(2025-11) Suivi Mache WFP VAM | Analiz Sekirite Alimantè AYITI | Novanm 2025

Market Monitoring WFP VAM|Food Security Analysis HAITI|November2025 Key Highlights ❑National Stability: In November, the median cost of the food basket decreased by 3%, from 24,280 gourdes to 23,543 gourdes, reflecting improved product availability and confirming overall price stability. ❑Metropolitan Area Trend: The food basket in the metropolitan area stood at 25,027 gourdes, a moderate decrease of about 100 gourdes compared to October. Despite this decline, it remains over 6% above the national average. ❑Departmental Variations: Prices were mostly stable or declining, except in the Nord, which recorded a sharp 19% increase compared to September and 6% year-on-year, signaling localized tensions. ❑Food Commodities & Market Supply: Food prices generally followed a downward trend, with a notable example: black beans (-33%), despite limited availability in some markets. Markets were well stocked in November, supporting price stability; however, red beans remain scarce, particularly in Nippes, Nord, and Nord-Est, accentuating regional disparities. ❑Inflation Context: Monthly inflation slowed (from 2.1% in July to 1.5% in October), though annual inflation remains high (32.2% in October 2025 vs 25.3% in October 2024), supported by dollar stability which helped limit cost increases. Food availability-November2025 During November, food products were generally available across markets in all departments. However, bean availability remains a concern, with limited or absent presence in several areas. Despite slight improvements, red beans remain insufficient, with particularly low availability rates in Artibonite (83%), Centre (67%), Sud (67%), Ouest (41%), Grand’Anse (40%), and Sud-Est (39%). Departments such as Nord-Est, Nippes, and Nord also face critical gaps. On average, traders reported having about 11 days of stock (including shelves and reserves). Departments like Nord, Centre, Ouest, and Nord-Est maintain larger inventories, likely due to proximity to the Dominican border where trade remains active despite restrictions. About 35% of traders experienced stock-outs, mainly due to transport challenges or liquidity constraints, prompting strategies such as frequent supplier visits and diversifying sources. Persistent structural barriers continue to hinder interdepartmental supply flows, limiting trade and negatively impacting market functioning. These constraints, combined with insecurity and logistical challenges, underscore the need for targeted interventions to improve supply chain fluidity and strengthen market resilience. Source: WFP, 2025 Source: WFP, 2025 1% 64% 13% 0% 5% 1% 0% vegetable oil Red beans Black beans SugarMaize Rice wheat flour Share of traders reporting food shortages -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% Monthly variation Yearly variation Vegetable Oil (1 gal) Red Beans (1 kg) Black Beans (1 kg) Sugar (1 kg) Maize meal (1 kg) Rice (1kg) Wheat flour (1 kg) Variation in november Price trends for staplefoods–November 2025 For the seventh consecutive month, prices of essential goods have generally shown a trend toward stability, with some declines observed. The most notable decreases were recorded for ground corn (up to -20%) and black beans (-28%). However, significant increases were reported for red beans in the Centre (+60%) and Sud-Est (+45%). Vegetable oil also rose in several departments: +14% in Sud, +13% in Nippes, and +10% in Centre. Sugar remained relatively stable, with slight increases of 8% in Sud-Est and 5% in Nippes. Despite improved product availability among traders, supply chains remain constrained by persistent insecurity along major routes, characterized by clashes between armed gangs and extortion targeting transporters. These disruptions limit interdepartmental trade, particularly with Ouest, and compel traders to rely on local sourcing strategies to maintain stock levels. This price stability is driven by several factors, including better availability of local products and a decline in the monthly inflation rate—from 2.1% in July to 1.5% in October—although annual inflation remains high (32.2% in October 2025 compared to 25.3% in October 2024). The relative stability of the exchange rate has also helped contain cost increases, mitigating inflationary pressures in an otherwise fragile economic environment. Averagefoodpricesper kilogramby department(in haïtien gourdes) Price trends for productsmonitoring over the year 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Wheat flour (1kg) Maize meal (1kg) Sugar (1kg) Black Beans (1kg) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 May-25 Jun-25 Jul-25 Aug-25 Sept-25 Oct-25 Nov-25 Rice (1 kg) Red Beans (1kg) Vegetable Oil (1 gal) FoodBasketCostTrends–November2025 At the national level, the cost of the food basket in 2025 has remained broadly stable, with only moderate fluctuations. Peaks were recorded in February (27,126 gourdes) and April (26,387 gourdes), followed by a gradual stabilization. In November, a household of five required 23,543 gourdes to meet its food needs, about 100 gourdes less than in October. However, in the metropolitan area of Port-au-Prince, the cost was slightly higher than the national average, reaching 25,027 gourdes (+6%). This trend reflects the impact of local harvests and a decline in the monthly inflation rate—from 2.1% in July to 1.5% in October— despite annual inflation remaining high at 32.2% in October 2025. At the departmental level, most areas recorded a decrease in November compared to October, except for Nord, which saw a sharp increase of nearly 19% compared to September (from 23,429 to 27,797 gourdes) and a 6% rise year-on-year. This contrasts with the stability or decline observed in other departments, where prices were influenced by better local availability and lower monthly inflation. Description of Methodologicalapproachof marketmonitoring The methodology used is the same as that of the Joint Market Monitoring Initiative (JMMI) for harmonization purposes with the system of other actors in the Cash Transfer Working Group (CWG ). •Data are collected through face-to-face interviews with five traders per product on the market. A total of 413 traders across 69 markets are surveyed . •Ten (10) departments are covered by the data collection, with a focus on the Metropolitan Are . • minimum of four (4) markets per department were selected based on their level of importance . Choice of foodstuffs and data collection units. The selection of food items included in the food basket is based on the Minimum Expenditure Basket (MEB). It focuses on seven (7) staple products that make up the typical food basket of Haitian households, taking into account the energy needs of a five-person household (with a daily energy requirement of 2,100 kilocalories •Wheat flour (30 kg); Rice (20 kg); Ground corn (10 kg); Sugar (3 kg); Black beans (10 kg); Red beans (10 kg); Vegetable oil (1.5 gallons) . •Data collection is conducted on a monthly basis. •Data collection tools: Mobile Operational Data Acquisition (MODA) – WFP Data Collection Platform Limitations and Challenges. The limited availability of certain traders, especially wholesalers during periods of high demand or specific products in certain markets due to the security situation, may have hindered the ability to reach the planned sample sizes in some areas, thereby reducing the accuracy of the estimates . PAM | Haïti Wanja KAARIA, Country Director Erwan RUMEN , Deputy Country Director Technical Team: Telesphore OUEDRAOGO , Head of RAM unit Wilfried CHIGBLO, VAM officer Kendy MASSENA, VAM Associate Samuel BEAUSEJOUR, GIS Associate Contact : telesphore.ouedraogo@wfp.org @WFP_Haiti