Haiti Public Expenditure Review Volume II: Appendices
Summary — World Bank public expenditure review of Haiti providing detailed statistical appendices and economic projections for fiscal years 1985-1989.
Key Findings
- The Reform scenario could achieve 3.5% average real GDP growth through structural changes and increased exports.
- Without reforms, per capita income would fall 7% below FY85 levels by FY89 under the Status Quo scenario.
- Exports could grow from 16% to 18% of GDP by FY89 under the Reform scenario.
- Increased aid alone without policy reforms would not generate sustainable economic growth.
- All scenarios require increased external aid commitments of US$170-200 million annually.
Full Description
This World Bank report presents Volume II of Haiti's Public Expenditure Review, containing comprehensive statistical appendices and economic projections covering fiscal years 1985-1989. The document includes three economic scenarios: the Status Quo case assuming no IMF agreement and continued decline, the Reform case assuming structural reforms and increased aid, and the Aid case assuming increased aid without policy reforms.
The Reform scenario projects that Haiti's economy could achieve 3.5% average real GDP growth through structural changes, export growth, and improved investment efficiency. Under this scenario, exports would grow from 16% to 18% of GDP by FY89, though per capita consumption would only return to FY80 levels after FY89.
The Status Quo scenario presents a dire outlook with no economic growth, per capita income falling 7% below FY85 levels by FY89, and continued negative international reserves. The Aid-only scenario would maintain per capita incomes but achieve no real growth, highlighting that external assistance alone cannot solve Haiti's economic challenges.
The analysis emphasizes that internal policy reforms are critical for sustainable growth, as increased aid alone will not suffice to address Haiti's structural economic problems and widespread poverty.
Full Document Text
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Public Disclosure Authorized Report No. 6113+HA Haiti Public Expenditure Review (in Two Volumes) Volume II: Appendices September 29, 1986 Latin America and the Caribbean Regional Office Public Disclosure Authorized FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Document of the World Bank This report has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. FOR OFFICIAL US ONLY MITI: PUBLIC KEIMWITaIa IZYI VOLUIN 11: APPIUDICRS TAML OF CONTENT Psae NO. APPENDIX I: ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS ............................. APPENDIX II: STATISTICAL APPENDIX ................ Inder of Tables .............,............................6 Tables ........................................... 9 APPENDIX III: PROJECT-BY-PROJECT DATA .............................. 114 Table of Contents................................. 1 15 Explanatory Note ................................. 116 Project-By-Project Data ................................ 117-131 This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Dank authorization. APPEUIU I *CONC PIWECTIONS -2- APPENDIX I WCONKlIC PROJMMTIONS 1. The mission updated the economic projections of Haiti: Policy Proposals for Growth, using FY85 data for the base year, and confirmed that report's conclusions. Three scenarios were compared; their basic assumptions are listed in Statistical Appendi.x Table 1.4. All three scenarios assume that the present negative level of international reserves cannot be allowed to continue and must rise to zero no later than FY90. 2. The Same case assumes no new agreement with the IMF, no structural change and continued declines in net flows of external aid, essentially a continuation of very recent trends: zero or negative export growth rates except for five percent growth by the assembly industry; continued payments arrears; five percent growth of external aid grants in current terms from their FY84-85 level of US$83 million; and new external concessional debt commitments around US$70 million per year in current terms, compared to their FY84-85 average of US$63 million. These increases in aid still result in declining net flows became of repayment obligations. 3. The Reform case assumes a new accord with the IMF and major structural reforms which shift resources toward production, especially for export, both encouraging donors to increase aid: exports grow at positive rates (except for tourism which continues to stagnate), the assembly industry in particular averaging 13 percent per year real growth through FY90; payments arrears are liquidated; aid grants grow at ten percent per year; and concessional debt commitments average about US$90 million a year. 4. The Aid case assumes no policy reform, as in the Same case, but increased aid levels to those of the Reform case. It thus reflects a scenario that is quite possible following the recent change of Government, in which donors increase their aid levels to indicate political support but the Government does not adopt policy reforms. 5. Summary projection results for FY85-89 are compared to past trends in Table ApI.1 (Statistical Appendix Tables 1.2-1.8 have detailed comparisons). The projection methodology is described in detail in the Anrex to Haiti: Policy Proposals for Growth. 6. The Reform case results confirm that the Haitian economy could indeed grow. They also incicate the drastic nature of the policy changes that would be needed: the marginal efficiency of investment would have to rise from the negative rates of FY80-85 and exports could grow from 16 percent of GDP in FY85 to 18 percent by FY89. The growth of public consumption would still have to be limited to three percent per year, the actual rate since FY81. Even then, however, private consumption would only return to its FY80 level after FY89. Under these conditions, GDP can grow at an average real rate of 3.5 percent, rising from 3.0 percent initially to 4.0 percent by FY89 (and thereafter continuing at 4.5 percent in FY90). Table ApI.1: sImEW 00011MIC PElDCTI0. F -69 Actual Actual Projefted Actual Projected FY0 FM - 8- -8 -so89F U P03 AID SAM *F031 AID OM3 AIOAUKAL AOOO8V1 AOMm Level Average Anal -Gre- thb Rte (Us$ million at FM price) (pereent) gross histic Prodct 2062 2N00 2305 2134 2008 -0.