(2022-08) Budget Framework Letter FY2022-2023 (Prime Minister's Memorandum to Spending Authorities)
Summary — This memorandum from Prime Minister Ariel Henry to all spending authorities of the public administration sets out the framework for the FY2022-2023 budget within a new multi-year budget-programme approach. It reviews the deteriorating FY2021-2022 macro-fiscal situation (GDP contraction, accelerating inflation, weak revenue) and lays out growth, inflation, external-sector, fiscal-pressure and deficit targets for 2022-2023 to 2024-2025, plus nine priority spending areas.
Key Findings
- FY2021-2022 real GDP contracted -0.4% versus an initial +0.3% projection, the fourth consecutive year of recession.
- Inflation reached 27.8% in May 2022 and was projected at 28.8% by end-September 2022.
- Only 83.4 billion gourdes (69% of the 2021-2022 budgeted amount) had been collected by end-June 2022.
- Net treasury-bond issuance rose to 11.2 billion gourdes over the first three quarters, versus 6.7 billion a year earlier.
- Projections target 0.4% GDP growth and a 2.3%-of-GDP deficit ceiling for FY2022-2023, with tax pressure rising from 5.8% to 7% by 2024-2025.
Full Description
Signed by Prime Minister Dr. Ariel Henry in Port-au-Prince on 2 August 2022, this framework letter (lettre de cadrage) opens the FY2022-2023 budget-preparation process under Haiti's May 2016 pluriannual budget-programme law. It reviews FY2021-2022 performance: real GDP fell -0.4% (versus an initial +0.3% projection), inflation reached 27.8% in May 2022 and was projected to hit 28.8% by end-September 2022, private transfers and FDI declined, and by end-June only 83.4 billion gourdes (69% of the 2021-2022 budgeted amount) had been collected by fiscal and customs administrations, with net treasury-bond issuance at 11.2 billion gourdes for the first three quarters versus 6.7 billion a year earlier. It also cites progress under the IMF Staff Monitored Program, a CSCCA audit of COVID-19 spending, and reduced fuel subsidies.
For FY2022-2023 to 2024-2025 the letter sets projections of 0.4% real GDP growth in 2022-2023 (averaging 1.2% over three years), inflation decelerating to 24.5% in 2022-2023 and 12.4% in 2024-2025, a tax-pressure ratio rising from 5.8% to 7%, and a budget-deficit ceiling of 2.3% of GDP in 2022-2023 (stabilizing near 2.8% of GDP by 2024-2025). It lists nine budgetary priorities (elections, the PNPPS social-protection programme, agricultural-campaign financing, the Southern Peninsula recovery plan PRIPS, anti-smuggling/anti-money-laundering efforts, voluntary retirement, public-administration reform, gender mainstreaming, and anti-trafficking) and announces that the budget will be accompanied by a Medium-Term Budget Framework (CBMT) covering FY2022-2023 through 2024-2025.
Notes
This letter is issued and signed by the Prime Minister's office (Primature), not by MEF, though it directs the MEF-led budget process; organization set to Primature accordingly. Cover/signature block dates the letter 02 Aout 2022 in Port-au-Prince; used 2022-08 as the publication month. A sibling document (mef-cadrage-2022-2023-a) covers the same FY2022-2023 budget framework letter; the two appear to be near-duplicate copies/versions of the same memorandum and should be checked against each other for exact textual differences before both are kept in the public corpus.