(2026-03) BTI 2026 Country Report - Haiti

Bertelsmann Stiftung • 2026 • 41 pages

Summary — The BTI 2026 Country Report on Haiti assesses the country's transformation toward democracy and a market economy over February 2023 to January 2025, a period marked by the collapse of the Henry transition, the February 2024 gang offensive, and the installation of the Transitional Presidential Council.

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Key Findings

Gangs controlled about 85 percent of Port-au-Prince and over one million people were displaced in the capital region by January 2025. The Transitional Presidential Council installed in April 2024 had not restored security or organized elections by the close of the review period. The fiscal deficit narrowed to 0.6 percent of GDP in FY2024 from 2.3 percent in FY2023, largely because insecurity froze capital spending and port operations. Poverty stood at 58 percent (under $3.65 a day) with GDP per capita at PPP $3,183 and HDI rank 166 of 193.

Full Description

The Bertelsmann Stiftung's Transformation Index (BTI) 2026 country report reviews Haiti's political and economic transformation between February 1, 2023 and January 31, 2025. The review period saw the December 2022 transition agreement under Acting Prime Minister Ariel Henry fail to produce elections, followed by an unprecedented gang offensive in Port-au-Prince from February 2024 that attacked state institutions, freed prisoners, and forced Henry's resignation. A CARICOM-brokered framework installed the nine-member Transitional Presidential Council in April 2024; Prime Minister Gary Conille was appointed in June and replaced by Alix Didier Fils-Aimé in November amid tensions with the council, including bribery accusations against three councilors. By the close of the period, gangs controlled roughly 85 percent of the capital, over one million people were displaced in the Port-au-Prince region, and the Kenya-led Multinational Security Support mission had deployed only partially. The report documents deteriorating scores across democracy, market economy, and governance dimensions, and its strategic outlook stresses re-establishing security through a resourced National Security Council, accelerated and vetted police and army recruitment, and decentralized training, while warning that falling international aid, notably from the United States, will constrain the response.

Topics

Geography

Time Coverage

2023 — 2025

Keywords

Haiti, BTI, Bertelsmann Transformation Index, democracy, market economy, governance, political transition, Transitional Presidential Council, gang violence, Multinational Security Support mission, elections, displacement, series:bti-haiti

Entities

Bertelsmann Stiftung, Ariel Henry, Gary Conille, Alix Didier Fils-Aimé, Transitional Presidential Council, CARICOM, Multinational Security Support mission, Kenya, Haitian National Police, Jovenel Moïse, United Nations Security Council

Notes

BTI biennial country report; CC BY 4.0; landing page https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/HTI