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 Gros Domestic Irnestment 349 296 363 312 296 -3.2 6.7 1.3 0.0 Consuption 1896 1874 2079 2004 18568 -0.2 2.6 1.7 -0.2 Private 208 252 283 252 252 3.9 2.9 0.0 0.0 Pibli : 1668 1622 1796 1752 1606 -0.8 2.6 1.9 -0.2 Grees Domsstie Savimp 144 135 235 138 158 -1.3 14.9 0.6 4.0 Gros nwto Sawi"" 264 254 359 261 266 -0.8 9.0 0.7 1.2 Rxports of Goods ad Ws S/ 423 322 420 345 345 -5.3 6.9 1.7 1.7 Import at Gsoodo id Ws 629 483 868 519 483 -5.1 4.1 1.8 0.0 UAJANON Of PAWWNS Alaml Lerel (-$ -Billion at current prices) iswurose Daiieo -130 -161 -194 -227 -180 Interest Peevets" -7 -12 -13 -13 -12 Private Travsfers 62 61 72 72 66 Public Tranter (Greatt) 33 70 102 102 865 Current Account elano. -60 -42 -33 -65 -39 ILLT Loen (net) 69 31 85 85 65 Disbuorsaents 61 57 102 102 82 Amortisatiom 12 26 17 17 17 "MD. item P4pulation (tbousand) 4877 8332 5726 5726 6726 G P per capita (Us* FY8) 423 377 403 373 351 Consumption per Capita (UN FY85) 389 351 363 350 324 Terms of Trede (rFT=100) 116 100 103 103 103 Debt Service latlo 6.5 13.0 5.4 6.5 6.5 Exports/GVP (percnt) b/ 21.6 16.0 17.2 16.1 16.6 a/ Ajuoted for Gais folm Term of Tde. b/ Hot exports of goods and non-factor services uadjusted for Term of Trade. Scuare: Statistical Appendix Tebles 1.1-1.5 and 1..7. -4- Population growth means that per capita income would not return to its FY80 level even by FY89, but it would be seven percent higher than in FY85. Net internationral reserves would be satisfactorily positive at US$68 million. Most important, the basis would thus be laid for sustained growth through the rest of this century. 7. The Same case, by contrast, shows the worsening poverty that will affect Raiti's already desperately poor people if structural change does not occur. There would be no growth. Per capita income in FY89 would be seven percent below its FY85 level and 15 percent below that of FY80. Total and private consumption would be below their present levels, even if public consumption remained at the same level. Net international reserves would still be a negative US$18 million. So disastrous is this scenario that it would probably not occur; instead reserves would probably not be rebuilt at all and the sociopolitical environment would be substantially weakened. Thus the economy would neither grow during the 19809 nor lay the basis for growth in the 1990s. 8. The Aid case shows that increased aid would roughly maintain per capita incomes but would not result in any increase by FY89. Net international reserves would be about zero by FY89. No basis would be laid for sustained economic growth in the 1990s. 9. All three scenarios involve an incre6se in external aid, at least in current terms. This is principally because disbursements have fallen in recent years, when expressed as a percentage of GDP. New aid commitments of about US$200 million per annum are assumed for the Reform and Aid cases and about US$170 million for the Same (Statistical Appendix Tables 1.6 and 1.8). This underlines both the continued need Haiti will have for concessional external assistance and the critical role internal policy change rather than external capital must play if economic growth is to be achieved. Increased aid alone will simply not suffice. -5- APPEDIX II STASTICAL APPENDIX -6- CHAPTER I 1.1 Total Population and GNP Deflator, FY80-89.........................9 1.2 National Accounts, FY80-85, and Projected, FY87-89................10 1.3 Balance of Payments, FY80-85, and Projected, FY87-89 ........... 11 1.4 Variables for High and Low Case Economic Projections .............. *12 1.5 Price Indices and Selected Indicators, FY80-85, and Projected FY87-89 . ........... 13 1.6 Grant Commitments, PY80-85, and Projected, FY86-89*0*....... .**..14 1.7 Medium and Long Term Debt, FY80-85, and Projected FY87-89.........15 1.8 Debt Commitments, FY80-85, and Projected, FY86-90.................16 CHAPTER II 2.1 Overall Public Sector Accounts, FY81-85...........................17 2.2 Finaucing of Public Sector Deficit, FY81-85.......................18 2.3 Public Sector Operations, FY81-85......................... 2.4 Treasury Revenue, FY81-85 .................. cc... ........... 20 2.5 Treasury Operations, FY81-85 .....................................21 2.6 Summary Accounts of Principal Public Enterprises, FY81-85.........22 2.7 Treasury Budgetary Recurrent Expenditure, FY81-85, and Budget, F8 .............................. 2 2.8 Salary Component of Budgetary Recurrent Expenditure, FY82-85 aiid Budget,FY6.............................. 2 2.9 Government Employees by Ministry, FY71-85, and Budget, FY86.......26 2.10 Apparent Average Salaries of Civil Servants by Ministry, FY82-85, and Budget, FY86 ...... ...... ...... ............ 27 2.11 Sectoral Allocation of Public Investment, FY72-85, and Budget, F8 ............ ,2 2.12 Investment Expenditure by Sector and by Source of Finance, FY84-85, and Budget, ........ F86....... c...... .... .......... 29 2.13 Ranking of Sectors by Investment Expenditure, FY84-85, and Budget, PY86 .......... 30 2.14 Ranking of Sectors by Treasury Investment Expenditure, FY84-85, and Budget, FY86.......... 31 2.15 Ranking of Sectors by Domestic Investment Expenditure, FY84-85, and Budget, FY86 .............. 2.16 Ranking of Sectors by Donor Investment Expenditure, FY84-85, and Budget, FY86 .............. 3 2.17 Treasury Investment Expenditure, FY85: Disbursements According to Ministries of Planning and Finance e ............. cc.c..e.ccc 3 4 2.18 Grant Disbursements by Donor, FY82-85 (Ministry of Plan Est.) .... 35 2.19 Grant Disbursements by Donor, PY81-85 (IBRD/IMF estimates)........36 2.20 Debt Commitments by Creditor, FY81-85 .............................3t 2.21 Debt Disbursements by Creditor, FY82-85.............................38 2.22 Investment and Savinags, FY80-85, and Projected, FY86-89 ........... 39 2.23 Recommended Public Investment and Financing, FY86 ................. 40 2.24 Recommended Public Investment and Financing, FY87.................41 2.25 Recommended Public Investment and Financing, FY88 ............... 