(2024) Èspektiv Makroekonomik ak Povwte - Ayiti - Fich Done
Rezime — Fich done estatistik ki akonpaye Èspektiv Makroekonomik ak Povwte Bank Mondyal la pou Ayiti (October 2024): tablo konplè pwojeksyon makroekonomik ak povwte yo.
Dekouve Enpotan
- PIB la prevwa pou l kontrakte 4,2 pousan an 2024, ak tout sektè yo ki bese, agrikilti tonbe 6,6 pousan sou yon ane epi endèks ICAE a bese 4,0 pousan sou yon ane a fen H1 2024.
- Povwte ekstrèm (2,15 dola/jou PPA 2017) estime a 36,4 pousan an 2024, kont 29,9 pousan an 2020, epi prevwa a 36,6 pousan pa 2026.
- Yon kwasans modès 0,5 pousan an 2025 ak 1,5 pousan an 2026 atann, si estabilite politik ak sekirite amelyore anvan eleksyon yo anvan fen 2025.
- Enflasyon pri konsomasyon an bese rive 28,3 pousan a fen me 2024 men enflasyon manje monte rive 40,5 pousan, epi 50 pousan popilasyon an te nan ensekirite alimantè grav an jen 2024.
- Defisi fiskal la prevwa pou l diminye soti 2,3 pousan PIB nan FY23 rive 0,6 pousan an 2024, epi anilasyon dèt Venezuela a fè dèt la bese soti 24,2 rive 15,2 pousan PIB.
Deskripsyon Konple
Anèks estatistik edisyon October 2024 Èspektiv Makroekonomik ak Povwte Bank Mondyal la pou Ayiti. Li prezante tablo done konplè ki anba nòt-peyi a: valè istorik ak pwojeksyon pou kwasans PIB reyèl, enflasyon, balans bidjetè ak revni, dèt piblik, kont kouran, ak to povwte nan seri entènasyonal, revni mwayen enferyè ak siperyè, pa ane fiskal.
Teks Konple Dokiman an
Teks ki soti nan dokiman orijinal la pou endeksasyon.
SELECTED INDICATORS* Avg. '10-192014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/202020/21 2021/22 2022/23 E2023/24 F
INCOME AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
GDP growth (annual %) 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.5 1.7 -1.7 -3.3 -1.8 -1.7 -1.9 -4.2
GDP per capita growth (annual %, real) -0.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.3 -3.0 -4.5 -3.0 -2.8 -3.0 -5.3
GDP per capita (US$, nominal) 1369.81404.11311.21386.81485.4 1330.5 1369.4 1829.6 1745.9 1771.5 2097.3
Private consumption growth (annual %) 2.2 4.5 5.6 5.0 4.1 -1.0 -4.0 1.2 -0.7 0.1 -0.3
Gross investment ( % of nominal GDP) 17.7 14.0 13.6 16.9 16.1 18.7 21.3 18.0 15.9 13.9 4.5
Gross Investment - Public ( % of nominal GDP) 7.7 5.9 3.5 3.3 3.5 1.5 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.4 2.8
MONEY AND PRICES
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %, EOP or MRV)¹ 8.8 8.4 10.7 10.9 13.3 19.7 25.1 19.7 38.7 31.9 ..
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %, period average) 7.8 5.3 11.4 10.6 11.4 17.3 22.9 15.9 27.6 44.2 26.1
Nominal Base Money (% of GDP) 16.4 16.5 16.8 16.1 17.3 17.2 15.1 18.9 23.5 23.6 23.5
Domestic credit to the private sector (% of GDP)
2
10.2 10.8 10.5 9.8 11.2 10.4 8.6 8.3 8.2 5.2 ..
