(2022) Èspektiv Makroekonomik ak Povwte - Ayiti - Fich Done
Rezime — Fich done estatistik ki akonpaye Èspektiv Makroekonomik ak Povwte Bank Mondyal la pou Ayiti (October 2022): tablo konplè pwojeksyon makroekonomik ak povwte yo.
Dekouve Enpotan
- PIB la prevwa kontrakte 1,5 pousan nan ekzèsis 2022, yon katriyèm ane kontraksyon youn apre lòt, apre sa rive -0,1 pousan nan 2023 anvan yon rebon a 2,0 pousan nan 2024 (pri konstan mache).
- Inflasyon an te monte a 30,5 pousan akoz monetizasyon defisi a, pri manje ak karburan ki pi wo, ak ensekirite, epi li prevwa fèmen ekzèsis 2022 a anviwon 26,5 pousan an mwayèn anvan li bese.
- Defisi bidjetè a prevwa vin pi gwo a 3,2 pousan PIB nan 2022, tire pa sibvansyon enèji (sibvansyon karburan rive 3,5 pousan PIB), finanse an gwo pa BRH ak bon Trezò, ak dèt a 27,7 pousan PIB.
- Povwte rete ankre : to povwte entènasyonal la (2,15 dola, PPA 2017) a 30,8 pousan nan 2022, epi kwasans lan twò fèb pou redwi povwte anpil.
- Èspektiv la chaje ak risk desann ki lye ak pwosesis politik la, ensekirite gang yo, ak aza natirèl, ak ensekirite alimantè ki afekte 5,6 milyon moun nan out 2022.
Deskripsyon Konple
Anèks estatistik edisyon October 2022 Èspektiv Makroekonomik ak Povwte Bank Mondyal la pou Ayiti. Li prezante tablo done konplè ki anba nòt-peyi a: valè istorik ak pwojeksyon pou kwasans PIB reyèl, enflasyon, balans bidjetè ak revni, dèt piblik, kont kouran, ak to povwte nan seri entènasyonal, revni mwayen enferyè ak siperyè, pa ane fiskal.
Teks Konple Dokiman an
Teks ki soti nan dokiman orijinal la pou endeksasyon.
SELECTED INDICATORS* Avg. '00-152008/092009/102010/112011/122012/132013/142014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/202020/21 E2021/22 F
INCOME AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
GDP growth (annual %) 2.2 5.9 -5.7 5.1 0.5 4.3 1.7 2.6 1.8 2.5 1.7 -1.7 -3.3 -1.8 -1.5
GDP per capita growth (annual %, real) 0.6 4.3 -7.1 3.5 -1.0 2.8 0.3 1.2 0.5 1.2 0.4 -2.9 -4.5 -3.0 -2.6
GDP per capita (US$, nominal) 1019.71183.71192.01288.01337.31432.71435.31386.81290.41369.01479.21312.91272.31814.61492.6
Private Consumption growth (annual %) 3.3 9.5 -6.7 3.5 1.1 5.6 0.0 4.5 5.6 5.0 4.1 -1.0 -4.0 1.2 -1.1
Gross Investment ( % of nominal GDP) 13.8 12.6 25.0 19.1 17.5 17.5 16.5 14.1 16.9 20.2 18.7 20.3 17.7 18.0 8.5
Gross Investment - Public ( % of nominal GDP)
2
6.9 4.0 17.9 13.9 11.1 10.0 7.3 6.3 3.7 3.7 5.6 1.5 2.5 2.1 1.5
MONEY AND PRICES
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %, EOP or MRV)
1,3
10.1 -2.7 4.3 7.5 4.7 4.3 4.0 8.4 10.7 10.8 13.3 19.7 25.2 13.1 29.3
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %, period average)
3
9.8 5.6 2.9 5.2 5.7 5.3 3.2 5.3 11.4 10.6 11.4 17.3 22.9 15.9 26.4
Norminal Base Money (% of GDP)
²
13.6 12.0 17.0 16.8 17.1 15.0 14.3 16.5 16.9 16.1 17.2 17.3 16.1 18.9 23.8
Domestic Credit to the Private Sector ( % of GDP)
2
9.8 9.1 8.5 9.6 11.5 11.9 12.6 12.2 12.6 11.2 11.6 12.3 9.7 9.4 ..