42 2.26 Recommended Public Investment and Financing, FY89.................43 2.27 Donor Activity by Sector, FY82-85e................................44 2.28 Intended Donor Activity by Sector, FY86...........................45 2.29 Percentage of Project Costs Financed by Donors....................46 -7- CHAPTER III Page No. 3.1 Agricultural GDP, FY76-85 .......................... . .47 3.2 Public Agricultural Investment Budget by Program Area, FY86... .48 3.3 Agricultural Development Budget and Expenditure, FY81-86..........49 3.4 Real Growth in Agriculture Had There been a 12% Rate of Return on Public Investment, FY75-85S. ...... ........ *.............. ,, 50 3.5 MARNDR's Share of Recurrent Budget, FY8I-86.......................51 3.6 Agricultural Recurrent and Development Budget and Expenditure, FY 81-86 .......... 0060 O *......... ...................... .. 0.52 3.7 MARNDR: Recurrent Budget, FY83-86 ................................ 53 3.8 MARNDR: Employptent, FY84-86 .............................. * ,54 3.9 MARNDR Agricultural Projects, FY84-86 ......... 55 3.10 Other Ministries' Agricultural Projects, FY85-86 .................56 3.11 Agriculture Projects in FY85 Plan but Excluded from FY86 Plan ....57 3.12 Agricultural Projects Under Consideration by Donors Through FY89 .58 CHAPTER IV 4.1 Major Public Industrial Enterprises: Illustrative Investment Program, FY86-89 59 CHAPTER V 5.1 EdH: Power System, 1985, and Projected, 1995 ..................... 60 5.2 Electricity Consumption, FY75-85 6. 5.3 EdH: Projected Income, Sources and Uses of Funds, FY86-89..*...62 CHAPTER VI 6.1 Transport Investments, FY86 66 6.2 Government's Preliminary Transport Investment Program, FY87-91 64 6.3 Recommended Transport Investment Program, FY87-91 000065000.0.000.65 6.4 Recommended Transport Investment Program and Financing, FY86-89 66 CHAPTER VII 7.1 TELECO: Income Statements, FY81-85, and Budget, FY86*.............67 7.2 TELECO: Balance Sheet, September 30, 1984 68 7.3 TELECO: Budgeted and Actual Investments, FY84-86 ................. 69 CHAPTER VIII 8.1 Urban Investments, FY81-85 70 8.2 Urban Recurrent Budget, FY86 ..................................... 71 8.3 Planned Urban Investments, FY86-88 .2 8.4 Recow'eended Investment Program and Financing, FY86-89 7 3*.........73 CHAPTER IX 9.1 Water Supply Sector; Summary Funds Statement, FY82-85, and Projections, FY86-89 ....................... .74 9.2 CAMEP: Summary Income and Funds Statement, FY80-85, and Projections, FY86-89 *****#9e**75 5............ CHAPTER IX (Cont'd) Page No. 9.3 SNEP: Summary Income and Funds Statement, FY8O-85, and Projections, FY86-e9.................................. ....... .76 9.4 MSPP POCHEP Water Supply Program: Summary Funds Statement, FY82-85, and Projections, FY86-89 7 CHAPTER X 10.1 Comparative Education-Related Indicators, 1982... ..... . 78 10.2 Population Distribution by Level of Education, 1982... ...... 79 10.3 Enrollments by Education Level and Type of Institution, FY84 .....80 10.4 Characteristics of Primary Education, FY83.......................81 10.5 Qualified Primary Teachers by Area and Type of School, FY83 .......82 10.6 Characteristics of Secondary Education, FY84 ...................... 83 10.7 Characteristics of Vocational/Technical Schools, FY82 ........... .84 10.8 Increase in Primary Enrollments and Schools by Sector and Area, ....... .............................. .......... . 85 10.9 Unit Costs by Level of Education.................e..o.............86 10.10 General Secondary Education: Quality and Efficiency Indices, 1983 ........... , 87 10.11 Recurrent Financing by Level of Education, FY85 .................88 10.12 Actual Versus Budgeted Education Recurrent Expenditure by Category and Sector, FY85 ................ ............. .... .89 10.13 Comparison of Planned, Budgeted and Actual Education Expenditure, FY82-84... 90 10.14 Comparison of Planned, Budgeted and Actual Education Expenditure, .Y85........................................., 91 10.15 MEN Recurrent by Category, FY85-86.o..............................92 10.16 Changes in Budgeted MEN Staff and Salaries by Staff Categories FY85-86... 000000000 90009*0000000000* 00000000000* 00000*00.000009**3 10.17 Projected Education Investment Expenditure, FY87-91 ..... .000.094 10.18 Projected Education Investment by Project, FY86-910 g........ .00.95 10.19 UEH: Recommended Procurement Expenditure, FY86-89..... .o..*0000.98 10.20 Recommended Recurrent Education Expenditure, FY86-96... ........ .99 10.21 Distribution of Incremental Recurrent Expenditure for Primary Education, PY86-91 and FY92-96 ........ 100 10.22 Core Education Investment Program, FYd7-89...e...................101 CHAPTER XI 11.1 Haiti and Selected Countries: Comparative Indicators of Population, Health and Nutrition Status.,....... ............... 102 11.2 MSPP: Budgeted Staff Positions, FY85-86.........................103 11.3 Aggregate Health Expenditure, FY8}-85 104 11.4 Public Health Spending per Capita, FY80-85.............e}........l05 11.5 Donors in Health, FY82-86 ....... 11.6 MSPP Recurrent and Investment Expenditure, FY77-85 and Budget 11.7 MSPP: Sources and Uses of Investment Funds, Budget, FY86 ........ 108 11.8 MSPP: Recommended Investment Program, FY87-89...................109 11.9 MSPP: Recommended Sources and Uses of Funds, FY86-89............110 11.10 MSPP: Recommended Sources and Uses of Investment Funds, FY87 .... 111 11.11 MSPP: Recommended Sources and Uses of Investment Funds, FY88 .... 112 11.12 MSPP: Recommended Sources and Uses of Investment Funds, FY89....113 Table 1.1: TOTAL POPULATION AND ONW DFUlTOR, FY8-89 POPULATION DIFLAICE (thousand) (FY86=400) FY80 4,877 65.7 FY81 4,965 67.9 FY82 5.054 71.0 FY83 5,145 78.2 FY84 5,237 85.0 FY85 5,332 92.7 FY86 5,428 100.0 FY87 5,526 107.0 FY8B 5,625 1.15.0 FY89 6,726 123.9 Sources: Mission estimates, based on 1982 census 1.8% p.a. population growth rate, and national accounts. TlOe 1.2: MUNK *COM , F7605, I ,T, F87-6 toftl 45 dlllUo uIt FM prices) * rw slWa utJ )aof W FM FM F4 FM -F 7F---- FM-* -- f - -F F - FlU 91F 5 fM FM Wm00 ALis SMSa WmU Mis SW1. Wm01 *335 SlEe UEOU*3st £4 Wm5 *5 NW Orem osm tic ct 2,062 1,27 1,96 2,1000 2,15 2,070 2,10 2,305 2,130 2,9 0. 3.2 1.5 9.8 3.S 1.5 0.0 1. 10.0 16. IW U 1.8 kmsfra TomofTrad(Tt) -22 -2 -21 O 6 7 7 9 0 6 *M bmtic Ia s 2,0 1,995 1,964 2,068 2,146 2,078 2,015 2,314 2,142 2,16 -0.3 3.4 1.7 0.2 3.U 1.6 O.1 Iwo d ees adlfS t 62 MS 2 3 520 S0 a3 go 59 43 -5.1 3.8 1.6 e.0 4.1 1.6 0.o Rs X.8 244 .3 24.1 Eerts d d ad IS b 46 33 306 322 363 39 29 411 W 337 -6.3 6.2 1.1 1.1 6.3 1.1 1.1 21.6 .A 17.8 15.0 16. Eapsrtsdle" for fr 423 31 3242 VI 336 3U 420 345 35 -5.3 7.3 2.2 2.2 6.0 1.7 1.7 U5 10.1 .26 U. 11.2 U. In ceo I* Niust fir TT 25 219 2 161 149 16 147 14 1tt 1x -4.7 -3.6 1.1 -4.4 -2.1 2.0 -3.2 10.6 O. 6.4 A L 2 .L etabl tu tim 1,*60 1,8 1,151 5,64 1,96 1,91 1,1066 2,09 2,034 i,l -0.2 1.9 1.5 -0.2 2.6 1.7 -S 4.9 93.3 0.2 9.9 92.5 tlic 218 210 245 252 267 252 252 23 252 2M2 3.9 2.9 .00.0 2.9 0 . .0 1 1 12. 