, which has
10
been facilitated by the MDTF, low reinsurance costs, and significantly lower than
expected indemnity payouts during its first three years of operation. More specifically,
the premium multiples (insurance premium/annual expected insurance loss) decreased
successively by 10 percent from the first to the second season, 11 percent from the
second to the third season, and another 12.5 percent from the third to the fourth season.
Most of the participating countries decided to take advantage of the improved pricing by
increasing their insurance coverage and/or lowering their attachment point (insurance
deductible), rather than by lowering their premium payment.
35. Table 4 summarizes the evolution of the catastrophe coverage of Haiti over the
first three seasons, 2007-10.
Table 4: Evolution of the Catastrophe Coverage of Haiti, 2007-2010
Hurricane policy Earthquake policy
Total
premium
Attachment
point
Coverage Attachment
point
Coverage
Haiti = = = = =
Note: =: unchanged; +: increase; -: decrease.
Attachment point: value at which an insurance payout is triggered.
Coverage: maximum payout for a given peril (earthquake or hurricane) during the policy
period.
36. Table 5 illustrates the changes from the third season (2009-2010), which was the
last year of IDA support for Haiti, to the fourth (2010-2011). Perhaps influenced by the
January 2010 earthquake, Haiti, reduced its hurricane coverage and increased its
earthquake coverage.
Table 5: Evolution of the Catastrophe Coverage of Haiti, 2009-2011
Hurricane policy Earthquake policy Total
premium
Attachment
point
Coverage Attachment
point
Coverage
Haiti = - - + +
Note: =: unchanged; +: increase; -: decrease.
3.4 Justification of Overall Outcome Rating
Rating: Satisfactory
37. The primary development objective of this project, i.e., Haiti is eligible for
insurance payout (and has received a payout in case of an insured event), was fully met.
Haiti joined the CCRIF and purchased catastrophe insurance coverage on August 2007
and has purchased catastrophe insurance coverage for each of the CCRIF’s four years of
operation. Haiti received an insurance payout (US$7,753,579) triggered by the
earthquake that hit the Caribbean nation on January 12, 2010. This payout is believed to
be the first significantly financial inflow that the country received following the
catastrophe.
11
3.5 Overarching Themes, Other Outcomes and Impacts
(a) Poverty Impacts, Gender Aspects, and Social Development
38. Natural disasters have a disproportional impact on poorer segments of the
population. Low-income households often settle in the most vulnerable areas and live in
poorly constructed housing. With low savings, the poor are also less able to cope
economically with the loss of fixed assets or livelihoods that they are likely to suffer after
a catastrophe. Being more vulnerable, they are also more dependent on government
support and relief and recovery programs. The payout to Haiti ensured that an initial
inflow of resources was immediately available to the government when its fiscal pressure
was particularly acute so that it could continue to pay civil servants and begin to put such
programs in place.
(b) Institutional Change/Strengthening
39. The project contributed to an increased awareness in the Ministry of Economy
and Finance about the economic and fiscal impacts of natural disasters on Haiti and the
role that financial risk transfer can play as part of a broader national disaster risk
reduction and management strategy. It also contributed to build capacity in the area
financial disaster risk management. Ongoing dialogue between CCRIF and officials from
the Ministry of Economy and Finance, particularly at the time of policy renewal, helped
to inform it about Haiti’s exposure to adverse natural events. The Ministry’s
participation in decision-making regarding the terms of the CCRIF insurance policies
(attachment points, exhaustion points, coverage limits, ceding percentages, etc.) helped
build its understanding of the products. Also, Haiti’s officials have had opportunities to
participate in workshops and events organized or co-organized by CCRIF on
comprehensive disaster risk management and climate change adaptation such as the
comprehensive disaster management conferences of the Caribbean Disaster Emergency
Management Agency in 2008, 2009, and 2010. They also had the opportunity to attend a
number of CCRIF-sponsored workshops on topics such as rainfall modeling and the
economics of climate adaptation.
40. The CCRIF has also been promoting the appointment/designation of a Country
Risk Officer (CRO). The CRO would be responsible for the overall disaster risk
management strategy of the country; including the fiscal protection of the state against
natural disasters. This proposition is currently under discussion.
