{ "annotations": [ { "date": "2018-07", "description": { "en": "Violent nationwide protests after IMF-required fuel-subsidy cut; dozens killed. PM resignation." }, "id": "2018_pep_riots", "label": { "en": "July 2018 fuel-price riots", "fr": "\u00c9meutes du carburant (juil. 2018)", "ht": "Pwotestasyon kont pri gaz (jiy\u00e8 2018)" }, "type": "political" }, { "date": "2020-03", "description": { "en": "Schools closed, borders shut, economic activity contracted sharply." }, "id": "2020_covid", "label": { "en": "COVID-19 state of emergency", "fr": "Urgence sanitaire COVID-19", "ht": "Eta ijans COVID-19" }, "type": "health" }, { "date": "2021-07", "description": { "en": "July 7, 2021. Acute constitutional vacuum, gang expansion, capital-flight." }, "id": "2021_moise_assassination", "label": { "en": "President Mo\u00efse assassinated", "fr": "Assassinat du pr\u00e9sident Mo\u00efse", "ht": "Prezidan Mo\u00efse asasine" }, "type": "political" }, { "date": "2022-09", "description": { "en": "Blocked fuel terminals; humanitarian emergency; PM Henry announces subsidy removal." }, "id": "2022_fuel_subsidy_crisis", "label": { "en": "Sept 2022 fuel crisis", "fr": "Crise du carburant (sept. 2022)", "ht": "Kriz gaz (sept. 2022)" }, "type": "political" }, { "date": "2024-03", "description": { "en": "Prison breaks, coordinated gang attacks force PM Henry's resignation; CARICOM-led transitional council." }, "id": "2024_state_of_emergency", "label": { "en": "March 2024 state of emergency", "fr": "\u00c9tat d'urgence (mars 2024)", "ht": "Eta ijans (mas 2024)" }, "type": "political" } ], "default_view": { "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX" }, "description": { "en": "**Quarterly composite index of short-term economic activity for Haiti**,\npublished by IHSI. Tracks 15 branches grouped into primary, secondary,\nand tertiary sectors. Base period 2007-2008 = 100. Quarters are labelled\nby Haiti's fiscal year (1 October to 30 September, named for the year it\nends): for example, period `2026-Q1` means October to December 2025.\n\nAvailable as raw (official IHSI publication) and seasonally adjusted\n(World Bank computation using classical ratio-to-average method).\n", "fr": "Indice composite trimestriel d'activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique \u00e0 court terme pour Ha\u00efti, publi\u00e9 par l'IHSI. Suit 15 branches regroup\u00e9es en secteurs primaire, secondaire et tertiaire. P\u00e9riode de base 2007-2008 = 100. Les trimestres sont \u00e9tiquet\u00e9s selon l'ann\u00e9e fiscale ha\u00eftienne (1er octobre au 30 septembre, d\u00e9sign\u00e9e par l'ann\u00e9e o\u00f9 elle se termine) : par exemple, la p\u00e9riode 2026-Q1 correspond \u00e0 octobre-d\u00e9cembre 2025. Disponible en donn\u00e9es brutes (publication IHSI officielle) et corrig\u00e9es des variations saisonni\u00e8res (calcul Banque mondiale).\n", "ht": "Endis konpozit trim\u00e8striy\u00e8l aktivite ekonomik akout\u00e8m pou Ayiti, pibliye pa IHSI. Swiv 15 branch regwoupe nan sekt\u00e8 prim\u00e8, segond\u00e8 ak t\u00e8sy\u00e8. Pery\u00f2d baz 2007-2008 = 100. Trim\u00e8s yo make selon ane fiskal Ayiti a (1ye okt\u00f2b rive 30 septanm, ki pote non ane li fini an): pa egzanp, pery\u00f2d 2026-Q1 vle di okt\u00f2b a desanm 2025. Disponib an done bri (piblikasyon ofisy\u00e8l IHSI) ak korije pou varyasyon sezonye (kalkil Bank Mondyal).\n" }, "dim_labels": { "adjustment": { "en": "Seasonal Adjustment" }, "area_type": { "en": "Geographic coverage" }, "component": { "en": "ICAE Components" }, "measure": { "en": "ICAE Measures" } }, "document_series": [], "domain": "real", "downloadable": true, "facets": { "adjustment": [ "NSA", "SA" ], "area_type": [ "NATIONAL" ], "component": [ "AGRICULTURE", "ALL", "COMMERCE", "CONSTRUCTION", "FINANCE", "HOSPITALITY", "MANUFACTURING", "MINING", "NON_MARKET", "OTHER_MARKET", "PRIMARY", "SECONDARY", "TERTIARY", "TRANSPORT", "UTILITIES" ], "frequency": [ "Q" ], "measure": [ "INDEX", "INDEX_SA", "YOY_PCT", "QOQ_PCT" ] }, "indicator_id": "icae", "labels": { "adjustment": { "NSA": { "description": "Raw series with no seasonal adjustment applied; the official publication from the primary source.", "description_fr": "S\u00e9rie brute sans correction des variations saisonni\u00e8res ; publication officielle de la source primaire.", "description_ht": "Seri bri san koreksyon sezonye ; piblikasyon ofisy\u00e8l sous prim\u00e8 a.", "en": "Not seasonally adjusted", "fr": "Non corrig\u00e9 des variations saisonni\u00e8res (NCVS)", "ht": "Pa korije pou sezon (NSA)" }, "SA": { "description": "Series with seasonal factors removed to reveal the underlying trend (World Bank computation where noted; see methodology_note for method).", "description_fr": "S\u00e9rie avec facteurs saisonniers retir\u00e9s pour r\u00e9v\u00e9ler la tendance sous-jacente (calcul Banque mondiale le cas \u00e9ch\u00e9ant).", "description_ht": "Seri ak fakt\u00e8 sezonye retire pou montre tandans anba a (kalkil Bank Mondyal kote sa n\u00f2te).", "en": "Seasonally adjusted", "fr": "Corrig\u00e9 des variations saisonni\u00e8res (CVS)", "ht": "Korije pou sezon (SA)" } }, "area_type": { "NATIONAL": { "description": "Country-wide total.", "en": "National", "fr": "National", "ht": "Nasyonal" } }, "component": { "AGRICULTURE": { "description": "Agriculture, forestry, livestock, and fishing (ISIC 01-03).", "description_fr": "Agriculture, sylviculture, \u00e9levage et p\u00eache (CITI 01-03).", "description_ht": "Agrikilti, silvikiltir, elvaj ak lap\u00e8ch (CITI 01-03).", "en": "Agriculture", "fr": "Agriculture", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Agrikilti" }, "ALL": { "description": "Composite short-term economic activity index \u2014 weighted aggregate of all 15 branch indices.", "description_fr": "Indice