12.3 U.O .S priu 1,JI 1,53 1,60d 1,422 1,6M ,679 1,614 1,796 1,752 1,406 0. 1.7 1.7 80.2 2.6 2.S 4.2 1. NJ n.. 12.9 1 u.S ts O atic avstst 3 3 314 29 3S 312 296 363 312 296 -3.3 0.6 2.6 6.0 6.7 1.3 8.6 1.9 14.7 16.6 14.6 14.7 ns huastic 9el 144 1 113 135 2M 147 14 235 136 159 -1.3 21.7 4.4 5.1 14.9 6.6 4.0 7.8 6.7 18.2 C.S 7.9 &M Mai" 9 2s4 25W 2M 254 321 26 2s3 359 2 266 -0.8 12.5 2.9 1.6 9.1 0.1 1.2 It0 12.6 ISA 12. 13.2 Mress 3. bIaWstt 16.9 1.7 15.1 14.7 16.3 I5.1 14.7 16.6 14.6 14.7 OF W capbt () 42 37S 9 W 36 73 3S 3 403 37S 351 -2.3 1.3 1.3 -1.8 1.7 -8.3 -1.8 0ossstiu Wrlwit (0) 389 357 353 351 352 319 3 36 350 324 10 (O nest p rIas) 1,462 1,47 1,1121 2,6 2,4 2,36 2,316 3,51 2,3 2,60 6.6 U0.9 9.1 7.4 23.9 9.2 15.6 at 3 2 '*r. ad *S w s, 54. d W i rWte is cAstr do tt 1eraatid resers lacnr we er FMn. Su : brid W, ll: .i5ev Prsw s Pu Crtb, 1w I5 -MZsise preetfu .ble 1.8: BAIAIl OF PAUMS, WV". AN PWOJm, 187-9 (13* million at currmt Pries) RvO not rV4 n n VA M AIM a"E UIRF am IE Exports of aoods 1d WS 316 298 917 322 425 35 386 560 461 461 Imprts of tood and we 446 444 482 498 586 573 653 744 679 632 Resourco Balance -130 -151 -164 -161 -171 -186 -168 -186 -227 -380 Net Factor Inaoe -16 -17 -20 -12 -11 -11 -11 -13 -13 -12 Ioteret Paut. -7 -13 -18 -12 -11 -11 -11 -13 -13 -12 Otbr facter ervioes -9 -3 -2 0 0 0 0 0 0 a current Trnasfers 86 119 123 131 150 150 142 114 174 153 Privat.Tranafero 52 60 45 61 6S 66 66 72 72 6s Public brnater (Md Grants) 33 69 78 70 84 84 77 102 102 as 'Blanle on Current Aecouwt -60 -49 -61 -42 -32 -49 -38 -33 -66 -39 Private Direct Iavestnuet -21 5 -6 -6 0 0 0 0 O 0 Public NUT Loan l(et) S9 36 69 31 72 72 62 85 a6 65 Di&burweants 81 46 83 57 92 92 72 102 102 82 hAurtlsatioa 12 12 24 26 20 20 20 17 17 17 Short-Tom Capital 3 -4 -5 -8 0 0 0 0 0 0 Overall Balamne -10 -14 -12 -26 40 23 14 52 19 26 Chae in Bxteral Pspmt, Arrears & Monetary Capital (- - decrees") -3 -8 -14 16 -4 -8 -8 -13 -1 -1 changes tin rves (- iecroes) 12 21 27 9 -36 -15 -6 -41 -18 -25 Net International _eserve 30 -15 -2 -67 -13 -34 -68 6B -1 -18 Mm Item: IP at current price 1,462 1,476 1,821 2,008 2,468 2390 2,318 3,081 2,863 2,684 Sources: World Bank Debt Importing Sy tes Del Agencies, e_asies, misim estites Mission projection -12- Table 1.4: VARIALIS FOR IOONONIC FIK3uTIONS (Bad growth rates and US$ million at current prices) REFORM AIDa/ SAMN Avg. FY81-8 Growth of Government Consumption: 3.0* 0.0% 0.0* 2.9* Arreas in Debt Paymets: FY86: 3 12 12 12 (end-FY86) FY87-FY9o: 0 12 12 Ixport Growth Rates: Coffee 2.0* 0.0* 0.0* 6.0X Other Agricultural Goods 3.0X 0.0* 0.0* 23.4S Assembly Industry 19.9* FY86-FY88: 15.0* 50% 5.0* FY89: 12.0* 6.0* 6.0* FY90: 11.0* 5.0S 5.0% Other Manufactures 5.0* 0.0% 0.0% 5.0* Non-Factor Services (e.g.tourism) 0.0% -2.0* -2.0% 1.5* Growth Rate of Value-Added: FY86: 3.0X 1.5* 0.0* 0.2X FY87: 3.3* 1.5% 0.0* FY8: 3.7* 1.5* 0.0* FY89: 4.0* 1.5* 0.0% FY90: 4.5* 1.5* 0.0* Growth of Grant Comitmets: FYB6-89: 10.0* 10.0 5.0* 14.4* (80-84) (current dollars) Debt Coiitments: 70.6 (excluding Iwa) FY6: 121 121 101 FY87: 92 92 72 FY88: 92 92 72 FY8: 87 87 67 FY90: 87 87 67 a/ The "Aid" and "Reform" case GDP growth rates are calibrated so that reserves increase to zero in FY0. -13- Table 1.56 PM INDIC¢S ND SLOTD INDICATOS, FY8O-85, AMD RuJucuD, FY87-90 Price Indices (F85100) FY80 FY82 FM84 FYM6 FY87 F8 Exports 89.6 83.3 96.8 100.0 117.8 134.7 Imports 77.5 89.0 95.2 100.0 114.5 130.8 Terms of Trade 115.6 93.6 101.7 100.0 102.9 103.0 GDP Deflator 70.6 77.3 92.6 100.0 116.6 136.6 6 -m Selected Indicators (porcent) RFO4 AID SAM ICOR 6.8 4.4 9.8 neg. Total Import Elasticity (w.r.t. GDP) neg. 1.2 1.2 1.2 Average Natioal Swing Rate 6.2 14.8 12.9 13.1 Marginal National Saving Rate 16.2 34.1 5.4 113.2 Imports/lOP a/ 24.0 24.1 23.9 23.8 Exports/GDP a/ 16.0 17.2 16.1 16.6 R'source Gap/GDP a/ 8.0 6.9 7.8 7.2 a/ Net. Sources: World Bank, laiti: Policy Proposals for Growth, June 1985 Mission projection -14- Tbl. 1.6: 3IIT OWUINEWTs, FYDO-s, AND PDOJBCT FYSS-8S mo FY81 m8 FY83 FY8 FY -FY86-- -- FY87-- -- FY88--- -- FY89- REOIORM REFORM REFORM REFORM kM-SAX-AI -S.E Ly -SAME-- M- _ (US$ million at current prices) Bilateral id 26 25 28 51 47 57 62 60 69 62 75 66 83 69 Multilateral Aid 14 10 18 22 21 13 14 13 18 14 17 15 19 16 Privat, rsnts 11 12 12 12 15 13 15 14 16 15 18 16 20 16 Total 51 47 58 85 83 83 91 87 100 92 110 96 122 101 (US$ million at FY86 prices) Bilateral Aid 39 37 40 65 56 61 62 60 64 58 66 57 67 56 -iltilateram Aid 21 14 26 29 25 14 14 13 15 13 15 13 15 13 Private Grants 17 18 16 15 17 15 15 14 15 14 16 14 16 13 Total 77 69 82 109 98 90 91 87 94 86 96 84 98 81 Sources: World lank, Haiti: Policy Proposals for Growth, June 1985 Agencies, embassies, mission estimates Mission projections Table 1.7: MBDIUI AND LONG TI1 DEBT, FY8-85, AND PROJC , FY87-89 FMro FY2 FY84 FY85 - -FY87 - -- n s REFOEM AID SAME IDFM AID sL* Level .1 (US$ million at current prices) Total Debt Outstanding (DOD) 227 362 460 519 660 650 609 816 816 736 Including Undisbursed 367 497 630 647 884 884 845 1029 1029 949 Debt Burden (percent) Debt Service Ratio 6.5 5.2 5.5 13.0 7.5 8.2 8.2 6.4 6.5 6.6 Debt Service/QDP 1.4 1.0 1.0 2.