(c) Other Unintended Outcomes and Impacts (positive or negative)
41. As a CCRIF member, Haiti was able to benefit from the CCRIF’s technical
assistance following the January 12, 2010, earthquake. The TA included high resolution
modeling during the approach of storms to estimate storm-related rainfall, wind speed,
and coastal flooding at critical locations such as aid operation centers, refugee camps, and
transportation hubs. In addition, with the CCRIF’s support, the Caribbean Institute for
Meteorology and Hydrology devised simple surface water flow models, which, together
12
with historic basin-specific rainfall data, could be used by the Haitian authorities and
donors to guide decisions regarding long-term resettlement.
3.6 Summary of Findings of Beneficiary Survey and/or Stakeholder Workshops
42. N/A
4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome
Rating: Satisfactory
43. PDO indicator: Haiti is eligible for insurance payment (and have received
payment) in case of an insured event. As noted above, this indicator was achieved. Haiti
benefited from project funding to pay its participation fee and premiums and obtained
CCRIF hurricane and earthquake insurance coverage for the three years since the
inception of CCRF in 2007.
44. First intermediate result indicator: Total claims paying capacity of the CCRIF.
As also noted above, the CCRIF has robust claims paying capacity. With $111 million
in reinsurance, the CCRIF has the capacity to withstand a series of catastrophic events
having a probability of occurring only 1 in 1,000 years without needing to draw more
than $20 million from its own reserves. Given its additional resources (over and above
the first $20 million), the Facility is estimated to have the capacity to pay claims above
the top of its reinsurance associated with a series of events having a modeled probability
of occurring only 1 in 10,000 years, although it would need a recapitalization thereafter to
continue operations, This substantially exceeds the expectation in the PAD that it could
take the CCRIF five years to build sufficient capacity to pay claims associated with a 1 in
250 year event. It also compares favorably with the claims paying capacity of other
catastrophe pools such as the California Earthquake Authority (1 in 800 years) and the
Turkish Earthquake Fund (1 in 200 years).
45. Second intermediate result indicator: Total sum insured for each country. For
2010-2011, Haiti’s aggregate coverage stood at 51.8 million ($35.6 million for hurricane
and 16.3 million for earthquakes). This surpasses the $48.3 million in aggregate coverage
anticipated in the PAD (See PAD Table A.9.1, page 29).
46. Risk to PDO: The principal risk to the sustainability of the PDO arises from its
dependence on donor support to pay its premiums, which is expected to continue, but this
risk was anticipated in the PAD and is believed to be low. Donors may assess the costs
and benefits of CCRIF insurance relative to use of the funds for direct investment in
disaster risk reduction measures or supporting social mitigation programs. It is likely,
however, that the recent CCRIF payouts not just to Haiti following January 2010
earthquake, but also to Antigua and Barbuda after Hurricane Earl, and to Barbados, St.
Lucia, and St. Vincent & the Grenadines in the aftermath of Hurricane Tomas will
provide a powerful argument in favor of the continued to support to Haiti for financial
13
risk transfer through purchase of CCRIF insurance. Support for an increasingly visible
and important Caribbean institution and access to CCRIF-funded technical assistance and
knowledge-sharing programs are additional incentives to continue Haiti’s CCRIF
membership. Finally, the introduction of CCRIF’s excess rainfall product, expected for
2011-2012, will provide another reason for donors to support Haiti’s continued
participation in the Facility.
5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance
5.1 Bank Performance
(a) Bank Performance in Ensuring Quality at Entry
Rating: Satisfactory
47. The Bank responded efficiently to a request from the CARICOM Heads of State
to gain access to affordable and effective disaster risk financing instrument by assisting in
the establishment of the CCRIF. It mobilized and coordinated highly specialized
expertise to design and implement the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility.