10-year interest rate (annual average)¹ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
Nominal exchange rate (local currency per USD) 53.4 48.6 60.4 65.6 65.4 84.1 99.9 81.1 107.2 134.7 132.2
Real exchange rate index (2015=100) 96.6 100.0 89.5 88.7 94.4 84.4 84.6 115.6 107.1 107.2 131.6
FISCAL
Revenue (% of GDP) 12.9 11.4 10.8 10.4 10.0 7.5 7.0 6.9 6.6 7.4 7.4
Expenditure (% of GDP) 15.5 13.8 11.2 10.9 12.1 9.5 9.7 9.6 9.8 9.7 8.0
Interest payments (% of GDP) 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Non-interest expenditure (% of GDP) 15.3 13.7 11.1 10.7 12.0 9.2 9.4 9.3 9.5 9.4 7.7
Overall fiscal balance (% of GDP) -2.6 -2.4 -0.5 -0.5 -2.2 -2.0 -2.7 -2.7 -3.2 -2.3 -0.6
Primary fiscal balance (% of GDP) -2.4 -2.3 -0.3 -0.3 -2.0 -1.7 -2.4 -2.4 -2.9 -2.0 -0.3
General government debt (% of GDP) 16.2 17.8 21.3 19.9 23.6 26.1 22.0 28.4 27.6 24.2 15.2
External public debt (% of GDP) 11.3 14.3 14.3 14.1 13.0 15.7 9.5 12.9 12.3 11.3 2.9
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EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS
Export growth, G&S (nominal US$, annual %) 5.7 5.2 -5.9 1.2 6.9 -2.6 -41.2 24.9 6.6 -25.2 -10.9
Import growth, G&S (nominal US$, annual %) 6.7 -5.5 -5.0 13.1 12.3 -10.8 -14.0 21.5 8.0 1.2 -14.9
Merchandise exports (% of GDP) 6.4 6.9 7.2 6.6 6.6 8.1 5.7 5.4 6.2 4.6 2.9
Merchandise imports (% of GDP) 25.1 23.3 25.3 26.3 28.1 28.4 23.8 21.1 23.5 18.3 15.1
Services, net (% of GDP) -2.6 -2.1 -0.5 -1.3 -0.7 -0.6 -2.2 -2.3 -2.9 -8.0 -3.0
Current account balance (current US$ millions) -341.1-265.3-237.9-324.9-474.1 -168.6 74.0 87.7 -492.0 -680.5 -57.8
Current account balance (% of GDP) -2.3 -1.8 -1.7 -2.2 -2.9 -1.1 0.5 0.4 -2.4 -3.3 -0.2
Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP) 1.0 0.7 0.7 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
Multilateral debt (% of total external debt)
2
.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
HAITI
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SELECTED INDICATORS* Avg. '10-192014/152015/162016/172017/182018/192019/202020/21 2021/22 2022/23 E2023/24 F
HAITI
POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT AND POVERTY
Population, total (millions) 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.9 11.0 11.2 11.3 11.4 11.6 11.7 11.9
Population growth (annual %) 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Unemployment Rate 15.4 15.2 15.7 16.0 16.3 16.6 19.0 18.4 17.8 19.0 19.0
International poverty rate ($2.15 in 2017 PPP)
³
29.2 .. .. .. .. .. 29.9 31.3 32.3 34.2 36.4
Lower middle-income poverty rate ($3.65 in 2017 PPP)
³
58.0 .. .. .. .. .. 58.9 60.1 61.6 62.8 65.6
Upper middle-income poverty rate ($6.85 in 2017 PPP)
³
85.8 .. .. .. .. .. 86.4 87.5 88.0 88.6 89.6
OTHER
GDP (current LCU, millions) 776979.8720255.0848104.9988912.41070166.11249214.01547377.81699208.62168222.92798324.03289474.0
GDP (current US$, millions) 14383.414832.314048.415065.716358.414848.615483.120944.420226.0 20769.9 24888.6
GDP per capita LCU (real) 57992.258727.958954.659601.859776.757967.555348.553662.852134.4 50552.8 47856.1
Human development index ranking
⁴
158.3 157 156 157 158 159 158 158 158 .. ..
CPIA (overall rating)
2
2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.2 ..
Economic management
2
3.3 3.5 3.3 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.2 ..
Structural policies
2
3.1 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.5 ..
Policies for social inclusion and equity
2
2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 ..
Public sector management and institutions
2
2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 ..
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Notes: ".." indicates not available. E = estimate, F = forecast. Data from MFMOD unless otherwise noted. Poverty data are expressed in 2017 PPP, versus 2011 PPP in previous editions - resulting in major changes. See pip.worldbank.org
1/ Haver Analytics database; MRV = Most recent value.
2/ World Development Indicators Database and World Bank Staff Estimates.
3/ Calculations based on SEDLAC harmonization, using 2012-ECVMAS.Projection using neutral distribution (2012) with pass-through = 0.87 (Med (0.87)) based on GDP per capita in constant LCU. Actual data: 2012. Nowcast: 2013-2023. Forecasts are from 2024 to 2026.
4/ The HDI ranking in 2001 is in relation to 175 countries and in 2010 in relation to 169 countries. Methodological enhancements in HDI calculations have resulted in notable improvements in the countries' rankings.
Sources: MFMOD Database, World Bank WDI and Haver Analytics databases, IMF.