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.1 Total DOD/GDP 16.5 24.5 24.7 25.8 26.3 27.2 26.3 26.6 28.6 27.4 Gross Disburs.mats/I.ports 12.4 14.8 12.1 11.9 16.5 16.1 13.0 13.7 16.0 13.0 Interest on Total DOD/Total DOD 2.3 1.9 1.4 2.4 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 Total Debt Service/Total DOD 9.0 4.2 3.9 8.0 4.9 4.9 5.2 3.6 3.6 4.0 a/ At beginning of period. Sources: World Bank, Haiti: Policy Proposals for Growth, June 1985 - -- tIMF Mission projections -16- Table 1.8. DBBT COM1M}MNTS, FY80-85, AN PROJECTED. FY86-90 FY80 FY81 FY82 FYM3 FY84 FY85 v -- FY8-- -FY87-- -FY89--- REFORtM REFORM REFORM REFORM ATD SAME AD SAME ATD SAME AID SAME (US$ million at current prices) Bilateral Aid 21 19 18 21 36 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Multilateral Aid 16 29 57 87 17 62 101 81 72 52 72 52 67 47 Total 36 48 76 108 53 72 121 101 92 72 92 72 87 67 (USS million at FY86 prices) Bilateral Aid- 32 28 26 27 42 11 20 20 19 19 17 17 16 16 Multilateral Aid 24 43 81 111 20 67 101 81 67 49 63 45 54 38 'total 55 71 106 138 62 78 121 101 86 67 80 63 70 54 Sources: World Bank, Haiti: Policy Proposals for Growth, June 1985 Agencies, embassies, mission estimates Mission projections -17- Table 2.1: OVERALL PUBLIC SECTOR ACCOUNTS, FY 81 - 85 (G million at current prices) FY81 FY82 FY83 FY84 FY85 General government overall surplus or deficit (-) -674.1 -402.8 -344.8 -505.7 -413.7 Current revenue 659.6 749.3 846.5 914.1 1,124.2 Current expenditure -825.6 -829.3 -950.0 -1,122.8 -1,263.1 Current account surplus or deficit (-) -166.0 -80.0 -103.5 -208.7 -138.9 Net transfers from major public enterprises -- 75.1 74.4 90.9 73.2 Surplus or deficit after transfers -166.0 -4.9 -29.1 -117.8 -65.7 Capital expenditure -744.6 -682.4 -596.2 -697.9 -611.1 Total surplus or deficit -910.6 -687.8 -625.3 -815.7 -676.8 Grants-in-aid 236.5 285.0 280.5 310.0 263.1 Major public enterprises overall surplus or deficit (-) -47.2 -31.7 -110.1 -89.2 -1.7 Current revenue 505.2 528.0 658.9 839.3 876.7 Current expenditure -408.0 -381.9 -469.8 582.2 -618.4 Current account surplus or deficit (-) 97.2 146.1 189.1 257.1 258.3 Net transfers to general government -- -75.1 -74.4 -90.9 -73.2 Surplus or deficit after transfer 97.2 70.9 114.7 166.2 185.1 Capital expenditure -144.4 -102.6 -224.8 -255.4 -186.8 Nonconsolidated public sector surplus or deficit (-) 6.1 37.6 -27.5 -23.6 35.7 Capital expenditure 6.1 37.6 -27.5 -23.6 35.7 Overall putlic sector surplus or deficit (-) 4715.2 -396.9 -482.4 -618.5 -379.7 Total savings (current account surplus or defi cit (-)) -68.8 66.0 85.6 48.4 119.4 Capital expenditure -882.9 -747.9 -848.5 -976.9 -762.2 Grants-in-aid 236.5 285.0 280.5 310.0 263.1 Source: IDF -18- Table 2.2: FINANCING OF PUBLIC SECTOR DEFICIT, FY81 - 85 (G million at current prices) FY81 FY82 FY83 FY84 FY85 Total public sector deficit -715.2 -396.9 -482.4 -618.5 -379.7 External financing (net) 469.0 156.0 385.6 301.4 185.6 Concessionary loans (217.0) (195.5) (328.8) (310.0) (265.0) Commercial loans (252.0) (-39.5) (56.8) (-8.6) (-79.4) Domestic financing (net) 246.2 240.9 96.8 317.1 194.1 Monetary authorities (261.4) (241.3) (74.6) (311.2) (180.0) Private banks (-15.2) (-0.4) (22.2) (5.9) (14.1) General government -674.1 -402.8 -344.8 -505.7 -413.7 External financing (net) 391.8 220.5 184.7 200.3 190.7 Concessionary loans (170.8) (228.0) (187.9) (181.9) (196.2) Commercial loans (221.0) (-7.5) (-3.2) (18.4) (-5.5) Domestic financing (net) 282.3 182.3 160.1 305.4 223.0 Monetary authorities (297.5) (182.2) (155.6) (306.7) (226.2) Private banks (-15.2) (0.1) (4.5) (-1.3) (-3.2) Rest of the public sector -41.1 5.9 -137.6 -112.8 34.0 External financing (net) 77.2 -64.5 200.9 101.1 -5.1 Concessionary loans (46.2) (-32.5) (140.9) (128.1) (68.8) Commercial loans (31.0) (-32.0) (60.0) (-27.0) (-73.9) Domestic financing (net) -36.1 58.6 -63.3 11.7 -28.9 Monetary authorities (-36.1) (59.1) (-81.0) (4.5) (-46.2) Private banks (--) (-0.5) (17.7) (7.2) (17.3) Major public enterprises -47.2 -31.6 -110.1 -89.2 -1.7 External financing (net) 83.3 -14.9 200.7 101.9 12.4 Concessionary loans (46.2) (-32.5) #4140.9) (128.1) (68.8) Commercial loans (37.1) (17.6) (59.8) (-26.2) (-56.4) Domestic financing (net) -36.1 46.5 -90.6 -12.7 -10.7 Nonconsolidated public sector 6.1 37.5 -27.5 -23.6 35.7 External financing (net) -6.1 -49.6 0.2 -0.8 -17.5 Domestic financing (net) -- 12.1 27.7 24.4 -18.2 Source: IMF -19- Table 2.3: PUBLIC SECTOR OPERATIONS, FY 81 - 85 (G million at current prices) FY81 FY82 FY83 PY84 "YR5 Current surplus or deficit (-) of Lener l government -166.0 -80.0 -103.5 -208.7 -138.9 Current revenue 659.6 7:9,3 846.5 914.1 1,124 Z Current expenditute -825.6 -829.3 -950.0 -1,122.8 -1,263.1 Current surplus or deficit (-) of public enterprises 97.2 146.1 189.1 257.1 258.3 Of which: transifer-- to Government (--) (75.1) (74.4) (90.9) -(73.2) Total savings of the public sector -68.8 66.0 85.6 48.4 119.4 Capital outlays 882.9 747.9 848.5 976.9 762.2 Investment 882.9 747.9 8T38.S 944T 76277 Budgetary expenditures (135.0) (144.3) (95.2) (95.9) (127.3) Expenditures financed from concessional resources 1/ (379.8) (509.6) (481.0) (515.0) (483.8) Investment by major public enterprises 2/ (144.4) (102.6) (224.8) (255.4) (186.8) Other (223.7) (-8.6) (37.5) (78.6) (-35 7) Of which: Darbonne sugar mill 3/ /209.8/ /29.0/ /10.0/ t--/ 1--I Financial capital 41 -- -- 10.0 32.0 -- Public sector deficit -951.7 -681.9 -762.9 -928.5 -642.8 Grants-in-aid 236.5 285.0 280.5 310.0 263.1 Overall deficit of the public sector (includir.g granrs-in-aid) -715.2 -396.9 -482.4 -618.5 -379.7 Financing 715.2 396.9 482.4 618.5 379.7 External financing 469.0 156.0 385.6 301.4 185.6 Concessionary loans (217.0) (195.5) (328.8) (310.0) (265.0) Drawing /229.5/ /212.0/ /351.2/ /327.9/ /298.5/ Amortization /12.5/ /16.5/ /22.4/ /25.1/ /33g5/ Commercial borrowing (252.0) (-39.5) (56.8) (-8.6) (-79.4) Medium-term /243.5/ /-17.5/ /-21.2/ /15.0/ Drawing (272.51 112.01 [18.21 [83.81 Amortization (29.01 (29.51 (40.01 (68.71 Short term (het) /8.5/ /-22.0/ /78.0/ /-23.6/ Domestic financing 246.2 240.9 96.8 317.1 194.1 Consolidated central bank and BNC (261.4) (241.3) (74.6) (311.2) (180.0) Private banks (-15.2) (-0.4) (22.2) (5.9) (14.1) 1/ Excluding concessionary loens provided for the budget support and concessional financing of the public enterprises. 2/ Partly estimated, financed by both concessionary and commercial loans. 31 Expenditures related-to the building and putting into operation of the plant. 