composite d'activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique \u00e0 court terme \u2014 agr\u00e9gat pond\u00e9r\u00e9 des 15 indices de branches.", "description_ht": "Endis konpozit aktivite ekonomik akout\u00e8m \u2014 agregate pondre 15 endis branch yo.", "en": "ICAE Overall", "fr": "ICAE Global", "group": "Headline", "ht": "ICAE Global" }, "COMMERCE": { "description": "Wholesale and retail trade (ISIC 45-47).", "description_fr": "Commerce de gros et de d\u00e9tail (CITI 45-47).", "description_ht": "Kom\u00e8s an gwo ak an detay (CITI 45-47).", "en": "Commerce", "fr": "Commerce", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Kom\u00e8s" }, "CONSTRUCTION": { "description": "Construction sector (ISIC 41-43).", "description_fr": "Secteur de la construction (CITI 41-43).", "description_ht": "Sekt\u00e8 konstriksyon (CITI 41-43).", "en": "Construction", "fr": "Construction", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Konstriksyon" }, "FINANCE": { "description": "Banking, insurance, and financial services (ISIC 64-66).", "description_fr": "Banques, assurances et services financiers (CITI 64-66).", "description_ht": "Bank, asirans ak s\u00e8vis finansye (CITI 64-66).", "en": "Financial institutions", "fr": "Institutions Financi\u00e8res", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Enstitisyon Finansy\u00e8" }, "HOSPITALITY": { "description": "Accommodation and food service activities (ISIC 55-56).", "description_fr": "Activit\u00e9s d'h\u00e9bergement et de restauration (CITI 55-56).", "description_ht": "Aktivite eb\u00e8jman ak restoran (CITI 55-56).", "en": "Restaurants and hotels", "fr": "Restaurant et H\u00f4tel", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Restoran ak Ot\u00e8l" }, "MANUFACTURING": { "description": "Manufacturing activities (ISIC 10-33).", "description_fr": "Activit\u00e9s de fabrication (CITI 10-33).", "description_ht": "Aktivite fabrikasyon (CITI 10-33).", "en": "Manufacturing", "fr": "Manufacture", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Manifakti" }, "MINING": { "description": "Extractive activities \u2014 rock, gravel, sand, sea salt (ISIC 05-09).", "description_fr": "Activit\u00e9s extractives \u2014 roches, gravier, sable, sel marin (CITI 05-09).", "description_ht": "Aktivite ekstraktif \u2014 w\u00f2ch, gravye, sab, s\u00e8l lanm\u00e8 (CITI 05-09).", "en": "Mining and quarries", "fr": "Mines et carri\u00e8res", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Min ak kary\u00e8" }, "NON_MARKET": { "description": "Public administration, education, health, and other non-market services (ISIC 84-99).", "description_fr": "Administration publique, \u00e9ducation, sant\u00e9 et autres services non marchands (CITI 84-99).", "description_ht": "Administrasyon piblik, edikasyon, sante ak l\u00f2t s\u00e8vis ki pa machan (CITI 84-99).", "en": "Non-market services", "fr": "Services non marchands", "group": "Branches", "ht": "S\u00e8vis ki pa machan" }, "OTHER_MARKET": { "description": "Real estate, professional services, and other market activities.", "description_fr": "Immobilier, services professionnels et autres activit\u00e9s marchandes.", "description_ht": "Imobilye, s\u00e8vis pwofesyon\u00e8l ak l\u00f2t aktivite machan.", "en": "Other market services", "fr": "Autres Services marchands", "group": "Branches", "ht": "L\u00f2t S\u00e8vis machan" }, "PRIMARY": { "description": "Agriculture plus mining and quarries.", "description_fr": "Agriculture plus mines et carri\u00e8res.", "description_ht": "Agrikilti plis min ak kary\u00e8.", "en": "Primary sector", "fr": "Secteur Primaire", "group": "Sectors", "ht": "Sekt\u00e8 Prim\u00e8" }, "SECONDARY": { "description": "Manufacturing, construction, electricity and water.", "description_fr": "Industries manufacturi\u00e8res, construction, \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et eau.", "description_ht": "Endistri manifakti, konstriksyon, elektrisite ak dlo.", "en": "Secondary sector", "fr": "Secteur Secondaire", "group": "Sectors", "ht": "Sekt\u00e8 Segond\u00e8" }, "TERTIARY": { "description": "Services \u2014 commerce, hospitality, transport, finance, and public services.", "description_fr": "Services \u2014 commerce, h\u00f4tellerie, transport, finance et services publics.", "description_ht": "S\u00e8vis \u2014 kom\u00e8s, ot\u00e8lri, transp\u00f2, finans ak s\u00e8vis piblik.", "en": "Tertiary sector", "fr": "Secteur Tertiaire", "group": "Sectors", "ht": "Sekt\u00e8 T\u00e8sy\u00e8" }, "TRANSPORT": { "description": "Transport, storage, and communications (ISIC 49-53, 58-63).", "description_fr": "Transports, entreposage et communications (CITI 49-53, 58-63).", "description_ht": "Transp\u00f2, antrepozaj ak kominikasyon (CITI 49-53, 58-63).", "en": "Transport and communications", "fr": "Transports et Communications", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Transp\u00f2 ak Kominikasyon" }, "UTILITIES": { "description": "Electricity, gas, water supply, and waste management (ISIC 35-39).", "description_fr": "\u00c9lectricit\u00e9, gaz, distribution d'eau et gestion des d\u00e9chets (CITI 35-39).", "description_ht": "Elektrisite, gaz, distribisyon dlo ak jesyon fatra (CITI 35-39).", "en": "Electricity and water", "fr": "\u00c9lectricit\u00e9 et Eau", "group": "Branches", "ht": "Elektrisite ak Dlo" } }, "frequency": { "Q": { "en": "Quarterly", "fr": "Trimestriel", "ht": "Chak trim\u00e8s" } }, "measure": { "INDEX": { "description": "Raw (non-seasonally adjusted) index value. Base 2007-2008 = 100. Official IHSI publication.", "description_fr": "Valeur brute de l'indice (non corrig\u00e9e des variations saisonni\u00e8res). Base 2007-2008 = 100. Publication officielle IHSI.", "description_ht": "Val\u00e8 bri endis la (pa korije