This was a path-breaking effort as the Facility is the first regional parametric catastrophe
risk pool in the world. One area where quality at entry could have been improved was
the results framework, particularly the intermediate outcome indicators, which lacked
specificity. For the first such outcome, “CCRIF is created as a sustainable Facility,” the
indicator was “total claims-paying capacity.” The PAD might have established a target
for this capacity, expressed in terms of either an absolute amount of CCRIF assets or the
return period of a series of events it should be able to withstand. For the second
intermediate outcome, “country benefits from partial coverage against hurricane and
earthquake risks,” the indicator was “total sum insured for each country (up to 20% of
total losses).” It was implicit that “losses” referred to those suffered by the government,
rather than physical damage in the country, and to those incurred within the return period
between the attachment and exhaustion points of the country’s policies. It would have
been preferable for these matters to have been made explicit.
(b) Quality of Supervision
Rating: Highly satisfactory
48. The Haiti Catastrophe Insurance Project itself required little direct supervision
because there was no procurement and funds did not pass through Haitian institutions or
accounts, but rather went directly to the CCRIF. However, as Project success depended
crucially on the CCRIF’s success and as the CCRIF was highly innovative – the first
regional catastrophe risk insurance pool established worldwide – the Bank supervised the
Facility intensively. Accordingly, during the Haiti Catastrophe Insurance Project’s three-
year implementation period, the Bank conducted three in-depth supervision missions and
produced two mid-term review reports. These reports and their recommendations were
14
shared and discussed with the CCRIF Board of Directors and service providers, some
CCRIF members, and other stakeholders, including donors and Caribbean regional
organizations. The findings and recommendations of the third supervision mission were
discussed with the CCRIF Board of Directors in December 2010 and a report was
published in April 2011. In addition, the World Bank attended all but two of the CCRIF
Board’s quarterly meetings as an observer to offer guidance and technical support. A
major focus of the Bank during its on-going dialogue with the CCRIF, supervision
missions, and its participation in the CCRIF Board meetings has been to help the CCRIF
strengthen its Operations Manual, notably with respect to the Facility’s governance
arrangements, including financial management and procurement processes. The Bank
sent financial management missions to CCRIF headquarters in the Cayman Islands to
supervise the FM aspects of the project and verify the Facility’s capacity to use project
funds for their intended purposes. Other areas of emphasis in the Bank’s supervision of
the CCRIF have been on supporting the Facility’s research and development activities
and on advising it on pricing, risk transfer, and cash and asset management policies;
strengthening its stakeholder outreach; and structuring its technical assistance program.
In addition to the three in-depth mid-term evaluations, reports to management on the
Board meetings and twice-yearly ISRs were, in accordance with LCR regional practice,
produced, reviewed by management and filed in IRIS.
49. In addition to the above, the Bank, the CCRIF, and CCRIF’s reinsurance
providers conducted a joint test of the claims payment process for a simulated hurricane
to ensure that the respective roles were well understood and that the established
procedures would work smoothly. The Bank has processed within 48 hours CCRIF’s
withdrawal applications associated with all insured events.
(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Bank Performance
Rating: Satisfactory
50. The Bank’s performance was satisfactory at entry and highly satisfactory during
supervision, as described above.
5.2 Borrower Performance
(a) Government Performance
Rating: Satisfactory
51. The grant proceeds were transferred annually from the Association to Haiti’s
CCRIF account at the request of the Ministry of Economy and Finance. The Ministry of
Economy and Finance submitted a first withdrawal application for the value of the
participation fee and the annual insurance premium in 2007; a second withdrawal
application for the value of the annual insurance premium in 2008; and a third withdrawal
application for 50 percent of the value of the annual insurance premium in 2009. Ministry
15
of Economy and Finance officials led the country’s annual discussion with the CCRIF
Facility Supervisor regarding renewal of Haiti’s policies.
(b) Implementing Agency or Agencies Performance
Rating: N/A
(c) Justification of Rating for Overall Borrower Performance
Rating: Satisfactory
52. See paragraph 51.
6. Lessons Learned
53. This project offered Haiti the opportunity to join the first ever regional
catastrophe insurance pool and thereby secure immediate liquidity in case of covered
disasters (earthquakes and hurricanes). It is part of a broader development agenda of
Bank support aimed at reducing the vulnerability of Haiti and other Caribbean island
countries to natural disasters. After three years of operations, several lessons can be
drawn from this project.