4/ Includes expenditures by the Government for the acquisition of Ciment d'Haiti and SODEXOL. -20. Table 2.4: TREASURY 8EVE?IUE. FY 81 - 85 (G million at current prices) FYRI FY82 FY83 FY84 FY85 Current revenue / fh fj !j 941 1,124.2 Curr _uc st r 1/ ~659.8 749*3 B46t5 914.1 12. Taxes on intersatioml trade 285.0 28.8 295.3 292.5 305.2 Export taxes ICT 13T 7 TT ; 9 7 Coffee (42.5) (45.6) (69.2) (52.0) (57.4) selte xt (3.2) (33.8) (-) C-) Other exports (2.6) (3.9) (4.2) (4.9) Import duties 236.7 206.5 221.9 235.6 ReSular duties (204.4) (193.1) (214.6) (223.0) (232.5) Petroleum derivatives /35.4/ /42.1/ /39.6/ /39.0/ /33.1/ Other /169.0/ /151.0/ /175.0/ /184.00 1199.4/ Fiscalized charges and fees (32.3) (13.4) (7.3) (12.6) Internal revenue 371.0 44.4 551.2 6216 819.0 General sales tax - - 87T T. I8T5. Taxs on net incom and profits 115.8 123.3 128.4 141.3 154.4 Corporate (91.1) (94.2) (98.3) (101.8) (111.2) Individual (24.7) (29.1) (30.1) (39.5) (43.2) Taxes on property 12.2 12.5 12.4 14.7 Real estate (3.0) (3.2) (3.3) (3.5) Mortgage registration (9.2) (9.2) (9.1) (11.2) Taxes on goods and services 143.6 183.8 195.8 215.9 Excises (115.0) (151.1) (167.6) (184.9) (249.3) Flour /22.1/ /24*5/ // I-I Sugar /23.4/ /26.5/ /30.1/ /28.7/ /31.8/ Cooking oil 12.8/ /4.3/ /0.7/ /-I Petroleum products /16.4/ /34.3/ /69.2/ /88.2/ /135.5/ Cigarettes /31.7/ /42.0/ /53.8/ /59.8/ 764.1/ Other excises /18.7/ /19.5/ /13.8/ /8.2/ Motor vehicles 3/ (8.9) (10.1) (12.1) (13.3) Consular services 4/ (19.7) (22.5) (16.1) (17.7) Other taxes 33.1 35.4 36.4 37.0 tdentity card tax (6.9) (7.4) (7.3) (8.8) Stamp duties (20.0) (21.3) (22.2) (23.2) Solidarity tax (6.2) (6.7) (6.9) (5.8) Other revenue 66.3 92.4 91.0 103.9 Of which: municipal taxes (14.0) (19.3) (24.3) (29.5) Other incoa 3.8 12.1 = = _ Source: IMF 1/ Excludes pension fund revenues and interaccount transfers between Internal Revenue Administration and tresury accounts. 2/ Includes several taxes on bauxite extraction and exports, all of whtich are assessed and collected by the Internal Rsvenue Ministration. 3/ Includes motor vehicle inspection and registration taxes. 1/ Innludes co4sular and passport fees. T/ From October 1984 to May 1985. -21- Table 2.5: TREASURY OPERATIONS, PT 81 - 85 (G million at current prices) FY81 FY82 VYR3 v4 WTRS Totol recio 659.6 824.4 920.9 1 005.0 1 197.4 Current toveno 74MT fc rr4.T 414.61 ltl7Z4. Z £zptt taxes (484) (8.3) (73.4) (56.9) Other (611.3) (666.0) (773.1) (857.2) Teasf*ere from public *nsaitorias - 7S. 1 74. 4 9D.9 73.2 Tstat o.itla 1190.4 1,002.6 1.065.2 1 305.7 1 390.4 Curren outlT 425176 '029I 50.0 1t7rS 1 263.1 Budgetaty expediture (741.9) (817.1) (806.8) (908.8) t990.1) Interest on governuent bonds and othet obliga tions to the central bank (22.1) (24.5) (32.8) (84.8) (85.7) Other expenditures outside the budget It (61.6) (-12.3) (110.4) (129.2) (187.3) capital outlays 364.8 173.3 115.2 182.9 127.3 ntvustnent (364.8) (173.3) (105.2) (150.9) (127.3) Budgetary exnpediture /135.01 /l44.3/ /95.21 /95.9/ /127.3/ Other caital expendi tures 3/ /229.8/ /29.0/ /10.0/ /55.0/ /-I Financing capital 4/ () () (10.0) (32.0) Overall surclus or defi cit - of the Treasur -530.8 -178.2 -144.3 -300.1 -193.0 conceaGional financing net)I/ 27.5 3.4 -12.6 -23.1 -24.5 Nonconceoeional financing 503.3 174.8 156.9 323.8 217.5 Donestic financing 282.3 182.3 160.1 305.4 23.0 Consolidated central bank and SIC (297.5) (182.2) (155.6) (306.7) (226.2) Private banke (-15.2) (0.1 (4.5) (-1.3) ( -3.2) externsl comuercial bor rowintq (net) 221.0 -7.5 -3.2 18.4 -5.5 I/ Defined as government operations financed with domestic resources and through general purpose foreign borrowing. Excludes, therefore, expenditure financed with foreign grants and concessional development loans tied to specific investment projects, which generally are not channeled through the Treasury. 2/ A residual indicating a difference between the total of current budget revenue, budgetary assistance and financing from noncessional sources, on the one hand, and the total of budgetary current outlays and capital outlays of the Treasury, on the other hand. 3/ Financing of Darbonne sugar mill through 1983, and of inventories of sugar by the Regie du Tabac et des Allumettes and of edible oil by SODEXOL in 1984. 4/ For acquisition of stocks of Ciment d'Haiti in 1983 and 1984. 5/ Includes abudgetary support loan from the Inter-American fevelopmant Bank in 1981 and 1982. Source: ITh page I of 2 -22.- Table 2.6: SWMtARY ACCOUNTS OF PRINCIPAL PUBLIC ENTERPRISES, FT 81 - 85 (C million at current prices) bl co_- let Tat Total lMicattion Say maints- Ucettlettr flour ubkic Campaup C_m t trasim Coupon, till RecevvIosG FY81 IMM-0 62.O 8.0 35.1 125.6 254.5 505.2 Current expenditure 39.8 1.8 23.4 81.0 25S.0 .08.0 Operatina surplus or deficit () 42.2 0,8 11.7 44.6 E,S 9t. ftC transfers to goner"l gOlSOt - - - - - - _ Current account surlus or deficit (-) 42.2 -0.8 11.7 4446 -0.5 97.2 Capital expeniture .0 Z6.9 '8 T IT 7 Groes fixd capital formation (58.5) (14.7) (26.8) (45.6) C-) (145.6) inventory chnges (1.5) (-) (-) (3.0) (-5.7) (-1.2) overall surplus or deficit (-) -17.8 -15.7 -15.1 -4.0 S.2 -47.2 External financing (net) 13.8 1.32.0 47. 83.3 Concessionery loa () (13.8) (1.3) (22.0) (-) (37.1) Coinrcial loans (-0.8) () (-) (- (47.0) (46.2) Domatic financing (net) 18.6 1.7 13.8 -18.0 -52.2 -36.1 FY82 Revenue 122.2 11.0 43.0 123.8 2/ 228.0 528.0 Current expenditure 63.2 9.7 28.0 95.5 185.5 381.9 Operating surplus or deficit () 59.0 1.3 15.0 28.3 42.5 146.1 Net transfers to general governoent -35.8 T - - - W 3l --.- , current account surplus or deficit (-) 23.2 4.0 15.0 28.3 O.S 71.0 Capital expenditure T TT1- 1.2 Zx 24.6 Gross fixed capital formation (28.2) (1.5) (1.2) (47.1) () (78.0) Inventory changes (-) (-) (-) (-) (24.6) (24.6) 4 Overall surplus or deficit (-) -5.0 2.5 13.8 -18.8 -24.1 -31.6 External financing (net) - I. -i 7 - -7T -31.S -14.9 Concessionary loans t-) (-) (-2.0) (19.6) () (17.6) Comercial loans (-1.0) (-) t-) () (-31.5) (-32.S) .Domestic financing (net) 6.0 -0.5 -13.8 -0.8 55.6 46.5 FY83 Revenue 150.8 12.2 51.2 150.5 2/ 294.2 658.9 Current expenditure 62.8 1l.6 31.1 149.6 214.7 469.8 Operating surplus or deficit (-) 88.0 0.6 20.1 0.9 79.5 189.1 Net transfers to general governaent -27.3 3.4 - - -50.5 -74.4 Currzat account surplus or deficit (-) 60.7 4.0 20.1 0.9 29.0 114.7 Capital expenditure I 1.3 73- 12?9 2 224.8 Overall surplus or deficit t-) 43.4 2.7 -35.7 -128.8 a -110.1 External finkancinkg (not) 2 -1.3 -1r2 -rar 6M.s 200.7 Concessionary loans (-) (-1.3) (35.5) (106.7) (-) (140.9) Commercial loans (-0.4) C-) C-) (-) (60.3) ;9.6) Dometic financing (net) -43.0 -_.4 0.2 22.1 -68.5 -90.6 Monetary authority (-43.0) (-1.4) (0.2) (22.1) (-89.1) (-111.2) Banks (-) (-) (-) C-) (20.6) (20.6) page 2 of 2 -23- Table 2.6: SUMMARY ACCOUNTS OF PRINCIPAL PUBLIC ENTERPRISES, FY 81 - 85 (0 million at current prices) telo_ lacer vote U eo- Total w catoee Suplty MmAi- - teity flout ufgar Cement Public Rq am, m t ratin come. full Kill St Cm..., 6/ ceorpites FY84 1wea2 161*S 13.7 66.4 192.Ott 265.5 12.t 110.0 839.3 Current expendit s.s 1. 