pou varyasyon sezonye). Baz 2007-2008 = 100. Piblikasyon ofisy\u00e8l IHSI.", "en": "Index level", "fr": "Niveau de l'indice", "ht": "Nivo endis" }, "INDEX_SA": { "description": "Seasonally adjusted index using classical ratio-to-average method. World Bank computation \u2014 not endorsed by IHSI.", "description_fr": "Indice corrig\u00e9 des variations saisonni\u00e8res par la m\u00e9thode ratio-\u00e0-la-moyenne. Calcul Banque mondiale \u2014 non approuv\u00e9 par l'IHSI.", "description_ht": "Endis korije pou varyasyon sezonye pa met\u00f2d rap\u00f2-a-mway\u00e8n. Kalkil Bank Mondyal \u2014 pa apwouve pa IHSI.", "en": "Index level (seasonally adjusted)", "fr": "Niveau de l'indice (CVS)", "ht": "Nivo endis (CVS)" }, "QOQ_PCT": { "description": "Percentage change from the previous quarter, computed on the seasonally adjusted index (INDEX_SA). Quarter-on-quarter change on the raw index is dominated by seasonality, so the only meaningful QoQ is on the deseasonalised series \u2014 a World Bank computation, not endorsed by IHSI.", "description_fr": "Variation en pourcentage par rapport au trimestre pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent, calcul\u00e9e sur l'indice corrig\u00e9 des variations saisonni\u00e8res (INDEX_SA). La variation trimestrielle de l'indice brut est domin\u00e9e par la saisonnalit\u00e9 ; la seule variation trimestrielle pertinente porte donc sur la s\u00e9rie CVS \u2014 un calcul de la Banque mondiale, non approuv\u00e9 par l'IHSI.", "description_ht": "Chanjman an pousentaj konpare ak trim\u00e8s anvan an, kalkile sou endis korije pou varyasyon sezonye (INDEX_SA). Varyasyon trim\u00e8striy\u00e8l endis bri a domine pa sezonnalite ; s\u00e8l varyasyon trim\u00e8striy\u00e8l ki gen sans se sou seri CVS la \u2014 yon kalkil Bank Mondyal, ki pa apwouve pa IHSI.", "en": "Quarter-on-quarter change (seasonally adjusted)", "fr": "Variation trimestrielle (CVS)", "ht": "Varyasyon trim\u00e8striy\u00e8l (CVS)" }, "YOY_PCT": { "description": "Percentage change from the same quarter one year earlier.", "description_fr": "Variation en pourcentage par rapport au m\u00eame trimestre de l'ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente.", "description_ht": "Chanjman an pousentaj konpare ak menm trim\u00e8s ane anvan an.", "en": "Year-on-year change", "fr": "Variation annuelle", "ht": "Varyasyon any\u00e8l" } } }, "name": { "en": "Short-term Economic Activity Index", "fr": "Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique", "ht": "Endikat\u00e8 Konjontir\u00e8l Aktivite Ekonomik" }, "observations": [ { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "ALL", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX", "period": "2016-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "observed", "value": 142.619, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "COMMERCE", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 142.1649, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "TERTIARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 147.3114, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "UTILITIES", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 165.2863, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "CONSTRUCTION", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 192.9697, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "MANUFACTURING", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 161.9849, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "SECONDARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 169.1557, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "HOSPITALITY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 114.5884, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "MINING", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 116.3598, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 98.1601, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "ALL", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 145.286, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "NON_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 165.2261, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 119.7901, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "FINANCE", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 148.8969, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "TRANSPORT", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 166.047, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "AGRICULTURE", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 97.7621, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "TRANSPORT", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 163.639, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "FINANCE", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 132.1612, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 117.9367, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 120.3675, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "FINANCE", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 142.6159, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "TRANSPORT", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 176.8705, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "HOSPITALITY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 116.0223, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "COMMERCE", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 142.4199, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "TERTIARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 153.1402, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "UTILITIES", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 165.1333, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "CONSTRUCTION", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 