54. Risk pooling is effective in significantly reducing the cost of individual
country’s financial risk transfer through insurance. The CCRIF’s risk financing
strategy of relies on a strong reserve base (made of donors’ initial contributions, the
participating countries’ participation fees and annual insurance premiums), and
international reinsurance capacity. Achieving the optimum balance between reserves and
reinsurance is necessary both to ensure the Facility’s financial strength and to allow the
participating countries to access catastrophe insurance at the lowest possible cost.
55. Extensive communication with participants is required not only leading up to
the facility’s inception, but also throughout its operations to ensure that its products
are well understood. Catastrophe insurance is a new tool for many Caribbean island
countries, and thus requires extensive capacity building. Aggressive, targeted and
continuous communications are required to explain the instrument and what it does and
does not cover. Communications need to reach beyond the decision-makers to the
general public. It is important for the public to understand that even though a disaster
may result in personal losses, it may not meet the policy’s parameters for triggering a
payout and, further, that when a payout is triggered it is made to the government for
general liquidity purposes and not to indemnify individuals for their losses. In addition to
Quarterly and Annual Reports and an informative website, proactive press outreach is
important to supplement information provided directly to decision-makers. Technical
assistance activities and workshops for persons from the participating countries can also
build understanding, as can partnering with other regional organizations.
16
56. Catastrophe risk financing programs can help bridge the gap among
Ministries of Finance and agencies involved in disaster risk management. Risk
modeling tools to assess financial exposure to natural disasters can provide loss estimates
in dollar terms that can help Ministries of Finance better understand and compare threats
to their fiscal balance and sensitize them to the need for more pro-active disaster risk
management strategies. The analytical process can help increase interaction between
Ministries of Finance, national emergency management agencies, and hydrological and
meteorological institutes.
57. Even with insurance coverage, countries must continue to invest in risk
reduction measures. An important message to convey in stakeholder and public
communications is that catastrophe insurance is not and should not be considered a
sufficient risk management product, but has to be part of a broader risk management
strategy. While such insurance provides protection against financial loss, it cannot
reduce or avoid the impact of adverse natural events. With economic growth, the value
of assets exposed to natural disasters and the population affected by them increase.
Growth will become unsustainable – as will the cost of financial protection – without
proactive policy measures and physical investments to address the causes of risks, avoid
creating new risks, and mitigate existing risks and vulnerabilities.
58. The use of IDA resources for targeted and limited subsidies can help
countries test and establish insurance programs. In the present case, IDA financing
for Haiti’s participation fee and insurance premium during the first three years of the
CCRIF’s operation allowed the Haiti to join the CCRIF and test its value at without cost
and risk to itself. IDA finance also served as a vehicle to deepen the Bank’s dialogue
with Haiti on its broader and longer-term disaster risk reduction and climate change
adaptation strategies.
59. Rapid claims settlement through parametric insurance is feasible and
effective. Following the occurrence of insured events, CCRIF made full insurance
payouts within three weeks (that is less than the 90 days as specified in the insurance
policies). In Haiti’s case, the payout came within two weeks. This provided a rapid cash
injection to assist the Government with its near-term financial needs, thus achieving the
objective for which CCRIF had been established.
60. An efficient budget execution system is important. The quick cash injection
following a natural disaster is effective only if the country’s post-disaster budget
execution system allows for an immediate use of these funds. Countries should be
encouraged to conduct a disbursement test for a simulated disaster and possibly further
improve their post-disaster budget execution system.
17
7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners
(a) Borrower/implementing agencies
61. The Ministry of Finance and Economy of Haiti endorsed the ICR.
(b) Cofinanciers
62. A CIDA representative noted the importance of CCRIF maintaining, if not
expanding its membership. In that regard, on-going financial assistance to support
Haiti’s annual CCRIF premium would be required and, possibly, to other CCRIF
members that might be experiencing fiscal constraints. Noting CCRIF’s plans to
introduce excess rainfall insurance, the representative also urged that CCRIF consider
coverage of additional perils such as losses to agricultural crops and lands due to adverse
natural events.