3.*6 135.s 26.s 14.2 92.7 s62.2 ~etatiE e surolus of deft -) 60 45 79.0 -2.1 17.3 MU nt wiamafero to goner"l government -35.0 2. 7 -- -61.0 19.4 - -90.9 92MI-tse -II 51.0 4.1 27.8 4.9 18.0 17.3 17.3 166.2 -apt-toelxpeaditure ty. W.T lW.r MTEl M.: TMrz Tr. M fovrall eurolua or doficit t-) -17.0 2.0 17.3 -83.5 18.0 -5.7 5.8 -89.2 Externta financing (Got) - -5 IT S1 -TH -2 lI - .9 Congesiacory loan (22.0) (-1.0) (-2.3) (96.0) 1-) (-) C-) (128.1) Comeerctaloas (-) (-) (-) 1-) (-37.9) () t) (-26.2) Domettc finascIng (net) -29.5 1.0 -3.3 -14.S 33.7 5.I -5.6 -12.7 Maetary authority (-5.0) (1.0) (-lS.0) (-14.5) (20.0) (5.7) (12.6) (5.7) Senks ) ) ) (_) (-) (-18.4) (-18.4) iVY85 Reoenue 161.5 14.4 66.4 192.0 2/ 301.8 t9.9 120.7 876.7 Current expendtture 75.5 13.3 38.6 135.S - 232.9 24.0 9S.6 618.4 Oserattnc surplus or deficit (-I 86.0 1.1 27.8 56.5 68.9 -4.1 22.1 258.3 Iat eransfern to g<nertl governmet -35.0 2.7 - - -61.0 Z0.I - -73.2 current account lurulus or d Ltict (-) 51.0 3.6 27.8 56.5 7.9 16.0 22.1 185.1 Cipletol *xp ndicure 97r2 1T:[ TFT M1TR -l]:2y 37. 2.8 zF6: Overall surplu or deficit (-) -17.0 2.4 17.3 -46.0 19.4 8.2 19.3 -1.7 External fining (net) =lh -E: -2. 3Tt-.T _=712 -T -122.4 Concessiotary loans (22.0) (-2.4) (-:.3) (51.5) (--) t-) t-) 68.8 Coamercialano o-) (-) (-) (--) 37.2 (-6.8) (-12.4) 56.4 Domettc finaneing (not) -5.0 - -15.0 -5.5 17.8 -1.4 .9 -10.7 Monetary authority (-2.1) (0.6) (-22.2) (-1.8) (17.8*1.9) (-1.2) (-10.7) Banks C) C) C) t) ) () (-) 11 Fiscal year ended on Septamber 30. i Takes into account changes in accounts receivable. I lnclude* a 0 29 dillion loan *xtanded to the Government and dtstribution of profits in the amount of C Tz.5 million. 41 Includes an unideantified residual item of G 6 million. I The sugar dill began oprations in FtY 1983/84. I' The cement company v" a cquired by the Governmnt on October 1. 1984. Source: IMF -24- Table 2.7; TREASURY BUDGETARY RBCURR$NT EXPENDITURB, FY8I-85, AND BUDGET. FY86 (a million at current prices) FY81 FY82 FYS F4 FY a/ FY86 Budget General Public Administration 189.5 184.2 17M.1 234.8 248.6 247.7 Armed Force" 76.7 76.6 78.9 88.9 94.8 96.2 Interior and National Defense 27.7 26.0 24.2 40.2 42.1 44.2 Information and Public Relations 40.3 37.4 30.1 31.9 31.8 35.4 Justice 10.3 10.2 10.1 12.0 17.1 24.6 Presidency of the Republic 9.3 9.5 9.8 16.4 17.3 18.6 Foreign Affairs 17.4 17.4 16.2 37.1 36.2 18.5 Legislative Chamber 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.9 5.6 6.4 Religion (Cults) 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.0 Economic Services 186.0 181.7 175.3 238.0 222.5 245.8 Economy and Finance bh 92.5 83.3 85.1 97.7 81.3 82.3 Public Works, Transport, &Coenunications 34.4 36.3 31.7 68.5 66.7 77.3 Agriculture 31.5 29.0 27.8 31.4 32.2 37.5 Planning 11.6 12.7 11.5 19.9 21.8 22.8 Commerce and Industry b/ 8.5 13.2 12.8 13.8 13.8 14.3 Mines and Energy Resources 7.5 7.2 6.5 6.8 6.7 6.9 Superior Court of Accounts - - - - - 4,8 Social Services 162.2 200.6 188.0 206.0 219.8 218.5 National Education c/ 77.5 85.9 87.3 93.4 100.8 98.3 State University of Haiti c/ - - - - - 7.0 Public Health 61.0 93.2 81.5 90.0 96.8 89.5 Social Affairs 16.6 15.3 13.3 16.5 16.3 16.9 Youth and Sports 7.1 6.2 5.8 6.1 5.9 6.9 Subtota. 537.7 566.5 540.4 678.9 690.9 712.1 Other Current Expenditure 204.2 250.6 266.4 229.9 288.1 600.8 Amortization Fund d/ 204.2 250.6 266.4 229.9 288.1 - Interest - - - - 147.3 Amortization - - - - 177.1 Other Expenses: Identified - - - - - 97.4 "Special Obligations" - - - - - 179.0 Total 741.9 817.1 806.8 908.8 979.1 1312.9 a/ September eistimated. bi The budget for Industry was moved from Commerce and Industry to EcOnom and Finance in FYd2. It was returned to Commerce in mid-FY8S. c/ The State University of Haiti whose budget was part of National Education before FY86 now has an autonomous budget. d/ The Amortization Fund was broken down into its component parts after FY8M. Sources: MEF, Direction du Tresor Budget, FY86 Table 2.8: SALAR CUIP O P FN 83361*8 AFCIJRRE EX.ISOITt:, FT92BS, ANi 801W1,fY96 (6 millin at current Prices) ---- -FY82 ----- --- Y83 ----- ---- FYO4----- -------- FM9 ------ lod"t Rh---- SAI.ARI totAL I SALARY SALARY TOTAL I SALARV SALAY TOTAL I SALARY SAULAR tOTAL I SLM SLAY lOYoAL : SKAW Seweal Publit Admkinistration 119.2 194.2 6EL2 323.3 177.3 68.4 149.7 234.9 63.7 164.3 248.6 66.0 99.3 247.7 35.9 b/ Armed forces 54.7 79.6 72.3 57.5 79.9~ 72.0 58.7 88.9 66.1 66.4 94.8 0.8 . 96.2 initerior and National Defens 11.3 126.0 43.4 55.3 24.2 45.9 15.6 40.2 38.9 16.9 42.1 39.9 18.5 44.2 41.9 1ni'oraation and Public Relatimn 17.5 V.4 46.9 17.5 30. 1 58.2 16.2 31.9 50.7 35.6 33.8 49.0 17.7 35.4 49.9 Justice 9.5 10.2 92. 9 9.5 10.1 94.7 10,? 12.0 49.2 15.6 17.1 91.0 19.5. 24.6 79.3 Presidenc of th Repblic 5.5 9.5 V7.7 5.8 9.8 58. 7 9.5 16.4 50.0 9.~ 37.3 53.0 9.7 19.6 52.2 Foreignt Affairs 32.5 17.4 72.0 13.3 16.2 80.9 32.9 .31.1 98.7 32.1 36.2 98.6 14.3 59.5 77.4 Legislative Chaubo 4.5 4.7 96.0 4.2 4.7 89.2 3.1 4.9 64.1 5.5 5.6 99.2 6.2 6.4 99.0 Religion (cults) 2.7 1.3 90.6 2.6 3.2 02.8 2.8 3.4 83.3 3.0 3.7 81.9 3.2 4.0 79.8 Economtic Service 3389 581.7 65.4 323.0 175.3 69.0 164.6 238.0 69.1 373.6 22.$ 79.0 587.5 245.8 76.3 fconMy artd Fjr'ce c/ 41.7 93.3 50. 1 44.8 85.1 52.7 53.3 97.7 54.6 59.1 81.3 73.4 59.5 82.3 72.3 Public Works, transpot, * Comnications 25.9 36.3 71.2 24.6 31.7 77.6 50.5 68.5 73.7 51.7 66.7 77.5 55.4 77.3 73.7 Agriculture 25.5 29.0 98.0 26.6 27.9 95.5 29.0 33.4 92.5 30.5 32.2 94.6 34.9 37.5 942.8 Plannting 9.7 12.7 76.2 980 15.5 77.2 15.0 19.9 75.5 16.4 21.9 74.9 16.6 22.9 72.9 Coswrre and Itdastry c/ 11.1 13.2 333.9 31.2 12.9 87.3 13.6 33.9 84.3 13.9 13.8 85.6 32.2 14 3 85.4 Nines and Natural Resorces 5.0 7.2 70.37 S.D 6.5 76.0 S.1 6.8 74.8 5.1 6.7 77.1 5.2 6.9 74.5 Superior Court of Accounts - - - .. - - . - - - - - 3.9 4.9 48.9 Social Servicp" 162.9 200.6 93.2 164.9 388.0 87.7 176.6 2tt6.C 85.7 390.7 219.8 86.7 196.4 218.5 95.3 ---------- --- ----- ----- ----- . .. .... ----- -1-- ----- ----- -- . -,-- -- - .... National Education dl 79.0 85.9 92.0 83.4 07.3 93.2 84.2 934 90.1 91.9 300.8 91.2 58.2 98.3 99.80 State Ulniversity of ffaiti d/ - .