185.6975, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "MANUFACTURING", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "INDEX_SA", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 167.7688, "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "SECONDARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": 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"source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -6.578947368421052, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -5.507955936352509, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -5.252317198764155, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -4.840613931523032, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -5.443234836702955, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2022-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -6.414662084765172, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2022-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -5.268292682926835, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2022-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -6.61521499448732, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2021-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -9.251559251559257, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "NON_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2026-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 4.309449636552446, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "PRIMARY", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2017-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -6.055227421347559, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2025-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 0.4448398576512455, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2020-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 0.32921810699588944, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2020-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.684563758389264, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2020-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 1.8961253091508634, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2019-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -4.127257093723127, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2019-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 1.7587939698492414, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2019-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 1.1884550084889691, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2019-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.53592561284869, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2018-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 8.00078748639543, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2018-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.0095191797546192, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2018-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 1.0291595197255599, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2018-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 1.7196904557179709, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2017-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -1.3116364662798023, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2017-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 3.0146291318804472, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2017-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.713449736037, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2017-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.8518164444401197, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2020-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 4.843049327354265, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2025-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -9.3205574912892, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2021-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 1.5372168284789691, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2021-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 3.281378178835111, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2025-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 0.0, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2025-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -4.433497536945806, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2024-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -0.6920415224913471, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2024-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -8.169934640522875, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2024-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -9.733124018838309, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2024-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -1.2965964343598124, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -6.168831168831176, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -4.747081712062252, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -2.150537634408589, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2023-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": -2.911093627065294, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2022-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 3.010033444816061, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2022-Q3", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.065131056393959, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2022-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.1978021978021847, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2022-Q1", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 