(2025-12) Economic Activity Indicator (ICAE) Bulletin, Q1 (Oct–Dec) FY2025-2026
Summary — Haiti's Global Conjunctural Economic Activity Indicator (ICAE) decreased by 1.1% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025-2026, reaching 120.0. This decline is due to underperformance across the primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors, with agriculture, construction, and electricity/water being particularly affected. Only a few sectors like financial institutions and non-market services showed positive growth.
Key Findings
- Haiti's Global ICAE decreased by 1.1% in Q1 2025-2026, reaching 120.0, due to underperformance across all major sectors.
- The primary sector's ICAE fell by 4.0%, driven by contractions in agriculture and extractive activities, exacerbated by poor rainfall and armed group actions.
- The secondary sector experienced a 2.3% decline, with significant drops in construction (-4.1%) due to insecurity and electricity/water production (-5.0%) from a major plant shutdown.
- The tertiary sector saw a slight negative growth of 0.3%, though financial institutions (+3.0%) and transport/communications (+1.8%) showed resilience.
- Non-market services grew by 4.3%, primarily due to increased public administration salaries.
Full Description
This bulletin from the Haitian Institute of Statistics and Informatics (IHSI) analyzes the Conjunctural Economic Activity Indicator (ICAE) for Haiti during the first quarter of the 2025-2026 fiscal year, using a 2007-2008 base. The Global ICAE experienced an annual decline of 1.1%, falling to 120.0, primarily due to the combined underperformance of the primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors. The primary sector saw a 4.0% decrease, driven by contractions in agriculture (4.0%) and extractive activities (4.7%), exacerbated by poor rainy seasons and armed group actions.
The secondary sector also contracted by 2.3%, with manufacturing down 1.7%, construction down 4.1% due to generalized insecurity, and electricity/water production falling by 5.0% partly due to the shutdown of a major hydroelectric plant. The tertiary sector recorded a negative annual growth of 0.3%, although some sub-sectors like Transport and Communications (+1.8%) and Financial Institutions (+3.0%) showed resilience. Non-market services also grew by 4.3%, largely due to increased public administration salaries. Overall, the report highlights a challenging economic environment marked by widespread declines across most key sectors.