- - -- - -- - - 6.4 7.0 91.3 Public lHealth 68.5 93.2 73.5 70 7 81.5 86.8 77.0 90.0 86.5 84.2 96.0 87.0 76.9 89.5 96.0 social Affairs 10.9 35.3 73.0 8.3 13.3 62.3 10.1 16.5 61.1 10.2 16.3 62.7 10.3 16.9 61.3 Youth arnd Sports 4.5 6.2 73.3 4.5 "P.8a 76.7 4.4 6.3 72.7 4.3 5.9 73.4 4.5 6.9 45.7 Subtotal 400.0 566.5 70.6 407.1 540.4 75.3 490 9 678.9 72.3 529.4 690.9 76.5 46.9 712.3 65.0 bI other Current Expenditure 1,7 250.6 0.7 30.7 266.4 4,0 0.7 229.9 0.3 0.3 289.3 0.1 . 600.8 Asortization Funtd '.1 1.7 250.6 0.7 30.7 266.4 4.0 0.7 229.9 0.3 0.3 288.1 0.1 - Interest . - - - - - - - . 147.3 Amortization A" .- .. 7.1 Other Erpeuses: Identtified - . 97.4 'Special Obligations'-- - -. - -- - -. 179.0 Total 403.7 917.3 49.2 437.9 006.8 53.8 493.S 9W8. 54.3 528.7 979.3 54.0 .. 1312.9 a/ September estimated, bl The perreotaw of salaries in the FY96 Budget does not inclujde either the Armed Forces salaries northe total Armed Forcesxpenditures. tl the- budget for Industry was move from Commerce antd Industryo Econogy and Finance in FY82. It was returned to Commrce in mid-fY96. d/ The State University of Haiti whose budget was part of National Education before FY96 now has an autonmous budget. P/ The Amortization fund was broken dowrn into its cowpoent Parts after FY95 Sources: tIFF Direction doe Tresor Ru-- ldget, FY86 Table 2.9: GOYDlEFSN U6'BBS BY MINISTRY, FY71-8, AND BUDET, FYM6 FY71 Fm3 M FY78 FY90 FY91 FY92 Fm3 FY894 FY6S FY6 MINISTRY BUDW General Public Administration 1,727 1,816 1,888 2,071 3,174 3,628 3,578 3,390 3,292 3,872 3.872 Justice 1,119 1,118 1.180 1,249 1,303 1,308 1,306 1,284 1,247 1,357 1,357 Interior and National Defense 370 445 459 557 521 546 563 561 565 802 802 Information and Public Relations ,. .. .. .. 780 986 923 844 743 760 760 Presidency of the Republic .. .. .. .. 190 191 110 341 352 352 Foreign Affairs a/ 238 253 249 265 300 327 328 332 340 340 340 Legislative Chamber .. .. .. .. 203 202 203 204 .. 206 206 Religion (Cults)a/ - - - - 67 69 64 55 56 55 55 Armed Forces ,. .. .. .. .. .. .. Economic Services 4,666 4,918 4,670 5,736 6,384 6,535 5,797 5,799 8.228 6,821 6,779 Agriculture 3,022 3,165 2,980 3,613 3,157 3.104 2,259 2,256 2,222 2.408 2,381 Public Works, Transport., Coum. 707 765 802 1,020 1,493 1,599 1,398 1,401 3,594 2,017 2,017 Coxmerce and Iniustry b/,c/ 514 S15 397 548 579 587 834 811 954 855 855 Economy and Finance d/,b/ 423 483 491 555 559 615 602 658 667 600 600 Planning .. ,. .. .. 389 403 471 460 570 578 563 Mines and Energy Resources c/ - - - - 207 227 233 214 221 219 219 Superior Court of Accounts - - - - - - - - - 144 144 Social Services 9,665 9,733 10,118 14,938 18,498 19,155 20,389 20,129 20,865 21,748 21,748 National Education & Culture e/ 4,956 5,095 5,588 8,764 10,672 11,259 11,835 11,841 12,292 12,572 12,572 State University of Haiti e/ - - - - - - - - - 578 578 Health 4,521 4,466 4,347 5,518 5,726 5,737 6,521 6,941 7,274 7,367 7,367 Social Affairs 188 172 183 656 1,781 1,786 1,624 951 903 831 831 Youth and Sports .. .. .. .. 320 373 409 396 396 400 400 Total 16,058 16,467 16,676 22,745 28,056 29,318 29,764 29,318 32,385 32,441 32,399 a/ The number of employees under Foreign Affairs from Y1 to FY78 includes the employees in the Religion Ministry also. b/ The budget for Industry was moved from Comerce and Industry to Economy and Finance starting in FY85. c/ The number of employees under Commerce and Industry from FY71 to FY78 includes the employees in the Mines and Energy Resources Ministry also. d/ The number of employees in the Finance and Rconomy Ministry for FY85 does not include the Customs section. e/ The State University of Haiti %as part of the Ministry of National Education and Culture before PY86. Sources: MP, Direction de la Prograuation Econamique et Sociale World Bank, Haiti: Policy Proposals for Growth, 1985 MEFI Budget, FYM6 Table 2. 10: APPARENT AVERAGE SALARIES OFCIVIL SERVANTS BY NINISTRY, FY92-85, AD BUDGET, FY96 (6 at current prices) ---- FY82 - - FY3 - ------ --- FY4 -- FY85 /- -------- uBet FY6 ------ pages I Pages N pages * Mages S bges salaries Number of Average Salaries Number of Average Salaries Number of Average Salaries Nuuber of Average Salaries llumber of Average (6 aillion) Employees Salary (6 million) Employees Salary (6 million) Employees Salary (6 million) Employees Salary (6 sillion) Employees Salary 6eneral Public Adinistration 118.2 3,578 17,766 b/ 121.3 3,390 18,818 bJ 149.7 3,292 22,705 c/ 164.1 3,872 25,251 bt 89.1 3,872 23,001 bl Armed Forces 54.7 .. .. 57.5 .. .. 58.7 .. .. 66.4 .. .. Foreign Affairs 12.5 328 38,159 13.1 332 39,437 32.9 340 96,771 32.1 340 94.424 14.3 340 42,156 Religion (Cults) 2.7 64 41,703 2.6 55 47,727 2.8 56 50,11% 3.0 55 54,745 3.2 55 57,345 Legislative Chamber 4.5 203 22,355 4.2 204 20,647 3.1 .. .. 5.5 206 26,901 6.2 206 30,277 Presidency of the Republic 5.5 191 28,791 5.8 110 52,427 9.5 341 27,859 9.2 352 26,068 9.7 352 27,551 Interior and National Defense 11.3 563 20,050 11.1 561 19,729 15.6 565 27.671 16.8 802 20,931 16.5 802 23,040 Information and Public Relations 17.5 923 18,998 17.5 844 20,718 16.2 743 21,763 15.6 760 20,482 17.7 760 23,291 Justice 9.5 1,306 7,289 9.5 1,284 7,431 10.7 1,247 8,619 15.6 1,357 11,502 19.5 1,357 14,340 Economit Services 118.9 5,797 20,510 121.0 5,799 20,857 164.6 8,228 20,002 173.6 6,821 25,446 17.5 6,779 27,653 Ecoom and Finance d/ 41.7 602 69,271 44.8 658 69,114 53.3 667 79,991 59.1 600 96,793 59.5 600 ",)I5 Planning 9.7 471 20,524 8.8 460 19,233 15.0 570 26,379 16.4 578 28,329 16.6 563 29,472 Public Works, Transport, & Communications 25.9 1,398 18,524 24.6 1,401 17,557 50.5 3,594 14,041 51.7 2,017 25,629 55.4 2,017 27,474 Superior Court of Accounts - - - - - - - - - - 144 - 3.8 144 26,694 Nines and Energy Resources 5.0 233 21,627 5.0 214 23,187 5.1 221 22,982 5.1 219 23,470 5.2 219 23,525 Agriculture 25.5 2.259 11,297 26.6 2,255 11,781 29.0 2,222 13,067 30.5 2,408 12,467 34.8 2,381 14,602 Comaerce and Industry d/ 11.1 634 13,276 11.2 911 13,760 11.6 954 12,176 11.8 855 13,777 12.2 855 14,291 Social Services 162.9 20,389 7,990 164.9 20,129 8,192 176.6 20,865 8,462 190.7 21,748 8,760 166.4 21,461 8.605 Social Affairs 10.9 1,624 6,690 8.3 951 8,720 10.1 903 11,163 10.2 931 12,326 10.3 831 12,395 Youth and Sports 4.5 409 11,088 4.5 396 11,263 4.4 3% 11,222 4.3 400 10,760 4.5 400 11,313 Public Health 60.5 6,521 10,505 70.7 6,941 20,18 77.8 7,274 10,702 84.2 7,36