1.27490039840637, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2021-Q4", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 2.3096663815226592, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "OTHER_MARKET", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "YOY_PCT", "period": "2021-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 4.084967320261438, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" }, { "area_type": "NATIONAL", "component": "UTILITIES", "frequency": "Q", "measure": "QOQ_PCT", "period": "2026-Q2", "source_id": "ihsi_icae", "status": "derived", "value": 5.9261931549948, "vintage_date": "2026-07-15" } ], "sector": "real", "sectors": [ "ZM" ], "source": { "document_series": [], "format": "xlsx", "frequency_published": "quarterly", "id": "ihsi_icae", "license": "Public: Institut Ha\u00eftien de Statistique et d'Informatique; reproduced with attribution.", "methodology_note": "## IHSI, Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique (ICAE)\n\nThe ICAE is Haiti's official short-term economic activity indicator,\npublished quarterly by IHSI. It tracks real economic activity across\n15 branches of activity grouped into three sectors:\n\n- **Primary**: Agriculture, Mining & Quarries\n- **Secondary**: Manufacturing, Construction, Electricity & Water\n- **Tertiary**: Commerce, Restaurants & Hotels, Transport &\n Communications, Financial Institutions, Other Market Services,\n Non-market Services\n\nThe composite index (ICAE Global) is a weighted aggregate of these\nbranch-level indices. All indices use a **base period of 2007-2008 = 100**.\nQuarters are labelled by **Haitian fiscal year** (fiscal Q1 = October-December\nof the prior calendar year; e.g. period `2026-Q1` = Oct-Dec 2025).\n\n**2026-Q1 reclassification (BPM6)**: starting the FY2025-2026 Q1 bulletin\n(published March 2026), IHSI reclassified textile / sous-traitance activities\n(\"services de fabrication fournis sur des intrants physiques d\u00e9tenus par des\ntiers\", BPM6) out of **Manufacturing** and into **Other market services**.\nThis shifts the level of Manufacturing, Secondary, Other market services and\nTertiary (ICAE Global and the other components are unaffected \u2014 it is an\ninternal reallocation). We keep IHSI's genuine figures on each side and add no\nestimated/backcast numbers (IHSI has not republished the full back-series on\nthe new basis): the four branches stay on the OLD classification through\n2025-Q4 and switch to the NEW classification from 2026-Q1, so a one-time\ndefinitional break sits between **2025-Q4 and 2026-Q1**. `data derive` omits\nYoY/QoQ for those four branches where the calculation would straddle the break\n(see `_reclass_crosses` in derive/icae_transforms.py) rather than mixing two\nbases. NOTE: if a bulletin ingest overwrites a pre-2026-Q1 quarter for these\nfour branches with a new-basis restatement (as the March-2026 bulletin did to\n2025-Q1), revert that quarter to its old-basis value from the corresponding\npre-reclassification bulletin to keep the old segment consistent.\n\n**Seasonal adjustment**: the raw (non-seasonally adjusted) series is\nthe official IHSI publication. A seasonally adjusted series is also\navailable, computed using the Classical Seasonal Decomposition method\n(Direct Ratio-to-Average, following the U.S. BLS/Census approach).\nThe SA series is a **World Bank computation** and is **not endorsed\nby IHSI**. Fixed seasonal factors are calculated per component as\nthe ratio of each quarter's average to the grand mean.\n\n**Source**: [IHSI, ICAE](https://ihsi.gouv.ht/statistiques/statistiques_economiques/icae)\n\n\n## Fiscal-year quarters\n\nIHSI reports the ICAE by Haiti's **fiscal year**, which runs **1 October to\n30 September** and is named for the calendar year in which it ends. The\nquarter code uses that fiscal year, so the four quarters of a fiscal year are:\n\n- **Q1 = October to December** (of the prior calendar year)\n- **Q2 = January to March**\n- **Q3 = April to June**\n- **Q4 = July to September**\n\n**Example:** period `2026-Q1` is the first quarter of **fiscal year 2025-2026**,\ni.e. **October to December 2025**. Likewise `2026-Q4` is July to September 2026,\nand `2025-Q1` is October to December 2024. A quarter code is therefore roughly\none calendar quarter ahead of a same-numbered calendar quarter.\n\n## Textile reclassification (BPM6) \u2014 break at 2026-Q1\n\nFrom its 2026-Q1 bulletin IHSI reclassified textile / apparel assembly\n(sous-traitance) out of **Manufacturing** and into **Other market services**,\nfollowing BPM6 (assembly is now \"manufacturing services on physical inputs\nowned by others\"). This shifts the level of four series \u2014 Manufacturing,\nSecondary, Tertiary, and Other market services \u2014 from **2026-Q1 onward**.\nICAE Global and the other components are unaffected (it is an internal\nreallocation). Those four series therefore show a **one-time definitional step\nat 2025-Q4 \u2192 2026-Q1**, not a real activity change; earlier quarters remain on\nthe old classification. IHSI has not republished the full back-series on the\nnew basis, so we do not restate history (no estimated figures), and year-on-\nyear / quarter-on-quarter growth that would straddle the break is omitted for\nthose four series rather than computed across two bases.\n\n## Seasonally adjusted index and growth rates (World Bank computation)\n\nIHSI publishes the raw (not seasonally adjusted) index (INDEX). Two further\nseries are World Bank computations off that raw index, not IHSI output:\n\n- Seasonally adjusted index (INDEX_SA): the World Bank removes the seasonal\n pattern with a classical ratio-to-average method using fixed quarterly\n factors estimated per component. This adjustment is a World Bank\n computation and is not produced or endorsed by IHSI; treat it as a\n Bank-derived view of the official series rather than an official figure.