(c) Other partners and stakeholders
63. N/A
18
Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing
(a) Project Cost by Component (in USD Million equivalent)
Components
Appraisal
Estimate (USD
millions)
Actual/Latest
Estimate (USD
millions)
Percentage of
Appraisal
To assist Haiti in joining the CCRIF through the financing of the participation fee. This fee is equal to the first year's insurance premium.
2.570.00 2.570 100
To assist Haiti in purchasing
the catastrophe insurance
coverage offered by the CCRIF
during the first three years.
6.430.00 6.425 99.92
Total Baseline Cost 9.00 8.995 99.94
Physical Contingencies
0.00
0.00
N.A.
Price Contingencies
0.00
0.00
N.A.
Total Project Costs 9.00 8.995 99.94
Front-end fee PPF 0.00 0.00 N.A.
Front-end fee IBRD 0.00 0.00 N.A.
Total Financing Required 9.00 8.995 99.94
(b) Financing
Source of Funds Type of Cofinancing
Appraisal
Estimate
(USD millions)
Actual/Latest
Estimate
(USD
millions)
Percentage
of Appraisal
Borrower 0.00 0.00 N.A.
IDA Grant 9.00 8.995 99.94
19
Annex 2. Outputs by Component
Component 1: Payment of the participation fee to the CCRIF
Participation fee (US$ millions)
Haiti 2.57
TOTAL 2.57
Component 2: Payment of the insurance premium to the CCRIF
Annual
Premium
(US$m)
2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 Total
Haiti 2.57 2.57 1.285 6.425
20
Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis
1. While no empirical data are maintained that quantify the relationship between ex
ante risk financing instruments, such as catastrophe insurance and reduced impact of
disaster losses on a country’s vulnerability, previous international experience tends to
confirm that ex ante risk financing arrangements are more effective than post-disaster
mechanisms to finance immediate liquidity needs, because payments are based on
predefined rules and are usually quickly disbursed in the aftermath of a disaster.
2. Given Haiti’s limited fiscal flexibility, particularly in the aftermath of a disaster,
the government is particularly vulnerable to these events, and thus the benefits of
catastrophe insurance are expected to be higher than the cost of insurance. In other words,
the social cost of catastrophic risk bearing is expected to be higher than the commercial
premium, making it better off with catastrophe insurance than without. Consequently,
catastrophe insurance should generate, on average, a positive rate of return.
3. The financial benefits of the CCRIF can be estimated through the reduction in the
estimated insurance premium compared to (a) the case where the Haitian government
would have to buy the same coverage individually; and (b) the case where the it should
self-retain the catastrophic risks, because insurance would not be available on the market.
4. A simple but robust economic model was developed from the portfolio risk model
to illustrate the benefits of purchasing catastrophe insurance offered from the CCRIF.
Precise analysis is particularly difficult for catastrophe insurance where costs (that is,
insurance premiums) are definitive while benefits (that is, insurance indemnity payouts)
are at best probabilistic. Hurricane insurance and earthquake insurance, when available,
are assumed to be offered with a 30-year return period attachment point, a 200-year
return period exhaustion point. The attachment point is the minimum loss required to
trigger a payout, while the exhaustion point is the maximum payout the government
could receive.
5. The price of coverage offered by the CCRIF is estimated through a portfolio risk
analysis coupled with a pricing model. It builds on the catastrophe risk models
developed during the preparation phase and updated by the CCRIF supervisor. It is
compared with the hypothetical insurance price if it were offered individually by direct
insurers. Such catastrophe insurance coverage is currently not available to Haiti.
Hypothetical individual insurance premiums for Haiti are derived through a basic pricing
equation based on the estimated annual average loss, the 200-year probable maximum
loss and the opportunity cost of capital (set at 12 percent).