10 year interest rate (annual average)
³
.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Nominal Exchange Rate (local currency per USD) 38.0 40.7 40.3 40.3 41.6 43.1 44.6 48.6 60.4 65.6 65.4 84.1 99.9 81.1 108.0
Real Exchange Rate Index (2015=100) 95.3 91.3 97.3101.0103.1103.1105.3100.0 89.5 88.6 94.2 84.1 84.5 116.0 101.9
FISCAL
Revenue (% of GDP) 11.2 9.8 22.1 18.6 14.9 12.3 10.9 11.4 10.8 10.4 9.9 7.5 7.5 6.9 7.4
Expenditure (% of GDP) 13.2 10.1 24.5 21.6 18.7 17.6 15.3 14.2 11.3 10.9 12.1 9.5 10.5 9.4 10.6
Interest Payments (% of GDP) 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.9
Non-Interest Expenditure (% of GDP) 13.3 9.7 24.3 21.4 18.5 17.4 15.1 14.0 11.1 10.7 11.9 9.3 10.2 9.1 9.7
Overall Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) -2.0 -0.3 -2.4 -3.0 -3.8 -5.3 -4.4 -2.7 -0.5 -0.5 -2.1 -2.0 -3.0 -2.5 -3.2
Primary Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) -1.8 0.1 -2.2 -2.8 -3.6 -5.1 -4.2 -2.6 -0.3 -0.3 -2.0 -1.7 -2.7 -2.2 -2.3
General Government Debt (% of GDP) 21.5 15.8 9.7 6.8 9.4 12.2 15.3 17.8 21.4 19.9 23.5 26.2 24.4 25.6 27.7
External Public Debt (% of GDP)
2
15.9 10.6 6.6 5.3 7.8 10.0 12.3 14.3 14.4 14.1 12.9 15.8 10.1 12.9 11.6
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EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS
Export growth, G&S (nominal US$, annual %) 8.2 12.7 -1.7 29.1 0.9 18.4 6.1 5.2 -7.1 2.5 6.9 -2.7 -41.5 22.4 -17.8
Import growth, G&S (nominal US$, annual %) 9.3 -2.0 51.9 3.8 -5.4 5.9 7.0 -5.5 -1.9 12.0 14.1 -8.2 -18.5 24.2 -24.4
Merchandise exports (% of GDP) 5.7 4.8 4.8 5.9 5.7 6.1 6.3 6.9 7.2 6.6 6.6 8.1 6.1 5.4 6.8
Merchandise imports (% of GDP) 20.0 17.6 25.2 25.5 22.5 22.4 24.2 23.3 26.3 27.6 29.2 30.6 25.9 22.0 26.6
Services, net (% of GDP) -3.5 -2.5 -7.0 -4.4 -4.1 -3.0 -2.5 -2.1 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.7 -2.2 -2.4 3.0
Current account balance (current US$ millions) -158.2-130.6-128.2-295.9-404.8-515.0-595.8-265.3-267.3-325.0-474.0-169.5 216.2 141.4 -237.8
Current account balance (% of GDP) -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -2.3 -3.0 -3.5 -3.9 -1.8 -1.9 -2.2 -2.9 -1.1 1.5 0.7 -1.4
Foreign Direct Investment, net inflows (% of GDP) 0.7 0.5 1.5 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.5
External debt, total (% of GDP)
2
15.9 12.5 8.1 6.0 8.5 10.5 12.9 14.1 15.5 14.4 13.5 15.0 16.0 .. ..
Multilateral debt (% of total external debt)
2
.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Debt service ratio (% of exports goods and non-factor services)
2
6.8 4.2 12.5 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.0 5.4 1.2 1.0 1.2 .. .. ..
HAITI
See next page for more indicators
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
Public Disclosure Authorized
SELECTED INDICATORS* Avg. '00-152008/092009/102010/112011/122012/132013/142014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/202020/21 E2021/22 F
HAITI
POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT AND POVERTY
Population, total (millions) 9.6 9.8 9.9 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.7 10.8 11.0 11.1 11.3 11.4 11.5 11.7
Population Growth (annual %) 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2
Unemployment Rate
2
13.7 15.7 15.4 14.5 14.1 14.0 14.0 14.0 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 15.5 15.7 ..
International poverty rate ($2.15 in 2017 PPP)
⁴
.. .. .. .. 29.2 .. .. .. .. .. 27.4 28.2 29.5 30.3 30.8
Lower middle-income poverty rate ($3.65 in 2017 PPP)
⁴
.. .. .. .. 58.0 .. .. .. .. .. 57.0 57.5 58.2 58.7 58.9
Upper middle-income poverty rate ($6.85 in 2017 PPP)
⁴
.. .. .. .. 85.8 .. .. .. .. .. 83.0 84.3 86.3 87.6 88.3
OTHER
GDP (current LCU, millions) 394686.4471795.6478044.2524124.0569992.5642673.7675571.5720255.0844479.0986919.11076412.71244014.01449887.51699209.01882805.3
GDP (current US$, millions) 9957.911597.711859.213008.813708.314900.915140.614832.313988.415035.316453.914786.814507.620944.417433.4
GDP per capita LCU (real) 55363.258374.554238.056151.055604.057173.657340.658004.358268.758956.959181.457461.754861.353223.851818.8
Human Development Index Ranking
⁵
158.6 162 165 165 167 170 169 170 170 171 170 170 .. .. ..
CPIA (overall rating)
2
2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 .. ..
Economic Management
2
3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.5 3.3 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 .. ..
Structural Policies
2
3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.0 .. ..
Policies for Social Inclusion and Equity
2
2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 .. ..
Public Sector Management and Institutions
2
2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.2 .. ..
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Notes: ".." indicates not available. E = estimate, F = forecast. Data from MFMOD unless otherwise noted. Poverty data are expressed in 2017 PPP, versus 2011 PPP in previous editions - resulting in major changes. See pip.worldbank.org
1/ Used latest month available.
2/ World Development Indicators Database and World Bank Staff Estimates
3/ World Bank GEM database; MRV = Most recent value
4/ Calculations based on SEDLAC harmonization, using 2013-, 2019-, and 2012-ECVMAS.Projection using point-to-point elasticity (2013-2019) with pass-through = 0.87 based on GDP per capita in constant LCU. Actual data: 2012. Nowcast: 2013-2021. Forecasts are from 2022 to 2024.
5/ The HDI ranking in 2001 is in relation to 175 countries and in 2010 in relation to 169 countries. Methodological enhancements in HDI calculations have resulted in notable improvements in the countries' rankings.
Sources: MFMOD Database, World Bank WDI and GEM databases, IMF.