\n INDEX_SA rows therefore carry status=derived (with derivation_id\n wb_seasonal_adj_v1), while the raw IHSI INDEX stays status=observed.\n- Year-on-year (YOY_PCT) growth is the 4-quarter percent change computed from\n the raw index. Year-on-year differencing compares the same fiscal quarter\n across years, so the seasonal factor cancels and no seasonal adjustment is\n needed (YoY of the adjusted index equals YoY of the raw index).\n- Quarter-on-quarter (QOQ_PCT) growth is the 1-quarter percent change computed\n from the seasonally adjusted index (INDEX_SA), not the raw index: QoQ on the\n raw series is dominated by fiscal-year seasonality and is not a meaningful\n measure of momentum. QOQ_PCT is therefore a Bank-derived view (it inherits\n INDEX_SA's non-IHSI-endorsed status), not an official IHSI figure.\n- Both growth series carry status=derived and a derivation_id, so each shares\n one computation vintage.", "name": "IHSI Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique", "name_localized": { "en": "IHSI Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique", "fr": "IHSI, Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique (ICAE)", "ht": "IHSI, Endikat\u00e8 Konjontir\u00e8l Aktivite Ekonomik (ICAE)" }, "provider": { "full": "Institut Ha\u00eftien de Statistique et d'Informatique", "short": "IHSI", "type": "national_statistics" }, "url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/statistiques/statistiques_economiques/icae" }, "source_publications": [ { "period": "2026-Q2", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/July2026/uXKBgB32D5HwkyG6MweQ.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 2e trimestre 2025-2026" }, { "period": "2026-Q1", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/April2026/npha7GLotOFd8bgMBRJY.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 1er trimestre 2025-2026" }, { "period": "2025-Q4", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/January2026/xSvSAvZPyi2Ai1nnsbti.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 4e trimestre 2024-2025" }, { "period": "2025-Q3", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2025/7uEheGlZFj5HZ1HOmsvZ.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 3e trimestre 2024-2025" }, { "period": "2025-Q2", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/July2025/6t3Q9bj9UHdlo1JY5erL.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 2e trimestre 2024-2025" }, { "period": "2025-Q1", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/April2025/fcewWuYreFbanFTaMGjv.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 1er trimestre 2024-2025" }, { "period": "2024-Q4", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/February2025/w51Ww1v018JkbfwizGoi.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 4e trimestre 2023-2024" }, { "period": "2024-Q3", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2024/8h4LjUYpVBf8pRwxTKmb.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 3e trimestre 2023-2024" }, { "period": "2024-Q2", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/July2024/6mnOgfbwPoNeYRQpixdi.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 2e trimestre 2023-2024" }, { "period": "2024-Q1", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/April2024/JvvyIoRibkrnPD2GFOcj.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 1er trimestre 2023-2024" }, { "period": "2023-Q4", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/April2024/cKwrzQTXAnH7YLUbpUdK.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 4e trimestre 2022-2023" }, { "period": "2023-Q3", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/November2023/AFIWymYXb5N9wXon9HS9.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 3e trimestre 2022-2023" }, { "period": "2023-Q2", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2023/nTpmfO7u3gSopvehJhKW.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 2e trimestre 2022-2023" }, { "period": "2023-Q1", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2023/BhkMpmORBvus4ww7QL2t.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 1er trimestre 2022-2023" }, { "period": "2022-Q4", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2023/L7gwdprHHlVAqB3HMXoV.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 4e trimestre 2021-2022" }, { "period": "2022-Q3", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2023/42x2KdR5LBAFXFAYt2aQ.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 3e trimestre 2021-2022" }, { "period": "2022-Q2", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2023/sE5fmssejDCMvXT1xs1Z.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 2e trimestre 2021-2022" }, { "period": "2022-Q1", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/October2023/njMXv4iltoYIBXkG3q6I.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 1er trimestre 2021-2022" }, { "period": "2021-Q4", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/November2023/XnxhIGiNDEwyVevLmUTJ.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 4e trimestre 2020-2021" }, { "period": "2021-Q3", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/November2023/7SeFv1z1UA9H2Ro8wPQE.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 3e trimestre 2020-2021" }, { "period": "2021-Q2", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/November2023/44UuUipaaD17BFsfjvb6.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 2e trimestre 2020-2021" }, { "period": "2020-Q4", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/November2023/WVl63CWhvFe9SlCJkmbD.