6. The estimated CCRIF insurance premium is also compared with the cost of self-
retention if Haiti had to retain this risk (because insurance markets were not available)
through reserves. Should Haiti be risk neutral, the cost of self-retention would be
21
estimated through the annual average loss over a long period. This assumption is
consistent with Arrow-Lind Public Investment Theorem (Arrow and Lind 1970),
1
which
states that governments should be risk neutral toward natural disasters and thus they
should not invest in any risk financing strategies that are more expensive than the
expected losses caused by a natural disaster. This theory is in fact implemented by a
number of large developed countries that rely on post-disaster financing (including
budget reallocation and tax increases) to finance catastrophic losses. However, this
theory fails in the case of small and highly indebted countries like Haiti, because they can
spread the risk neither across space (geographic spread) nor across time (inter-temporal
spread). Therefore, the cost of self-retention is assumed to be equal to the annual average
loss plus the opportunity cost of reserves. The opportunity cost of reserve is equal to the
amount of reserves necessary to survive a 1-in-200-year event, multiplied by the marginal
opportunity cost of capital (set at 12 percent).
7. The cost of CCRIF insurance is compared with the cost of individual insurance
(that is, if the country had purchased insurance individually) and the cost of self-retention.
CCRIF hurricane insurance is estimated to be approximately 50 percent less expensive
than individual hurricane insurance, and approximately 60 percent less expensive than the
cost of country’s self-retention. CCRIF earthquake insurance for Haiti is estimated to be
43 percent cheaper than individual earthquake insurance and 50 percent less expensive
than self-retention. This is a direct consequence of risk diversification.
1
Arrow, K., and R. Lind, “Uncertainty and the Evaluation of Public Investment Decisions,” American
Economic Review, 60(3)364–78, 1970.
22
Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes
(a) Task Team members
Names Title Unit
Responsibility/
Specialty
Lending
Ana F. Daza Language Program Assistant LCSUW
Francis Ghesquiere Lead Urban Specialist LCSUW
Olivier Mahul Program Coordinator GCMNB
Supervision/ICR
Carlos Rufino Costa
Posada
Consultant LCSUW
Todd W. Crawford Consultant LCSEG
Ana F. Daza Language Program Assistant LCSUW
Maricarmen Esquivel Junior Professional Associate LCSUW
Marc S. Forni Consultant LCSUW
Ross Alexander Gartley
Disaster Risk Management
Specialist
LCSUW
M. Mozammal Hoque
Senior Financial Management
Specialist
LCSFM
Saman Karunaratne Finance Analyst CTRDM
Patricia E. Macgowan Consultant LCSPT
Olivier Mahul Program Coordinator GCMNB
Andrew Mitchell Consultant LCSUW
Ulrich Cedric Myboto Consultant AFTWR
Atsuko Okubo Senior Counsel LEGCF
Jonathan Palin Consultant LCSUW
Rolande Simone Pryce Senior Country Officer LCC3C
Yao Wottor Senior Procurement Specialist LCSPT
23
(b) Staff Time and Cost
Stage of Project Cycle
Staff Time and Cost (Bank Budget Only)
No. of staff weeks
USD Thousands
(including travel and
consultant costs)
Lending
FY07 11.69
FY08 0.00
Total: 11.69
Supervision/ICR
FY07 3.91
FY08 63.35
Total: 67.26
24
Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results
N/A
25
Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results
Workshops and conferences hosted by Caribbean stakeholders (including four
OECS countries) or by CCRIF itself:
Alliance of Small Island States Negotiators’ Preparatory Workshop
CCRIF was represented by CaribRM at this workshop in Grenada during the period
23-25 July 2009. CCRIF’s presence was requested to review and provide
recommendations into the AOSIS proposal for the creation of a Multi-window
Mechanism to address loss and damage from climate change impacts.
Regional Workshop on the Excess Rainfall Model held in Barbados in
February 2010
CCRIF member countries (including the four OECS) and potential members attended
this event.
Regional Workshop on Economics of Climate Adaptation held in Barbados
in May 2010
Regional Ministerial-level Meeting on Climate Change and Development
CaribRM represented CCRIF at this regional meeting in St. Lucia on 14 & 15
September, 2009. This event formed part of the Caribbean region’s preparation for
the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen on 7-18 December,
2009. The meeting was hosted by the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) Secretariat,
the Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre (CCCCC) and the Government of
St. Lucia.