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 4e trimestre 2019-2020" }, { "period": "2020-Q3", "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/icae-datas/November2023/UWaS6qhYo25kXm7cO0fS.pdf", "title": "Bulletin de l'ICAE - 3e trimestre 2019-2020" } ], "sources": { "ihsi_icae": { "document_series": [], "format": "xlsx", "frequency_published": "quarterly", "id": "ihsi_icae", "license": "Public: Institut Ha\u00eftien de Statistique et d'Informatique; reproduced with attribution.", "methodology_note": "## IHSI, Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique (ICAE)\n\nThe ICAE is Haiti's official short-term economic activity indicator,\npublished quarterly by IHSI. It tracks real economic activity across\n15 branches of activity grouped into three sectors:\n\n- **Primary**: Agriculture, Mining & Quarries\n- **Secondary**: Manufacturing, Construction, Electricity & Water\n- **Tertiary**: Commerce, Restaurants & Hotels, Transport &\n Communications, Financial Institutions, Other Market Services,\n Non-market Services\n\nThe composite index (ICAE Global) is a weighted aggregate of these\nbranch-level indices. All indices use a **base period of 2007-2008 = 100**.\nQuarters are labelled by **Haitian fiscal year** (fiscal Q1 = October-December\nof the prior calendar year; e.g. period `2026-Q1` = Oct-Dec 2025).\n\n**2026-Q1 reclassification (BPM6)**: starting the FY2025-2026 Q1 bulletin\n(published March 2026), IHSI reclassified textile / sous-traitance activities\n(\"services de fabrication fournis sur des intrants physiques d\u00e9tenus par des\ntiers\", BPM6) out of **Manufacturing** and into **Other market services**.\nThis shifts the level of Manufacturing, Secondary, Other market services and\nTertiary (ICAE Global and the other components are unaffected \u2014 it is an\ninternal reallocation). We keep IHSI's genuine figures on each side and add no\nestimated/backcast numbers (IHSI has not republished the full back-series on\nthe new basis): the four branches stay on the OLD classification through\n2025-Q4 and switch to the NEW classification from 2026-Q1, so a one-time\ndefinitional break sits between **2025-Q4 and 2026-Q1**. `data derive` omits\nYoY/QoQ for those four branches where the calculation would straddle the break\n(see `_reclass_crosses` in derive/icae_transforms.py) rather than mixing two\nbases. NOTE: if a bulletin ingest overwrites a pre-2026-Q1 quarter for these\nfour branches with a new-basis restatement (as the March-2026 bulletin did to\n2025-Q1), revert that quarter to its old-basis value from the corresponding\npre-reclassification bulletin to keep the old segment consistent.\n\n**Seasonal adjustment**: the raw (non-seasonally adjusted) series is\nthe official IHSI publication. A seasonally adjusted series is also\navailable, computed using the Classical Seasonal Decomposition method\n(Direct Ratio-to-Average, following the U.S. BLS/Census approach).\nThe SA series is a **World Bank computation** and is **not endorsed\nby IHSI**. Fixed seasonal factors are calculated per component as\nthe ratio of each quarter's average to the grand mean.\n\n**Source**: [IHSI, ICAE](https://ihsi.gouv.ht/statistiques/statistiques_economiques/icae)\n\n\n## Fiscal-year quarters\n\nIHSI reports the ICAE by Haiti's **fiscal year**, which runs **1 October to\n30 September** and is named for the calendar year in which it ends. The\nquarter code uses that fiscal year, so the four quarters of a fiscal year are:\n\n- **Q1 = October to December** (of the prior calendar year)\n- **Q2 = January to March**\n- **Q3 = April to June**\n- **Q4 = July to September**\n\n**Example:** period `2026-Q1` is the first quarter of **fiscal year 2025-2026**,\ni.e. **October to December 2025**. Likewise `2026-Q4` is July to September 2026,\nand `2025-Q1` is October to December 2024. A quarter code is therefore roughly\none calendar quarter ahead of a same-numbered calendar quarter.\n\n## Textile reclassification (BPM6) \u2014 break at 2026-Q1\n\nFrom its 2026-Q1 bulletin IHSI reclassified textile / apparel assembly\n(sous-traitance) out of **Manufacturing** and into **Other market services**,\nfollowing BPM6 (assembly is now \"manufacturing services on physical inputs\nowned by others\"). This shifts the level of four series \u2014 Manufacturing,\nSecondary, Tertiary, and Other market services \u2014 from **2026-Q1 onward**.\nICAE Global and the other components are unaffected (it is an internal\nreallocation). Those four series therefore show a **one-time definitional step\nat 2025-Q4 \u2192 2026-Q1**, not a real activity change; earlier quarters remain on\nthe old classification. IHSI has not republished the full back-series on the\nnew basis, so we do not restate history (no estimated figures), and year-on-\nyear / quarter-on-quarter growth that would straddle the break is omitted for\nthose four series rather than computed across two bases.\n\n## Seasonally adjusted index and growth rates (World Bank computation)\n\nIHSI publishes the raw (not seasonally adjusted) index (INDEX). Two further\nseries are World Bank computations off that raw index, not IHSI output:\n\n- Seasonally adjusted index (INDEX_SA): the World Bank removes the seasonal\n pattern with a classical ratio-to-average method using fixed quarterly\n factors estimated per component. This adjustment is a World Bank\n computation and is not produced or endorsed by IHSI; treat it as a\n Bank-derived view of the official series rather than an official figure.\n INDEX_SA rows therefore carry status=derived (with derivation_id\n wb_seasonal_adj_v1), while the raw IHSI INDEX stays status=observed.\n- Year-on-year (YOY_PCT) growth is the 4-quarter percent change computed from\n the raw index. Year-on-year differencing compares the same fiscal quarter\n across years, so the seasonal factor cancels and no seasonal adjustment is\n needed (YoY of the adjusted index equals YoY of the raw index).\n- Quarter-on-quarter (QOQ_PCT) growth is the 1-quarter percent change computed\n from the seasonally adjusted index (INDEX_SA), not the raw index: QoQ on the\n raw series is dominated by fiscal-year seasonality and is not a meaningful\n measure of momentum. QOQ_PCT is therefore a Bank-derived view (it inherits\n INDEX_SA's non-IHSI-endorsed status), not an official IHSI figure.\n- Both growth series carry status=derived and a derivation_id, so each shares\n one computation vintage.", "name": "IHSI Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique", "name_localized": { "en": "IHSI Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique", "fr": "IHSI, Indicateur Conjoncturel d'Activit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique (ICAE)", "ht": "IHSI, Endikat\u00e8 Konjontir\u00e8l Aktivite Ekonomik (ICAE)" }, "provider": { "full": "Institut Ha\u00eftien de Statistique et d'Informatique", "short": "IHSI", "type": "national_statistics" }, "url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/statistiques/statistiques_economiques/icae" } }, "units": { "INDEX": "Index (2007-2008 = 100)", "INDEX_SA": "Index, seasonally adjusted", "QOQ_PCT": "%", "YOY_PCT": "%" }, "views": [ { "chart_type": "card_grid", "default": true, "default_expanded": "ALL", "description": { "en": "Quarterly short-term economic activity index, NOT seasonally adjusted (official IHSI publication). The seasonal pattern in Haiti's fiscal-year quarters makes this series appear spiky; switch to the Seasonally adjusted view to see the underlying trend. Click a sector to see its branch breakdown.", "fr": "Indice trimestriel d'activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique \u00e0 court terme, NON corrig\u00e9 des variations saisonni\u00e8res (publication officielle IHSI). Le sch\u00e9ma saisonnier des trimestres de l'exercice fiscal ha\u00eftien rend cette s\u00e9rie irr\u00e9guli\u00e8re ; passez \u00e0 la vue CVS pour voir la tendance sous-jacente. Cliquez sur un secteur pour sa d\u00e9composition.", "ht": "Endis trim\u00e8striy\u00e8l aktivite ekonomik akout\u00e8m, PA korije pou varyasyon sezonye (piblikasyon ofisy\u00e8l IHSI). Mod\u00e8l sezonye a nan trim\u00e8s ane fiskal Ayiti a f\u00e8 seri sa a par\u00e8t iregilye ; chanje pou w\u00e8 p\u00e8spektiv korije. Klike sou yon sekt\u00e8 pou w\u00e8 dekompozisyon li." }, "filters": { "component": [ "ALL", "PRIMARY", "SECONDARY", "TERTIARY" ], "measure": "INDEX", "source_id": "ihsi_icae" }, "id": "overview", "name": { "en": "Overview (not seasonally adjusted)", "fr": "Aper\u00e7u (non corrig\u00e9)", "ht": "Ap\u00e8si (pa korije)" } }, { "chart_type": "line", "default": false, "description": { "en": "Quarterly activity index by sector (base 2007-2008 = 100), NOT seasonally adjusted. Sector indices are not additive, so they are shown as separate trajectories rather than stacked. The spiky pattern reflects Haiti's fiscal-year seasonality; switch to the Seasonally adjusted view for the smoothed trend.", "fr": "Indice trimestriel d'activit\u00e9 par secteur (base 2007-2008 = 100), NON corrig\u00e9 des variations saisonni\u00e8res. Les indices sectoriels ne s'additionnent pas ; ils sont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9s comme des trajectoires distinctes. L'aspect irr\u00e9gulier refl\u00e8te la saisonnalit\u00e9 de l'exercice fiscal ha\u00eftien ; passez \u00e0 la vue CVS pour la tendance liss\u00e9e.", "ht": "Endis trim\u00e8striy\u00e8l aktivite pa sekt\u00e8 (baz 2007-2008 = 100), PA korije pou sezon. Endis sekt\u00e8 yo pa adisyone, yo prezante k\u00f2m trajectwa separe. Mod\u00e8l iregilye a reflete sezonnalite ane fiskal Ayiti a ; chanje pou w\u00e8 tendans lis la." }, "filters": { "component": [ "ALL", "PRIMARY", "SECONDARY", "TERTIARY" ], "measure": "INDEX", "source_id": "ihsi_icae" }, "id": "sectors", "name": { "en": "Sectors over time (not seasonally adjusted)", "fr": "Secteurs dans le temps (non corrig\u00e9)", "ht": "Sekt\u00e8 nan tan (pa korije)" } }, { "chart_type": "line", "default": false, "description": { "en": "Quarterly activity index by sector, seasonally adjusted (World Bank computation, ratio-to-average method). Seasonal factors have been removed to reveal the underlying trend. Note: INDEX_SA is a World Bank computation, not produced or endorsed by IHSI.", "fr": "Indice trimestriel d'activit\u00e9 par secteur, corrig\u00e9 des variations saisonni\u00e8res (CVS, calcul Banque mondiale, m\u00e9thode ratio-\u00e0-la-moyenne). Les facteurs saisonniers ont \u00e9t\u00e9 retir\u00e9s pour r\u00e9v\u00e9ler la tendance sous-jacente. Note : l'indice CVS est un calcul de la Banque mondiale, non produit ni approuv\u00e9 par l'IHSI.", "ht": "Endis trim\u00e8striy\u00e8l aktivite pa sekt\u00e8, korije pou varyasyon sezonye (kalkil Bank Mondyal, met\u00f2d rap\u00f2-a-mway\u00e8n). Fakt\u00e8 sezonye yo retire pou montre tandans anba a. Remak : endis CVS la se yon kalkil Bank Mondyal, li pa pwodui ni apwouve pa IHSI." }, "filters": { "component": [ "ALL", "PRIMARY", "SECONDARY", "TERTIARY" ], "measure": "INDEX_SA", "source_id": "ihsi_icae" }, "id": "sectors_sa", "name": { "en": "Sectors over time (seasonally adjusted)", "fr": "Secteurs dans le temps (CVS)", "ht": "Sekt\u00e8 nan tan (korije)" } } ], "vintage_sources": [ { "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/ipc-bulletins/March2026/29OTfPBJCj5J9XW1qeHu.pdf", "vintage_date": "2026-01-23" }, { "pub_url": "https://ihsi.gouv.ht/public/storage/ipc-bulletins/April2026/PGcuQjYXuNJVpQ3LqHf3.pdf", "vintage_date": "2026-03-31" } ], "vintages": [ "2026-01-23", "2026-03-31", "2026-07-15" ] }