Fourth Caribbean Conference on Comprehensive Disaster Management
CCRIF was a main sponsor of the Fourth Caribbean Conference on Comprehensive
Disaster Management held in Montego Bay, Jamaica on 7-11 December, 2009.
CCRIF’s involvement in the conference included hosting a professional development
session (PDS), “Hazard Risk Reduction Initiatives in the Context of a Changing
Climate: Prospects for Promoting Sustainable Prosperity in the Caribbean,” attended
by over 60 representatives of ministries of finance, national disaster coordinators and
other stakeholders from throughout the region; and sponsoring 15 participants at the
PDS and conference.
14th Meeting of the Council for Finance and Planning (COFAP)
Meeting of Caribbean Ministers of Finance 27 February & 1 March 2010, held in
Trinidad & Tobago. CCRIF Chairman, Mr. Milo Pearson, participated in this forum
and discussed CCRIF’s activities and operations.
26
Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR
See paragraph 61.
27
Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders
See paragraph 62 and 63.
28
Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents
World Bank Documents
Project Appraisal Document. The World Bank. Report No. 38540-HT. February 6,
2007.
A Review of CCRIF’s Operation After its First Season. The World Bank. December 1,
2008.
A Review of CCRIF’s Operation After Its Second Season. The World Bank. April 2010.
Reducing Financial Vulnerability to Natural Disasters in the Caribbean: A Review of
CCRIF’s Operation After Its Third Season. The World Bank. April 2011.
CCRIF Documents
Annual Reports (including audited financial statements): Available at www.CCRIF.org
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NORD - OUEST
NORD
NORD - EST
ARTIBONITE
CENTRE
OUEST
SUD - EST
SUD
GRANDE-
ANSE
NIPPES
Palmiste
Môle St.-Nicolas
Baie de
Henne
Gros-Morne
Limbé
Ennery
Grande Rivière
du Nord
Saint-
Raphaël
Verrettes
Pointe-à-Raquette
Croix des
Bouquets
Marigot
Petit-
Goâve
Belle-
Anse Thiotte
Côtes-de-fer
Vieux Bourg
d'Aquin
Roseaux
Anse d'Hainault
Les Anglais
Port-Salut
Camp-Perrin
Anse-à-Galets
La Cayenne
Mirebalais
Ferrier Trou-
du-Nord
Saint Michel
de l'Attalaye
Maïssade
Léogâne
Jacmel
Hinche
Jeremie
Gonaives
Les Cayes
Cap-Haitien
Fort-Liberte
Port-de-Paix
Miragoâne
PORT-AU-PRINCE
DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC
Les Trois
A
r t i b
o
n
i t e
Guayam
p u o
ATLANTIC OCEAN
Caribbean Sea
W
i
n
d
w
a
r
d
P
a
s
s
a
g
e
Golfe de
la Gonâve
Lago
Enriquillo
Étang
Saumâtre
Lac de
Péligre
To
Monte
Christi
To
Santiago
To
San Juan
To
Barahona
To
Oviedo
Île à Vache
Grande
Cayemite
Île de
la Gonâve
Île de la Tortue
C
e
n
t
r
a
l
P
l
a
t
e
a
u
M
a
s
s
i
f
d
e
l
a
H
o
t
t
e
Chaine de la Selle
(2680 m )
20°N
74°W
74°W
73°W 72°W
73°W 72°W
18°N
19°N
20°N
18°N
HAITI
This map was produced by the Map Design Unit of The World Bank.
The boundaries, colors, denominations and any other information
shown on this map do not imply, on the part of The World Bank
Group, any judgment on the legal status of any territory, or any
endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.
0
10
20
30
0
10
20
30 Miles
40 Kilometers
IBRD 33417R
JANUARY 2006
HAITI
SELECTED CITIES AND TOWNS
DEPARTMENT CAPITALS
NATIONAL CAPITAL
RIVERS
MAIN ROADS
RAILROADS
DEPARTMENT BOUNDARIES
INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARIES